Alert archive / South Carolina / Flood Watches in 2014
Flood Watch 2, NWS Wilmington, NC
NWS Wilmington, NC issued this flood watch at Aug 1, 2014, 10:11 AM EDT for 8 counties in South Carolina; 6 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 1, 2014, 10:11 AM EDT (14:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 4, 2014, 3:27 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, NC
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Columbus County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Pender County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Florence County, SC, Georgetown County, SC, Horry County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC
The radar
The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2112 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 609 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 95 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
293 WGUS62 KILM 011411 FFAILM URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1011 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-012300- /O.NEW.KILM.FA.A.0002.140801T1411Z-140804T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 1011 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN...COASTAL BRUNSWICK... COASTAL NEW HANOVER...COASTAL PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER...INLAND PENDER AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON... DILLON...FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN...MARION...MARLBORO... WILLIAMSBURG...COASTAL HORRY AND INLAND HORRY. * THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED AREAS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * HEAVY RAIN WILL BE FALLING ON AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DURING THE LAST FEW WEEKS. INCREASED RUNOFF WILL ELEVATE FLOODING POTENTIAL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ III
11 follow-up statements
192 WGUS62 KILM 011928 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 328 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-020400- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140804T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 328 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER... COASTAL PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER...INLAND PENDER AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN...MARION...MARLBORO... WILLIAMSBURG...COASTAL HORRY AND INLAND HORRY. * THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED AREAS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * HEAVY RAIN WILL BE FALLING ON AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DURING THE LAST FEW WEEKS. INCREASED RUNOFF WILL ELEVATE FLOODING POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ III
830 WGUS62 KILM 020248 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1048 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-021100- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140804T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 1048 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... BLADEN...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS...ROBESON. GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION... MARLBORO...WILLIAMSBURG AND HORRY. * THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ON AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DURING THE LAST FEW WEEKS. INCREASED RUNOFF WILL RESULT...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ 9
054 WGUS62 KILM 020903 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 503 AM EDT SAT AUG 2 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-022000- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140804T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 503 AM EDT SAT AUG 2 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER... COASTAL PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER...INLAND PENDER AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN...MARION...MARLBORO... WILLIAMSBURG...COASTAL HORRY AND INLAND HORRY. * THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.. * HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ON AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DURING THE LAST FEW WEEKS. INCREASED RUNOFF WILL RESULT...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
780 WGUS62 KILM 021929 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 329 PM EDT SAT AUG 2 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-030400- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140804T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 329 PM EDT SAT AUG 2 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER... COASTAL PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER...INLAND PENDER AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN...MARION...MARLBORO... WILLIAMSBURG...COASTAL HORRY AND INLAND HORRY. * THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ON AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DURING THE LAST FEW WEEKS. INCREASED RUNOFF WILL RESULT...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ III
179 WGUS62 KILM 030008 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 808 PM EDT SAT AUG 2 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-031000- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140804T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 808 PM EDT SAT AUG 2 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER... COASTAL PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER...INLAND PENDER AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN...MARION...MARLBORO... WILLIAMSBURG...COASTAL HORRY AND INLAND HORRY. * THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ON AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DURING THE LAST FEW WEEKS. INCREASED RUNOFF WILL RESULT...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ COLBY
