River Flood Warning 74, NWS Jackson, MS

778 
WGUS84 KJAN 130123
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
823 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER AFFECTING SUNFLOWER COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC133-140723-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-140614T1500Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.140611T2344Z.140612T2300Z.140614T0000Z.NO/
823 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL IS CRESTING AND WILL SLOWLY FALL TO BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FIELD WEST OF RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER
SUNFLOWER      21  21.5 THU 07 PM  21.3  20.8  20.2   CRESTING     


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

222 
WGUS84 KJAN 131558
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1058 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014




...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER AFFECTING SUNFLOWER COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC133-142158-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-140616T0900Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.140611T2344Z.140612T2300Z.140615T1800Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FIELD WEST OF RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER
SUNFLOWER      21  21.5 FRI 10 AM  21.4  21.1  20.2  21.5 01 PM 06/13


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

424 
WGUS84 KJAN 140110
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
810 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...

  BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER AFFECTING SUNFLOWER COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC133-150710-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-140616T0600Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.140611T2344Z.140612T2300Z.140615T1500Z.NO/
810 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 7:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING AND WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FIELD WEST OF RIVER BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SAT   SUN   MON CREST TIME  DATE

BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER
SUNFLOWER      21  21.4 FRI 07 PM  21.4  21.1  20.3    CRESTING          


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

250 
WGUS84 KJAN 142308
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
608 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER AFFECTING SUNFLOWER COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC133-142338-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-140616T0600Z/
/SUNM6.1.ER.140611T2344Z.140612T2300Z.140614T2000Z.NO/
608 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER AT SUNFLOWER.
* AT  5:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  3:00 PM SATURDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 20.5 FEET BY TOMORROW
  MORNING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

BIG SUNFLOWER RIVER
SUNFLOWER      21  21.0 SAT 05 PM  21.4  20.5  19.6     FALLING


&&


LAT...LON 3324 9081 3363 9062 3388 9075 3399 9059
      3363 9048 3324 9064             



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

.DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...OTHER THAN A FEW
SHOWERS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE DAY...MAINLY ACROSS EAST AND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...ALONG AND AHEAD OF A FRONT THAT'S SLOWLY
DRIFTING EAST THROUGH THE REGION...A MUCH MORE SUBDUED FORECAST IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE CWA FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 36 HOURS.  CLOUDS LOOK
TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST AND OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY AS HIGHS
TOP OUT IN THE 80S AND COOLER LOWS TONIGHT...MID 60S...AS SLIGHTLY
DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE REGION.

ANOTHER QUIET AND MOSTLY SUNNY DAY IS EXPECTED MUCH OF THURSDAY AS
HIGHS WARM TO AROUND 90.  HOWEVER AS THURSDAY NIGHT PROGRESSES...
MODELS INDICATE THAT UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES
AND INTO THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING.  THIS
COULD BRING ABOUT ANOTHER COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND STORMS DROPPING
SOUTHEAST INTO AND THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THAT TIME
FRAME...OR PERHAPS JUST BRUSHING THE CWA. ATTENTION WILL NEED TO BE
PAYED TO BOTH SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS UPSTREAM THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING TO SEE HOW THIS SCENARIO EVOLVES. /19/

FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF ARE IN SOME
AGREEMENT ON AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE STATE ON FRIDAY
DRAGGING A WEAK SURFACE LOW/FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH IT. BOTH OF THE
MODELS EVENTUALLY CUT OFF THE LOW BUT DIFFER IN THE EVENTUAL LOCATION
OF THE LOW OVER THE WEEKEND. THE CANADIAN AND THE GFS ARE A LITTLE
MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE LOW AND CUT IT OFF EAST OF THE AREA...WHILE
THE ECMWF CUTS THE LOW OVER OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
STATE. WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE SLIGHTLY MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THE GFS INDICATES THAT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL
OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND EVENTUALLY WEAKEN...BUT
THIS WILL BE THE FOCUS OF SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

THE GFS/ECMWF INDICATE THAT THE UPPER TROUGH/LOW WILL SHIFT WELL TO
THE EAST ON MONDAY. A H592 HIGH STRENGTHENS OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY
AND BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF KEEP THE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE ARKLAMISS
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH INCREASING HEAT EACH DAY. STUCK
PRETTY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE POPS/TEMPS THROUGH THE PERIOD. /15/

&&

.AVIATION...LOW CLOUDS ARE REDUCING FLIGHT CATEGORIES TO MVFR/IFR
STATUS AT SOME SITES THIS MORNING. THESE CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY
IMPROVE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT
MOST SITES HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND CONTINUING INTO
TONIGHT. WINDS TODAY WILL HAVE A WESTERLY COMPONENT AND RANGE FROM
7-12 KNOTS... WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY AT EASTERN LOCALES...
I.E. KGTR... KMEI...AND KHBG. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING...
BECOMING LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT WITH PATCHY FOG COULD AGAIN REDUCE
CATEGORIES TO MVFR STATUS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       85  64  91  70 /   9   6   8  23
MERIDIAN      86  62  91  68 /  17  11  10  18
VICKSBURG     87  64  90  68 /   4   7   5  28
HATTIESBURG   89  66  92  70 /  17   8   2  10
NATCHEZ       86  66  88  71 /   3   4   2  13
GREENVILLE    84  65  89  71 /  10   7   7  50
GREENWOOD     82  63  89  70 /  14   7  10  44

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

19/15

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
411 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
120915-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
411 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

19

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!