Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 30, NWS Jackson, MS

April 5, 2014Clay County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Apr 5, 2014, 9:25 AM CDT for Clay County, Mississippi. It took effect at Apr 8, 2014, 6:24 AM CDT. It was in force for 62 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 5, 2014, 9:25 AM CDT (14:25 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 8, 2014, 6:24 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 10, 2014, 8:47 PM CDT
In force
62 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Clay County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tibbee Creek near Tibbee (TBBM6).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
23 ft
Moderate stage
28 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02441000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

387 
WGUS44 KJAN 051425
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014


...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI INCLUDING 48 HOURS FUTURE RAINFALL... 

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY
  PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY
  TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY
  YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR KOSCIUSKO AFFECTING ATTALA COUNTY
  YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY
  PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON AFFECTING HINDS AND RANKIN COUNTIES

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY


SYNOPSIS...

HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS ABOUT TO BEGIN ACROSS THE PEARL RIVER BASIN AND
PORTIONS OF THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER BASIN. 48 HOURS OF FUTURE RAINFALL HAVE
BEEN INCLUDED IN THE RIVER FORECASTS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ACROSS FROM THE SOUTH 
SATURDAY NIGHT AS DEEP MOISTURE SURGES NORTHWARD FROM A STALLED 
FRONT NEAR THE COAST. LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT ON 
SUNDAY AND MOVE IN THE VICINITY OF THE NATCHEZ TRACE WHILE DEEPENING 
SIGNIFICANTLY. DEEP AND IMPRESSIVE LIFT WILL CREATE A VERY EFFICIENT 
ENVIRONMENT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT 

SOILS ARE VERY WET DUE TO THE RECENT RAINFALL AND MANY RIVERS ARE 
ELEVATED WITH A FEW FORECASTS POINTS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. RAINFALL 
WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 
THIS EVENT COULD PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING AND MINOR TO 
MODERATE RIVER FLOODING. 

KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST INFORMATION AS THIS SYSTEM EVOLVES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-062025-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0024.140407T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.140407T1400Z.140410T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MOST OF THE CAMPING AREAS IN BURNSIDE LAKE 
  WATER PARK ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATER.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER SOME OF THE LAKE 
  BURNSIDE WATER PARK CAMP AREAS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  12.2 SAT 09 AM  12.3  12.9  14.1  15.0 07 PM 04/09


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             


$$

MSC079-062025-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0025.140407T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.140407T1200Z.140410T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PEARL RIVER AT EDINBURG
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...WATER IS PARTIALLY COVERING SEVERAL COUNTY 
  ROADS AND DIRT ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THE LUMBER YARD DOWNSTREAM OF 
  STATE HIGHWAY 16 BRIDGE IS AFFECTED.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...MINOR OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING SOUTH 
  OF THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING SOUTH 
  OF THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
EDINBURG       20  17.9 SAT 09 AM  17.2  20.0  21.3 23.0 7AM 4/10         


&&

LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             

$$

MSC079-062025-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0026.140407T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.140407T0900Z.140409T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TUSCOLAMETA CREEK AT WALNUT GROVE
* FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE RIVER IS 
  FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOW AREAS ALONG AND 
  NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

TUSCOLAMETA CREEK
WALNUT GROVE   25  20.0 SAT 08 AM  20.8  25.7  26.8  27.0 07 PM 04/08


&&

LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             

$$

MSC007-062025-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0027.140408T1200Z-140409T0300Z/
/KSCM6.1.ER.140408T1200Z.140408T1200Z.140408T1200Z.NO/
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR KOSCIUSKO
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...WATER APPROACHES THE NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY 
  SOUTH OF KOSCIUSKO.  WATER FLOODS LOWLANDS NEAR AND   AROUND THE 
  PARKWAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR OVER BANK FLOODING NEAR THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

YOCKANOOKANY RIVER
KOSCIUSKO      15  11.3 SAT 09 AM  11.4  12.3  15.0  15.0 07 AM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3295 8972 3308 8964 3328 8945 3320 8933
      3305 8950 3293 8958             

$$

MSC079-062025-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0028.140409T1434Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.140409T1434Z.140410T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:45 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING OF FARMLAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

