Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2014
River Flood Warning 5, NWS Wilmington, NC
NWS Wilmington, NC issued this river flood warning at Feb 15, 2014, 11:01 AM EST for Robeson County, North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 16, 2014, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 5 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 15, 2014, 11:01 AM EST (16:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 16, 2014, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 20, 2014, 9:07 PM EST
- In force
- 5 days
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Robeson County, NC
The radar
The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Lumber River at Lumberton (LBRN7).
- Action stage
- 12 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 16 ft
- Major stage
- 19 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
532
WGUS42 KILM 151601
FLWILM
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1101 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH CAROLINA...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-160801-
/O.NEW.KILM.FL.W.0005.140216T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.140216T0600Z.140216T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9:22 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 13.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE
THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$11 follow-up statements
951
WGUS82 KILM 160122
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
822 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-161722-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0005.140216T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.140216T1200Z.140220T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
NEAR 13.1 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
04499
WGUS82 KILM 161544
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1044 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-170744-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140220T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.1 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
43329
WGUS82 KILM 170259
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
959 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-171859-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140218T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
959 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY TOMORROW
EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$401
WGUS82 KILM 171501
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1001 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE AFFECTING FLORENCE AND MARION COUNTIES SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-180701-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140220T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1001 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-180700-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0006.140218T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.1.ER.140218T0600Z.140219T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1001 AM EST MON FEB 17 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO
RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT SWAMPLANDS AND LOGGING
INTERESTS. FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT TIMBERLAND AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS YAUHANNAH
TWO WEEKS AFTER THE CREST PASSES PEE DEE. LOGGING EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE MOVED.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$921
WGUS82 KILM 180126
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
826 PM EST MON FEB 17 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE AFFECTING FLORENCE AND MARION COUNTIES SC
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-181726-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140220T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 PM EST MON FEB 17 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.6 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-181726-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0006.140218T0233Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.1.ER.140218T0233Z.140219T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 PM EST MON FEB 17 2014
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT SWAMPLANDS AND LOGGING
INTERESTS. FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT TIMBERLAND AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS YAUHANNAH
TWO WEEKS AFTER THE CREST PASSES PEE DEE. LOGGING EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE MOVED.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$534
WGUS82 KILM 181546
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1046 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE AFFECTING FLORENCE AND MARION COUNTIES SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-190746-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140221T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY THURSDAY
EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-190746-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140219T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 AM EST TUE FEB 18 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT SWAMPLANDS AND LOGGING
INTERESTS. FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT TIMBERLAND AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS YAUHANNAH
TWO WEEKS AFTER THE CREST PASSES PEE DEE. LOGGING EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE MOVED.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
43307
WGUS82 KILM 190159
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
859 PM EST TUE FEB 18 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE AFFECTING FLORENCE AND MARION COUNTIES SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-191759-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140220T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 PM EST TUE FEB 18 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6:45 PM TUESDAY...THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.4 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-191759-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140219T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
859 PM EST TUE FEB 18 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 PM TUESDAY...THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.8 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT SWAMPLANDS AND LOGGING
INTERESTS. FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT TIMBERLAND AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS YAUHANNAH
TWO WEEKS AFTER THE CREST PASSES PEE DEE. LOGGING EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE MOVED.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
47246
WGUS82 KILM 191454
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
954 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE AFFECTING FLORENCE AND MARION COUNTIES SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-200654-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140222T1800Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.140220T0000Z.140220T0000Z.140222T0600Z.NO/
954 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-200654-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140219T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
954 AM EST WED FEB 19 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.7 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON.
ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT SWAMPLANDS AND LOGGING
INTERESTS. FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT TIMBERLAND AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS YAUHANNAH
TWO WEEKS AFTER THE CREST PASSES PEE DEE. LOGGING EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE MOVED.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$419
WGUS82 KILM 200145
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
845 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE AFFECTING FLORENCE AND MARION COUNTIES SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-201745-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140225T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.140222T1200Z.140223T0600Z.140224T1200Z.NO/
845 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:25 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.83 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 12.8 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY...AND THEN RISE
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AGAIN BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST
AROUND 13.1 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-201745-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140222T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
845 PM EST WED FEB 19 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.2 FEET BY SATURDAY
MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT SWAMPLANDS AND LOGGING
INTERESTS. FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT TIMBERLAND AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS YAUHANNAH
TWO WEEKS AFTER THE CREST PASSES PEE DEE. LOGGING EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE MOVED.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$163
WGUS82 KILM 201557
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1057 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
LITTLE PEE DEE AT GALIVANTS FERRY AFFECTING DILLON...HORRY AND MARION COUNTIES
SC
GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE AFFECTING FLORENCE AND MARION COUNTIES SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC155-210757-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.140222T0000Z.140224T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY...THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING...AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC033-051-067-210757-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140223T1200Z/
/GALS1.1.ER.140220T1452Z.140220T1500Z.140223T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LITTLE PEE DEE AT GALIVANTS FERRY
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY...THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN STEADY...THEN WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY
EVENING.
* AT 9.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT RESIDENTIAL YARDS IN
THE FORK RETCH COMMUNITY UPSTREAM OF GALIVANTS FERRY NEAR THE TOWN OF NICHOLS.
SWAMPLAND FLOODING BECOMES NOTICEABLE AND NATURAL BOAT LANDINGS WILL BE
FLOODED.
&&
LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
3400 7938 3409 7930
$$
SCC041-067-210757-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140223T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EST THU FEB 20 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:00 AM THURSDAY...THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT SWAMPLANDS AND LOGGING
INTERESTS. FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT TIMBERLAND AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS YAUHANNAH
TWO WEEKS AFTER THE CREST PASSES PEE DEE. LOGGING EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE MOVED.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
47679
WGUS82 KILM 210207
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
907 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON AFFECTING ROBESON COUNTY NC
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
CAPE FEAR AT WILLIAM O HUSKE LOCK AND DAM 3 AFFECTING BLADEN COUNTY NC
LITTLE PEE DEE AT GALIVANTS FERRY AFFECTING DILLON...HORRY AND MARION COUNTIES
SC
GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE AFFECTING FLORENCE AND MARION COUNTIES SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM THE FLOOD WATERS.
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM UNDER THE
RIVERS/LAKES AHPS LINK.
&&
NCC017-211807-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0008.140221T0337Z-140223T1647Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.140221T0337Z.140222T0000Z.140223T0447Z.NO/
907 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE CAPE FEAR AT WILLIAM O HUSKE LOCK AND DAM 3.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 41.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 43.4 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 42.0 FEET...WATER LEVELS WILL TOP THE NAVIGATIONAL LOCK. OPERATIONS
STOP AND THE EQUIPMENT MUST BE REMOVED. MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR ON LAND
ADJACENT TO THE LEFT BANK OF THE RIVER.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC155-210237-
/O.CAN.KILM.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-140221T0207Z/
/LBRN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE LUMBER NEAR LUMBERTON.
* AT 6:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.75 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING TO 12.6 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. THE FLOOD
WATERS MAY AFFECT SOME RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY AS WATER BACKS UP INTO THE
DRAINAGE DITCHES IN THE CITY.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC033-051-067-211807-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-140223T0000Z/
/GALS1.1.ER.140220T1452Z.140221T0030Z.140222T1200Z.NO/
907 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE LITTLE PEE DEE AT GALIVANTS FERRY.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.02 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN STEADY NEAR 9.0 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY...AND THEN
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT RESIDENTIAL YARDS IN
THE FORK RETCH COMMUNITY UPSTREAM OF GALIVANTS FERRY NEAR THE TOWN OF NICHOLS.
SWAMPLAND FLOODING BECOMES NOTICEABLE AND NATURAL BOAT LANDINGS WILL BE
FLOODED.
