Alert archive / Puerto Rico / Flash Flood Watches in 2014
Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS JSJ
NWS JSJ issued this flash flood watch at Oct 12, 2014, 2:59 AM CDT. It took effect at Oct 13, 2014, 4:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 19 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 12, 2014, 2:59 AM CDT (07:59 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 13, 2014, 4:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Oct 14, 2014, 11:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS JSJ
- Flood severity
- None
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
921 WGCA62 TJSJ 120759 FFASJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 359 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 VIZ001-122000- /O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.141013T2100Z-141014T1500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...ANNA'S RETREAT... CHARLOTTE AMALIE...CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST... CRUZ BAY 359 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING * A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS MONDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD MONDAY NIGHT. TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY WHICH MAY FALL IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME AND RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF GUTS. RESIDENTS IN ALL OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ESPECIALLY SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$
8 follow-up statements
422 WGCA62 TJSJ 121958 FFASJU FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 358 PM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 VIZ001-130800- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.141013T2100Z-141014T1500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...ANNA'S RETREAT... CHARLOTTE AMALIE...CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST... CRUZ BAY 358 PM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING * HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY. RESIDENTS IN ALL OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ESPECIALLY SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$
905 WGCA62 TJSJ 122158 FFASJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 558 PM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 PRZ001>013-VIZ002-131000- /O.EXB.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.141013T2100Z-141014T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST CROIX- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN... CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA... SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO... COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA... ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO... LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED... FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE 558 PM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WILL OVERSPREAD THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND REACH PUERTO RICO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO RICO WITH 2 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS SAINT CROIX. ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$ VIZ001-131000- /O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.141013T2100Z-141014T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...ANNA'S RETREAT... CHARLOTTE AMALIE...CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST... CRUZ BAY 558 PM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND BECOME HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$
273 WGCA62 TJSJ 122305 CCA FFASJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 702 PM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 PRZ001>013-VIZ002-131130- /O.COR.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.141013T2100Z-141014T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST CROIX- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN... CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA... SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO... COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA... ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO... LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED... FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE 702 PM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WILL OVERSPREAD THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND REACH PUERTO RICO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX. ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$ VIZ001-131130- /O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.141013T2100Z-141014T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...ANNA'S RETREAT... CHARLOTTE AMALIE...CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST... CRUZ BAY 702 PM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS. * FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WILL OVERSPREAD THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND BECOME HEAVIER AND MORE WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ARE LIKELY... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$
472 WGCA62 TJSJ 131145 FFASJU FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 745 AM AST MON OCT 13 2014 PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-140200- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.141013T2100Z-141014T2200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN... CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA... SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO... COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA... ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO... LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE... CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY... CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE 745 AM AST MON OCT 13 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 6 PM AST TUESDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * FROM 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 6 PM AST TUESDAY EVENING * RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WILL OVERSPREAD THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS MONDAY EVENING AND REACH PUERTO RICO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$
