Wind Chill Advisory 5, NWS Indianapolis, IN

Boone County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN

968 
WWUS43 KIND 110845
WSWIND

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
345 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014

...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS EARLY THIS MORNING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS...BRINGING VERY COLD TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING.

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-111400-
/O.CON.KIND.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140211T1400Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE
345 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES: LOWEST WIND CHILLS WILL BE FROM 15 TO 20 
  BELOW ZERO. 

* TIMING: EARLY THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS WILL
COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST
BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU
MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.

&&

$$

RYAN

952 
WWUS43 KIND 111355
WSWIND

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
855 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014


INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-111500-
/O.EXP.KIND.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-140211T1400Z/
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE
855 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

WIND CHILL VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RISE FOR THE REST OF THE
MORNING AS TEMPERATURES WARM UNDER SUNNY SKIES.

WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE ZERO TO 15 BELOW ZERO RANGE CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY.



$$

JAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
923 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

.UPDATE...
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 254 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THE WEATHER QUIET
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A SERIES OF POTENTIAL WEATHER
DISTURBANCES MAY AFFECT THE AREA FROM TIME TO TIME BY LATE THIS WEEK
AND ON INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
ISSUED AT 254 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

DRY WEATHER EXPECTED TONIGHT AS A LARGE COLD SURFACE HIGH SETTLES
INTO THE MIDWEST. MAY BE SOME THIN HIGH CLOUD PASSING THROUGH DURING
THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF THE NIGHT...BUT THAT WOULD BE ABOUT IT.

BASED ON LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES AND UPSTREAM TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING...APPEARS THE GFS MOS IS HAVING TROUBLE WITH THE SHALLOW
COLD AIR MASS. WILL SHAVE ABOUT 5-8 DEGREES OFF OF THE MOS LOWS
TONIGHT...AND THIS MAY NOT BE ENOUGH IN SOME OF THE COLDER
LOCATIONS. APPARENT TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO APPROACH ADVISORY
CRITERIA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BASED ON TEMPERATURES ALONE...AS VERY
LITTLE WIND IS EXPECTED. HEADLINES NOT PLANNED AT THIS TIME. WILL
WAIT AND SEE HOW THINGS EVOLVE LATER THIS EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
ISSUED AT 254 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

THE BEGINNING OF THIS PERIOD LOOKS QUIET AS A LARGE COLD SURFACE
HIGH SLOWLY DRIFTS OFF TO THE EAST. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...MODELS SUGGEST AN UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND GULF COAST
REGION...WITH A WEAKER NORTHERN STREAM WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES. OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE MODEL DATA AGREE ON KEEPING
THIS SOUTHERN WAVE SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA. MAJORITY OF MODEL DATA
ALSO KEEP THE NORTHERN STREAM WAVE DRY AS WELL...WITH ONLY A
COUPLE OF ENSEMBLES SUGGEST A PRECIPITATION THREAT WITH THIS WAVE.
WILL KEEP SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH ON
THURSDAY FOR NOW...OTHERWISE FORECAST WILL BE DRY.

APPEARS SURFACE RIDGE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE STATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...SO THE GFS MOS IS PROBABLY TOO WARM WITH THE LOWS TUESDAY
NIGHT. WILL CUT ABOUT 5 DEGREES OFF OF THE LOWS IN THAT PERIOD.
THE GUIDANCE HIGHS FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MAY ALSO BE ON THE
WARM SIDE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH. WILL NUDGE DOWN THE NUMBERS
SOME IN THOSE AREAS AS WELL.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ISSUED AT 254 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

A PROGRESSIVE QUASI-ZONAL FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL BE THE PATTERN
WITH SEVERAL SMALLER SYSTEMS TRACKING OUR REGION DURING THE LONG
TERM.  THE FIRST ONE A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO OUR REGION
AROUND FRIDAY...THE 2ND ONE LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AND THE
THIRD ONE BY LATE MONDAY.  MODELS INDICATE LIGHT PRECIP AMOUNTS FROM
THESE SYSTEMS.  MODEL LOW LEVEL THICKNESS INDICATE MIXED
PRECIPITATION ACROSS OUR SOUTH FROM THE FIRST TWO SYSTEMS WITH LIGHT
SNOW CENTRAL AND NORTH.  THE THIRD SYSTEM WILL BE MOSTLY RAIN...BUT
I WOULD RULE OUT A LITTLE MIXED PRECIP ACROSS OUR FAR NORTH.

OVERALL ALL BLEND TEMPERATURES SEEMED REASONABLE AND IT DID NOT
STRAY MORE THAN A COUPLE OF DEGREES FROM THEIR NUMBERS.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR 110000Z TAF UPDATE/...

ISSUED AT 922 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

0230Z UPDATE...NO CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
FOLLOWS.

VFR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE TO NORTHERN
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SKIES
WILL GENERALLY BE CLEAR AND WINDS LIGHT. WOULD NOT RULE OUT
ISOLATED POCKETS OF MVFR FOG EARLY TUESDAY DUE TO STRONG
RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH
TO INCLUDE THIS IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JAS
NEAR TERM...JAS
SHORT TERM...JAS
LONG TERM....JEH
AVIATION...SMF

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
540 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-112245-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
540 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: COLD CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

HAZARDS: SUBZERO LOW TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR TONIGHT...AND WIND
CHILLS WILL DIP INTO THE -5 TO -15 RANGE.

TIMING: COLDEST WIND CHILLS OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION: COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE
AREA TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

OUTLOOK: SUB ZERO WIND CHILLS ARE LIKELY AT TIMES FROM TUESDAY
MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SNOW CHANCES WILL
BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

DISCUSSION: A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MAY RETURN SNOW CHANCES TO THE AREA LATE
IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW
NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE WEEK...WITH SUBZERO READINGS POSSIBLE AT
TIMES THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)