YOCKANOOKANY RIVER
OFAHOMA        19  14.8 SAT 09 AM  14.6  15.8  17.5 20.0 7AM 4/10          


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             

$$

MSC049-121-062025-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0029.140407T0451Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM6.1.ER.140407T0451Z.140410T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON
* FROM SUNDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW 
  EVENING  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...WATER BACKS UP INTO SEVERAL CREEKS AND 
  STREAMS IN THE JACKSON AREA.  WATER IS UNDER SOME HOMES NEAR THE 
  RIVER IN THE BYRAM AREA.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...FARMLAND IN SOUTHERN RANKIN COUNTY BEGINS TO
  FLOOD AND WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT HOMES NEAR THE RIVER IN THE BYRAM 
  AREA.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLAND NEAR THE RIVER IS 
  OCCURRING. WATER BEGINS TO BACK UP INTO SEVERAL CREEKS AND STREAMS 
  IN THE JACKSON AREA. 
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...ROADS NEAR THE RIVER IN LEFLEURS BLUFF STATE
  PARK BEGIN TO FLOOD.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER
JACKSON        28  24.2 SAT 08 AM  25.0  29.2  29.1 30.5 7AM 4/10

&&


LAT...LON 3193 9025 3212 9034 3243 9013 3237 9002
      3213 9020 3198 9012             

$$

MSC025-062024-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0030.140408T1600Z-140409T1559Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T1600Z.140409T0000Z.140409T0959Z.NO/
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  12.3 SAT 08 AM  15.2  17.6  22.6  23.3 07 PM 04/08


&&

LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             

$$

MSC103-062024-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0031.140407T0824Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.140407T0824Z.140408T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.1 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  15.1 SAT 09 AM  15.1  26.9  28.1  28.1 07 AM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             


$$
12 follow-up statements
330 
WGUS84 KJAN 060105
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
805 PM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-070705-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.140408T1720Z-140409T1300Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T1720Z.140409T0000Z.140409T0700Z.NO/
805 PM CDT SAT APR 5 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 7:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  12.7 SAT 07 PM  14.9  15.6  22.2  23.3 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-070705-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.140408T0340Z-140410T2100Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.140408T0340Z.140409T0000Z.140410T1500Z.NO/
805 PM CDT SAT APR 5 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* FROM MONDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.4 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  14.7 SAT 07 PM  15.4  19.5  27.8  28.4 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
198 
WGUS84 KJAN 061624
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1124 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2014



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 


SYNOPSIS...

HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT IS IN PROGRESS THIS MORNING. RAINFALL FROM 2 TO 5 
INCHES IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RAINFALL
OVER THE PAST WEEK...THIS COULD PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT RIVER AND FLASH
FLOODING ACROSS THE LOWER TOMBIGBEE TRIBUTARIES.

MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SURGE NORTHWARD FROM A STALLED FRONT NEAR THE COAST.
AN AREA OF MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. LOW PRESSURE FORMING ALONG THE STALLED
FRONT SOUTH OF GALVESTON TEXAS WILL TRACK THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
THROUGH THE YAZOO DELTA REGION OF MISSISSIPPI. DEEP AND IMPRESSIVE LIFT
WILL CREATE A VERY EFFICIENT ENVIRONMENT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

KEEP ABREAST OF UPDATED LATEST INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR ALL SITES.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-072224-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.140409T0000Z-140409T0600Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140409T0000Z.140409T0000Z.140409T0000Z.NO/
1124 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  12.8 SUN 10 AM  14.3  22.2  22.5  23.0 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             


$$

MSC103-072224-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.140408T0952Z-140410T0824Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.140408T0952Z.140409T0000Z.140410T0224Z.NO/
1124 AM CDT SUN APR 6 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.7 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  13.1 SUN 11 AM  16.0  26.6  27.2  27.7 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             

$$
629 
WGUS84 KJAN 062005
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
305 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS FOR TIBBEE CREEK...
LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-080205-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.140408T1040Z-140410T0000Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T1040Z.140409T0000Z.140409T1800Z.NO/
305 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  2:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.7 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  12.6 SUN 02 PM  15.3  23.2  23.4  23.7 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-080205-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.140408T0200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.140408T0200Z.140409T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
305 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* FROM MONDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  2:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW 
  EVENING  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  12.9 SUN 02 PM  16.9  28.7  29.3  29.5 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             


