River Flood Warning 23, NWS Northern Indiana

640 
WGUS83 KIWX 121448
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1048 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE AFFECTING 
  ALLEN COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND 
  ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES 
 
.FLOODING CONTINUES AS SIGNIFCANT SNOW MELT HAS OCCURRED ACROSS THE
AREA OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC091-141-149-131448-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DAVI3.1.SM.140312T1627Z.140313T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
948 AM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING 
  AND CREST NEAR 10.5 FEET AROUND  1 AM THURSDAY MARCH 13. ADDITIONAL
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4145 8667 4144 8661 4130 8673 4131 8679
      4143 8670                       

$$

OHC039-069-131448-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140315T1200Z/
/DEFO1.1.ER.140312T1230Z.140313T1200Z.140314T1200Z.NO/
1048 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 10.9 FEET AROUND  8 
  AM THURSDAY MARCH 13 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  8 AM FRIDAY
  MARCH 14.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN KINGSBURY AND PONTIAC PARKS.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 8465 4127 8467 4131 8431 4128 8431


$$

INC003-131448-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140313T1511Z/
/ROOI3.1.ER.140312T0233Z.140312T0415Z.140312T1511Z.NO/
1048 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 12.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND 11 AM WEDNESDAY MARCH 12.
* AT 12.0 FEET...LOWLAND AND FARMLAND FLOODING NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS.


&&

LAT...LON 4118 8507 4118 8506 4118 8505 4117 8505
      4117 8506                       

$$

728 
WGUS83 KIWX 130242
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1041 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA AFFECTING FULTON...KOSCIUSKO...MARSHALL...
  PULASKI AND STARKE COUNTIES 
  KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND ST.
  JOSEPH COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE AFFECTING 
  ALLEN COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE AFFECTING ALLEN...DE KALB 
  AND DEFIANCE COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS
  COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT SNOWMELT IS CAUSING ELEVATED RIVER LEVEL ACROSS THE AREA. 
MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED OR IS OCCURRING AT CERTAIN LOCATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC049-085-099-131-149-140241-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0025.140314T0000Z-140317T1200Z/
/ORAI3.1.SM.140314T0000Z.140314T1200Z.140316T1200Z.NO/
1041 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE TIPPECANOE RIVER NEAR ORA
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING TO MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING  
  AND CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET AROUND  2 PM FRIDAY MARCH 14 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  8 AM SUNDAY MARCH 16.
* AT 12.0 FEET...THE RIVER IS AT FLOOD STAGE...SIGNIFICANT LOWLAND 
  AND RURAL FLOODING BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4109 8658 4116 8660 4117 8656 4117 8653
      4115 8657 4108 8655             

$$

INC091-141-149-140241-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-140318T1200Z/
/DAVI3.1.SM.140316T1800Z.140316T1800Z.140317T1200Z.NO/
941 PM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  1 PM 
  SUNDAY MARCH 16.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4145 8667 4144 8661 4130 8673 4131 8679
      4143 8670                       

$$

OHC039-069-140240-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140315T1400Z/
/DEFO1.1.SM.140312T1230Z.140313T0200Z.140314T1400Z.NO/
1041 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 10.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY MARCH 14.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 8465 4127 8467 4131 8431 4128 8431


$$

INC003-033-OHC039-140240-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0026.140314T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLI3.1.SM.140314T0000Z.140317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* AT 12.0 FEET...DEKALB COUNTY ROAD 42 ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
  NEWVILLE FLOODS. AGRICULTURAL AND LOW LANDS FLOOD ALONG THE ST. 
  JOSEPH RIVER TO THE CEDARVILLE RESERVOIR.

&&

LAT...LON 4126 8498 4140 8481 4139 8478 4123 8493


$$

INC003-140240-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140316T1800Z/
/ROOI3.1.SM.140312T0233Z.140313T1800Z.140315T1800Z.NO/
1041 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 13.3 FEET AROUND  2 
  PM THURSDAY MARCH 13 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  2 PM 
  SATURDAY MARCH 15.

&&

LAT...LON 4118 8507 4118 8506 4118 8505 4117 8505
      4117 8506                       

$$

OHC039-051-171-140240-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STRO1.1.SM.140313T0130Z.140315T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET AROUND  2 
  PM SATURDAY MARCH 15 AND BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...PORTIONS OF STATE ROUTE 66 FLOOD NORTH OF ARCHBOLD.