904 WGUS62 KILM 030931 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 531 AM EDT SUN AUG 3 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-032000- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140804T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 531 AM EDT SUN AUG 3 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER... COASTAL PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER...INLAND PENDER AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN...MARION...MARLBORO... WILLIAMSBURG...COASTAL HORRY AND INLAND HORRY. * THROUGH THIS EVENING. * SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OVER 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. * HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL ON AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL DURING THE LAST FEW WEEKS. INCREASED RUNOFF WILL RESULT...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
116 WGUS62 KILM 031852 FFAILM URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 252 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-040500- /O.EXT.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140805T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 252 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER... COLUMBUS...AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA... GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION... MARLBORO...WILLIAMSBURG...AND HORRY. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY RUN-OFF RESULTING IN FLOODING. LOW LYING AREAS...OR LOCATIONS IN THE VICINITY OF POOR DRAINAGE ARE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ SRP
662 WGUS62 KILM 040213 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1013 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2014 NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-041000- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140805T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION- WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN- COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH... GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 1013 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BLADEN...COASTAL BRUNSWICK...COASTAL NEW HANOVER... COASTAL PENDER...COLUMBUS...INLAND BRUNSWICK...INLAND NEW HANOVER...INLAND PENDER AND ROBESON. IN NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...COASTAL GEORGETOWN...DARLINGTON...DILLON... FLORENCE...INLAND GEORGETOWN...MARION...MARLBORO... WILLIAMSBURG...COASTAL HORRY AND INLAND HORRY. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY RUN-OFF RESULTING IN FLOODING. LOW LYING AREAS...OR LOCATIONS IN THE VICINITY OF POOR DRAINAGE ARE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ 8
847 WGUS62 KILM 040737 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 337 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2014 SCZ017-023-040845- /O.CAN.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140805T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARLBORO-DARLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON 337 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE THREAT FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS DIMINISHED TODAY. $$ NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ024-032-033-039-053>056-041600- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140805T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER- INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK- COASTAL BRUNSWICK-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN... WHITEVILLE...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON... CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA... SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE...CONWAY... MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS... GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 337 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... BLADEN...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS... ROBESON...GEORGETOWN...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION... WILLIAMSBURG...AND HORRY. * THROUGH THIS EVENING. * ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR UP 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN TODAY. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF RESULTING IN FLOODING. LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ 9
088 WGUS62 KILM 041011 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 611 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2014 NCZ087-SCZ024-032-033-039-041115- /O.CAN.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140805T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ROBESON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...DILLON...FLORENCE... MARION...KINGSTREE 611 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS DIMINISHED. $$ NCZ096-099-105>110-SCZ053>056-041930- /O.CON.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140805T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER- COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE...BURGAW... SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH... WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE... OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...SOUTHPORT... CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY... ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 611 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... BLADEN...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS... GEORGETOWN...AND HORRY. * THROUGH THIS EVENING. * ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR UP 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN TODAY. * THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAIN AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF RESULTING IN FLOODING. LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ 9
195 WGUS62 KILM 041927 FFAILM FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 327 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2014 NCZ096-099-105>110-SCZ053>056-042030- /O.CAN.KILM.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-140805T0000Z/ /00000.0.OT.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER- COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE...BURGAW... SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH... WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE... OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...SOUTHPORT... CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY... ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...MURRELLS INLET 327 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD HEAVY AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AND AS A RESULT...THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ 11