$$
456 
WGUS84 KJAN 070314
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1014 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-080914-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.140408T0600Z-140410T0430Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T0600Z.140409T0000Z.140409T2230Z.NO/
1014 PM CDT SUN APR 6 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  9:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 24.1 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  13.2 SUN 09 PM  15.8  23.7  23.7  24.1 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             

$$
544 
WGUS84 KJAN 071647
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1147 AM CDT MON APR 7 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-082247-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.140408T1800Z-140410T0000Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T1800Z.140409T0000Z.140409T1800Z.NO/
1147 AM CDT MON APR 7 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW 
  AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.1 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  18.5 MON 11 AM  22.8  23.1  22.3  23.1 07 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-082247-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.140407T1643Z-140412T0712Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.140407T0925Z.140408T1800Z.140412T0112Z.NO/
1147 AM CDT MON APR 7 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.5 FEET BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...FARM LAND NEAR THE RIVER WILL FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...LOW LAND NEAR THE RIVER IS FLOODED


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  28.7 MON 11 AM  30.4  29.6  28.3  30.5 01 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
799 
WGUS84 KJAN 080241
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
941 PM CDT MON APR 7 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-090841-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.140408T1124Z-140410T0200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T1124Z.140408T1800Z.140409T2000Z.NO/
941 PM CDT MON APR 7 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY EARLY 
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  20.8 MON 08 PM  23.1  23.3  22.1  23.3 01 PM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-090841-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140412T1030Z/
/MCNM6.1.ER.140407T0925Z.140408T1200Z.140412T0430Z.NO/
941 PM CDT MON APR 7 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...AGRICULTURE FLOODING IS OCCURRING NEAR THE 
  RIVER

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  31.4 MON 09 PM  32.0  30.3  28.5  32.0 07 AM 04/08


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
413 
WGUS84 KJAN 081421
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
921 AM CDT TUE APR 8 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-092021-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140410T1647Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T0720Z.140409T0000Z.140410T1047Z.NO/
921 AM CDT TUE APR 8 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.1 FEET AND RISING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO A CREST NEAR 24.9 FEET
  BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  24.1 TUE  8 AM  24.6  22.9  18.7  24.9  7 PM  4/8

&&

LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             

$$

DL
385 
WGUS84 KJAN 090216
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
916 PM CDT TUE APR 8 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-100816-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140410T1930Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T0720Z.140409T0100Z.140410T1330Z.NO/
916 PM CDT TUE APR 8 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOODING IN LOW AREAS ON THE LEFT BANK IS 
  OCCURRING

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  25.0 TUE 08 PM  24.4  23.1  18.7     CRESTING


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-100816-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140413T0824Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.140407T0925Z.140408T1845Z.140413T0224Z.NO/
916 PM CDT TUE APR 8 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...FLOOD WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT SOME 
  BUSINESSES LOCATED ONE MILE SOUTH OF MACON.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  33.2 TUE 09 PM  32.0  29.6  28.3     FALLING


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
343 
WGUS84 KJAN 091602
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1102 AM CDT WED APR 9 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-102202-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140411T0640Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T0720Z.140409T0345Z.140411T0040Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT WED APR 9 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25 FEET AND AND SLOWLY FALLING. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  25.0 WED 10 AM  24.0  20.5  14.5      CRESTED 

&&

LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             

$$

DL
526 
WGUS84 KJAN 100124
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
824 PM CDT WED APR 9 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-110724-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140411T1300Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T0720Z.140409T0345Z.140411T0700Z.NO/
824 PM CDT WED APR 9 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  24.8 WED 07 PM  24.4  22.5  18.0     FALLING


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-110723-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140412T1930Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.140407T0925Z.140408T1845Z.140412T1330Z.NO/
824 PM CDT WED APR 9 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  31.6 WED 08 PM  30.8  27.8  26.1     FALLING


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
655 
WGUS84 KJAN 101507
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1007 AM CDT THU APR 10 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON AFFECTING NOXUBEE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS FOR ALL SITES. 48 HOURS 
QPF IS ROUTINELY USED FOR TIBBEE CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...THE 
NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGEE RIVER.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-110742-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140411T0742Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T0720Z.140409T0345Z.140411T0142Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT THU APR 10 2014


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...FLOOD WATER IS COVERING THE GRAVEL ROAD 
  SOUTH OF WEST POINT THAT LEADS TO THE TIBBEE CREEK BRIDGE NEAR 
  TIBBEE

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  23.8 THU 09 AM  21.6  15.3  10.6    FALLING          


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-112107-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-140414T0130Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.140407T0925Z.140408T1845Z.140413T1930Z.NO/
1007 AM CDT THU APR 10 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOXUBEE RIVER AT MACON
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 31.8 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...AGRICULTURE FLOODING IS OCCURRING NEAR THE 
  RIVER.


