Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
156 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THIS EVENING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A CONTINUED CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE AREA SATURDAY...RESULTING IN DRIER CONDITIONS FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ONLY A FEW TWEAKS WITH THE MORNING UPDATE. AREA OF SHOWERS IS
PASSING ACROSS THE NW EDGE OF THE FA...WITH JUST AND ISOLATED CELL
S OF KILN. ALTHOUGH THE FA IS IN THIS GENERAL LULL ATTM...
DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR WITH DAYTIME HEATING. H5 S/W AND SFC
LOW WILL BRING ADDITIONAL FORCING LATE TODAY...CAUSING SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD. KEPT AFTERNOON
POPS AT 70 PERCENT.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S NORTH TO MID 80S SOUTH STILL LOOK GOOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
AREA THIS EVENING AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY SHIFTS OFF TO OUR EAST.
MODELS ARE IN SOME DISAGREEMENT TO HOW MUCH WEAK MID LEVEL
RIDGING WILL BE ABLE TO BUILD UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND IT LOOKS LIKE WE MAY STAY IN MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN ALOFT. THERE ARE SOME SUGGESTIONS OF A FEW WEAK MID LEVEL
IMPULSES DROPPING DOWN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT
TIMING AND PLACEMENT VARIES BY MODEL. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY AND
LOW PROBABILITY...HAVE OPTED TO MAINTAIN THE ONGOING DRY FORECAST
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AT THIS POINT. EXPECT HIGHS
BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA IN NW FLOW ON
SATURDAY.  THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE REGION.  PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN WORK INTO THE FA AND KEEP DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY.  SOUTHERLY FLOW ON MONDAY WILL ALLOW
FOR THE WARMEST DAY OF THE LONG TERM WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
MIDDLE 80S TO AROUND 90.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND MOVE THROUGH ON
TUESDAY.  MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS FEATURE AND
THEREFORE INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES INTO THE LIKELY CATEGORY.
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY
KEEPING PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST.  PRECIPITATION WILL
TAPER OFF BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.  HIGH PRESSURE AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL WORK INTO THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG
TERM.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS HAS DEVELOPED FROM NR MNN-DAY-OXD-BMG LINE.
TSTM ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO A H5 S/W
SWINGING UP THE OHIO VALLEY WHICH IS HELPING A WEAK SFC LOW
DEVELOP. THE FORCING FROM THESE FEATURES WILL GRADUALLY PUSH E OF
THE TAFS BY 00Z. HAVE CARRIED TEMPOS WITH MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS IN
THE TSTM FOR THE FIRST 4 TO 5 HOURS OF THE PERIOD.

AS THE LIFTS PULLS EAST SOME CLEARING IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER WITH THE
LOWER LEVELS REMAINING MOIST AFTER THE CONVECTION...EXPECT MVFR
STRATUS AND FOG TO DEVELOP AFT 06Z. THIS WILL LAST TO 12-13Z WHEN
THEY SHOULD BREAK UP GIVING WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...SITES
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...NOVAK
AVIATION...SITES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
433 AM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-210845-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
433 AM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WIND AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
121 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

OHZ051-061-201745-
MIAMI OH-MONTGOMERY OH-
121 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHERN
MIAMI COUNTIES THROUGH 145 PM EDT...

AT 117 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
PENNY SIZE HAIL...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...WEST MILTON...
TROTWOOD...VANDALIA...TIPP CITY...HUBER HEIGHTS AND DOWNTOWN DAYTON.

ALSO...UNION...ENGLEWOOD...NORTHVIEW...FORT MCKINLEY...DAYTON
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...SHILOH...GINGHAMSBURG...BRANDT...PHONETON AND
BROWN ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. WATER WILL
POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3992 8443 3997 8443 3998 8440 3998 8404
      3984 8408 3983 8410 3978 8409 3973 8410
      3986 8448 3992 8449

BINAU

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
148 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

OHZ061-201815-
MONTGOMERY OH-
148 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY
THROUGH 215 PM EDT...

AT 144 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BROOKVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...TROTWOOD AND VANDALIA.

ALSO...UNION...ENGLEWOOD...NEW LEBANON...NORTHVIEW...FORT MCKINLEY...
DREXEL AND SHILOH ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. WATER WILL
POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3990 8447 3992 8438 3988 8414 3969 8432
      3981 8448

BINAU

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
224 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

OHZ061-062-071-201900-
GREENE OH-MONTGOMERY OH-WARREN OH-
224 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN WARREN...SOUTHEASTERN
MONTGOMERY AND WESTERN GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

AT 223 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WEST
CARROLLTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
PENNY SIZE HAIL...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...KETTERING...
SPRINGBORO...BEAVERCREEK...WAYNESVILLE AND XENIA.

ALSO...OVERLOOK-PAGE MANOR...WOODBOURNE-HYDE PARK...CENTERVILLE...
BELLBROOK...LYTLE...TREBEIN...GREENE COUNTY AIRPORT...OLDTOWN...MOUNT
HOLLY AND ROXANNA ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

DO NOT STAY IN THE OPEN NOR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS. MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES. WATER WILL
POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL
STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3982 8417 3973 8385 3947 8408 3958 8437
      3959 8437

BINAU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
231 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 PM     TSTM WND GST     KFFO WRIGHT-PATT AFB    39.83N 84.05W
06/20/2014  M47.00 MPH       GREENE             OH   OTHER FEDERAL

&&

HATZOS

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
239 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

OHZ063-064-201915-
FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY OH-
239 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN PICKAWAY AND EASTERN
FAYETTE COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM EDT...

AT 235 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BLOOMINGBURG...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
PENNY SIZE HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...NEW HOLLAND.

ALSO...PANCOASTBURG...DEER CREEK LAKE AND FIVE POINTS ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THIS STORM BECOMES
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3972 8314 3951 8311 3955 8342 3965 8346

BINAU