River Flood Watch 7, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
852 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.UPDATE...
RAINS AND GETTING FOCUSED INTO SE TX AND SRN LA. A FLOOD WATCH AND
WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED. FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EVANGELINE....
ALLEN...SE BEAUREGARD...EASTERN CALCASIEU... AND JEFFERSON DAVIS
PARISHES THROUGH THE NOON HOUR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 750 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE...TROPICAL MOISTURE
CONTINUING TO FEED WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS MORNING. WILL LIKELY SEE DRIER AIR MOVE IN FROM THE WEST THIS
AFTERNOON. UNTIL THEN...IFR AND MVFR WILL BE THE DOMINANT
CONDITIONS IN THE TAFS. RAPID CHANGES WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE IT
CHALLENGING THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE FINALLY
STABILIZING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 523 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014/

SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL STREAM INTO OUR AREA THROUGH A
WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER RIDGE. PRECIP WATER VALUES EXPECTED WITH OVER
2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS FROM NORMAL INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

SHORT TERM...THE EURO LOOKS BEST ON HANDLING THIS MOISTURE OUT OF
THE TROPICS WITH THE ASSOCIATED RAINFALL. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK
FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS SHOULD HOLD TEMPS WELL BELOW CLIMO AND SHOULD NOT REACH
ANY HIGHER THAN THE UPPER 80S TODAY. GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE
THROUGH TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT SHOULD HELP THE RAINFALL PROCESS.

LONG TERM...A RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF THE POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL
JET WILL LIKELY CREATE ENOUGH AGEOSTROPHIC LIFTING FOR THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY. THE
SUBTROPICAL BERMUDA RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD WESTWARD INTO EAST TEXAS
LATER ON SUNDAY WITH DRIER AIR AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS. LABOR
DAY IS LOOKING GOOD WITH ONLY A MINIMAL CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

RAIN CHANCES DECREASE AFTER TUESDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
CONTINUES TO BUILD OUT OF THE EAST.

HYDROLOGY...EXPECTING NEARLY 3 INCHES OF AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL
INTO THIS EVENING. LOCALLY UP TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

SWEENEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  82  77  89  78  90 / 100  50  20  10  20
KBPT  81  76  90  78  90 / 100  50  30  10  30
KAEX  81  76  90  74  92 / 100  50  20  10  20
KLFT  85  75  91  77  91 / 100  50  20  10  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...EAST
     CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
     LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...ST.
     MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...VERNON...WEST CAMERON.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     JEFFERSON...ORANGE.

GM...NONE.
&&

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSLAKECHARLES

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
556 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

GMZ430-432-435-LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-
216-259>262-311100-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-
BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-WEST CAMERON-EAST CAMERON-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-
ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-
SOUTHERN NEWTON-
556 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL
EXPECTED TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING. ISOLATED AMOUNTS
UP TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

RAIN CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE EAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, REPORTS OF
FLOODING AND ROAD CLOSURES WILL BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-311100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
556 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE A FEW GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD TAPER OFF BY MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED, REPORTS OF STRONG
WINDS FROM RIGS AND VESSELS ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
GREATLY APPRECIATED.

SWEENEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
831 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LAKE CHARLES            30.21N 93.20W
08/30/2014                   CALCASIEU          LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS A CAR SUBMERGED IN A DITCH
            AT THE I-210/NELSON RD ON RAMP. EMPLOYEE ALSO REPORTS
            APPROX ONE FOOT OF WATER AT THE ON RAMP OF I-210 AND RYAN
            ST. VEHICLES ARE UNABLE TO PASS. EMPLOYEE ALSO REPORTS
            APPROX 8 INCHES OF WATER ON THE ROAD AT THE INTERSECTION
            OF COLLEGE AND COMMON STREETS.

&&

DJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
832 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 AM     FLASH FLOOD      KINDER                  30.49N 92.85W
08/30/2014                   ALLEN              LA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM SPOTTER REPORTS 1-2 INCHES OF WATER ON SECONDARY
            ROADS IN KINDER.

&&

DJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
901 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LAKE CHARLES            30.21N 93.20W
08/30/2014                   CALCASIEU          LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            KATC REPORTS I-10 AT MILE MARKER 29 AND I-210 AT THE NEW
            CONSTRUCTION AREA IS FLOODED.

&&

DJONES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
906 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LAKE CHARLES            30.21N 93.20W
08/30/2014                   CALCASIEU          LA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS WATER IN A HOME ONE BLOCK NORTH OF
            IMPERIAL HEALTH CENTER AT NELSON RD.

&&

DJONES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
934 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

LAZ073-TXZ215-301530-
JEFFERSON TX-WEST CAMERON LA-
934 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CAMERON PARISH...SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY UNTIL 1030 AM CDT...

AT 931 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES WEST OF SABINE PASS...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...SEA RIM
STATE PARK...SABINE PASS AND JOHNSONS BAYOU.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH...WHICH
COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK
SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 2977 9423 2990 9389 2989 9389 2984 9390
      2983 9393 2984 9394 2978 9392 2982 9388
      2984 9381 2995 9377 3000 9364 2975 9356
      2972 9376 2966 9386 2967 9403 2963 9417

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