River Flood Warning 201, NWS Indianapolis, IN

935 
WGUS83 KIND 041539
FLSIND
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1139 AM EDT SAT OCT 4 2014

...The Flood Warning is no longer in effect for portions of the
following river in Indiana...

  Wabash River...

.The Wabash River near Hutsonville and Riverton is not expected to
flood stage in Western Indiana.

Precautionary/Preparedness Actions...

Be alert to flood debris on previously flooded roads. Keep children 
away from flooded areas. Recreational and agricultural interests 
should remain alert to changing river conditions.

For detailed flood information go to weather.gov/ind on the web. From
the blue menu bar on the left side of the page...click on rivers and 
lakes.



ILC033-101-INC083-153-041609-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0200.000000T0000Z-141007T0900Z/
/HUTI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Wabash River at Hutsonville Legacy Power Plant Site.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast below flood stage with a maximum 
  value of 14.2 feet early Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3932 8763 3922 8762 3914 8768 3912 8762
      3923 8754 3930 8757             

$$

ILC033-101-INC083-153-041609-
/O.CAN.KIND.FL.W.0201.000000T0000Z-141006T0130Z/
/RVTI3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1139 AM EDT SAT OCT 4 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Wabash River at Riverton.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 12.6 feet this
  afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 3913 8767 3898 8759 3885 8756 3886 8750
      3899 8748 3913 8761             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1030 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014

.UPDATE...
THE AVIATION SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FLOW INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BEHIND A COLD FRONT
TODAY. AS AN UPPER TROUGH BUILDS IN AS WELL...CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL
OCCUR AT TIMES INTO NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO WELL BELOW
AVERAGE FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH READINGS SLOWLY WARMING TO NEAR
NORMAL BY MID WEEK NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /REST OF TODAY/...
ISSUED AT 1010 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014

COLD FRONT COMING INTO WESTERN INDIANA AS OF 14Z. AREA OF SHOWERS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT IMPACTING AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF I-70. TEMPS
REMAINED IN THE 60S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...BUT TEMPS QUICKLY
FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

AREA OF SHOWERS NORTHWEST OF THE INDY METRO WILL SHIFT E/NE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AS THE FRONT MAKES STEADY
PROGRESS EAST. HAVE HELD ONTO LIKELY POPS NORTH OF I-70 FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SHOWERS...THEN DROP BACK TO
CHANCE POPS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. EXPECT A RELATIVE LULL IN
POPS IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON WITH JUST SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS AND/
OR DRIZZLE...WITH RAIN SHOWERS INCREASING ONCE AGAIN BY LATE DAY
AS A QUICK MOVING UPPER WAVE TRACKS INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST.

AREA OF CLEAR SKIES WELL INTO ILLINOIS THIS MORNING AS DRIER AIR
COMES IN BEHIND THE FRONT. WITH INCREASING COLD ADVECTION AND
LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HOWEVER...EXPECT CU TO FILL IN THE
CLEAR SLOT BY MIDDAY WITH ANY PEAKS OF SUN OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THIS AFTERNOON LARGELY LIMITED.

HIGHS HAVE BEEN REACHED OVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AND AS THE
FRONT PASSES...TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE 50S BY LATE DAY. WINDS
WILL REMAIN BREEZY ALL DAY...WITH PEAK GUSTS AT 30-35MPH WITHIN THE
COLD ADVECTION.

ZONE AND GRID UPDATES OUT.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014

FOCUS IS ON TEMPERATURES AND CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM. MODELS ARE CLOSE ENOUGH THAT A BLEND WAS USED FOR MOST ITEMS.

AT 00Z FORCING FROM UPPER TROUGH AND SECONDARY FRONT WILL CONTINUE
MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN FORECAST AREA. WILL GO CHANCE POPS EAST
AND SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WEST. POPS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING
AS THE FORCING EXITS TO THE EAST...WITH MOST AREAS DRY BY 06Z.

SOME PARTIAL CLEARING WILL OCCUR TONIGHT...AND WITH THE STRONG COLD
ADVECTION LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S LOOK REASONABLE. HOWEVER MAV
JUST LOOKS TOO COLD...ESPECIALLY WHEN COMPARED TO OTHER GUIDANCE.
WILL GO CLOSER TO A RAW MODEL BLEND.

