Severe Thunderstorm Warning 17, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
345 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
AT 345 WATCHING ONE REMAIN REMAINING ELEVATED TSTM MOVING IN FROM
THE SW CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL (EGYPT HAS BEEN A LARGE HAIL
MAGNET IN THE PAST). CX MOST OF THE EARLIER WATCH EXCEPT AROUND
THAT TSTM.

EXTENDED WIND ADVSY AT THE COAST UNTIL 4 AM. ANTICIPATE SPEEDS TO
ACTUALLY INCREASE AS COLDER AIR MOVES OVER THE WARMER WATER. GUSTS
ABOVE 40 MPH A GOOD BET AT THE BEACHES/COASTLINE.

UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR BEHIND THIS FRONT. LOWS WILL APPROACH
RECORDS BUT SUSPECT WET GROUND/WINDS WILL BE LIMITING FACTORS FOR
THE SRN 2/3. HERE'S THE RECORDS FOR TUE:

CLL 38/1928 (FCST 35)
IAH 38/1928 (FCST 39)
GLS 41/1929 (FCST 45)

HIGH PRES WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESUME
LATE TUE. GRADUAL WARMING/MOISTENING TREND WILL THEN ENSUE.
WEAKENING FRONT WILL DIP INTO SE TX FRI AND BECOME DIFFUSE/WASHOUT
AS ITS UPPER SUPPORT AND PUSH HEADS OFF TO THE NE.  47

&&

.MARINE...
AN ALL-WATER GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY 7 AM CDT.
NORTHWESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE LOCAL WATERS AS
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WORKS IN TANDEM WITH A TIGHT OFFSHORE
PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT FOLLOWS/DEVELOPS BEHIND THIS AFTERNOON'S COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE. ELEVATED SEAS TO AS HIGH AS 10-12 FEET OFFSHORE...7
TO 8 FEET NEARSHORE. RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TO PASS OVER
THE WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. SMALL CRAFT ARE NOT
ADVISED TO BE ON THE WATER THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL WEAKEN/LOWER THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH GALE WARNINGS LOWERING TO
ADVISORIES THEN FALLING TO CAUTIONS BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING OVERHEAD ON ITS EASTERN TREK WILL HAVE LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING ONSHORE BY MID-WEEK. A WEAK BOUNDARY FRIDAY WILL BACK
EASTERLIES A TOUCH MORE NORTHEASTERLY. HIGHER LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCES
PER A DEVELOPING NEAR-COASTAL SURFACE TROUGH. 31

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      35  64  40  71  56 /  10   0   0  10  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              39  64  40  71  58 /  10   0   0  10  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            45  63  51  68  63 /  20   0   0  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AUSTIN...BRAZOS...BURLESON...COLORADO...FORT BEND...
     GRIMES...HOUSTON...LIBERTY...MADISON...MONTGOMERY...POLK...
     SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON...
     WHARTON.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...JACKSON...
     MATAGORDA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
     TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...
     MATAGORDA BAY.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS
     FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH
     ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT
     20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1215 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

TXZ210-141800-
COLORADO TX-
1215 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN COLORADO COUNTY
UNTIL 100 PM CDT...

AT 1214 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR HALLETTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM IF IT
MAINTAINS ITS INTENSITY AS IT MOVES INTO COLORADO COUNTY. A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WEIMAR...SHERIDAN AND ROCK ISLAND.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR .

LAT...LON 2985 9667 2948 9646 2944 9666 2958 9679
      2958 9683 2962 9684 2963 9688
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 243DEG 35KT 2951 9694

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1217 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

TXZ195>198-212-141800-
GRIMES TX-BURLESON TX-WALLER TX-BRAZOS TX-WASHINGTON TX-
1217 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1217 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES EAST OF LAKE SOMERVILLE DAM...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF BRENHAM...
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NAVASOTA...WASHINGTON...MILLICAN...ANDERSON AND INDEPENDENCE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR .

LAT...LON 3020 9646 3039 9650 3052 9592 3020 9585
TIME...MOT...LOC 1717Z 257DEG 40KT 3032 9635

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
103 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

TXZ210>212-226-227-141845-
COLORADO TX-AUSTIN TX-WALLER TX-FORT BEND TX-WHARTON TX-
103 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 103 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBUS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SEALY...COLUMBUS...EAGLE LAKE...WALLIS...SIMONTON...SAN FELIPE AND
ALTAIR.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

LAT...LON 2947 9655 2972 9657 2993 9606 2967 9594
TIME...MOT...LOC 1803Z 248DEG 37KT 2966 9644

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
308 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

TXZ210-226-235-142045-
COLORADO TX-JACKSON TX-WHARTON TX-
308 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN JACKSON...SOUTHEASTERN
COLORADO AND CENTRAL WHARTON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 307 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTH OF SPEAKS...OR 14 MILES EAST OF HALLETTSVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EAGLE LAKE...NADA...ROCK ISLAND...EGYPT...GARWOOD...SHERIDAN AND
ALTAIR.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT MONDAY
AFTERNOON FOR .

LAT...LON 2967 9630 2925 9616 2925 9667 2934 9656
      2949 9671
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 259DEG 40KT 2937 9671