River Flood Warning 217, NWS Indianapolis, IN

697 
WGUS83 KIND 061613
FLSIND
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1113 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2014

...The Flood Warning is no longer in effect for a portion of the
following river in Indiana...

  Wabash River...

.The Wabash River at Terre Haute is not expected to reach flood stage
in western Indiana as the heavier rainfall fell just south of the
area. 

Precautionary/Preparedness Actions...

Be alert to flood debris on previously flooded roads. Keep children 
away from flooded areas. Recreational and agricultural interests 
should remain alert to changing river conditions.

For detailed flood information go to weather.gov/ind on the web. From
the blue menu bar on the left side of the page...click on rivers and 
lakes.


ILC023-033-INC153-167-061643-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0217.000000T0000Z-141209T0300Z/
/HUFI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM EST SAT DEC 6 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Wabash River at Terre Haute.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 11.5 feet 
  tomorrow evening.

&&

LAT...LON 3960 8741 3945 8747 3932 8763 3930 8757
      3943 8740 3960 8736             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1141 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

.UPDATE...
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 406 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE NEAR THE OHIO RIVER
TODAY INTO SATURDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO CENTRAL
INDIANA. DENSE FOG WILL ALSO BE AN ISSUE THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL END BY MIDDAY SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. ASIDE FROM A CHANCE OF RAIN ON MONDAY AS A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION...DRY WEATHER CAN BE
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.NEAR TERM /REST OF TODAY/...
ISSUED AT 1015 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

WIDESPREAD RAIN STEADILY EXPANDING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-74 AT 15Z.
TEMPS RANGED FROM THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.

MAIN FOCUS FOR THE MORNING UPDATE IS THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WHICH
REQUIRES SOME CHANGES BASED ON CURRENT OBS. STILL SEEING A FAIRLY
LARGE AREA OF VISIBILITIES AT 1/4 TO 1/2SM AND LOWER IN AN ARC
NORTH OF THE EXPANDING RAIN SHIELD...EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN
WABASH VALLEY THROUGH THE INDY METRO INTO OUR EASTERN COUNTIES.
WEBCAMS AND OBS SUGGEST WORST OF THE CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS THE
INDY METRO AND HAVE EXPANDED NORTH OF THE CITY AS WELL. WITH THAT
IN MIND...HAVE EXTENDED THE ADVISORY THROUGH NOON AND EXPANDED IT
NORTH A ROW OF COUNTIES. WHILE SUBTLE IMPROVEMENT HAS BEEN NOTED
OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO ACROSS THE METRO...NOT COMFORTABLE
DROPPING THE ADVISORY JUST YET CONSIDERING WIDESPREAD NATURE OF
THE LOWER VISIBILITIES. EXPECT SLOW BUT STEADY IMPROVEMENT AS RAIN
ENCOMPASSES THE ADVISORY AREA OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. VISIBILITIES
HAVE IMPROVED ENOUGH WITHIN THE RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN COUNTIES TO
DROP THE ADVISORY THERE.

REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IS IN VERY GOOD SHAPE AS RAIN EXPANDS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FOR THE AFTERNOON AND BECOMES HEAVIER WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE SURFACE LOW BY LATE DAY. MADE SUBTLE TWEAKS TO
HOURLY POPS BUT OTHERWISE...NO ADDITIONAL CHANGES NEEDED TO FORECAST.

ZONE AND GRID UPDATES OUT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
ISSUED AT 406 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

WHILE SOME PRECIP APPEARS LIKELY TO PERSIST INTO SATURDAY
MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA...MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT DRY WEATHER WILL
RETURN TO THE AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND REMAIN SO THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM.

APPEARS THAT LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILES WILL REMAIN WARM ENOUGH
THROUGH THE END OF THE PRECIPITATION THAT NO FREEZING OR FROZEN
PRECIP IS ANTICIPATED.