ON SATURDAY ANOTHER SPOKE OF ENERGY WILL ROTATE AROUND THE UPPER LOW
AND BRING MORE CLOUDS TO THE AREA. THE NORTHERN FORECAST AREA WILL
BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE BETTER FORCING TO GO WITH SOME SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS FOR THE THREAT OF SHOWERS.

THE CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES QUITE COOL FOR EARLY
OCTOBER...WITH HIGHS SATURDAY ONLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S. MAV
LOOKS TOO WARM GIVEN EXPECTED CONDITIONS...SO WENT CLOSER TO A RAW
MODEL BLEND.

WENT DRY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A LOSS OF FORCING ACROSS THE AREA.
AGAIN EXPECTING SOME PARTIAL CLEARING...SO LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S
ONCE AGAIN. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TO KEEP WIDESPREAD FROST
AT BAY...BUT PROTECTED AREAS COULD SEE SOME.

ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WARM ADVECTION WILL BEGIN AND HEIGHTS
WILL RISE AS UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST. PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY IN
WHETHER FORCING FROM THE WARM ADVECTION WILL BE ENOUGH FOR SOME
LIGHT RAIN/SPRINKLES.

FOR NOW FEEL THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH FORCING AND MOISTURE FOR
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS LOW
THOUGH.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014

THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE EXTENDED WILL BE POPS AS THE 00Z GFS WAS
BRINGING REMNANTS OF SIMON QUICKLY NORTHEAST TO THE AREA MID AND
LATE WEEK. ALONG WITH THE 00Z GEM...12Z ECMWF AND ENSEMBLE
MEANS...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS WELL SOUTHWEST
OF THE FAST 00Z GFS AT 00Z WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 8. CONSEQUENTLY...THE
SUPERBLEND...BECAUSE OF ITS GFS WEIGHTING...HAS POPS ALL THE WAY
THROUGH THE EXTENDED. AFTER COORDINATING WITH ALL ADJACENT
OFFICES...PULLED SUPERBLEND POPS AFTER TUESDAY.

MEANWHILE...DEEP UPPER LOW WILL SPIN ACROSS ONTARIO EARLY WEEK.
TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THIS FEATURE WILL PIVOT ACROSS CENTRAL
INDIANA ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL FORCE A COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD RESULT IN SHOWER
ACTIVITY FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD START OFF ON THE COOL SIDE BUT WILL LIKELY WARM
TO ABOVE NORMAL BY MID TO LATE WEEK AS HEIGHTS BUILD BEHIND THE
DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 03/1500Z TAF UPDATE/...

ISSUED AT 1022 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014

UPDATE...
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT KIND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
SHOWERS ARE BECOMING MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE THOUGH...SO WILL ONLY
CARRY VCSH AT THIS POINT.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
RADAR AND RAPID REFRESH REFLECTIVITY PROGS SUGGEST FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS ENDING AROUND 14Z AT HUF AND 15Z-16Z AT THE OTHER SITES AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
ARE LIKELY TO POP UP ESPECIALLY AFTER 20Z AS UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA.

FLYING CONDITIONS SHOULD START OFF MVFR WITH TEMPO IFR POSSIBLE
MAINLY PRIER TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. VFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE LATE
TODAY BUT MORE LIKELY AFTER 00Z AS THE SHOWERS END AT HUF AND BMG
AND A FEW HOURS LATER AT IND AND LAF.

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 25
KNOTS AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. WINDS WILL DIMINISH A BIT TONIGHT.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...50
NEAR TERM...RYAN
SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM....MK
AVIATION...MK/TDUD

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IND

FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSINDIANAPOLIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
959 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-041000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
959 AM EDT FRI OCT 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK: SCATTERED SHOWERS. GUSTY WINDS.

HAZARDS: BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. WIND GUSTS 30 TO 35 MPH.

TIMING: SHOWERS THROUGH THIS EVENING. GUSTY WINDS DURING THE DAY.

DISCUSSION: SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH
THE REGION THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES. WINDS MAY GUST TO 30 TO 35 MPH AS COLDER AIR
MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK: GUSTY WINDS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THROUGH SATURDAY.

WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 30S SATURDAY NIGHT...PATCHY
FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA...MAINLY IN
SHELTERED AREAS.

DISCUSSION: GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS COLDER
AIR MOVES IN. A MUCH COOLER AND UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

RYAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
728 AM EDT FRI OCT 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0726 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MONTEZUMA               39.79N  87.37W
10/03/2014  M4.50 INCH       PARKE              IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

ELB