&&
LAT...LON 3423 7921 3419 7910 3405 7920 3398 7928
3400 7938 3409 7930
$$
SCC041-067-211807-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.140222T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM EST THU FEB 20 2014
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE GREAT PEE DEE AT PEE DEE.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT SWAMPLANDS AND LOGGING
INTERESTS. FLOOD WATERS WILL AFFECT TIMBERLAND AS FAR DOWNSTREAM AS YAUHANNAH
TWO WEEKS AFTER THE CREST PASSES PEE DEE. LOGGING EQUIPMENT NEEDS TO BE MOVED.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 15, 9:22 AM EST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 9:22 AM EST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
922 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A QUICK MOVING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING
BRINGING A QUICK SHOT OF RAIN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY...BUT IT LOOKS DRY. A WARMING TREND WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL GEAR UP NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS OFFSHORE AND PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 930 AM SATURDAY...BRIEFLY DEBATED WIND ADVISORY FOR PART OF
THE REGION...MAINLY NC ZONES. WITH THE WIND SHIFT TO WESTERLY
OBSERVED SPEEDS HAVE BEEN HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE. WITH NO MAJOR
GUIDANCE COMING UP SOON (DELAYED SEVERAL HOURS BY COMMS ISSUE) LOCAL
HRRR MAIN MODEL RESOURCE TO ASSESS THIS SITUATION. EVEN IT SHOWS
THAT CONDITIONS GENERALLY FALLING SHORT OF ANY ADVISORY CRITERIA AS
THOUGHT BY PREVIOUS FORECASTER. DID SPEED UP TIMING OF PRECIP
END...WHICH HAS ALREADY COME FOR ALL BUT NC ZONES AND EVEN THIS
SHOULD TEND TO TRACE OUT/NOT MEASURE.
AS OF 635 AM SATURDAY...RATHER FAST MOVING POTENT S/W UPPER TROF TO
SWING ACROSS THE FA THIS MORNING...REACHING THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
THIS EVENING. AT THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING TO OFF THE NC COAST AROUND MIDDAY TODAY. THE DYNAMICS
OF THIS S/W TROF AND AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE PCPN MAINLY
EARLY THIS MORNING THRU THE LATE MORNING HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
EXIT NE OF THE ILM CWA AROUND MIDDAY. MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT
THAT ONCE THE UPPER S/W TROF AND ACCOMPANYING SFC LOW PUSH TO THE
COAST...RAPID INTENSIFICATION WILL OCCUR AS IT ACCELERATES TO THE
NORTHEAST...FURTHER AWAY FROM THE FA. LOOKING AT CLEARING SKIES
BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...ONLY TO
PARTIALLY CLOUD UP FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT S/W
UPPER TROF...CLIPPER...APPROACHES FROM THE NW. FOR THE MOST PART
FOLLOWED A COMPROMISE AMONGST THE AVAILABLE MODEL MOS GUIDANCE FOR
BOTH OF TODAYS MAX AND TONIGHTS MIN.
THE PROBLEM CHILD WITH THIS FORECAST WILL BE THE WINDS FOR THE
DAYLIGHT SATURDAY HOURS. INTENSIFICATION OF THE SFC LOW ONCE IT
REACHES THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF NC...WILL LIKELY BOMB AS IT
ACCELERATES TO THE NE AWAY FROM THE ILM CWA THIS AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT. THE SFC PRESSURE PATTERN WILL YIELD SW WINDS BECOMING W TO
NW LATER THIS MORNING AND THRU THIS AFTERNOON. THE SFC PG WILL
TIGHTEN DRAMATICALLY ACROSS THE FA EVEN AS IT ACCELERATES NE OF
THE AREA LATER TODAY...THUS INDICATING THE EXPLOSIVE NATURE OF
THIS LOW. WIND SPEEDS EARLY THIS MORNING AROUND 10 MPH...WILL
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 30+ MPH. THE
IMMEDIATE COASTAL COUNTIES WILL SEE 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 35+ MPH. FOR THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...WILL BE
LOOKING AT A DIMINISHING TREND TO THE WINDS AS THE SFC PG QUICKLY
RELAXES. WIND ADVISORY THRESHOLDS WILL NOT BE MET. HOWEVER...WITH
TREES...POWER LINES AND OTHER STRUCTURES HAVING WEAKENED FROM THE
WEEKS WINTRY WEATHER...THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AND A SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT ADDITIONAL DAMAGE
MAY BE POSSIBLE FROM THE GUSTY WINDS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 AM SATURDAY...THE MID LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE IN TRANSITION
DURING THE PERIOD FROM THE SEEMINGLY ENDLESS EAST COAST TROUGH TO
MORE OF A ZONAL FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE THE
PATTERN WILL BE WEAK WITH THE BEST PRESSURE PATTERN OCCURRING
EARLY MONDAY AS A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT RESETS THE THERMAL
PROFILES. NO POPS THROUGH THE PERIOD AND AS FAR AS
TEMPERATURES...SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE SIMILAR AS THE FRONT
MITIGATES ANY MODERATING. FOR HIGHS EXPECT 50S BOTH DAYS AND LOWS
WILL BE COOLER MONDAY WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION INCREASING READINGS
SOMEWHAT TUESDAY MORNING.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM SATURDAY...MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE
A SIGNIFICANT PATTERN CHANGE FROM BASICALLY A ZONAL FLOW TO A BROAD
SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. MID
LEVEL TROUGHING DEVELOPS IN THE ROCKIES AND IS NOT THE
DEEPEST/STRONGEST TROUGH THUS THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST IS NOT THAT AMPLIFIED BUT CERTAINLY STRONG ENOUGH TO
PROVIDE A GOOD WARMUP. AT THE SURFACE...A DECAYING FRONT MOVING WEST
TO EAST WITH THE INITIAL ZONAL CONFIGURATION WILL MOVE ACROSS
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WARRANTING A CONTINUATION OF MINIMAL POPS.