&&

LAT...LON 4130 8444 4149 8446 4159 8439 4159 8429
      4130 8438                       

$$

260 
WGUS83 KIWX 131523
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1123 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND ST.
  JOSEPH COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE AFFECTING ALLEN...DE KALB AND
  DEFIANCE COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE AFFECTING 
  ALLEN COUNTY 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS 
  COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT SNOWMELT IS CAUSING ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA. 
MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED OR IS OCCURRING AT CERTAIN LOCATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC091-141-149-141523-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-140318T0600Z/
/DAVI3.1.SM.140317T0000Z.140317T0000Z.140317T0600Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 PM 
  SUNDAY MARCH 16.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4145 8667 4144 8661 4130 8673 4131 8679
      4143 8670                       

$$

OHC039-069-141523-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140315T2000Z/
/DEFO1.1.SM.140312T1230Z.140313T0800Z.140314T2000Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 10.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  4 PM FRIDAY MARCH 14.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 8465 4127 8467 4131 8431 4128 8431


$$

INC003-033-OHC039-141523-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0026.140315T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLI3.1.SM.140315T0000Z.140317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE
* FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING  
  AND CREST NEAR 12.2 FEET AROUND  2 AM MONDAY MARCH 17. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 12.0 FEET...DEKALB COUNTY ROAD 42 ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
  NEWVILLE FLOODS. AGRICULTURAL AND LOW LANDS FLOOD ALONG THE ST. 
  JOSEPH RIVER TO THE CEDARVILLE RESERVOIR.

&&

LAT...LON 4126 8498 4140 8481 4139 8478 4123 8493


$$

INC003-141523-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-140315T0600Z/
/ROOI3.1.SM.140312T0233Z.140313T0230Z.140314T0600Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO NEAR ST. JOE RIVER FORT WAYNE
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 12.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  2 AM FRIDAY MARCH 14.
* AT 12.0 FEET...LOWLAND AND FARMLAND FLOODING NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4118 8507 4118 8506 4118 8505 4117 8505
      4117 8506                       

$$

OHC039-051-171-141523-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140318T2100Z/
/STRO1.1.SM.140313T0130Z.140315T1200Z.140317T2100Z.NO/
1123 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.0 FEET AROUND  8 
  AM SATURDAY MARCH 15 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  5 PM MONDAY
  MARCH 17.
* AT 12.0 FEET...PORTIONS OF STATE ROUTE 66 FLOOD NORTH OF ARCHBOLD.

&&

LAT...LON 4130 8444 4149 8446 4159 8439 4159 8429
      4130 8438                       

$$

086 
WGUS83 KIWX 140154
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
954 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS 
  COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND 
  ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT SNOWMELT IS CAUSING ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC091-141-149-150154-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-140318T0600Z/
/DAVI3.1.SM.140317T0000Z.140317T0000Z.140317T0600Z.NO/
854 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 PM 
  SUNDAY MARCH 16.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4145 8667 4144 8661 4130 8673 4131 8679
      4143 8670                       

$$

OHC039-069-150153-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140316T1200Z/
/DEFO1.1.SM.140312T1230Z.140313T2300Z.140315T1200Z.NO/
954 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 10.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  8 AM SATURDAY MARCH 15.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 8465 4127 8467 4131 8431 4128 8431


$$

OHC039-051-171-150153-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140319T1800Z/
/STRO1.1.SM.140313T0130Z.140316T0000Z.140318T1800Z.NO/
954 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET AROUND  8 
  AM SUNDAY MARCH 16 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  2 PM TUESDAY 
  MARCH 18.
* AT 12.0 FEET...PORTIONS OF STATE ROUTE 66 FLOOD NORTH OF ARCHBOLD.

&&

LAT...LON 4130 8444 4149 8446 4159 8439 4159 8429
      4130 8438                       

$$

783 
WGUS83 KIWX 141503
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1103 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND ST.
  JOSEPH COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS 
  COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT SNOWMELT IS CAUSING ELEVATED RIVER LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC091-141-149-151503-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-140318T0000Z/
/DAVI3.1.SM.140316T1800Z.140320T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1003 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 9 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
  AND CREST NEAR 10.1 FEET AROUND  1 AM THURSDAY MARCH 20 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  7 PM SUNDAY MARCH 16.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4145 8667 4144 8661 4130 8673 4131 8679
      4143 8670                       