&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

NOXUBEE RIVER
MACON          26  31.5 THU 10 AM  30.5  28.2  26.6  31.8 01 PM 04/10


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
386 
WGUS84 KJAN 110148
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
847 PM CDT THU APR 10 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF 
VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD 
RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

THE FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH 
IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-110217-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-140411T0742Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.140408T0720Z.140409T0345Z.140410T2346Z.NO/
847 PM CDT THU APR 10 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TIBBEE CREEK NEAR TIBBEE.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.8 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  6:46 PM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 15.1 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST TIME  DATE

TIBBEE CREEK
TIBBEE         23  22.8 THU 08 PM  21.7  15.1  11.8    FALLING


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 5, 4:17 AM CDT, 5 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 5, 4:17 AM CDT, 5 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
417 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

...HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THE PRIMARY CONCERN
CONTINUES TO BE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING SUNDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH SOME RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS.

THE COLD FRONT THAT TREKKED THROUGH THE REGION YESTERDAY IS NOW
LOCATED OFF THE GULF COAST. IT WILL REMAIN STALLED HERE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER MISSOURI WILL HAVE
A BRIEF HOLD OF OUR WEATHER THROUGH TODAY...WHICH WILL KEEP MOST
LOCATIONS DRY THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY. MID LEVEL FLOW WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. THROUGH THE COURSE OF TODAY...MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE OVER THE REGION WITH PW VALUES BY LATE AFTERNOON REACHING
1.3-1.5 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHILE DRIER AIR WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE I-20 CORRIDOR AND NORTH. SOME SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THIS MOISTURE RIDES OVER THE STALLED
BOUNDARY BUT THIS WILL MOSTLY BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTH. QPF AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT THERE WILL BE AN UPTICK IN SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY STARTING THIS EVENING AND RAMPING UP EVEN MORE
FOR SUNDAY. AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTH...PRECIPITATION
WILL INCREASE OVER THE REGION WITH MODELS PAINTING GREATEST COVERAGE
AFTER 03-06Z TONIGHT WITH QPF AMOUNTS GENERALLY AROUND AN INCH.
ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BE A PRESENT WITH THIS ACTIVITY AND
SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. AS RAIN OVERSPREADS
THE REGION...A SFC LOW WILL START TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ALONG THE
STALLED BOUNDARY. THIS LOW WILL TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
DAY ON SUNDAY TOWARD THE ARKLAMISS REGION. AS THIS OCCURS...THE
BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT...PLACING MUCH OF THE AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR.

COPIOUS MOISTURE AND DEEP LIFT FROM THE APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH IMPETUS FOR EFFICIENT RAINFALL TO OCCUR
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. PW VALUES INCREASE ON SUNDAY TO 1.6-1.8
INCHES...WHICH IS 2-3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. THIS IS THE TIME PERIOD WHERE WE EXPECT THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING. THE BEST LOCATION
FOR THIS TO OCCUR WILL GENERALLY BE ALONG AND SOUTH LINE FROM
BASTROP TO GRENADA WHERE 2-4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE AND LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED TODAY FOR
SOME PORTION OF THIS AREA DURING THIS TIME.

FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT THE 1000MB SFC LOW WILL
TRACK UP THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA AND WILL BE INTO WESTERN
TENNESSEE BY 12Z MONDAY...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ALONG WITH IT. ALONG
WITH THE FLOODING POTENTIAL...THERE WILL ALSO BE A SEVERE POTENTIAL
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF THE TRACK OF THE LOW(VERY ROUGHLY THE
NATCHEZ TRACE CORRIDOR). AS WAS THE CASE WITH LAST NIGHTS MODEL
RUNS...LAPSE RATES REMAIN ON THE WEAK SIDE BUT THERE REMAINS PLENTY
OF SHEAR(40-45KTS OF 0-1KM SHEAR AND 50-60KTS OF 0-6KM SHEAR) AND
PLENTY OF HELICITY(350-400 M2/S2 0-1KM AND 350-500 M2/S2 0-3KM WHICH
IS MAXIMIZED OVER EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI) THAT SHOULD COMBINE WITH
SUFFICIENT FORCING TO BRING SEVERE STORMS. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE
FROM DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES. WITH SUCH STRONG WIND AND
HELICITY PRESENT...I CANT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG
TORNADO IN THE EAST AS WELL BUT I AM NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH IN THIS TO
RAISE THE SEVERE RISK IN THE HWO BUT WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT BOTH
THE FLOODING AND SEVERE RISKS.