ON TEMPS...MODEL CONSENSUS NUMBERS APPEARED REASONABLE THROUGHOUT
WITH A FEW MINOR TWEAKS...PER LOW LEVEL THICKNESS PROGS AND TEMPS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
ISSUED AT 228 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES LOOK IN
STORE DURING THIS PERIOD. THE ECMWF AND GFS HINT AT A COLD FRONTAL
PASSES ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES. AT THIS TIME MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED AS THE LOWER
LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FAILS TO OPEN UP FROM THE
GULF. THUS HAVE INCLUDED SOME LOW CHC POPS FOR NOW AS WE CANNOT
RULE OUT A LIGHT PRECIPITATION EVENT.

COOL HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO
RIVER VALLEYS THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. ALOFT NORTHWEST FLOW
PERSISTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF UPPER DYNAMICS PUSHING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...REINFORCING RIDGING APPEARS TO BE BUILDING ACROSS THE
PLAINS STATES AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THUS SHOULD CONTINUE THE
TREND OF DRY WEATHER FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 051800Z TAFS/...
ISSUED AT 1141 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

LARGE AREA OF RAIN CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE TAF SITES...AND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 060600Z. APPEARS STRONGEST LIFT WILL
MOVE THROUGH AROUND 052200Z-060400Z AS A 40-50KT LOW LEVEL JET NOSES
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. AS A RESULT...POCKETS OF MODERATE/HEAVY RAIN
EXPECTED DURING THAT TIME.

CEILINGS GENERALLY 004-007 AGL EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE
LIFR CONDITIONS WILL TEND TO LIFT AS TIME GOES BY AS STRONGER LIFT
HELPS TO MIX UP THE LOWER AIR MASS. AREAS OF IFR VISIBILITY
RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING...ESPECIALLY IN THE
HEAVIER RAIN AREAS.

INITIALLY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BACK AROUND TO
010-030 DEGREES AND INCREASE TO 10-13KTS BY LATE EVENING AS SURFACE
LOW APPROACHES.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NIELD
NEAR TERM...RYAN
SHORT TERM...NIELD
LONG TERM...PUMA
AVIATION...JAS

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1118 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-061000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
1118 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: AREAS OF FOG THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

HAZARDS: LOW VISIBILITIES.

TIMING: THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION: AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT. AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
REGION THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DISCUSSION: RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY SATURDAY AND AGAIN ON
MONDAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

RYAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

INZ021-031-038-040>042-049-051>053-060>064-067>072-051700-
CARROLL-HOWARD-TIPTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-
OWEN-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-
LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KOKOMO...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...
TERRE HAUTE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
1002 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

...PATCHY DENSE FOG POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDDAY...

VISIBILITIES MAY DECREASE BELOW ONE MILE IN SPOTS WITH SOME PATCHY
DENSE FOG POSSIBLE AT TIMES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING.
AS RAIN OVERSPREADS THE REGION...VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE FOR THE
AFTERNOON.

WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...BE ALERT FOR
POSSIBLE FLUCTUATING VISIBILITIES...AND IF ENCOUNTERING FOG...USE
LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE BETWEEN VEHICLES.

RYAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1121 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-051800-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAFAYETTE...FRANKFORT...KOKOMO...
CRAWFORDSVILLE...ANDERSON...MUNCIE...INDIANAPOLIS...TERRE HAUTE...
SHELBYVILLE...BLOOMINGTON...COLUMBUS...VINCENNES...BEDFORD...
SEYMOUR
1121 AM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

...AREAS OF FOG THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...

VISIBILITIES MAY DECREASE BELOW ONE MILE IN SPOTS WITHIN AREAS OF FOG
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. AS RAIN OVERSPREADS THE REGION...
VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA...BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLUCTUATING VISIBILITIES...AND IF ENCOUNTERING FOG...USE LOW BEAM
HEADLIGHTS AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE BETWEEN VEHICLES.

RYAN