Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2014

River Flood Warning 20, NWS Lincoln, IL

April 2, 2014Crawford County, Jasper County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Apr 2, 2014, 9:21 PM CDT for Crawford County, Jasper County, Illinois. It took effect at Apr 3, 2014, 10:20 PM CDT. It was in force for 51 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 2, 2014, 9:21 PM CDT (02:21 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 3, 2014, 10:20 PM CDT
Expired
Apr 6, 2014, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
51 hr
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Crawford County, IL, Jasper County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Embarras River (IL) at Ste Marie (STMI2).

Action stage
17 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03345500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

460 
WGUS43 KILX 030221
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
921 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

...The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Ste Marie affecting Crawford and Jasper Counties
  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County
  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

.Synopsis...Heavy rain has fallen over a good portion of southeast Illinois
over the past 12 to 18 hours causing significant rises in many area rivers
and streams. 

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along this river need to prepare for flooding.
Stay tuned for further updates on this flooding situation.

&&

ILC033-079-031621-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0020.140404T0320Z-140406T0600Z/
/STMI2.1.ER.140404T0320Z.140404T1800Z.140406T0000Z.NO/
921 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Embarras River at Ste Marie.
* from Thursday evening to late Saturday night.
* At 845 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue 
  to rise to near 19.9 feet by Friday afternoon.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...County Highway 9 floods between Ste Marie 
  and Willow Hill.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Embarras River
 Ste Marie         19   8.7 Wed 9 PM    13.5   19.8   19.3


&&

LAT...LON 3905 8811 3892 8795 3892 8779 3885 8773
      3885 8801 3896 8815             

$$

ILC101-031620-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0021.140403T1454Z-140411T1000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.140403T1454Z.140405T0600Z.140411T0400Z.NO/
921 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville.
* from Thursday morning to Friday April 11.
* At 845 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 35.8 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Billet-Vincennes River road is inundated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  22.5 Wed 9 PM    28.5   35.0   35.8


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$

ILC025-159-031620-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0022.140403T0511Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.1.ER.140403T0511Z.140406T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
921 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

The National Weather Service in Lincoln IL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City.
* until further notice.
* At 345 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.8 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...North Clay Road...1 mile east of the gage is
  flooded.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18   7.6 Wed 4 PM    20.4   21.5   21.7


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$
Smith
7 follow-up statements
161 
WGUS83 KILX 031451
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
951 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Ste Marie affecting Crawford and Jasper Counties
  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC033-079-040451-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.140404T0730Z-140406T0600Z/
/STMI2.1.ER.140404T0730Z.140404T1800Z.140406T0000Z.NO/
951 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Ste Marie. 
* from late tonight to late Saturday night.
* At 845 AM Thursday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and 
  continue to rise to near 19.4 feet by tomorrow afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...County Highway 9 floods between Ste Marie 
  and Willow Hill.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Embarras River
 Ste Marie         19  13.6 Thu 9 AM    19.3   19.1   18.8


&&

LAT...LON 3905 8811 3892 8795 3892 8779 3885 8773
      3885 8801 3896 8815             

$$

ILC101-040450-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.140403T1732Z-140411T0800Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.140403T1732Z.140405T0600Z.140411T0200Z.NO/
951 AM CDT THU APR 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* until Friday April 11.
* At 845 AM Thursday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 36.3 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Billet-Vincennes River road is inundated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  28.4 Thu 9 AM    34.9   36.3   35.7


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$
374 
WGUS83 KILX 040324
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1024 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Ste Marie affecting Crawford and Jasper Counties
  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC033-079-041724-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.140404T0630Z-140405T0800Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.140404T0630Z.140404T1800Z.140405T0200Z.NO/
1024 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Ste Marie. 
* from late tonight to late Friday night.
* At 945 PM Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and 
  continue to rise to near 20.2 feet by tomorrow afternoon.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Water overtops a few private levees in the 
  Ste Marie area.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Embarras River
 Ste Marie         19  15.6 Thu 10 PM   20.1   18.6   18.3