$$

OHC039-069-151502-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140315T1701Z/
/DEFO1.1.SM.140312T1230Z.140313T2300Z.140314T1701Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 10.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  1 PM FRIDAY MARCH 14.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS IN KINGSBURY AND PONTIAC PARKS.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 8465 4127 8467 4131 8431 4128 8431


$$

OHC039-051-171-151502-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-140320T0600Z/
/STRO1.1.SM.140313T0130Z.140316T1200Z.140319T0600Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.0 FEET AROUND  8 
  AM SUNDAY MARCH 16 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  2 AM 
  WEDNESDAY MARCH 19.
* AT 12.0 FEET...PORTIONS OF STATE ROUTE 66 FLOOD NORTH OF ARCHBOLD.

&&

LAT...LON 4130 8444 4149 8446 4159 8439 4159 8429
      4130 8438                       

$$

561 
WGUS83 KIWX 150222
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1022 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND ST.
  JOSEPH COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS 
  COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT PRECIPITATION AND SNOWMELT HAS CAUSED MINOR FLOODING ALONG
AREA RIVERS.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.

ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED IN 
ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER IF NECESSARY.

&&

INC091-141-149-160222-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-140322T0600Z/
/DAVI3.1.SM.140316T0600Z.140317T0600Z.140321T0600Z.NO/
922 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30
* UNTIL SATURDAY MARCH 22.
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE VERY EARLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.2 FEET AROUND  1 AM MONDAY MARCH 17 AND 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  1 AM FRIDAY MARCH 21.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING AGRICULTURAL AREAS BEGINS.

&&

LAT...LON 4145 8667 4144 8661 4130 8673 4131 8679
      4143 8670                       

$$

OHC039-069-160221-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140316T0551Z/
/DEFO1.1.SM.140312T1230Z.140315T0100Z.140315T0551Z.NO/
1022 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 10.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  1 AM SATURDAY MARCH 15.
* AT 12.3 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS ON AUGLAIZE AND EAST FRONT STREETS 
  AND IN THE REAR OF THE BUILDING AT LEEVER GLASS.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 8465 4127 8467 4131 8431 4128 8431


$$

OHC039-051-171-160221-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STRO1.1.SM.140313T0130Z.140318T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2014

 THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR
  THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.4 FEET AROUND  8 
  AM TUESDAY MARCH 18 AND BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 12.0 FEET...PORTIONS OF STATE ROUTE 66 FLOOD NORTH OF ARCHBOLD.

&&

LAT...LON 4130 8444 4149 8446 4159 8439 4159 8429
      4130 8438                       

$$

720 
WGUS83 KIWX 151342
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
942 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES
 
THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS HIGH WATER EVENT.

OHC039-069-151412-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-140316T0551Z/
/DEFO1.1.SM.140312T1230Z.140315T0100Z.140315T0341Z.NO/
942 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* AT 9 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LAST NIGHT.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO NEAR 9.4 FEET AROUND  2 PM 
  SATURDAY MARCH 15.

&&

LAT...LON 4121 8465 4127 8467 4131 8431 4128 8431


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
940 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 930 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO INFILTRATE THE REGION LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EAST FROM THE
PLAINS AND INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA OVERNIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
RAIN TO THE REGION THAT WILL TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH
BLOWING SNOW AS THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA DURING
THE DAY.

&&

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 930 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC INDICATING PRECIP FILLING IN ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SEEMINGLY VERY WELL CO-
LOCATED WITH AXIS OF STRONG 800 HPA FRONTOGENESIS PER NAM/RAP. THIS
AREA OF PRECIP SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST...AND AFFECT
FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ELEVATED LAPSE RATES ARE RELATIVELY STEEP AND NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION FOR AN ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER. FURTHER
SOUTHWEST...LOW LEVEL THETAE ADVECTION FORCING AT NOSE OF LOW
LEVEL JET SHOULD SUPPORT CONTINUED ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS
CENTRAL ILLINOIS WHICH SHOULD EVENTUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT. IN TERMS OF PTYPE TRENDS...A
LITTLE CONCERN BASED ON CURRENT OBSERVATIONS OF SHALLOW WARM LAYER
DELAYING CHANGEOVER TO SNOW. HOWEVER WITH DEEPENING OF SFC WAVE
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS IN RESPONSE TO POTENT CENTRAL
PLAINS VORT KICKING EAST...LOW LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES SHOULD RAMP
UP SIGNIFICANTLY WHICH SHOULD BEGIN TO AID IN PROFILES MORE
FAVORABLE FOR SNOW. CURRENT FORECAST THINKING IS THAT MORE
ELEVATED FGEN FORCING ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT TO THE SOUTHWEST SHOULD TEND TO CONGEAL IN LARGE
PRECIP SHIELD OVERNIGHT AS UPPER FORCING/DYNAMICS INCREASE. HAVE
NOT MADE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST...WITH JUST SOME
SLIGHT SLOWING LATE THIS EVENING OF PTYPE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW AND
POP RAMP UP. DID ADD SLIGHT CHANCE TS ACROSS THE SOUTH THROUGH
PORTIONS OF OVERNIGHT HOURS AS PLUME OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ADVECTS INTO THE AREA. NO CHANGES MADE TO WINTER STORM WARNING
HEADLINES AT THIS TIME...WITH GREATEST IMPACTS STILL EXPECTED IN
THE 09Z-16Z TIMEFRAME.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 406 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