LATER IN THE WEEK A SYSTEM MAKES A RUN TO THE COAST WITH MINIMAL
POPS AS WELL. OVERALL EXPECT ANY FORCING MECHANISMS TO BE WEAK WITH
ONLY NUISANCE QPF. TEMPERATURES QUICKLY WARM INTO THE 70S FOR HIGHS
MOSTLY INLAND WITH LOWS IN THE 50S.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 12Z...FAST MOVING AND POTENT SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE
CWA. CELLS ARE VERY LOW TOPPED...HOWEVER A COUPLE OF LIGHTNING
STRIKES WERE NOTED NEAR LUMBERTON. THIS WILL BE A TRANSITORY FEATURE
A WILL PROBABLY NOT HAPPEN AGAIN. LOOK FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. FLO IS IFR AT THIS TIME BUT SHOULD COME UP
SOON ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. LATER THIS MORNING WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST AND BECOME VERY GUSTY. GUSTS OVER 30 KTS ARE
POSSIBLE. SKY CONDITIONS IMPROVING THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING
SCATTERED BY 19-20Z.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL FEATURE MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS.
&&
.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 930 AM SATURDAY...LATEST UPDATE RAMPS UP TO GALE WARNING. NO
CHANGES PLANNED TO THE FORECAST WINDS/SEAS.
AS OF 635 AM SATURDAY...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH 9 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A GALE WARNING IN EFFECT
FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EARLY THIS EVENING. A SCA WILL LIKELY FOLLOW THE
GALES THIS EVENING.
MAIN DILEMMA FOR THIS FORECAST CONCERNS THE WINDS PROGGED BY THE
MODELS AS THE POTENT UPPER S/W TROF AND ACCOMPANYING SFC LOW PUSH
ACROSS THE WATERS THIS MORNING...AND ITS BOMBING PHASE AS IT
ACCELERATES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE GFS SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT ARE SLIGHTLY TIGHTER THEN THE OTHER AVAILABLE
MODELS. WILL LEAN TOWARD THIS OUTPUT...AND FORECAST WINDS AT 25
TO 35 KT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT MAINLY LATER THIS MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON. THUS SATISFYING THE GALE WARNING THRESHOLDS.