&&

LAT...LON 3905 8811 3892 8795 3892 8779 3885 8773
      3885 8801 3896 8815             

$$

ILC101-041723-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-140411T0325Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.140403T1915Z.140405T1200Z.140410T2125Z.NO/
1024 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* until Thursday April 10.
* At 945 PM Thursday the stage was 31.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.4 feet by 
  Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Billet-Vincennes River road is inundated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  31.1 Thu 10 PM   34.6   36.4   35.6


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$
Smith
468 
WGUS83 KILX 040336
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1036 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Ste Marie affecting Crawford and Jasper Counties
  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC033-079-041736-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.140404T2030Z-140407T1700Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.140404T2030Z.140406T0000Z.140407T1100Z.NO/
1036 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Ste Marie. 
* from Friday afternoon to Monday afternoon.
* At  945 PM Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor to Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by Saturday evening.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Water overtops a few private levees in the 
  Ste Marie area.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Embarras River
 Ste Marie         19  15.6 Thu 10 PM   17.3   20.5   20.9


&&

LAT...LON 3905 8811 3892 8795 3892 8779 3885 8773
      3885 8801 3896 8815             

$$

ILC101-041736-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-140411T2034Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.140403T1915Z.140406T0000Z.140411T1434Z.NO/
1036 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* until Friday April 11.
* At  945 PM Thursday the stage was 31.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.7 feet by 
  Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet...The road across Poteet Bridge floods. Some 
  houses are isolated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Fri    Sat    Sun

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  31.1 Thu 10 PM   32.6   36.0   36.7


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$
663 
WGUS83 KILX 041457
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
957 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Ste Marie affecting Crawford and Jasper Counties
  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC033-079-050457-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.140405T0000Z-140405T0600Z/
/STMI2.1.ER.140405T0000Z.140405T0000Z.140405T0000Z.NO/
957 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Ste Marie. 
* from this evening to late tonight.
* At 945 AM Friday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 21 feet...Water overtops a few private levees in the 
  Ste Marie area.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Embarras River
 Ste Marie         19  18.5 Fri 10 AM   18.8   17.9   15.2

&&

LAT...LON 3905 8811 3892 8795 3892 8779 3885 8773
      3885 8801 3896 8815             

$$

ILC101-050457-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-140410T1251Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.140403T1915Z.140406T0600Z.140410T0651Z.NO/
957 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* until Thursday morning.
* At 845 AM Friday the stage was 32.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 34.5 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37 feet...The road across Poteet Bridge floods. Some 
  houses are isolated.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  32.2 Fri 9 AM    34.0   34.5   34.1

&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765

$$
791 
WGUS83 KILX 050210
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
910 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Ste Marie affecting Crawford and Jasper Counties
  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...
  Little Wabash River near Clay City affecting Clay and Richland 
  Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC025-159-051610-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.2.ER.140403T0842Z.140405T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Wabash River near Clay City. 
* until further notice.
* At 845 PM Friday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by 
  tomorrow afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...North Clay Road...1 mile east of the gage is
  flooded.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Wabash River
 Clay City         18  22.9 Fri 9 PM    23.5   23.5   22.3


&&

LAT...LON 3878 8846 3871 8829 3860 8820 3860 8832
      3867 8838 3870 8846             

$$

ILC033-079-051610-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140406T0000Z/
/STMI2.1.ER.140404T2130Z.140405T0115Z.140405T1800Z.NO/
910 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Ste Marie. 
* until Saturday evening.
* At 845 PM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...County Highway 9 floods between Ste Marie 
  and Willow Hill.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Embarras River
 Ste Marie         19  19.1 Fri 9 PM    19.1   17.9   15.2


&&

LAT...LON 3905 8811 3892 8795 3892 8779 3885 8773
      3885 8801 3896 8815             

$$

ILC101-051610-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-140410T1525Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.140403T1915Z.140406T0600Z.140410T0925Z.NO/
910 PM CDT FRI APR 4 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* until Thursday morning.
* At 845 PM Friday the stage was 33.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 35.0 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Billet-Vincennes River road is inundated.