MUCH TO DISCUSS THIS AFTERNOON AS ALL EYES ON IMPENDING WINTER STORM
SET TO IMPACT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW. LATEST
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE RELEVANT SYNOPTIC PLAYERS WELL WITH A
PRONOUNCED TROUGH EXITING THE ROCKIES AND AN ACTIVE NORTHERN STREAM
JET AXIS SNAKED ACROSS CANADA. JET STREAK DIVING ACROSS SASKATCHEWAN
WILL CARVE OUT A RESPECTABLE PV ANOMALY OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST
TONIGHT THAT WILL PHASE WITH THE EJECTING ROCKIES TROUGH. THE PHASED
LEAD WAVE WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AS IT CROSSES THE OHIO VALLEY WITH A
SHARP REGION OF CONSOLIDATED HEIGHT FALLS DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA.
COUPLED UPPER LEVEL JET STREAKS...150+ KTS IN THE NORTHERN
JET...WILL RESULT IN A STRONG AGEOSTROPHIC RESPONSE/TIGHTENING
THERMAL GRADIENT BY LATER TONIGHT. BAROCLINIC ZONE ALREADY CLEARLY
EVIDENT OVER THE REGION WITH TEMPS APPROACHING 70F IN CENTRAL
INDIANA AND MID 40S ACROSS MICHIGAN. THERMAL ADVECTIONS
UNDER COUPLED UPPER LEVEL JET WILL FURTHER TIGHTEN THIS LOW LEVEL
TEMPERATURE GRADIENT AND RESULT IN A MARKED INCREASE IN
FRONTOGENESIS OVER A RELATIVELY DEEP LAYER BY LATE TONIGHT. 290-295K
ISENTROPIC FIELDS INDICATE STRONG SYSTEM RELATIVE ASCENT BEGINNING
SHORTLY AFTER 06Z WITH AMPLE MOISTURE ADVECTION LEADING TO A QUICK
SATURATION OF INITIALLY DRY LOW LEVELS. IN FACT...MIXING RATIOS IN
THE 290-295K LAYER REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 4 G/KG FOR MUCH OF THE
EVENT...ESPECIALLY IN OUR SOUTHEAST...SUGGESTING NO SHORTAGE OF
AVAILABLE MOISTURE.

AS ONE CAN ALREADY TELL...THIS IS A HIGHLY DYNAMIC SYSTEM...PROBABLY
ONE OF THE MOST DYNAMIC SYSTEMS OF THE WINTER SO FAR. COUPLED UPPER
LEVEL JET STREAKS AND A CLASSIC PHASED WAVE EVENT WILL BE FURTHER
AIDED BY INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER TROPOSPHERE. DECREASED STABILITY WILL ALLOW THE UPPER PV
ANOMALY TO FULLY "CONNECT" WITH THE LOWER LEVEL FORCING AND LEAD TO
A VERY DEEP LAYER OF STRONG UVM. MODEL CROSS SECTIONS EVEN BEGIN TO
SHOW A DIABATIC RESPONSE IN THE LOWER LEVEL PV FIELDS THAT WOULD
ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO STRENGTHEN AT AN ACCELERATED RATE IN WHAT
ESSENTIALLY BECOMES A POSITIVE FEEDBACK LOOP. DECREASED STABILITY AS
MEASURED BY BOTH NEGATIVE EPV AND NEGATIVE THETA-E LAPSE RATES IS
SEEN TO DEVELOP IN MOST OF THE LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS...SUGGESTING
AN EFFICIENT RESPONSE TO THE LOWER LEVEL FGEN AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
SLANTWISE...OR EVEN UPRIGHT...CONVECTION. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
IF AREAS DOWNSTREAM OF OUR CWA WITNESS A FEW POCKETS OF
THUNDERSNOW AND IT MAY BE POSSIBLE IN OUR CWA AS WELL IF THE
SYSTEM STRENGTHENS FAST ENOUGH. TROWAL AXIS WILL REALLY BEGIN TO
TAKE SHAPE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AFTER INITIAL SLUG OF
WARM/MOIST AIR ADVECTION. STRONG LOW/MIDLEVEL DEFORMATION ON THE
NORTHWEST FLANK OF ~985MB SURFACE CYCLONE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE
SNOW OVER OUR EASTERN COUNTIES FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.

