Severe Thunderstorm Warning 156, NWS Wichita, KS

315 
WWUS53 KICT 150424
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1124 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

KSC009-105-167-150515-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-140615T0515Z/
RUSSELL KS-LINCOLN KS-BARTON KS-
1124 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARTON...
WESTERN LINCOLN AND RUSSELL COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM CDT...

AT 1122 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM PARADISE TO 18 MILES WEST OF BELPRE...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSSELL...GREAT BEND...GALATIA...ALBERT...LURAY...OLMITZ...PAWNEE
ROCK...BUNKER HILL...SUSANK...HOISINGTON...LUCAS...DORRANCE...SYLVAN
GROVE...CLAFLIN...ELLINWOOD...WALDO...MILBERGER...RUSSELL AIRPORT...
GREAT BEND AIRPORT AND WILSON LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3860 9904 3884 9905 3914 9903 3914 9850
      3921 9849 3922 9828 3887 9835 3887 9848
      3826 9848 3825 9886 3827 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0425Z 244DEG 43KT 3914 9890 3803 9938

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

DARMOFAL

289 
WWUS53 KICT 150438
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1138 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

KSC009-105-167-150515-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-140615T0515Z/
RUSSELL KS-LINCOLN KS-BARTON KS-
1138 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARTON...
WESTERN LINCOLN AND RUSSELL COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM CDT...

AT 1136 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LURAY TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
LARNED...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREAT BEND...ALBERT...LURAY...OLMITZ...PAWNEE ROCK...BUNKER HILL...
SUSANK...HOISINGTON...LUCAS...DORRANCE...SYLVAN GROVE...CLAFLIN...
ELLINWOOD...RUSSELL AIRPORT...GREAT BEND AIRPORT...WILSON LAKE AND
ASH GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3860 9904 3884 9905 3914 9903 3914 9850
      3921 9849 3922 9828 3887 9835 3887 9848
      3826 9848 3825 9886 3827 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0438Z 244DEG 43KT 3921 9872 3810 9920

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

KETCHAM

895 
WWUS53 KICT 150449
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1149 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

KSC009-105-167-150515-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-140615T0515Z/
RUSSELL KS-LINCOLN KS-BARTON KS-
1149 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARTON...
WESTERN LINCOLN AND RUSSELL COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM CDT...

AT 1145 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF LURAY TO LARNED...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREAT BEND...PAWNEE ROCK...BUNKER HILL...SUSANK...HOISINGTON...
LUCAS...DORRANCE...SYLVAN GROVE...CLAFLIN...ELLINWOOD...GREAT BEND
AIRPORT...WILSON LAKE AND ASH GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING 
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE ACROSS RUSSELL COUNTY. SEEK SHELTER NOW 
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3860 9904 3884 9905 3914 9903 3914 9850
      3921 9849 3922 9828 3887 9835 3887 9848
      3826 9848 3825 9886 3827 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0448Z 244DEG 43KT 3926 9858 3815 9906

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

KETCHAM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
901 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 900 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

WARM AIR ALOFT HAS EFFECTIVELY KEPT CONVECTION WELL NW OF THE
FORECAST AREA ALONG THE MAIN SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT IN NRN KS. ALSO
LOOKING AT KDDC RADAR...FINE LINE ASSOCIATED WITH THE DRY LINE SHOWS
DRYLINE BEGINNING TO PUSH BACK TO THE WEST...WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY
INCREASE CONVERGENCE AS THIS DRYLINE INTERSECTS THE COLD FRONT.
EXPECT THIS CONVERGENCE TO LEAD TO A LINE OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING
OVER SW KS LATE THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INCREASES IN THIS AREA. ONCE THIS CONVECTION GETS
GOING...THINK IT WILL MAKE STEADY EASTWARD PROGRESS TOWARDS THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA SOMETIME AFTER 06Z. THUS SPC
HAS ISSUED A SEVERE WATCH FOR A COUPLE OF CENTRAL KS COUNTIES...AS
MUCAPE VALUES REMAIN VERY HIGH...WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AS
THE CONVECTION PUSHES EAST. SO FOR THE TIME BEING..HAVE CUT BACK ON
POPS BEFORE 06Z WITH THIS IN MIND.  MAY HAVE TO MAKE FURTHER
ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS FOR AREAS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY
WARNING AREA AS THE NIGHT CONTINUES...DEPENDING ON HOW CONVECTION
DEVELOPS IN SW KS.

KETCHAM

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 336 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS FOCUS AROUND THUNDERSTORM/SEVERE WEATHER
CHANCES THIS EVENING-TONIGHT.

