Wind Advisory 38, NWS Hanford, CA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
400 PM PST MON DEC 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
INCREASING CLOUDS TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE CENTER APPROACHES THE
REGION. RAIN EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA BY
DAYBREAK TOMORROW...SPREADING OVER ENTIRE AREA BY THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEST OF THE NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE LOW
WILL BRING PERIODS OF RAIN...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY...TO INTERIOR
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA.

SEVERAL FORECAST CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FIRST IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING IN THE BURN SCAR AREAS
IN AND NEAR YOSEMITE NATIONAL PARK...INCLUDING THE RIM...EL PORTAL
AND FRENCH FIRE SCARS...AND NEAR LAKE ISABELLA. UP TO 2.50 INCHES OF
RAIN ARE EXPECTED NEAR YOSEMITE...AND AMOUNTS WOULD BE HIGHER UNDER
ANY THUNDERSTORMS. THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN AND
BELOW THE BURN SCARS.

IN KERN COUNTY...AROUND AN INCH OF RAIN IS FORECAST FOR THE KERN
RIVER VALLEY AND COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN AND BELOW THE WAY
FIRE BURN SCAR FROM THE SCAR TO LAKE ISABELLA. ANOTHER CONCERN IS
THE THREAT OF FLOODING IN THE PIUTE MOUNTAINS. THE LATEST QPF IS FOR
2-2.50 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE PIUTES...AND THE
RAIN RATES ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE FLOOD THRESHOLD FOR THE
KELSO CREEK WATERSHED. THE KELSO CREEK WATERSHED ALSO DRAINS INTO
LAKE ISABELLA.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS
FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE SECOND CONCERN IS SNOW IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA NEVADA. BASED ON CURRENT QPF...COULD SEE UP TO 2 FEET OF SNOW
ABOVE 8000 FEET...ESPECIALLY NEAR YOSEMITE NATIONAL PARK. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH FOR THE SIERRA NEVADA ABOVE 8000 FEET HAS BEEN UPGRADED
TO A WINTER STORM WARNING.

THE LAST CONCERN IS WINDS AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA TUESDAY. WINDS COULD APPROACH ADVISORY CRITERIA ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND OVER THE SOUTH END OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY...AND LIKELY COULD REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER
THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AREAS.

THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER INTO THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA
THURSDAY...THEN DRY WEATHER RETURNS FRIDAY UNDER AN UPPER-LEVEL
SHORT-WAVE RIDGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
WIDESPREAD MVFR AND AREAS IFR CONDITIONS DEVELOPING IN PRECIPITATION
AFTER 12Z TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 KTS OVER THE MOUNTAINS
WITH OBSCURATIONS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM 18Z TUES
TO 06Z WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 12-01       76:1926     40:1905     56:2012     29:1906
KFAT 12-02       74:1907     39:1972     60:2012     27:1906
KFAT 12-03       75:1979     43:1972     54:2012     30:2004

KBFL 12-01       79:1903     44:1972     54:2012     27:2004
KBFL 12-02       87:1915     42:1972     58:2012     28:2004
KBFL 12-03       83:1979     45:1972     53:1979     27:1908
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM PST WEDNESDAY
FOR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA ABOVE 8000 FEET FOR THE
/CAZ096-097/.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR PARTS OF KERN...MADERA AND MARIPOSA COUNTIES /CAZ093-095-096/.

&&

PUBLIC...SANGER
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
542 AM PST MON DEC 1 2014

CAZ089-090-020145-
WEST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-EAST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
542 AM PST MON DEC 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY.

...GUSTY WINDS AND THUNDERSTORMS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

* WINDS: STRONG GUSTY SOUTH WINDS.

* TIMING: WINDS DEVELOPING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS
  POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WINDS ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE VALLEY.
  THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE CENTRAL VALLEY.

* IMPACTS: STRONG GUSTY WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
  RAIN RESULTING IN POSSIBLE FLOODING.

* STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE NEWS
  SOURCE...FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CAZ093-094-020145-
MARIPOSA MADERA AND FRESNO COUNTY FOOTHILLS-
TULARE COUNTY FOOTHILLS-
542 AM PST MON DEC 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FOOTHILLS OF THE
SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA.

...HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

* TIMING: RAIN DEVELOPING AROUND MID DAY TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS
  AND HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS AND
  EVENINGS.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALONG THE SIERRA FOOTHILLS.

* IMPACTS: THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS TO
  LOCATIONS IN AND AROUND RECENT BURN AREAS.

* STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE NEWS
  SOURCE...FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CAZ096-097-020145-
SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON-
TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
542 AM PST MON DEC 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA.

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

...HEAVY RAIN...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS: HEAVY RAIN PROBABLE OVER MUCH OF
  THE SIERRA. HEAVY SNOW ABOVE 8000 FEET PLEASE SEE SFOWSWHNX.

* TIMING: PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING AROUND MID DAY TUESDAY. HEAVY
  RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. UNSETTLED WEATHER
  CONTINUING WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALL OF SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA.

* IMPACTS: THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS TO
  LOCATIONS IN AND AROUND RECENT BURN AREAS.

* STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE NEWS
  SOURCE...FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CAZ095-020145-
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
542 AM PST MON DEC 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

* TIMING: STRONG SOUTH WINDS DEVELOPING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
  RAIN DEVELOPING AROUND MID DAY TUESDAY. RAIN POSSIBLY BECOMING
  HEAVY AT TIMES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: MUCH OF THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY
  SOUTH FACING SLOPES...INCLUDING NEAR THE MOUNT PINOS AND FRAZIER
  PARK AREA. ALSO NEAR ANY RECENT BURN AREAS INCLUDING NEAR LAKE
  ISABELLA.

* IMPACTS: THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS TO
  LOCATIONS IN AND AROUND RECENT BURN AREAS.

* STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE NEWS
  SOURCE...FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CAZ091-092-020145-
SOUTHWESTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-SOUTHEASTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
542 AM PST MON DEC 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY.

...GUSTY WINDS AND THUNDERSTORMS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

* WINDS: STRONG GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS.

* TIMING: GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY
  NEAR THE MOUNTAIN PASSES IN THE TEMBLORS AND THE GRAPEVINE.
  THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY
  NORTH OF KERN COUNTY.

* IMPACTS: STRONG CROSSWINDS CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND VEHICLES TOWING
  TRAILERS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND
  GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS.

* STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE NEWS
  SOURCE...FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

MV