THE VERY HEALTHY DYNAMICS OF THIS EVENT DO NOT NECESSARILY EQUATE TO
A "SLAM DUNK" WARNING DECISION THOUGH. FINAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON SURFACE (AND SUB-SURFACE) THERMAL PROFILES AT
THE ONSET OF THE EVENT. TEMPS ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 60F ACROSS OUR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES AND EXPECT SOIL TEMPERATURES MODERATED SOMEWHAT
UNDER STRONG MARCH SUN AND LIMITED SNOWCOVER. LATEST FORECAST
SOUNDINGS/THERMAL PROFILES INDICATE A QUICK CHANGEOVER TO SNOW BY
THE MORNING HOURS BUT EXPECT A FAIR AMOUNT OF MELTING TO OCCUR AT
THE ONSET. SNOW RATIOS WILL VARY SUBSTANTIALLY FROM THE BEGINNING TO
THE END OF THE EVENT. INITIALLY...MAX OMEGA VALUES ARE FOCUSED IN A
DEEP LAYER OF -10 TO 0C TEMPS AND WARM GROUND WILL GENERATE VERY LOW
RATIOS FOR THE BULK OF THE EVENT. CAA WILL EVENTUALLY LEAD TO BETTER
DENDRITE PRODUCTION ON THE TAIL END OF THE STORM BUT OVERALL EXPECT
SNOW RATIOS TO TREND ON THE LOWER SIDE OF CLIMO. WITH THAT BEING
SAID...EXPECT SNOWFALL RATES MAY STILL REACH 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR IN
THE HEAVIER BANDS GIVEN STRENGTH OF UPWARD FORCING AND DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION ALOFT. THESE RATES WILL LIKELY OVERCOME ANY SURFACE
WARM LAYER QUICKLY AND ALLOW SNOW TO ACCUMULATE EFFICIENTLY WITH
STORM TOTALS IN THE 5-9 INCH RANGE. OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES MAY TAKE
LONGER TO START ACCUMULATING SNOW BUT LONGER EXPOSURE TO THE
TROWAL/DEFORMATION AXIS ON WEDNESDAY APPEARS TO OFFSET THIS AND
EXPECT EVEN OUR FAR SOUTHEAST TO AT LEAST APPROACH 6 INCHES OF SNOW.
EVEN IF SOME AREAS FALL JUST SHORT OF WARNING CRITERIA...STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 35 MPH WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS IN THE FORM OF TRAVEL DISRUPTION FROM DRIFTING SNOW AND
POTENTIAL POWER OUTAGES FROM INITIALLY VERY HEAVY...WET SNOW. AS
SUCH...DECIDED TO UPGRADE THE ENTIRE CWA TO A WINTER STORM WARNING
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 406 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

WKNG GRADIENT AND CLEARING SKIES ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING INTO THE AREA WED NIGHT COMBINED WITH NEW SNOW COVER SHOULD
RESULT IN BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLING/STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING.
STAYED CLOSE TO PREVIOUS FCST AND UNDERCUT 12Z MOS GUIDANCE GIVEN
FRESH SNOWCOVER AND SOME DETRIMENTAL CLIMATOLOGICAL BIAS PSBL AT
THIS TIME RANGE WHEN LOWS FORECAST NEAR RECORDS.

