Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS North Platte, NE

754 
WWUS53 KLBF 190418
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1118 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

NEC049-190428-
/O.CAN.KLBF.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-140619T0445Z/
DEUEL NE-
1018 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN DEUEL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 4148 10212 4142 10198 4139 10198 4140 10190
      4120 10144 4100 10168 4107 10186 4121 10206
      4122 10206 4122 10208 4131 10220
TIME...MOT...LOC 0418Z 207DEG 23KT 4140 10209 4116 10169

$$

NEC069-101-190445-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-140619T0445Z/
GARDEN NE-KEITH NE-
1018 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KEITH AND
SOUTHEASTERN GARDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 1045 PM MDT...

AT 1015 PM MDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM LEWELLEN TO OGALLALA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROSCOE...LEMOYNE...KEYSTONE...OTTER CREEK CAMPGROUND...BELMAR...
KINGSLEY DAM AND BROGANVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 118 AND 135.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 80 AND 104.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 115 AND 138.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 10212 4142 10198 4139 10198 4140 10190
      4120 10144 4100 10168 4107 10186 4121 10206
      4122 10206 4122 10208 4131 10220
TIME...MOT...LOC 0418Z 207DEG 23KT 4140 10209 4116 10169

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

TAYLOR

787 
WWUS53 KLBF 190442
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1142 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

NEC069-101-190452-
/O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-140619T0445Z/
GARDEN NE-KEITH NE-
1042 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GARDEN COUNTY 
WILL EXPIRE AT 1145 PM CDT/1045 PM MDT/...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 4148 10212 4142 10198 4139 10198 4140 10190
      4120 10144 4100 10168 4107 10186 4121 10206
      4122 10206 4122 10208 4131 10220
TIME...MOT...LOC 0442Z 207DEG 23KT 4154 10200 4130 10160

$$

TAYLOR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
720 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

PRIMARY CONCERNS FOR THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST DEAL WITH STORM
CHANCES TONIGHT.

AT 19Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED
OVER WESTERN MONTANA WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WESTERN CONUS. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WAS SEEN FROM
LOUISIANA/MISSISSIPPI UP THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS PATTERN
LED THE LOCAL AREA TO BE IN SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH NUMEROUS WEAK
SHORTWAVES MOVING INTO THE AREA OUT OF THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. AT
THE SURFACE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS ANALYZED NEAR EASTERN
BROWN AND WESTERN HOLT COUNTIES WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING UP OVER
NORTHERN HOLT AND BOYD COUNTY THEN SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA. THE COLD FRONT WENT SOUTH AND WAS LOCATED BETWEEN KBBW AND
KORD THROUGH KHDE AND TO A POINT WEST OF KHLC. THIS BOUNDARY HAS
BEEN SEEN VERY WELL ON RADAR THIS AFTERNOON AND BY 20Z...STORMS HAD
BEGUN DEVELOPING ON THE FRONT ACROSS KANSAS. ALSO...AN INVERTED
TROUGH EXTENDED INTO SOUTH DAKOTA FROM THE SURFACE LOW WHERE STRONG
EASTERLY FLOW HAD LED TO ALMOST CONTINUOUS STORMS THROUGH THE DAY.

THROUGH THIS EVENING...MAY SEE STORMS DEVELOP VERY NEAR THE SURFACE
LOW OVER THE FAR NORTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA...AS WELL AS
ALONG THE COLD FRONT AS PEAK HEATING ALLOWS THE CAP TO BREAK AND
CONVECTION TO FIRE. WITH THE COLD FRONT GENERALLY BEING EAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA THINK CONVECTION WILL HOLD OFF IN THAT VICINITY UNTIL
THE LOW LEVEL JET PICKS UP THIS EVENING. AT THAT POINT...THE
MOISTURE TRANSPORT THROUGH THE LOW LEVELS IS INDICATING THERE WILL
BE CONVERGENCE INTO SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA SO CHANCES FOR
STORMS IN THESE VICINITIES WILL PICK UP AFTER 00Z.

THE AREA OF HIGHEST CONCERN THROUGH EARLY EVENING WILL BE OVER NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE LOW/TRIPLE POINT.
SPC MESOANALYSIS IS SHOWING A NARROW BAND OF EXTREME SB CAPE ON THE
ORDER OF 5-6K J/KG...AND STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE WARM
FRONT. IN ADDITION...LOW LEVEL HELICITY AND SHEAR IN THESE AREAS IS
DECENT SO WOULDN/T BE SURPRISED TO GET ROTATING STORMS IN THESE
AREAS...AND PERHAPS TORNADO DEVELOPMENT IN STORMS.

