Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Jackson, KY

759 
WWUS53 KJKL 132159
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
559 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

KYC051-131-132230-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140513T2230Z/
LESLIE KY-CLAY KY-
559 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
CLAY AND LESLIE COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 558 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ESSIE...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HYDEN...ESSIE...PEABODY...ASHER...BIG CREEK...BEAR BRANCH...
HOSKINSTON...BOBS FORK...STINNETT...JACKS CREEK...HOSEA...CAUSEY...
WENDOVER...PANCO...SIZEROCK...THOUSANDSTICKS...CINDA...CUTSHIN AND
SMILAX.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3694 8351 3694 8352 3695 8353 3695 8359
      3699 8367 3726 8356 3710 8320 3692 8350
      3693 8351
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 219DEG 15KT 3707 8349

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

RAY

512 
WWUS53 KJKL 132209
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
609 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

KYC051-132219-
/O.CAN.KJKL.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140513T2230Z/
CLAY KY-
609 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3693 8351 3701 8351 3705 8355 3707 8354
      3708 8355 3711 8354 3712 8355 3717 8355
      3721 8350 3723 8352 3724 8351 3710 8320
      3692 8350
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 219DEG 15KT 3710 8346

$$

KYC131-132230-
/O.CON.KJKL.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140513T2230Z/
LESLIE KY-
609 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LESLIE COUNTY
UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 606 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ESSIE...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HYDEN...HOSKINSTON...BOBS FORK...STINNETT...HOSEA...CAUSEY...
WENDOVER...SIZEROCK...THOUSANDSTICKS...CINDA...SMILAX AND CUTSHIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3693 8351 3701 8351 3705 8355 3707 8354
      3708 8355 3711 8354 3712 8355 3717 8355
      3721 8350 3723 8352 3724 8351 3710 8320
      3692 8350
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 219DEG 15KT 3710 8346

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

RAY

649 
WWUS53 KJKL 132221
SVSJKL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
621 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

KYC131-132232-
/O.EXP.KJKL.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-140513T2230Z/
LESLIE KY-
621 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LESLIE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
630 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR 
PROPERTY. HOWEVER...GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS 
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3693 8351 3701 8351 3705 8355 3707 8354
      3708 8355 3711 8354 3712 8355 3717 8355
      3721 8350 3723 8352 3724 8351 3710 8320
      3692 8350
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 219DEG 15KT 3714 8342

$$

RAY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
411 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 345 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

AS OF MID AFTERNOON...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OFF THE
SOUTHEAST US COAST WHILE A TROUGH WAS OVER THE PLAINS TO MS VALLEY
REGION AND A RIDGE WAS LOCATED ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST. AT THE
SFC...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS OVER NW ONTARIO WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY REGION. LOCALLY...CONVECTION
AT THIS TIME IS PRIMARILY CONFINED TO AREAS CLOSER TO LAKE CUMBERLAND
AND DOWN IN THE TN VALLEY...THOUGH ISOLATED CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING
OUTSIDE OF THESE AREAS.

OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THE CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH
NORTHEAST AND GRADUALLY EXIT THE LAKE CUMBERLAND AREA. HOWEVER...SOME
OF THE CONVECTION...OR EVENTUAL OUTFLOWS MAY LEAD TO CONVECTION
MOVING INTO OR DEVELOPING OVER THE VA BORDER AREA OF BELL...HARLAN
AND LETCHER COUNTY AREA. ALSO...A BOUNDARY THAT CURRENTLY IS NEAR A
SANDY HOOK TO JKL TO MIDDLESBORO AND THEN EAST INTO NORTHEAST TN
BORDER CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTH AND EAST. THIS MAY ALSO BE A
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION INTO THE EVENING. WITH THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF
THE COLD FRONT AND IN THE WARM SECTOR SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION CANNOT
BE RULED OUT OVERNIGHT...BUT ACTIVITY SHOULD BE MINIMAL FOR MOST
OF...IF NOT THE ENTIRE NIGHT. MANY OF THE SHORT TERM MODELS HAVE
CONVECTION POSSIBLY ENCROACHING ON THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND OPTED
FOR SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS LATE.