&&


                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sat    Sun    Mon

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  33.8 Fri 9 PM    34.3   35.0   34.5


&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765


$$
Smith
918 
WGUS83 KILX 051512
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1012 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Illinois...

  Embarras River at Lawrenceville affecting Lawrence County
  Embarras River at Ste Marie affecting Crawford and Jasper Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC033-079-060000-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140406T0000Z/
/STMI2.1.ER.140404T2130Z.140405T0515Z.140405T1800Z.NO/
1012 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Ste Marie. 
* until this evening.
* At 915 AM Saturday the stage was 19 feet.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 19 feet...County Highway 9 floods between Ste Marie 
  and Willow Hill.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6 AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue

Embarras River
 Ste Marie         19  19.0 Sat 9 AM    18.0   15.2   13.2

&&

LAT...LON 3905 8811 3892 8795 3892 8779 3885 8773
      3885 8801 3896 8815             

$$

ILC101-060512-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-140412T1200Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.140403T1915Z.140406T1200Z.140412T0600Z.NO/
1012 AM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Embarras River at Lawrenceville. 
* until Saturday April 12.
* At 945 AM Saturday the stage was 35.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 35.9 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 36 feet...Billet-Vincennes River road is inundated.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6 AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue

Embarras River
 Lawrenceville     30  35.1 Sat 10 AM   35.9   35.1   34.5

&&

LAT...LON 3885 8786 3885 8773 3869 8759 3862 8765

$$

07
603 
WGUS83 KILX 051926
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
225 PM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Illinois...

  Embarras River at Ste Marie affecting Crawford and Jasper Counties

The following forecasts are based on observed precipitation, soil 
moisture conditions, and forecast precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you encounter a flooded roadway, turn around and find an alternate
route. Turn around, don't drown.

Additional river and weather information is available at 
www.weather.gov/ilx.

&&

ILC033-079-051955-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140406T0000Z/
/STMI2.1.ER.140404T2130Z.140405T0515Z.140405T1245Z.NO/
225 PM CDT SAT APR 5 2014

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Embarras River at Ste Marie.
* At 2 PM Saturday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 10 AM Saturday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 18 feet by Sunday
  morning.
* Impact...At 19 feet...County Highway 9 floods between Ste Marie 
  and Willow Hill.

&&

                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 6 AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Sun    Mon    Tue

Embarras River
 Ste Marie         19  18.8 Sat 2 PM    18.0   15.2   13.2

&&

LAT...LON 3905 8811 3892 8795 3892 8779 3885 8773
      3885 8801 3896 8815             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 2, 8:41 PM CDT, 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 2, 8:41 PM CDT, 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
841 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 835 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2014

00z surface analysis showing the stationary frontal boundary well
south of our area this evening. Complex of storms that moved through
the Interstate 70 corridor has shifted to the east with scattered
showers continuing mainly north of I70. Further southwest, a large
complex of storms will continue to develop over east/southeast KS
tonight and spread northeast as the warm front lifts north towards
morning. ILX local meso tools continue to indicate the better
instability remains south of the boundary, but we have noticed an
increase in elevated instability with most unstable capes over the
past few hours over 500 j/kg across the far south thru southwest.
As the low level jet increases and interacts with the stalled boundary
to our south, expect a general increase in showers and storms over
all of the area late tonight and that will continue into at least
Thursday morning. Warm front now not expected to push north of the I74
corridor until late afternoon or evening with two windows of opportunity
for severe storms, the first being along the warm front tomorrow afternoon
with the second threat coming with the surging cold front in the late
evening and overnight hours.

Have made some adjustments to the POPs and temperatures for the overnight
hours. We should have the update out by 900 pm.