CONTINUED THE TREND OF RAISING GUIDANCE POPS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT GIVEN HIGH CONFIDENCE IN RAIN. DID LOWER POPS
FOR TODAY ESPECIALLY ACROSS LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-20 AND KEPT CHANCE
POPS IN THE SOUTH. /28/

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AS WE START THE WORK WEEK WE
WILL HAVE A RATHER AMPLIFIED PATTERN OVER THE CONUS. SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES IN THIS PATTERN WILL AFFECT THE REGION. THE FIRST ONE WILL
BE THE ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE FOR THE WEEKEND SYSTEM WHICH WILL BRING
SOME SHOWERS IN FOR MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIFT OUT AS ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE DIGS DOWN AT THE BASE OF THE UPPER COLD CORE TROUGH OVER
THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS FOR MONDAY NIGHT.
AS WE GO INTO TUESDAY WE GET SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITH SOME
DECENT LAPSE RATES FOR SOME CONVECTION DURING THE DAY. THERE MAY BE
SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME HAIL WITH SOME OF THE CONVECTION. THIS WAS
NOTED BY BOTH THE EURO AND GFS MODELS. THE EURO SHOWED BETTER LOW
LEVEL CAPES OF AROUND 800-1000 J/KG. THE AXIS OF THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION BY TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE LAST OF THE
SHOWERS EXITS THE REGION TUESDAY EVENING. FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK
THE PATTERN WILL DEAMPLIFY AS ZONAL PATTERN DEVELOPS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CONUS. A SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST WE
MOVE TOWARD THE WEEKEND. THIS MAY BRING SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR
SATURDAY. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERN STUCK GENERALLY CLOSE TO
MEX GUIDANCE. AS FAR AS POPS ARE CONCERN WENT CLOSE TO A BLEND OF MEX
AND GMOS POPS FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. THE MODELS DID TRY TO
PUT IN SOME LIGHT POPS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH CAPPING IN THE
WARM SECTOR. WENT CLOSE TO GUIDANCE FOR SATURDAY POPS./17/

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ONGOING THIS MORNING EXCEPT FOR IN THE
SOUTH WHERE SOME MVFR CEILINGS COULD AFFECT HBG THROUGH DAYBREAK.
CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM
BUT SHOULD REMAIN VFR UNTIL LATER TONIGHT(AFTER 00Z) AS RAIN
INCREASING ACROSS THE REGION. /28/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       66  49  65  60 /  12  92 100 100
MERIDIAN      68  50  65  61 /  19  92 100 100
VICKSBURG     65  51  65  57 /  19  90 100 100
HATTIESBURG   70  55  70  65 /  37  91 100 100
NATCHEZ       65  51  68  60 /  34  92 100 100
GREENVILLE    62  46  63  54 /  10  78 100  96
GREENWOOD     64  46  66  56 /  10  78 100 100

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

28/17
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 5, 5:11 AM CDT, 4 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
511 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
061015-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
511 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WE ARE CONFIDENT IN HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING FOR LOCATIONS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A BASTROP TO GRENADA LINE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH CAN LEAD TO FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING ISSUES. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THESE LOCATIONS.

IN ADDITION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 60 MPH WIND
GUSTS AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST
OF A NATCHEZ TO CANTON TO MACON LINE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT.

28

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 5, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba7 days
Apr 5, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake16 days
Apr 5, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake5 days
Apr 5, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala5 days
Apr 5, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake15 days
Apr 5, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Rankin17 days
Apr 5, 9:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANNoxubee15 days
Apr 5, 10:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson20 days
Apr 5, 10:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANMarion22 days
Apr 5, 10:41 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANSimpson5 days
Apr 5, 11:16 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANJones6 days
Apr 5, 11:16 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANClarke6 days
Apr 5, 3:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchJANAdams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 41 more40 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.