Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
916 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER MAINLY
NE FL...

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL
LIKELY MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ZONES OF NE FL(MARION...PUTNAM...FLAGLER
COUNTIES) STARTING AROUND NOON. CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT DEGREE OF
INSTABILTY SO THE SEVERE THREAT OF STRONG WINDS MAY BE VERY ISOLATED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON MAINLY SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR. HRR MODEL
IS TOO SLOW WITH MOVEMENT OF PRECIP BUT SHOWS STRONGEST ACTIVITY
TO OCCUR OVER SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES OF NE FL AND CENTRAL FL WHERE
BETTER HEATING WILL PRODUCE MORE FAVORABLE INSTABILITY.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT -SHRA TO BECOME WIDESPREAD BETWEEN 14Z-19Z WITH
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
AT GNV AND POINTS SOUTH. EXPECT MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH AT
LEAST 19Z WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS THEREAFTER.

&&

.MARINE...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH SCEC CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING OFFSHORE BY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE OVER MAINLY THE NE FL WATERS.
ADVISORY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OFFSHORE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING
WITH COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK TODAY DUE TO LONG PERIOD SWELLS. LOW RISK
ON SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  77  47  72  41 /  80  20   0   0
SSI  74  50  68  47 /  70  50   0   0
JAX  79  51  73  44 /  70  50   0   0
SGJ  77  52  69  49 /  70  60   0   0
GNV  78  50  74  42 /  70  50   0   0
OCF  79  53  75  42 /  70  50   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EDT SUNDAY
     FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

&&

ZIBURA/TRABERT/WALKER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
946 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-301000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
946 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 5 PM EDT FOR MARION...PUTNAM...FLAGLER...
GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...

...MINOR RIVER FLOODING WITHIN SEVERAL RIVER BASINS...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUTER COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES.

MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS FORECAST TO OCCUR WITHIN
SEVERAL LOCAL RIVER BASINS. PLEASE REFER TO THE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS
AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE INFORMATION.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUTER COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR OUTER COASTAL WATERS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE IS CONSIDERING THE
DISCONTINUANCE...OR REDUCED ISSUANCE...OF THIS PRODUCT. PLEASE
FORWARD COMMENTARY ON THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PRODUCT TO
OUR METEOROLOGIST IN CHARGE...SCOTT CORDERO...AT
SCOTT.CORDERO@NOAA.GOV. THIS WILL IN NO WAY AFFECT NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...BUT ONLY PERTAINS TO THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
PRODUCT WHICH SUMMARIZES ADVISORIES...WATCHES...AND WARNINGS
WHICH ARE ALREADY IN EFFECT.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1050 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

FLZ022>025-030>032-GAZ164-291530-
BAKER-BRADFORD-CHARLTON-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-NASSAU-UNION-
1050 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN
CLAY...BRADFORD...BAKER...CENTRAL COLUMBIA...UNION...SOUTHERN
CHARLTON...WESTERN DUVAL AND SOUTHERN NASSAU COUNTIES FOR STRONG
WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 1130 AM EDT...

AT 1050 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTH OF
SANDERSON TO 5 MILES WEST OF PROVIDENCE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND TAYLOR...OLUSTEE...
LULU...PROVIDENCE...SANDERSON...PALESTINE COMMUNITY...ST. GEORGE...
MACCLENNY...GLEN SAINT MARY AND BROOKER THROUGH 1130 AM EDT.
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3006 8192 3004 8205 2973 8205 2984 8214
      2985 8224 2984 8228 2989 8240 2993 8242
      2993 8236 2996 8234 2995 8231 3001 8227
      2997 8268 3030 8241 3056 8227 3056 8151
TIME...MOT...LOC 1450Z 262DEG 36KT 3033 8221 3003 8259

TRABERT

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1120 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1109 AM     TSTM WND GST     GAINESVILLE AIRPORT     29.69N 82.28W
03/29/2014  M49 MPH          ALACHUA            FL   ASOS

            THUNDERSTORM WINDS GUST TO 49 MPH

&&

AWALKER