Severe Thunderstorm Warning 294, NWS Jackson, MS

911 
WWUS54 KJAN 230352
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1052 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

MSC043-230402-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0294.000000T0000Z-140723T0430Z/
GRENADA MS-
1052 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CANCELLED FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GRENADA 
COUNTY...

THE THREAT HAS ENDED FOR THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3367 8988 3367 8983 3366 8980 3361 8979
      3343 8988 3357 9007
TIME...MOT...LOC 0352Z 047DEG 17KT 3363 8987

$$

MSC015-230430-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0294.000000T0000Z-140723T0430Z/
CARROLL MS-
1052 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
CARROLL COUNTY UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...

AT 1052 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JEFFERSON...
AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NORTH CARROLLTON AROUND 1115 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CARROLLTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3367 8988 3367 8983 3366 8980 3361 8979
      3343 8988 3357 9007
TIME...MOT...LOC 0352Z 047DEG 17KT 3363 8987

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

362 
WWUS54 KJAN 230412
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1112 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

MSC015-230421-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0294.000000T0000Z-140723T0430Z/
CARROLL MS-
1112 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CANCELLED FOR NORTH CENTRAL CARROLL 
COUNTY...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3367 8988 3367 8983 3366 8980 3361 8979
      3343 8988 3357 9007
TIME...MOT...LOC 0411Z 047DEG 17KT 3357 8995

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
828 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.UPDATE...WITH THE UPPER LOW NOW ALONG OUR SOUTHERN BORDER...
CONVECTION IS HANGING ON WELL INTO THIS EVENING. FORECAST POPS WERE
INCREASED FOR THE EVENING HOURS...WITH A SUBSTANTIAL DECREASE IN
ACTIVITY EXPECTED BY THE 4Z-5Z TIME FRAME. ALSO UPDATED HOURLY
TEMPS/DEWPOINTS TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TRENDS WITH RAIN-COOLED AIR
OVER MUCH OF SE MISSISSIPPI. UPDATED PRODUCTS ARE CURRENTLY BEING
SENT. /DL/

&&

.AVIATION...CONVECTION IS DECREASING ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING.
BOTH CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES COULD BRIEFLY BE REDUCED TO MVFR/IFR
STATUS IF SHOWERS IS OBSERVED WITHIN EACH SITES RESPECTED TAF SITES.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO THE EVENING AS
CONVECTION DIMINISHES. THEREAFTER...MVFR CEILINGS IN THE EAST AND
MVFR VISIBILITIES EVERYWHERE WILL BE THE RULE UNTIL AROUND 14Z
WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME VCTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY AFTERNOON MAINLY
ALONG THE EASTERN TAF SITES./17/

&&

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND STORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A RETROGRADING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAVE BROKEN OUT
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SOME HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY
WINDS...AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL...PARTICULARLY ACROSS MY SOUTHEAST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ZONES. AS DAYTIME HEATING WANES THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS INTO TONIGHT...MUCH OF THIS CONVECTION WILL EVENTUALLY
DISSIPATE. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL TO AROUND 70 WITH SOME
CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTWARD DRIFTING LOW EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OVERHEAD THROUGH THE NIGHT.

ONCE AGAIN...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY AS DAYTIME HEATING IN
THIS MOIST AIR MASS DESTABILIZES OUR ATMOSPHERE...WITH THE AID OF
THE THE UPPER LOW STILL RESIDING OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION...
ALTHOUGH A BIT FURTHER WEST THAN ON TUESDAY.  JUST AS WE OBSERVED ON
TUESDAY... SOME LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS...AND SMALL
HAIL WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THAT SAID...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. GIVEN THE CLOUD COVER OVER THE REGION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE LOW...IN ADDITION TO CONVECTION MEANDERING ABOUT...I DID ADJUST
HIGHS DOWN A COUPLE OF DEGREES IN MOST LOCATIONS AS THEY AGAIN PEAK
AROUND THE 90 DEGREE MARK.