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Aug 1, 7:25 AM EDT, 2 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 7:25 AM EDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 725 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A COASTAL FRONT JUST OFFSHORE WILL PUSH INLAND TODAY...THEN WILL STALL OVER THE AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING GOOD RAIN CHANCES...WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... AS OF 730 AM FRIDAY...FIRST ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS PASSING TO THE NORTH AS THE NEXT WAVE APPROACHES THE COAST FROM THE SOUTH. HAVE UPDATED FORECAST TO TRY TO CAPTURE TIMING OF PRECIP...OTHERWISE FORECAST REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS: A COASTAL FRONT OFFSHORE IS WORKING ITS WAY BACK TO THE COAST AS AN UNSEASONABLY DEEP LONG WAVE TROUGH MAINTAINS ITS POSITION OVER EASTERN CONUS. GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE FRONT WILL PUSH ASHORE THIS MORNING AND THEN STALL SOMEWHERE OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. GUIDANCE ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A DEEP LAYER TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THE NEAR TERM...WITH P/W VALUES IN THE 2 INCH RANGE THROUGHOUT. IN ADDITION...AT LEAST ONE UPPER SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCE WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE BASE OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH AND THEN OVER THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY AND THUS LIMIT ANY POTENTIAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. HOWEVER...SHEAR PROFILES TODAY BECOME A BIT MORE FAVORABLE FOR THE VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADIC ACTIVITY. IN FACT...WE HAVE ALREADY SEEN MULTIPLE...MAINLY WEAK...INDICATIONS OF LOW LEVEL ROTATION ON THE RADAR AND HAVE ISSUED ONE WARNING FOR A POTENTIAL TORNADO BASED SOLELY ON RADAR RETURNS. NO TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED AS OF THIS WRITING...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE REPORTS OF A WEAK TORNADO AT THE END OF THE DAY. STAGE IS THEREFORE SET FOR A CLOUDY AND UNSETTLED DAY. POPS WILL BE LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL TODAY AND TONIGHT. A POSSIBLY GREATER THREAT THAN TORNADOS IS THE CHANCE OF LOCALIZED FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN IN TRAINING STORMS. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S MOST PLACES. MODEL CONSENSUS HAS OVERNIGHT LOWS OF AROUND 70. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 330 AM FRIDAY...THE WEEKEND CONTINUES TO LOOK QUITE WET AND COOL...EVEN AS THE PERSISTENT DEEP UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO WEAKEN ACROSS THE EAST. ALTHOUGH THE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO FILL...RELATIVELY LOWERED THICKNESSES WILL PERSIST AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE OH VLY AND INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. THIS WILL HAVE THE EFFECT OF KEEPING THE TROUGH AS THE DRIVING INFLUENCE ALOFT...WITH CONTINUED MOIST ADVECTION ON S/SW MID-LEVEL WINDS. AT THE SURFACE...COASTAL TROUGH WHICH MOVES INLAND BEFORE THE PERIOD...WILL STALL ACROSS...OR JUST INLAND...OF THE CWA...PUMPING MOIST SE WINDS INTO THE AREA AND SERVING AS A CONVERGENT FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. ALL THIS COMBINES WITH PERSISTENT UPPER DIFFLUENCE WITHIN THE ENTRANCE REGION TO A JET STREAK ACROSS THE NORTHEAST...AND THE WKND LOOKS TO BE PRETTY MUCH A WASH OUT. MOS NUMBERS ARE ALREADY CATEGORICAL...BUT WITH NO SINGLE TIME PERIOD FAVORED...WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGH-LIKELY FOR THE WKND. QPF COULD BE QUITE SUBSTANTIAL AS WELL...WITH 1-3" OF RAIN EXPECTED...ALONG WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS. THE CLOUDS...RAIN...AND LOWERED THICKNESSES WILL KEEP HIGHS BELOW NORMAL FOR EARLY-AUGUST...BUT AT THE SAME TIME MAINTAIN NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LOWS. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S BOTH DAYS...AND LOWS IN THE LOW 70S. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 230 PM THURSDAY...ATYPICALLY WELL DEFINED (FOR THE TIME OF YEAR) MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGHINESS TO OUR WEST ON SUNDAY. DECAYING SURFACE BOUNDARY TO PROVIDE LOW LEVEL LIFT...WHICH WILL THEN BE AIDED BY MID LEVEL PVA AND UPPER DIVERGENCE ASSOC WITH RIGHT ENTRANCE OF UPPER JET STREAK ACROSS NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC. AND WHILE RAIN CHANCES SEEM TO WARRANT LIKELY POPS MODELS ARE NOT SUGGESTIVE OF HIGH QPF AMOUNTS. THIS MAY BE DUE TO IT BEING SUCH A CLOUDY DAY THAT VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY MANAGES TO DEVELOP SAVE FOR PERHAPS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THESE PLAYERS ALL REMAIN NEARLY IN PLACE HEADING INTO MONDAY ALTHOUGH ALL OF THEM WEAKEN. LOOKING FOR ANOTHER DAY OF HIGH POPS AND SUPPRESSED AFTERNOON TEMPS. TUESDAY SHOULD BRING LOWER RAIN CHANCES BUT STILL ONES THAT ARE HIGHER THAN NORMAL. THE UPPER JET CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST WHILE THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WEAKENS...BUT ALSO SENDS ITS REMAINING VORT CENTER ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. IN RESPONSE TO THIS THE GFS STRAIGHTENS THE PIEDMONT TROUGH AT THE SURFACE. WE ALSO MAY SEE A BIT MORE SUNSHINE IN CONTRAST TO THE EARLY PARTS OF THE PERIOD. TUESDAY MAY THUS BE A DAY WHERE WE TRANSITION TO MORE SCATTERED AND DEEPER CONVECTION ESP IF TEMPS START BOUNCING BACK TOWARDS CLIMO. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY LOOK SEASONABLE WITH RESPECT TO BOTH TEMPERATURES AND AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION. MID LEVEL FLOW SHOULD BE OF A DRIER WESTERLY DIRECTION WHILE SOME SEMBLANCE OF A PIEDMONT TROUGH REMAINS. && .AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... AS OF 12Z...LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE CONVECTION WILL WAVE NORTH OF ILM BY 13Z...AND MAY AFFECT LBT FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF HOURS THIS MORNING. THERE MAY BE A BIT OF A LULL IN THE ACTION AS THIS FIRST IMPULSE MOVES NORTH OF THE REGION. WITH PWATS AROUND 2 INCHES AND A LOW LFC...JUST A BIT OF HEATING WILL LIKELY POP THIS AGAIN AROUND MIDDAY...CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CONVECTION WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...HOWEVER WEAK IMPULSES TONIGHT COULD PRODUCE CONVECTION AT ALMOST ANY TIME. SOUTHEAST FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...SHRA/TSRA LIKELY WITH PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MON AS A FRONT STALLS AND FINALLY DISSIPATES OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS CONTINUES ON TUE. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... AS OF 7:30 AM FRIDAY...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WITH THE LATEST UPDATE. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS: A WARM FRONT OVER THE WATERS WILL PUSH WEST AND ASHORE THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL VEER FROM PRESENT EASTERLY DIRECTION TO SE LATER TODAY AND THEN SOUTH OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL STAY IN THE GENERAL 10 TO 15 KT RANGE...WITH SEAS RANGING FROM 3 TO 4 FT THROUGH THE PERIOD. SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 330 AM FRIDAY...COASTAL TROUGH WILL STALL INLAND OF THE WATERS DURING THE WEEKEND...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXPANDS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC TO THE EAST. THIS LEAVES THE COASTAL WATERS PINCHED BETWEEN THE TWO...AND ALTHOUGH THE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...WINDS WILL BE 10-15 KTS BOTH DAYS...WITH A S/SE DIRECTION PREDOMINANT. SEAS WILL BE 2-4 FT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A SE GROUND SWELL AMPLIFYING...COMBINING WITH A SOUTHERLY WIND WAVE TO FORM THE ENTIRE WAVE SPECTRUM. LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... AS OF 230 PM THURSDAY...LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS ON SUNDAY WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST INLAND OF THE COAST. WIND CHOP WILL BE COINCIDENT WITH 11 SECOND SOUTHEASTERLY SWELL. THE WEAKENING BOUNDARY WILL MOVE FURTHER INLAND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AND THE WEST ATLANTIC HIGH POKES A BIT WESTWARD FURTHER INTO THE CAROLINAS. THIS COULD LEAD TO AN OCCASIONAL INCREASE IN FLOW BY A FEW KNOTS AND ALSO A SLIGHT VEER FROM S TO SW. && .ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SC...NONE. NC...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...REK/III NEAR TERM...REK SHORT TERM...JDW LONG TERM...MBB AVIATION...DL MARINE...REK/JDW/MBB
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 9:58 AM EDT, 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 958 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 AMZ250-252-254-256-021400- SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM- CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM- LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM- MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM- 958 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NCZ106-108-021400- COASTAL PENDER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER- 958 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 ...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NCZ087-096-099-105-107-109-110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056- 021400- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-INLAND PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON- FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY- INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- 958 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. RJD
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 1, 5:05 AM EDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 505 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 NCZ105-010945- INLAND PENDER- 505 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2014 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS PENDER COUNTY THROUGH 545 AM EDT... AT 505 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER ASHTON...OR ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTH OF BURGAW...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BURGAW...ASHTON...MURRAY TOWN...VAN EDEN...WHITE STOCKING...ST. HELENA AND WATHA. HAZARDS INCLUDE... GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. SHOULD THE STORM ROTATION INCREASE AND THE STORM INTENSIFY A WARNING MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED. && LAT...LON 3467 7800 3458 7770 3442 7792 3446 7804 TIME...MOT...LOC 0905Z 199DEG 7KT 3448 7793 WEISS
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wilmington, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 9:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | Georgetown | 47 min |
| Aug 1, 12:37 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | Horry | 38 min |
| Aug 1, 1:10 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | Horry | 2 hr |
| Aug 1, 7:00 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | Florence | 90 min |
| Jul 31, 9:37 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | ILM | 23 min | |
| Jul 31, 10:17 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | ILM | 43 min | |
| Jul 31, 10:48 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | ILM | 57 min | |
| Jul 31, 11:41 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | ILM | 49 min | |
| Aug 1, 2:47 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | New Hanover | 43 min |
| Aug 1, 2:51 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | ILM | Brunswick, New Hanover, Pender | 20 min |
| Aug 1, 3:39 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | Brunswick, Pender | 2 hr |
| Aug 1, 3:51 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | Pender | 39 min |
| Aug 1, 5:05 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | ILM | Pender | 40 min |
| Aug 1, 5:13 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | ILM | 62 min | |
| Aug 1, 10:36 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | ILM | 84 min | |
| Aug 1, 12:02 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ILM | Pender | 118 min |
Nearby
Flood Watches in South Carolina, 2014Flood Watches in North Carolina, 2014Every flood watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.