Smith
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 625 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2014

Initial storm complex along the I70 corridor will track south of
the area this evening. It still looks as if there will be a break
in the rainfall for a least a few hours. Additional development is
likely late tonight as a low level jet intersects the stalled boundary
over extreme southern Illinois.

Cigs/vsbys should gradually degrade to IFR in all areas as the
periodic showers/storms impact the area. SPI, DEC and CMI have
done so in the past couple of hours and we expect the remaining
TAF sites to our north to do so as well later this evening.  Once
they develop, they should persist until the warm front lifts north
of most of the terminals, except perhaps KPIA & KBMI late tomorrow
morning or early afternoon. East winds of 10 to 15 kts will prevail
tonight and become southeast at SPI, DEC and CMI late tomorrow
morning as the warm front approaches. The bulk of the rain looks
to affect the sites during the morning hours, with a break thru
the mid and late afternoon hours before more showers and storms
affect the area as a cold front approaches the area late tomorrow
evening.

Smith
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 300 PM CDT Wed Apr 2 2014

Strong system pulling out of the Great Basin will dominate the
weather over the next 36+ hours as it moves across the Plains and
Great Lakes.

SHORT TERM...Tonight through Friday Morning

Developing surface system over southeast Colorado will push east and
then northeast over the next several days. A warm front extends
east from the low across extreme southern Illinois this afternoon.
Thunderstorms near the front have produced some severe weather
across Missouri and periods of heavy rain across southern Illinois
as far north as Effingham today. The weak wave leading the main
trough taking shape over the Rockies that brought this area of
rainfall will move east of the area this evening providing a lull
in rainfall. As the dynamics begin to increase and the surface
low pulls out into the plains late tonight precipitation should
redevelop along and north of the warm front and begin to push the
front northward across the state.

Best push northward of the warm sector will be on Thursday
morning. Storm motion suggests storms will move along the east-
west front. The stronger storms may be able to tap vorticity
along the front to bring a potential for supercells just north of
the warm front by midday into middle afternoon. Tornadoes appear
possible in this area along with large hail and damaging winds.

As the warm sector pushes north, models suggest capping for much
of the late afternoon into early evening. Breaks in clouds could
add to potential instability and locally break through cap
producing some widely scattered storms during the middle and late
afternoon. Any storms that do develop will likely be capable of
severe hail and winds.

The best chances for widespread severe weather will likely occur
with the cold front associated with the surface low expected
Thursday Night. Model suite from 12z are a bit slower with the
frontal passage, but with Low-level jet developing and the
resultant increase in shear, CAPE may not have to be very high to
produce severe weather along and ahead of the front from middle
evening into late Thursday night. Appears that storm mode will
begin as discrete cells over Missouri and Arkansas and eventually
eveolve into a QLCS by morning. The transition should occur as the
convection moves across the Mississippi with the main threat
changing from tornadoes and hail, to hail and wind by the time the
system reaches I-57 well after midnight.

With multiple rain periods, and precip water well over 1.25 inches
through much of the time, expected widespread 2-3 inch storm total rain
amounts.  Will keep current flood watch in effect through 12z Friday.

LONG TERM...Friday through Wednesday

Winds in wake of system will border on wind advisory criteria as
low intensifies across the western Great Lakes on Friday. With the
winds, cold advection, and mostly cloudy skies Friday will likely
seem more like early March than early April.

Temperatures should remain slightly below normal through the weekend.

Next system is expected to impact the forecast area beginning
Sunday Night and into Monday Night. Models are in agreement that
the storm track will be a bit further south as the bulk of the
energy is expected to come in the southern stream flow. At this
time it appears that we should remain on the cool side of this
system which will keep threat of severe weather minimal. However,
there is a potential for another round of heavy rain falling on
the saturated ground from our current rainfall event. This
situation will be watched closely.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH through Friday morning FOR ILZ042>057-061>063-
066>068-071>073.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 2, 3:07 PM CDT, 6 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
307 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

ILZ027>031-037-038-040-031100-
KNOX-MARSHALL-MCLEAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
307 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AS A
WEATHER DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHWARD FROM MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS. AT THIS TIME...THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME
SEVERE...BUT SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT INTO THE AREA THURSDAY WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING. THEN A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE
MAIN SEVERE THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...WITH A FEW
TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
POSSIBLE FOR THE WEEK. THESE HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE FLOODING ON
SOME AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ042>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-031100-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-
DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-LOGAN-MACON-
MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PIATT-RICHLAND-SANGAMON-SCOTT-SHELBY-
VERMILION-
307 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AS A
WEATHER DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHWARD FROM MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS. AT THIS TIME...THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME
SEVERE...BUT SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT INTO THE AREA THURSDAY WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING. THEN A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE
MAIN SEVERE THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...WITH A FEW
TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN
POSSIBLE FOR THE WEEK. THESE HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE FLOODING ON
SOME AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ILZ036-041-031100-
FULTON-MASON-
307 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT...AS A
WEATHER DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHWARD FROM MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS. AT THIS TIME...THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME
SEVERE...BUT SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE.

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER AROUND
HAVANA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WARM FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT INTO THE AREA THURSDAY WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING. THEN A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE
MAIN SEVERE THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...WITH A FEW
TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

WET WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN
POSSIBLE FOR THE WEEK. THESE HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE FLOODING ON
SOME AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

BAK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 2, 5:07 PM CDT, 4 hours 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
507 PM CDT WED APR 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HEAVY RAIN       FLORA                   38.67N 88.48W
04/02/2014  M1.10 INCH       CLAY               IL   MESONET

            TOTAL RAINFALL SINCE 0730 THIS MORNING. SWOP REPORT.

&&

SMITH
Special weather statement, Apr 2, 5:14 PM CDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
514 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

ILZ062-063-066>068-071-022300-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-
514 PM CDT WED APR 2 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN CLAY...NORTHERN
JASPER...NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND...
SOUTHEASTERN EFFINGHAM AND SOUTHWESTERN CLARK COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM
CDT...

AT 509 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WATSON...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF EFFINGHAM...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  DIETERICH...
  WHEELER...
  NEWTON...
  HIDALGO...
  WILLOW HILL...
  HAZEL DELL...

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...HEARTVILLE...ELLIOTSTOWN...
LATONA...GILA...SAM PARR STATE PARK AND ROSE HILL.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3924 8795 3900 8786 3888 8857 3905 8863
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 254DEG 28KT 3899 8849

SMITH
Local storm report, Apr 2, 7:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
725 PM CDT WED APR 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0724 PM     HEAVY RAIN       NEWTON                  38.99N 88.16W
04/02/2014  M3.01 INCH       JASPER             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            PAST 12 HOURS

&&

JRP
Local storm report, Apr 2, 8:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
816 PM CDT WED APR 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0803 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW STE. MARIE         38.94N 88.04W
04/02/2014  M1.99 INCH       JASPER             IL   MESONET

&&

JRP
Local storm report, Apr 2, 8:29 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
829 PM CDT WED APR 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HEAVY RAIN       EFFINGHAM               39.12N 88.55W
04/02/2014  M2.09 INCH       EFFINGHAM          IL   MESONET

&&

JRP
Local storm report, Apr 2, 9:12 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
912 PM CDT WED APR 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 W PALESTINE           39.00N 87.65W
04/02/2014  M1.41 INCH       CRAWFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

JRP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 2, 9:13 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningILXClay, Crawford, Effingham, Jasper, Lawrence, Richland10 hr
Apr 2, 9:21 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningILXLawrence8 days
Apr 2, 9:21 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningILXClay, Richland8 days
Apr 2, 9:47 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningILXBrown, Cass, Morgan, Schuyler12 days
Apr 3, 2:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMason34 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.