MOST CONVECTION WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE CWA WEDNESDAY EVENING AS
DAYTIME HEATING WANES.  HOWEVER...AS THE UPPER LOW WEAKENS AND AN
UPPER TROUGH DIGS SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES...A FRONT
IS FORECAST TO ALSO DROP SOUTH INTO THE MID-SOUTH REGION LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THIS FRONT...OR ANY OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH
CONVECTION THAT'S ONGOING NEAR IT...COULD SPARK SOME SHOWERS OR
STORMS THAT MAY IMPEDE UPON MY NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ZONES
TOWARD DAY BREAK THURSDAY MORNING.  OTHERWISE... LOWS WILL AGAIN
FALL INTO THE LOWER 70S. /19/

THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY....NO BIG PATTERN CHANGE FOR THE
REGION. WITH THE LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE PLANTED OVER THE
ROCKIES...THE ARKLAMISS WILL CONTINUE TO GET FRONTS AND WEAK
DISTURBANCES EVERY FEW DAYS. THIS IN ADDITION TO CONTINUED AMPLE SOIL
MOISTURE CONTENT...TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO BE AT OR JUST BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED. STUCK WITH GUIDANCE GENERALLY FOR POPS.

BY THURSDAY...IT LOOKS LIKE THE LATEST STALLED FRONT WILL BE
REPLACED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS BOUNDARY IS LIKELY TO
STALL ALONG THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND...BEFORE THE NEXT FRONT MOVES
INTO THE REGION AROUND MONDAY. EACH SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE LACKING MUCH
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND THE MAIN SURFACE LOW WITH EACH SYSTEM IS
ALSO DISTANT. HOWEVER...THE MODELS ARE BRINGING IN PLENTY OF VERY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR FROM THE GULF. THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN
ACROSS THE AREA NEARLY EVERY DAY. WITH THE BEST DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SYSTEMS STAYING TO THE NORTH AND THE WESTERN RIDGE WAVERING
FURTHER EAST SOME DAYS...MUCH OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL MISS
THE WESTERN ZONES...BASICALLY AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 THROUGH
THE PERIOD. OF COURSE THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT POPS RIGHT NOW ARE LOW. BETWEEN EACH FRONT WILL
BE A DAY OR TWO OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND MILD CONDITIONS. NOT
ANTICIPATING A PATTERN SHIFT THIS FORECAST PERIOD. /07/

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

DL/17/19/07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
135 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
231845-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
135 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

MSZ027-036-230125-
HOLMES MS-CARROLL MS-
758 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
758 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED
FROM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF COILA TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF BLACK HAWK
AT 757 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HEAVY RAIN ON THE ORDER OF 2 INCHES AND HOUR IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL CARROLL AND EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTIES
SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3344 8979 3329 9004 3335 9015 3343 9008
      3358 8979 3357 8978
TIME...MOT...LOC 0057Z 039DEG 8KT 3346 8984 3336 9004

CME

MSZ036-230250-
HOLMES MS-
920 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
920 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF BROZVILLE AT 920 PM
CDT...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL HOLMES COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3309 9002 3294 9010 3300 9028 3312 9015
TIME...MOT...LOC 0220Z 032DEG 14KT 3307 9011

CME

MSZ026-230330-
GRENADA MS-
1001 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1001 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED OVER BEW SPRINGS AT 1001 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN WESTERN GRENADA COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3389 8984 3369 8990 3368 9006 3380 9005
      3382 9002 3382 8999 3383 8997 3383 8994
      3388 8993
TIME...MOT...LOC 0301Z 066DEG 11KT 3378 8992

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1008 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GRENADA                 33.78N 89.81W
07/22/2014                   GRENADA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW STREETS ARE FLOODED IN TOWN...STILL RAINING
            HEAVILY.

&&

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1010 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW GRENADA            33.75N 89.85W
07/22/2014                   GRENADA            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREETS FLOODED IN THE HIDDEN VALLEY AREA.

&&

CME

MSZ026-230400-
GRENADA MS-
1031 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1031 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME
SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF BEW
SPRINGS AT 1030 PM CDT...MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN OF 3 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL GRENADA COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3368 8969 3367 8973 3367 9005 3382 9008
      3382 8999 3383 8997 3383 8994 3385 8993
      3388 8973
TIME...MOT...LOC 0330Z 078DEG 17KT 3374 8990

MRM