FOR TONIGHT...MODELS ARE SHOWING A DECENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
OUT OF COLORADO TO HELP STORMS FIRE THIS EVENING OVER NORTHEAST
COLORADO. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONGEAL INTO AN MCS THAT WILL
BE FED BY THE LOW LEVEL JET AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS NEBRASKA. THIS
SHOULD BRING RAINFALL TO MUCH OF THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT HIGHEST
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA AS THE MOISTURE FEED WILL
BE STRONGEST AT THIS POINT. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST COULD SEE THE
STORMS DEVELOP INTO A LINE AND QUICKLY PUSH ACROSS NEBRASKA
OVERNIGHT. THIS COULD LEAD TO A THREAT FOR STRONG WINDS FOR PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA TONIGHT.

THEN FOR THURSDAY...THE LATEST MODELS ARE SHOWING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING OUT OF COLORADO AND PASSING ACROSS NEBRASKA DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. THERE IS NOT PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM AS VERY DRY AIR WILL BE IN PLACE. HOWEVER...IF THE
MODELS ARE NOT HANDLING THE MOISTURE FIELD WELL...THERE MAY BE A
STRAY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM DURING THE MORNING HOURS MONDAY OVER
WESTERN NEBRASKA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER ON THURSDAY DESPITE
LOTS OF SUNSHINE. THE DRY AIR WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...BUT
WITH TEMPERATURES ALOFT BEING A GOOD 5 DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT IS
BEING OBSERVED IN THE WARM SECTOR TODAY...BELIEVE HIGHS WILL TOP OUT
IN THE 70S.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 342 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

MID AND LONG TERM MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH GFS WARMER THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND NOT AS COOL NEXT WEEK. WILL USE A BLEND FOR THE
FORECAST. UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN MONTANA ON THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE
TO BE THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER THROUGH LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
THURSDAY NIGHT COOL FRONT WILL BE WELL EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA
EAST AND SOUTH AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN WITH CLEARING
SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS. TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 50S WEST TO
AROUND 60 EAST. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF BRINGING A STRONG MID LEVEL WAVE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN MAINLY
ZONAL FLOW. WEAK LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPING THROUGH THE EVENING AND
WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE RETAINED SCHC POPS. WEAK COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND WESTERN NEBRASKA SATURDAY.
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. WARMEST DAY OF
THE WEEKEND WITH MID TO UPPER 80S. SUNDAY ANOTHER MID LEVEL WAVE
WITH GOOD MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS IN MAINLY ZONAL FLOW AS SURFACE
HIGH BUILDS IN PUSHING A MORE VIGOROUS COLD FRONT THROUGH WESTERN
NEBRASKA. MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS STRONG COOLING
TREND THROUGH THE FIRST OF THE WORK WEEK WITH 70S FOR HIGHS AND 50S
FOR LOWS AND DRY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE HANGS AROUND.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 713 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

ACCORDING TO MOST OF THE SHORT TERM PROJECTIONS...AN ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORM SYSTEM IN NORTHEAST COLORADO WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA AND ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AFTER 02Z.
WHEN IT DOES...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL CAN
BE EXPECTED OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA. WE HAVE BETTER THAN AVERAGE
CONFIDENCE THAT THEY WILL AFFECT VTN 06-09Z AND LBF 04-06Z.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BROOKS
LONG TERM...POWER
AVIATION...SPRINGER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1010 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-200315-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
1010 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014 /910 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEAST COLORADO AND MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAIL...STRONG WIND AND HEAVY RAIN
AS THEY MOVE INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FOR FRIDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH
TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO DISCERN
CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVER NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
THIS EVENING.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

JRS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
928 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

NEZ057-190315-
KEITH NE-
828 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN KEITH COUNTY UNTIL 915
PM MDT...

AT 826 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BRULE...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF OGALLALA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  OGALLALA...
  BRULE...
  ROSCOE...
  KEYSTONE...
  LAKE VIEW CAMPGROUND...
  KINGSLEY DAM...
  BROGANVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 114 AND 133.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 61 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 79 AND 101.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 92 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 132 AND 138.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TAYLOR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
931 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     HAIL             1 S HERSHEY             41.14N 101.00W
06/18/2014  M2.00 INCH       LINCOLN            NE   PUBLIC

&&

SNIVELY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
936 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0925 PM     HAIL             3 SW ARNOLD             41.39N 100.23W
06/18/2014  E1.00 INCH       CUSTER             NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BTAYLOR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
959 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0947 PM     HAIL             OGALLALA                41.13N 101.72W
06/18/2014  E0.88 INCH       KEITH              NE   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

SNIVELY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1024 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     HAIL             8 ENE OGALLALA          41.17N 101.58W
06/18/2014  E1.00 INCH       KEITH              NE   PUBLIC

&&

SNIVELY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1052 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     HAIL             4 W BIG SPRINGS         41.06N 102.15W
06/18/2014  E1.75 INCH       DEUEL              NE   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WINDS ALSO ESTIMATED AT 40MPH

&&

SNIVELY