315 WGCA62 TJSJ 132059 AAA FFASJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 459 PM AST MON OCT 13 2014 PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-140900- /O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.141013T2100Z-141015T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN... CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA... SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO... COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA... ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO... LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE... CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY... CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE 459 PM AST MON OCT 13 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. * THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT * CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE OVER THE LOCAL AREA WILL REMAIN IN THE FLOW CONVERGING INTO HURRICANE GONZALO THAT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY BEYOND. * RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE GONZALO WILL OVERSPREAD THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND BRUSH PUERTO RICO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$ SNELL
313 WGCA62 TJSJ 140330 AAA FFASJU FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1130 PM AST MON OCT 13 2014 PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-140900- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-141015T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN... CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA... SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO... COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA... ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO... LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE... CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY... CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE 1130 PM AST MON OCT 13 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA... EASTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...NORTH CENTRAL... NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST...PONCE AND VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...SOUTHEAST...SOUTHWEST...VIEQUES AND WESTERN INTERIOR. IN VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS. * THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT * CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE OVER THE LOCAL AREA WILL REMAIN IN THE FLOW CONVERGING INTO HURRICANE GONZALO THAT WILL CROSS THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY BEYOND. * RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE GONZALO WILL INCREASE IN FREQUENCY AND INTENSITY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND BRUSH PUERTO RICO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. PERIODS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$
019 WGCA62 TJSJ 140848 FFASJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 448 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2014 PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-141600- /O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-141014T1600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN... CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA... SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO... COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA... ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO... LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE... CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY... CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE 448 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON AST TODAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA... EASTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...NORTH CENTRAL... NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST...PONCE AND VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY...SOUTHEAST...SOUTHWEST...VIEQUES AND WESTERN INTERIOR. IN VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS. * UNTIL NOON AST TODAY * CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE OVER THE LOCAL AREA WILL REMAIN IN THE FLOW CONVERGING INTO HURRICANE GONZALO THROUGH LATE TODAY. * RAIN...POTENTIALLY HEAVY AT TIMES...ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE GONZALO WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS PUERTO RICO FROM TIME TO TIME THROUGH LATER TODAY. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 6 INCHES REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED... AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. && $$
388 WGCA62 TJSJ 141602 FFASJU FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 1202 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2014 PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-141715- /O.EXP.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-141014T1600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN... CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA... SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO... COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA... ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES... ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO... LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA'S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE... CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY... CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE 1202 PM AST TUE OCT 14 2014 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT NOON AST TODAY... AS HURRICANE GONZALO MOVES AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD FLOODING RAIN HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...PERIODS OF SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS SOME OUTER BANDS OF GONZALO REACH THE LOCAL AREA. IN ADDITION...AFTERNOON CONVECTION CANNOT BE RULED OUT TODAY AS A RESULT OF PLENTY OF MOISTURE COMBINED WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND DIURNAL HEATING. STAY TUNED...IN CASE OF ANY FLOOD THREAT...WILL BE HANDLED WITH SHORT TERM PRODUCTS AS URBAN FLOOD ADVISORIES AND FLASH FLOOD WARNING IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS JSJ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Oct 11, 8:39 PM CDT, 6 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 8:39 PM CDT, 6 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 939 PM AST SAT OCT 11 2014 .UPDATE...CLOUDS AND SHOWERS OVER NORTHWEST PUERTO RICO MOVED OFFSHORE AND WEAKENED SOMEWHAT. THESE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. SHOWERS ON THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST DISSIPATED. A FEW SHOWERS WERE LEFT IN TH CARIBBEAN SEA. && .DISCUSSION...THE 12/00Z SOUNDING SHOWED CONSIDERABLY MORE MOISTURE THAN JUST 12 HOURS AGO...EVEN THOUGH IN THE LAST FEW HOURS TOTAL SHOWER AREA HAS DIMINISHED IN THE FORECAST AREA. CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS CYCLING THROUGH PERIODS OF GROWTH AND DECAY AND CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 MPH. THIS CONTINUES TO SUGGEST A WAVE OR LOW PRESSURE PASSAGE MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NOW ESTIMATES THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION TO BE 50 PERCENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SOME POPS WERE UPDATED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT LITTLE CHANGE TO