DESPITE SHORT-TERM AND CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS STRUGGLING TO
DEVELOP ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL KS (LIKELY DUE TO A STOUT
CAP)...KEEPING BRUNT OF CONVECTION FURTHER NORTH OVER NORTHERN KS
AND NE...EXPECTING AT LEAST ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING OVER
WEST-CENTRAL TO NORTHWEST KS...NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF A DRYLINE
AND ADVANCING STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT...AND AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE FROM THE WEST. ADDITIONAL MORE ISOLATED
ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER SOUTH ALONG THE DRYLINE OVER
WESTERN KS. GIVEN STRONG INSTABILITY AND AMPLE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR...THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS THIS EVENING...GENERALLY AS FAR EAST AS
HIGHWAY 14 OVER CENTRAL KS. GIVEN LARGE TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT
SPREADS...ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONGEAL INTO ONE OR MORE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES THEREAFTER...ADVANCING EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REST OF
EASTERN KS OVERNIGHT. DUE TO INITIAL STORMS MOVING MAINLY
NORTHEAST...THINKING ACTIVITY WILL NOT GET INTO CENTRAL KS UNTIL
7-8PM AT THE EARLIEST...WITH THE TURNPIKE CORRIDOR NOT AFFECTED
UNTIL 11PM-MIDNIGHT AT THE EARLIEST. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND
ASSOCIATED SEVERE POTENTIAL EAST/SOUTHEAST OF CENTRAL KS LATER
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT IS MORE UNCERTAIN...DUE TO A
STRENGTHENING CAP...AND BEST UPPER FORCING GLANCING NORTH OF THE
AREA. HOWEVER...GIVEN STRONG FRONTAL FORCING...THINKING AT LEAST
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND IS POSSIBLE AS FAR EAST AS THE
FLINT HILLS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH POTENTIAL ADVANCING SQUALL LINE.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY GETS HUNG UP OVER SOUTHEAST KS SUNDAY AS
ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. DESPITE WEAK
FRONTAL CONVERGENCE...STRONG INSTABILITY...WEAK CAP AND SUBTLE
SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS GENERALLY SOUTHEAST OF THE TURNPIKE LATE SUN
AFTERNOON-EVENING. STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET AND MOISTURE
ADVECTION MAY ALLOW THIS ACTIVITY TO FESTER WELL INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT OVER CENTRAL KS LATE
SUN NIGHT ON EASTERN FRINGE OF STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET AND
ASSOCIATED WARM/MOIST ADVECTION.

ADK

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 336 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

THEREAFTER...DRY...WARM AND BREEZY SUMMER-LIKE CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT--WEDNESDAY...WITH LEE TROUGHING
OUT TO THE WEST AND BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVERSPREADING
MID-AMERICA. LACK OF FOCUS AND WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES SHOULD
PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORMS THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AGAIN BE POSSIBLE BY LATE WED INTO THU...AS MODELS TRACK ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION.

ADK

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 643 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

MAIN SHORT TERM CONCERN THROUGH AT LEAST 06Z/SUN WILL BE STRONG
GUSTY WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH FOR MOST OF THE WRN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA AS A TIGHT GRADIENT CONTINUES. AS THE LATE EVENING
PROGRESSES...EXPECT TSRA TO DEVELOP ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
INITIALLY OVER CENTRAL KS BY AROUND 05Z NEAR KRSL AND 07Z FOR KSLN.
THE STRONGEST TSRA COULD PRODUCE SOME VARIABLE WIND GUSTS TO 40 KTS
ALSO REDUCING VSBYS TO 2-4SM (MVFR) IN AND AROUND THE HEAVIEST
STORMS.

EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORMS TO CONGEAL INTO A SOME SORT OF A FORWARD
PROPAGATING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX AFTER 06Z...RAPIDLY MOVING
EAST-SOUTHEAST TOWARDS KHUT AND KICT LATE TONIGHT BY AROUND
06-07Z/SUN.  NOT EXPECTING AS STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH THE TSRA FOR
KHUT/KICT...BUT SOME GUSTS TO 35-40KTS STILL SEEM POSSIBLE AROUND
THE STRONGEST STORMS ALONG THE LINE.  ALSO VSBYS COULD DROP TO
2-5SM.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND CONVECTION WILL MOVE QUICKLY INTO SE KS FOR
EARLY MORNING ON SUN...WITH CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KS BY SUN MORNING. FRONTAL BOUNDARY HANGS
UP OVER THE FLINT HILLS FOR SUNDAY...WHICH COULD LEAD TO ANOTHER
ROUND OF TSRA FOR KCNU FOR SUN AFTN.

KETCHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    67  88  71  92 /  50  20  30  10
HUTCHINSON      66  86  69  93 /  50  10  20  10
NEWTON          67  85  69  91 /  60  10  20  10
ELDORADO        69  85  70  89 /  50  30  30  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   70  88  71  91 /  50  30  40  10
RUSSELL         59  85  65  96 /  40   0  10  10
GREAT BEND      61  85  66  96 /  40   0  10  10
SALINA          65  86  68  93 /  50   0  10  10
MCPHERSON       66  86  68  93 /  50  10  20  10
COFFEYVILLE     72  87  72  88 /  40  40  40  10
CHANUTE         71  86  71  88 /  40  40  40  10
IOLA            71  85  70  88 /  40  40  40  10
PARSONS-KPPF    72  86  72  88 /  40  40  40  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>069-082-083-091>093.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1027 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-160330-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
1027 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

LOWLAND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS
SOUTHEAST RICE COUNTY AND NORTH CENTRAL RENO COUNTY RELATED TO THE
COW CREEK AND ITS TRIBUTARIES. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD
STATEMENTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE RPAIDLY NORTHEAST
INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS OVERNIGHT. LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE
OF GOLFBALL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS UP TO 70 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

THEREAFTER...THE STORM COMPLEX WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST
AND BE CAPABLE OF 60 MPH WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN...GENERALLY WEST OF THE FLINT HILLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD ARRIVE BACK INTO
THE PICTURE FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

ADK/KETCHAM