ALSO...TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...A SHORTWAVE THAT IS NOW WORKING INTO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS REGION WILL APPROACH THE MS AND TN VALLEY AND
NEAR THE MID MS AND LOWER OH VALLEY BY WED EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO
SFC LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND TRACK TOWARD THE
OH...KY AND IN TRI STATE AREA BY 0Z THU. THIS LOW WILL TRACK TOWARD
THE WESTERN END OF LAKE ERIE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL
GRADUALLY LEAD TO MORE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND MORE FOCUSED COVECTION
BY THE LAST 12 HOURS OF THE PERIOD. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALSO
INDICATE INSTABILITY WILL BE MODERATE AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS THE MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES AND SFC LOW
DEVELOPS. THE FORECAST DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS ALSO FORECAST TO BE
GREATER THAN TODAY...BUT ONLY MODEST TO MODERATE...ENOUGH FOR MORE
ORGANIZATION...AND GREATER INTENSITY AND COVERAGE WHEN COMBINED WITH
INSTABILITY SPC HAS PLACED THE WESTERN PART OF THE CWA IN A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR WEDNESDAY...AND GUSTY WINDS WOULD
APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AND WITH FREEZING LEVELS ALSO
GRADUALLY LOWERING WITH THE APPROACH OF THE MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE SOME
HAIL MIGHT ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THIS IS ALREADY HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HWO.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

THE MODELS WERE ONCE AGAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE LONG TERM. THE
CONSENSUS VIEW BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS MODELS ARE FOR A LARGE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND EVENTUALLY
INTO NEW ENGLAND. A SURFACE COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THIS LOW WILL
PROVIDE THE INITIAL TRIGGER FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON
THURSDAY. MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WILL PROVIDE THE FUEL FOR THIS PRECIPITATION. ONCE THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO INFLUENCE OUR AREA AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS SYSTEM
WILL HAVE VERY LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK AND IS THEREFORE EXPECTED TO
BRING ONLY ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS TO THE EASTERN CONUS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS IS THEN EXPECTED TO
SETTLE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK...AS A LARGE
AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO PLACE. THIS MUCH COOLER
AIR WILL LEAD TO WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD...WITH DAILY HIGHS IN THE 60S AND NIGHTLY LOWS IN THE 40S
AREA WIDE.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 155 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST
PERIOD AT THE TAF SITES. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CU WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
THROUGH 0Z AND DEVELOP AGAIN AROUND 15Z. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION WILL
MOVE CLOSE TO LOZ...SME AND JKL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. WITH
THIS IN MIND...HAVE VCTS AT ALL THE TAF SITES THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET.
PATCHY VALLEY FOG WILL FORM AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AND AFFECT VALLEY
LOCATIONS...BUT SHOULD NOT AFFECT THE TAF SITES.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...JP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
425 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-142330-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
425 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS AREA POSSIBLE...MAINLY THIS EVENING AND TOWARD DAWN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A FEW
OF THE STORMS ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY CONTAIN HEAVY
RAIN...STRONG WINDS...AND HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

KAS/GREIF/JP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
459 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GRAY                    36.94N 84.01W
05/13/2014                   KNOX               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE TREE WAS REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN. THE TIME
            OF THE EVENT IS ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

JPELTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
526 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

KYZ120-132200-
PIKE-
526 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTY THROUGH 600
PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING...

   CENTRAL PIKE.

AT 526 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MARROWBONE...
OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PIKEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...FISHTRAP LAKE
AROUND 540 PM EDT...PHYLLIS AROUND 550 PM EDT...RACCOON AROUND 555 PM
EDT...KIMPER AROUND 600 PM EDT...

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT BRIEF VERY HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40
MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN THESE AREAS.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD.

PELTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
537 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

KYZ086-087-116-117-132230-
KNOX-LESLIE-BELL-CLAY-
537 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES
THROUGH 630 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING...

   NORTHEASTERN KNOX...
   WESTERN LESLIE...
   EXTREME NORTHEASTERN BELL AND
   EASTERN CLAY.

AT 536 PM EDT...A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS
LOCATED 15 MILES NORTH OF PINEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...ICE CLIFF
AROUND 540 PM EDT...ASHERS FORK AROUND 545 PM EDT...SKIDMORE AROUND
550 PM EDT...QUEENDALE AROUND 555 PM EDT...ROARK AROUND 600 PM EDT.

RESIDENTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...WITH RATES OF UP
TWO INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD.

RAY