Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Wilmington, OH

994 
WWUS51 KILN 212259
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
659 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

INC029-137-212307-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-140521T2315Z/
DEARBORN IN-RIPLEY IN-
659 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN RIPLEY AND
SOUTHWESTERN DEARBORN COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY GOING TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND SUBMITTING
YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

LAT...LON 3874 8526 3870 8521 3893 8521 3893 8514
      3896 8512 3894 8512 3895 8506 3899 8500
      3902 8489 3896 8483 3891 8488 3889 8480
      3886 8479 3878 8466 3877 8477 3871 8480
      3860 8507 3858 8521 3874 8533
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 314DEG 35KT 3882 8486

$$

INC115-155-KYC041-077-212315-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-140521T2315Z/
SWITZERLAND IN-OHIO IN-CARROLL KY-GALLATIN KY-
659 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR GALLATIN...CARROLL...OHIO AND SWITZERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 656 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED SEVERAL TREES DOWN 
SOUTH OF VERSAILLES INDIANA. RADAR INDICATED THAT THIS SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PATRIOT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 60 MPH...
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KENTUCKY SPEEDWAY.

IN ADDITION...STEELE BOTTOM...WORTHVILLE...EGYPT BOTTOM...CARSON...
EAGLE STATION...US ROUTES 42 AND 127 AT STATE ROUTE 562...SANDERS AND
SPARTA ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...
I-71 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 40 AND 70 IN KENTUCKY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3874 8526 3870 8521 3893 8521 3893 8514
      3896 8512 3894 8512 3895 8506 3899 8500
      3902 8489 3896 8483 3891 8488 3889 8480
      3886 8479 3878 8466 3877 8477 3871 8480
      3860 8507 3858 8521 3874 8533
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 314DEG 35KT 3882 8486

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CONIGLIO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
330 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AHEAD OF A SOUTHWARD ADVANCING
COLD FRONT WHICH WILL CROSS THE OHIO RIVER TOWARD SUNRISE. IN THE
WAKE OF THIS FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING FAIR WEATHER TO OUR
AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
SPLIT FLOW MID/UPR LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WITH CLOSED LOW OVER THE SW
U.S. AND RIDGE FROM THE GULF STATES INTO THE LOWER MS VLY. BAND OF
W-NWRLY MID LEVEL FLOW AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THIS MID LEVEL RIDGE
ACRS THE GREAT LAKES OHIO VALLEY. FLOW TO BECOME MORE NWRLY OVERNIGHT
WITH SFC FRONT DROPPING SE THRU OHIO VALLEY LATE TONIGHT.

MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR IN WARM SECTOR ASSOCIATED WITH
WEAK PERTURBATION EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW MOVG THRU INDIANA. EXPECT
AIRMASS TO CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE WITH SFC TD/S IN THE MID/UPR
60S AND TEMPS AROUND 80...SUPPORTING MODERATE INSTBY WITH MLCAPE
OF 1500-2500 J/KG. BEST INSTBY TO OCCR OVER SW. BULK SHEAR AROUND
30-35 KTS WILL HELP ORGANIZE STORMS. EXPECT INITIAL GENESIS REGION
OVER NRN INDIANA INTO WEST CENTRAL OHIO WITH STORMS DROPPING SE
THRU ILNS FA DURG AFTN/EVE HOURS.

LOOKING AT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAIN TIMING INDICATED
FROM CONVECTIVE ENABLING MODELS WILL BE THRU 9 PM. ILN/S 17Z
SOUNDING SHOWS DECAPE VALUE AROUND 1000 J/KG IN RESPONSE TO MID
LEVEL DRY AIR. THEREFORE DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A THREAT INTO
EARLY EVENING. GIVEN WBZ HEIGHT AND INSTBY...LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO
BE A THREAT. A BRIEF TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT EARLY WITH
SUPERCELLS BEFORE STORMS EVOLVE INTO A LINE.

HAVE BUMPED POPS UP TO CATEGORICAL INTO THE EARLY EVENING AND THEN
DIMINISH THESE POPS FROM NW TO SE OVERNIGHT.

COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILER IN FROM THE NW LATE TONIGHT
WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S NW TO THE LOWER/MID 60S SE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
SPLIT FLOW MID/UPR LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WITH CLOSED LOW OVER THE SW
U.S. AND RIDGE OVER THE GULF STATES. BAND OF W-NWRLY MID LEVEL FLOW
TO BECOME MORE NWRLY. FRONT NEAR OHIO RIVER EARLY ON THURSDAY WILL
SLIP SOUTH OF THE REGION. MOST OF THE CWA WILL BE RAIN FREE BY
DAYBREAK...WILL ONLY KEEP SLIGHT CHC OF PRECIP VERY EARLY THURSDAY.
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND FAIR WEATHER. EXPECT THURSDAYS HIGHS TO
RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S NW TO NEAR 80 SE.

SFC HIGH HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD SOUTHEAST BECOMING CENTERED
OVER THE REGION BY THE END OF THE WEEK. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
THURSDAY NIGHTS LOWS TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S NW TO THE LOWER 50S
SE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TRAVELING ON A NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW SHOULD
KEEP DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THOUGH
MAJOR WEATHER MAKING SYSTEMS AND LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL BE
ABSENT...A MORE UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL EMERGE ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...WHEN MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING OVER AN UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS
CHANCES MAY BE ENHANCED ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO INCREASED INSTABILITY
UNDER AN UPPER TROUGH.

TEMPERATURE REGIME WILL FEATURE A WARMING TREND. HIGHS WILL START
OUT IN THE MID 70S SATURDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES IN...BEFORE RISING
WELL INTO THE 80S BY TUESDAY UNDER WARM ADVECTION IN THE RETURN FLOW
BEHIND THE HIGH CENTER.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
NEAR THE NORTHERN TAF SITES IN AN AXIS OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE.
ONCE THIS CONVECTION GETS GOING...IT SHOULD DEVELOP INTO A BROKEN
LINEAR STRUCTURE AS IT MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE TAF SITES AS IT
FEEDS ON A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WITH BRIEF
MVFR TO IFR VISIBILITIES. ONLY GENERIC MVFR CONDITIONS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN PLACED IN THE TAFS ATTM...ALLOWING SHORT
TERM RADAR TRENDS DICTATE THE POTENTIAL FOR DETAILS AND AMENDMENTS.

FOR TONIGHT...MAIN CONVECTION SHOULD BE PUSHING SOUTH OF THE OHIO
RIVER. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST.
IT APPEARS THAT THE FORCING WITH THE FRONT ITSELF WILL BE WEAK AT
BEST AND MOST CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO WANE ACRS THE REGION THIS
EVENING WITH DECREASING INSTABILITY. SKIES WILL LIKELY GO PARTLY
CLOUDY OVERNIGHT AND WITH RECENT RAINFALL...SOME MVFR TO LOCALLY
IFR MIST MAY DEVELOP. THE FOG POTENTIAL WILL BE PARTICULARLY HIGHER
ACRS THE SRN TAF SITES WHERE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL
NEAR OR AFTER SUNRISE.

ON THURSDAY...FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE REGION. CAA BEHIND THE
FRONT ALONG WITH 850 MB MOISTURE WILL EVENTUALLY ALLOW A BROKEN
CUMULUS DECK TO DEVELOP.

OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...CONIGLIO
AVIATION...HICKMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
323 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-220730-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
323 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
615 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             MARYSVILLE              40.24N 83.37W
05/21/2014  M1.00 INCH       UNION              OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JDR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
619 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NAPOLEON                39.21N 85.33W
05/21/2014                   RIPLEY             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            1 TREE AND 1 TREE LIMB KNOCKED DOWN BY WIND GUST.

&&

BC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
621 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 PM     HAIL             HOLTON                  39.08N 85.38W
05/21/2014  E0.88 INCH       RIPLEY             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

HATZOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
623 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     FLOOD            TROY                    40.04N 84.20W
05/21/2014                   MIAMI              OH   PUBLIC

            STANDING WATER ON MANY ROADS

0608 PM     FLOOD            TIPP CITY               39.96N 84.18W
05/21/2014                   MIAMI              OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            STANDING WATER ON MANY ROADS

0610 PM     FLOOD            FAIRBORN                39.80N 84.02W
05/21/2014                   GREENE             OH   AMATEUR RADIO

            STANDING WATER ON MANY ROADS

&&

KURZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
624 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HEAVY RAIN       TROY                    40.04N 84.20W
05/21/2014  M2.50 INCH       MIAMI              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ALANR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
627 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HAIL             2 S WASHINGTON COURT HO 39.51N 83.43W
05/21/2014  E0.75 INCH       FAYETTE            OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            40 MPH WINDS AS WELL

&&

BINAU