SIGNIFICANT SEAS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON
HOURS PRIOR TO WIND DIRECTIONS BECOMING NW. THE OFFSHORE
TRAJECTORY IN THE WIND FIELD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WILL
LIMIT THE FETCH AVAILABLE FOR BUILDING THE SIG SEAS. IN FACT...THE
SIG. SEAS WILL ACTUALLY SUBSIDE FROM THESE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DOMINATE PERIODS WILL RUN 5 TO 7
SECONDS.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 315 AM SATURDAY...TEPID WINDS FOR MOST OF THE DAY SUNDAY AS A
WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN PREVAILS. EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS OF TEN KNOTS
OR LESS. LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY A BACKDOOR FRONT OR SURGE
MOVES ACROSS FROM THE NORTH WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10-15
KNOTS. BY LATE MONDAY THE PATTERN RELAXES AGAIN WITH A SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING AROUND 15 KNOTS. SIGNIFICANT SEAS DONT
REALLY GET A CHANCE TO BUILD WITH THE BRIEF SURGE AND 2-3 FEET
SHOULD PREVAIL.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THEME FOR
THE EXTENDED MARINE FORECAST. QUASI BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE
IN FROM THE EAST WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS WELL TO THE
NORTH. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MODEST WITH THE RELATIVELY WEAK PRESSURE
PATTERN HOVERING AROUND TEN KNOTS. THE FRONT WILL INCREASE THE
GRADIENT LATE WEDNESDAY WARRANTING AN INCREASE OF WINDS TO 10-15
KNOTS. SIGNIFICANT SEAS WILL BE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE WINDS WITH 2-3
FEET AND MAYBE AN INCREASE INTO THE 2-4 FOOT RANGE LATE.
&&
.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR AMZ250-
252-254-256.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ250-252-254-
256.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SHK
NEAR TERM...MBB
SHORT TERM...SHK
LONG TERM...SHK
AVIATION...DCH/SGLHazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 4:11 AM EST, 6 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 411 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105-107-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053-055-161100- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- 411 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. FOR TODAY... DURING THIS MORNING...W TO NW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FEW GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH BY MIDDAY AND CONTINUING THIS AFTERNOON. THESE GUSTY W TO NW WINDS COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO TREES ...POWER LINES AND VARIOUS STRUCTURES WEAKENED AND/OR DAMAGED FROM THE WINTRY WEATHER THIS PAST WEEK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ106-108-110-SCZ054-056-161100- COASTAL PENDER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-COASTAL HORRY- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- 411 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. FOR TODAY... DURING THIS MORNING...W TO NW WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH BY MIDDAY AND CONTINUING THIS AFTERNOON. THESE GUSTY W TO NW WINDS COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO TREES ...POWER LINES AND VARIOUS STRUCTURES WEAKENED AND/OR DAMAGED FROM THE WINTRY WEATHER THIS PAST WEEK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. AMZ250-252-254-256-161100- SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM- CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM- LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM- MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM- 411 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. GALE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DOUGH
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 15, 6:06 AM EST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 606 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014 NCZ106-108-110-SCZ054-056-151800- COASTAL PENDER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- COASTAL HORRY-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...OCEAN ISLE BEACH... HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...SOUTHPORT...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 606 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014 ...STRONG GUSTY AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS TO OCCUR TODAY... DURING THIS MORNING...SW WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...WILL VEER TO THE W AND NW AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THIS IN RESPONSE TO INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE NC MAINLAND THIS MORNING AND FURTHER DEEPENING AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE REGION. THESE GUSTY W TO NW WINDS COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL OR FURTHER DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND VARIOUS STRUCTURES THAT WERE ALL WEAKENED AND/OR DAMAGED FROM THIS PAST WEEKS WINTER STORM. PEOPLE AND MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AND EXHIBIT EXTRA PRECAUTION WHEN APPROACHING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL FINALLY DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ENDING THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL WIND DAMAGE ACROSS THE REGION. NCZ087-096-099-105-107-109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053-055- 151800- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...WILMINGTON...LELAND...BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE... BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION... KINGSTREE...CONWAY...ANDREWS 606 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014 ...STRONG GUSTY AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS TO OCCUR TODAY... DURING THIS MORNING...SW WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH...WILL VEER TO THE W AND NW AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 35 MPH LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THIS IN RESPONSE TO INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE NC MAINLAND THIS MORNING...AND FURTHER DEEPENING AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE REGION. THESE GUSTY W TO NW WINDS COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL OR FURTHER DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES AND VARIOUS STRUCTURES THAT WERE ALL WEAKENED AND/OR DAMAGED FROM THIS PAST WEEKS WINTER STORM. PEOPLE AND MOTORISTS TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT AND EXHIBIT EXTRA PRECAUTION WHEN APPROACHING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL FINALLY DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ENDING THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL WIND DAMAGE ACROSS THE REGION. DOUGH
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wilmington, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 5:08 AM EST | Gale Warning | ILM | 13 hr | |
| Feb 15, 5:59 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | ILM | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every river flood warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.