THE NEAR-TERM FORECAST WAS NECESSARY. THIS WAS DONE TO REFLECT CURRENT CONDITIONS AND REFLECT THE INCREASING CONFIDENCE OF RAIN IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF PUERTO RICO ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. CONSIDERABLY MORE WILL BE KNOWN REGARDING THE STATUS OF THE DISTURBANCE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AFTER THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FLIES IN. IT IS EXPECTED THAT DECISIONS REGARDING THE NECESSITY OF A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL BE MADE THEN WITH THE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. THE LAST ASCAT IMAGES REVEALED UP TO 25 KNOTS OF WIND OVER THE TOP OF THE WAVE BUT NO CLOSED CIRCULATION AT 11/13Z. && .AVIATION...VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED THRU 12/16Z ALTHOUGH IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ARND TNCM AND TKPK BRIEF MVFR CIGS MAY BE ENCOUNTERED AFT 12/04Z. AFT 12/16Z SHRA/TSRA WILL DEVELOP SOUTHWEST AND INTERIOR PR WITH ISOLD/SCT SHRA EAST OF PR. SOME MTN OBSCURATION SHOULD BE EXPECTED THEN. WINDS ALF WILL BECOME ESE 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFT 12/06Z AND ENE AFT 12/15Z UP THROUGH 25 KFT. WINDS INCREASE AFT 12/18Z. && .MARINE...SWELL FROM TROPICAL WAVES AND TROPICAL STORM FAY HAVE KEPT SEAS IN THE 5 TO 7 FOOT RANGE DURING THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS OUTSIDE THE FORECAST AREA WITH 6 TO 7 FEET AT BUOY 41043. WINDS ARE UNCERTAIN OWING TO UNCERTAINTIES WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST AL90...BUT ASSUMING SOME ORGANIZATION SEAS WERE INCREASED ABOUT 1 FOOT FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. FIRST 7 FOOT SEAS MAY BE SEEN IN THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF OUR OUTER ATLANTIC WATERS AS EARLY AS MONDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME SEAS GREATER THAN 7 FEET ARE NOT FORECAST BUT SHOULD THE DISTURBANCE DEVELOP BEFORE REACHING THE LOCAL AREA SEAS COULD RISE TO AS MUCH AS 8 FEET BY MONDAY NIGHT. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM AST SAT OCT 11 2014/ SYNOPSIS...BUILDING RIDGE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN WEAKENS AS TUTT ESTABLISHES ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL WAVE SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL MOVE ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI MONDAY AND TUESDAY. DISCUSSION...WRF AND GFS GUIDANCE INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATER BELOW TWO INCHES WITH A LIGHT STEERING FLOW TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS LIMITED AND ADDITIONAL MID-LEVEL DRYING WILL CONTINUE AS RIDGE ALOFT DOMINATES TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE TO COMBINE WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND SEA BREEZES TO PRODUCE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHWEST PUERTO RICO. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS HAVE BECOME SOMEWHAT BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. BASED ON NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER GUIDANCE...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS DISTURBANCE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. REGARDLESS DEVELOPMENT.... PERIODS OF SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS...GUSTY WINDS AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND USVI AS THIS DISTURBANCE PASS BY. TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A DRYING TREND EXPECTED AS SOON AS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THIS WAVE REMAINS NORTHWEST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...A SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE REGION. THEREFORE WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY...AS LOCAL ISLANDS REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AFOREMENTIONED WEAK TUTT... NEAR NORMAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW... EXPECT A FEW MORNING SHOWERS ACROSS WINDWARD AREAS FOLLOWED BY WARM TO HOT TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON SHOWERS OVER AND NORTH OF THE CORDILLERA EACH DAY. AVIATION...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD. TSRA/SHRA EXPECTED ACROSS TJSJ/TJBQ...PRODUCING MVFR CONDS WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ACROSS THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL TIL EVENING HOURS. AFT 12/23Z VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TAF SITE...HOWEVER...VCSH/VCTS STILL POSSIBLE AROUND TNCM AND TKPK. LOW LEVEL WIND FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 KT OR LESS...THEN BECOMING EASTERLY AT 5-10 KT AFTER 11/23Z. MARINE...LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY THEN STRENGTHEN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THEREFORE HAZARDOUS SEAS POSSIBLE BETWEEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT. CLIMATE...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 95 DEGREES WAS SET AT SAN JUAN/P.R. TODAY. THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 95 SET BACK IN 1980. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SJU 78 89 80 88 / 10 60 60 60 STT 79 88 79 86 / 20 60 60 70 && .SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PR...NONE. VI...NONE. COASTAL WATERS...NONE. && 10/12
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 4:24 AM CDT, 22 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 524 AM AST SAT OCT 11 2014 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-120930- SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR- NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST- WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES- THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS- 524 AM AST SAT OCT 11 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN OVER THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTH PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A TROPICAL WAVE...SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA BETWEEN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-120930- ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX- NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS- 524 AM AST SAT OCT 11 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A TROPICAL WAVE...SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA BETWEEN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The office that day
Everything else NWS JSJ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 1:16 PM CDT | Tropical Storm Watch | JSJ | 4 hr | |
| Oct 12, 2:32 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | JSJ | 3 hr | |
| Oct 12, 5:45 PM CDT | Hurricane Watch | JSJ | 32 hr | |
| Oct 12, 5:45 PM CDT | Tropical Storm Warning | JSJ | 41 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Puerto Rico, 2014Flash Flood Watches in U.S. Virgin Islands, 2014Every flash flood watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.