RATHER STRONG WAA THU AS RIDGE MOVES TO THE EAST... HWVR SFC WAA
SHOULD BE TEMPERED BY CLOUD COVER WITH A STOUT SFC BASED INVERSION
PERSISTING THROUGH THE DAY WHICH SHOULD KEEP HIGHS IN THE 20S OVER
MOST OF THE AREA. LAST COUPLE OF RUNS OF THE NAM HAVE SATURATED DEEP
ENOUGH LAYER TO PRODUCE SOME LIGHT PRECIP OVER MI/NRN INDIANA IN THE
LOW LEVEL WAA REGIME IN THE AFTN... BUT IS AN OUTLIER IN THIS REGARD
SO MAINTAINED DRY FCST ATTM.

CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TO MOVE E-NE OF THE CWA THU NGT... BUT RATHER
STRONG SWLY GRADIENT SHOULD RESULT IN SLOWLY RISING TEMPS MUCH OF
THE NGT.

SHRTWV/CDFNT APCHG THE AREA FRIDAY SHOULD RESULT IN TEMPS RISING TO
NEAR NORMAL READINGS IN THE 40S. MODELS DIFFER ON PRECIP POTENTIAL
WITH FRONT... BUT ENOUGH SUPPORT FROM GFS TO CONT WITH LOW CHC OF
RAIN/SNOW FRI NGT...MAINLY SE. COLD AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THEN
EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SFC HIGH MOVES
ACROSS THE GRTLKS UNDER NW FLOW ALOFT.

ANOTHER SHRTWV IS EXPECTED TO DROP SE FROM WRN CANADA BY TUE.
CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCE IN 12Z GFS/ECMWF ON TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM
WITH GFS MOVG IT THROUGH THE UPR GRTLKS WHILE ECMWF TRACKS LOW
THROUGH THE OH VALLEY. GIVEN THE LARGE MODEL DIFFERENCES...
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THIS TIMEFRAME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 753 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

DETERIORATING AVIATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING AND
ESPECIALLY INTO THE OVERNIGHT. COMPLICATED FORECAST IN TERMS OF
PRECIP EVOLUTION WITH A PAIR OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES GRADUALLY
PHASING ACROSS THE REGION. NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE DROPPING
SOUTHEAST OUT OF SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA WILL LIKELY INDUCE MID LEVEL
FRONTOGENESIS ACROSS NORTHWEST/NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA LATER THIS
EVENING WHICH WILL SUPPORT EXPANDING AREA OF RAIN...EVENTUALLY
CHANGING TO SNOW AS COLDER AIR IS DRAWN SOUTHWARD. SOUTHERN STREAM
ACROSS KANSAS WILL APPROACH THE MID MS RVR VALLEY OVERNIGHT AND
STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THIS WAVE WILL ACT TO
SIGNIFICANTLY TIGHTEN LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS THAT SHOULD RESULT
IN PRECIP OVERSPREADING KFWA OVERNIGHT. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO
PREVIOUS FORECAST OF A NORTH TO SOUTH TRANSITION TO SNOW...WITH
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED AT KSBN IN THE 08Z-15Z TIMEFRAME AT
KSBN...AND FROM 10Z-17Z AT KFWA. IN ADDITION...DEEPENING SFC WAVE
SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL PROMOTE A VERY STRONG SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON
WITH SOME BLOWING SNOW. PERIODS OF LIFR CONDITIONS LIKELY TO
ACCOMPANY HEAVIER SNOW WITH GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT TO MVFR WEDNESDAY
MORNING AT KSBN...AND LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING AT
KFWA WITH LINGERING DEFORMATION SNOW PERSISTING.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR INZ008-
     009-013-015>018-020-022>027-032>034.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EDT /4 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR
     INZ003>007-012-014.

MI...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR MIZ077>081.

OH...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR OHZ004-
     005-015-016-024-025.

     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR OHZ001-002.

LM...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...MARSILI
SYNOPSIS...MARSILI
SHORT TERM...AGD
LONG TERM...JT
AVIATION...MARSILI

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX (ALL LOWER CASE)

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
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WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSNORTHERNINDIANA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
434 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-LMZ043-046-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-
002-004-005-015-016-024-025-122045-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-
DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
434 PM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014 /334 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN...NORTHERN INDIANA AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS
OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A
MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL
SNOW LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 5 TO 9 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AS NORTH WINDS STRENGTHEN. PLEASE
REFER TO THE WINTER WEATHER PRODUCT ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS (INDWSWIWX).

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE
BEGINNING TO TAPER. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PLEASE REFER TO THE WINTER WEATHER
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS (INDWSWIWX).

MELTING SNOW WILL CAUSE SOME RIVER RISES THROUGH THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE APPRECIATED
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX