Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 38, NWS Lincoln, IL

September 2, 2014Clay County, Richland County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Sep 2, 2014, 11:28 AM CDT for Clay County, Richland County, Illinois. It took effect at Sep 3, 2014, 12:33 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2014, 11:28 AM CDT (16:28 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 3, 2014, 12:33 AM CDT
Expired
Sep 7, 2014, 9:04 AM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Clay County, IL, Richland County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little Wabash River below Clay City (CLAI2). The gauge peaked at 20.01 ft at Sep 4, 2014, 9:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate510152009/0209/0309/0409/0509/0609/0709/08
Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
22 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03379500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

266 
WGUS43 KILX 021628
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1128 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

...The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to prepare for flooding.
Stay tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

&&

ILC025-159-030628-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0038.140903T2000Z-140905T0730Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T2000Z.140904T1200Z.140905T0130Z.NO/
1128 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City.
* From Wednesday afternoon until late Thursday night.
* At  645 AM Tuesday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 18.4 feet by Thursday morning.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18   5.8 Tue 7 AM    17.2   18.4   17.1


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
11 follow-up statements
624 
WGUS83 KILX 030142
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
842 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-031542-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.140903T0533Z-140905T0712Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0533Z.140904T0600Z.140905T0112Z.NO/
842 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* From late tonight until late Thursday night.
* At 745 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and 
  continue to rise to near 19.1 feet by early Thursday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  16.9 Tue 8 PM    18.6   18.7   17.1

&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
305 
WGUS83 KILX 031420
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
920 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-040420-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140905T2024Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T0600Z.140905T1424Z.NO/
920 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At  845 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.2 feet by 
  early tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  18.9 Wed 9 AM    19.1   18.2   15.8


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
424 
WGUS83 KILX 040152
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
852 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-041552-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T0138Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T1200Z.140906T1938Z.NO/
852 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 845 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.7 feet by 
  tomorrow afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.6 Wed 9 PM    19.7   19.6   18.9

&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
635 
WGUS83 KILX 041352
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
852 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-050352-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T0654Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T1800Z.140907T0054Z.NO/
852 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until late Saturday night.
* At  845 AM Thursday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.3 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...North Clay Road...1 mile east of the gage is
  flooded.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  20.0 Thu 9 AM    20.3   19.5   12.8


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
374 
WGUS83 KILX 050107
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
807 PM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-051507-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T0618Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140905T0600Z.140907T0018Z.NO/
807 PM CDT THU SEP 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 745 PM Thursday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.1 feet by 
  early tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...North Clay Road...1 mile east of the gage is
  flooded.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  20.0 Thu 8 PM    19.3   12.6    6.9

&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
094 
WGUS83 KILX 051342
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
842 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-060342-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T0618Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T1730Z.140907T0018Z.NO/
842 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until late Saturday night.
* At  745 AM Friday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.9 Fri 8 AM    19.3   12.6    6.9


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
396 
WGUS83 KILX 060239
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
939 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-061639-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T0721Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T1730Z.140907T0121Z.NO/
939 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until late Saturday night.
* At  845 PM Friday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.8 Fri 9 PM    13.6    6.9    5.0


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
676 
WGUS83 KILX 061514
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1014 AM CDT SAT SEP 6 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-070514-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T0812Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T1730Z.140907T0212Z.NO/
1014 AM CDT SAT SEP 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until late tonight.
* At  945 AM Saturday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.8 Sat 10 AM   12.6    6.9    5.0


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
056 
WGUS83 KILX 062241
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
541 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-071241-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T1542Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T1730Z.140907T0942Z.NO/
541 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  445 PM Saturday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.7 Sat 5 PM    17.2    6.9    5.0


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
987 
WGUS83 KILX 070120
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
820 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-071516-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T1516Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T1730Z.140907T0916Z.NO/
820 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  745 PM Saturday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 18.5 feet...Wilcox Bridge Lane floods just east of the 
  Little Wabash River near the gage location. Blueflower Lane 
  southeast of the gage begins to flood.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  19.6 Sat 8 PM    17.0    6.9    5.0


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
910 
WGUS83 KILX 071404
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
904 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2014
 

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Illinois...

  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation. River levels are 
expected to continue falling.

Since flooding has subsided, this will be the last statement for this
flooding event.

ILC025-159-071434-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140907T1516Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140903T0433Z.140904T1730Z.140907T1318Z.NO/
904 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City.
* At  845 AM Sunday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  818 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.7 feet by tomorrow
  morning.


&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Mon    Tue    Wed

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  17.9 Sun 9 AM    13.7   10.7    7.3


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 2, 10:29 AM CDT, 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 2, 10:29 AM CDT, 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1029 AM CDT Tue Sep 2 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1028 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

15z/10am surface analysis shows cold front west of the Illinois
River, with widespread clouds blanketing much of central and
southeast Illinois. Scattered showers are ongoing along/south of
I-70, while isolated radar returns have been noted further north
under the low cloud deck. With front making only slow progress
eastward, have adjusted PoPs to carry isolated showers east of
I-55 through early afternoon and scattered showers throughout the
afternoon further east and south. Have also adjusted sky grids to
indicate a slower west-to-east clearing trend. With more cloud
cover around than previously forecast, think afternoon highs will
be a couple of degrees cooler as well. Have lowered them mainly
into the lower 80s. Skies will eventually clear out tonight, and
with light winds beneath weak surface ridge, think fog will
develop after midnight. 12z NAM forecast soundings suggest the
most widespread fog may be concentrated across the E/SE KILX CWA,
where skies will be slowest to clear this afternoon. As a
result, have added areas of fog along/east of I-57 tonight, with
patchy fog further west across the remainder of the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
ISSUED AT 406 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

Surface cold front moving into central Illinois early this morning
with light shower activity along the front from around Peoria to
Pontiac. Heavy rainfall and thunderstorms affecting areas from
around I-72 southward with the activity gradually shifting into far
southern Illinois along a corridor of high precipitable water around
2 inches with a strong low level jet and convergence.  Radar
indicates  a swath of around 4-5 inches of rain has fallen this
evening from just south of Effingham to Robinson. Current radar
indicates scattered rainfall rates in excess of 1 inch per hour are
now confined to Jasper, Crawford, Richland, and Lawrence counties
and areas to the south and east...and trending southeastward. A
number of flash flood warnings as well as a flash flood watch and a
flood advisory continue in this area. This activity should continue
through around 7 a.m. with lingering showers and thunderstorms
continuing to subside through the afternoon as the system
responsible moves eastward.

Cool and dry conditions expected tonight as dry air and subsidence
moves over central Illinois in the post frontal environment.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
ISSUED AT 406 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

The frontal boundary is expected to return north as a warm front in
Missouri and western IL during Wednesday. The 00Z model guidance has
trended a bit quicker with a short wave moving out of MO into IL Wed
afternoon and into IN Wed evening. Best chances of convection still
apears to be over sw IL into MO where better 850 mb low level jet
will be and more moisture transport. Confined pops to areas from
I-74 sw on Wed. Warmer and more humid air starting to return back to
central/se IL with highs in the mid to upper 80s and dewpoints
elevating into the upper 60s and lower 70s Wed afternoon and
highest in sw counties.

Have 20-30% chance of showers and thunderstorms over northern
counties by IL river valley Wed night mainly after midnight as the
instability axis, thermal ridge, and nose of the 850mb LLJ advance
toward northwest IL. Thu still appears to be the warmest day this
week with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s and dewpoints in the
low to mid 70s with breezy sw winds and well entrenched in the warm
sector. Peak afternoon heat indices may reach into the upper 90s to
around 100F on Thu. Most areas should be dry Thu with just isolated
convection near the Wabash river Thu afternoon.

Low pressure deepening ne from the northern plains to north of the
Great Lakes will drag a cold front into the IL river valley early
Friday morning and into southern Illinois by Friday evening. Have
20-30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight Thu night
over the IL river valley. Then a good chance of showers and
thunderstorms spreading se across central/se IL during the day
Friday and continue Friday night. Still a very warm and humid day
Friday with highs in the 80s and dewpoints in the upper 60s to mid
70s, with southeast IL near 90F southeast of I-70. Lingered chances
of showers and thunderstorms Saturday south of I-72, with
diminishing chances in southeast IL during Saturday afternoon as
frontal boundary pushes se into TN river valley.

A significant airmass change will follow that frontal passage, as a
1024 mb Canadian high pressure builds southeast into the western
Great Lakes. Less humid air along with cooler highs Sunday and
Monday in the 70s, with lows Saturday and Sunday night in the 50s.
This will be the coolest air since mid August to visit central IL,
the last time we had below normal temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
ISSUED AT 659 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

Generally IFR ceilings across central IL this morning as heavy
rain and thunderstorms have moved east of the area. Low cloud
cover should lift and dissipate later this morning with scattered
low cloud cover expected to result in mainly VFR conditions across
the area by 14Z. Isolated TSRA to redevelop after 17Z from
K1H2-KRSV southward could result in isolated MVFR cig/vsby and
gusty winds until 00Z. 00Z-06Z mainly VFR conditions and light
winds. Fog likely to develop by early morning resulting in IFR
visibilities or worse and many locations after 06-09Z.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...BARNES
SHORT TERM...ONTON
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...ONTON
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 2, 11:16 AM CDT, 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1116 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>055-031115-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MACON-
MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT-
SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-WOODFORD-
1116 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES PEAKING IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES.

WHILE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM TIME TO TIME
AS TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY LEVELS RISE AGAIN...THE NEXT
SIGNIFICANT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS IS LOW LATE THIS WEEK...BUT
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ056-057-061>063-066>068-071>073-031115-
CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-
LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-SHELBY-
1116 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

MANY SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-70 WILL
CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY RISE TODAY DUE THE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LAST
NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES PEAKING IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100
DEGREES.

WHILE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM TIME TO TIME
AS TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY LEVELS RISE AGAIN...THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE
THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS IS LOW LATE THIS WEEK...BUT THUNDERSTORMS
COULD PRODUCE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

BARNES

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 2, 6:54 AM CDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
654 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NEWTON                  38.99N 88.16W
09/02/2014  M3.69 INCH       JASPER             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SINCE 11 PM PREVIOUS NIGHT

&&

JRP
Local storm report, Sep 2, 7:46 AM CDT, 3 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
746 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HUTSONVILLE             39.11N 87.66W
09/02/2014  M2.79 INCH       CRAWFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JRP
Local storm report, Sep 2, 7:50 AM CDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
750 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 AM     HEAVY RAIN       S FLORA                 38.67N 88.48W
09/02/2014  M2.10 INCH       CLAY               IL   MESONET

&&

JRP
Local storm report, Sep 2, 8:27 AM CDT, 3 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
827 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W ROBINSON            39.01N 87.80W
09/02/2014  M4.50 INCH       CRAWFORD           IL   MESONET

&&

JRP
Local storm report, Sep 2, 8:34 AM CDT, 2 hours 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
834 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E TRIMBLE             39.06N 87.67W
09/02/2014  M3.96 INCH       CRAWFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JRP
Local storm report, Sep 2, 10:45 AM CDT, 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1045 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0347 AM     FLOOD            HORD                    38.88N 88.52W
09/02/2014                   CLAY               IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            1-2 INCHES OF WATER OVER US ROUTE 45 NEAR HORD

0420 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NEWTON                  38.99N 88.16W
09/02/2014  E3.41 INCH       JASPER             IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0430 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W STE. MARIE          38.93N 88.05W
09/02/2014                   JASPER             IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES BLOWN DOWN

0450 AM     FLOOD            ROBINSON                39.01N 87.74W
09/02/2014                   CRAWFORD           IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING OVER NUMEROUS CITY STREETS

0615 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 E WATSON              39.03N 88.48W
09/02/2014  M4.27 INCH       EFFINGHAM          IL   MESONET

0620 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NE WATSON               39.03N 88.57W
09/02/2014  M3.19 INCH       EFFINGHAM          IL   MESONET

0653 AM     HEAVY RAIN       NEWTON                  38.99N 88.16W
09/02/2014  M3.69 INCH       JASPER             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SINCE 11 PM PREVIOUS NIGHT

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HUTSONVILLE             39.11N 87.66W
09/02/2014  M2.79 INCH       CRAWFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

0715 AM     HEAVY RAIN       S FLORA                 38.67N 88.48W
09/02/2014  M2.10 INCH       CLAY               IL   MESONET

0815 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W ROBINSON            39.01N 87.80W
09/02/2014  M4.50 INCH       CRAWFORD           IL   MESONET

0830 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 E TRIMBLE             39.06N 87.67W
09/02/2014  M3.96 INCH       CRAWFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JRP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 12:07 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXClay, Effingham4 hr
Sep 2, 12:43 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXJasper4 hr
Sep 2, 12:56 AM CDTTornado WarningILXCrawford, Jasper34 min
Sep 2, 1:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXCrawford4 hr
Sep 2, 2:22 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILXClay, Crawford, Lawrence, Richland4 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.