River Flood Warning 39, NWS Gray, ME

839 
WGUS81 KGYX 261909
FLSGYX


RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY, ME
309 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW HAMPSHIRE...

  PEMIGEWASSET RIVER AT WOODSTOCK AFFECTING GRAFTON COUNTY
  SACO RIVER AT CONWAY AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
HAMPSHIRE

  PEMIGEWASSET RIVER AT PLYMOUTH AFFECTING GRAFTON COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO KNOW IF THE ROAD IS 
SAFE FOR TRAVEL. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET.

&&

NHC009-261939-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-140627T0246Z/
/WOON3.1.ER.140626T0817Z.140626T1030Z.140626T1509Z.NO/
309 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE PEMIGEWASSET RIVER AT WOODSTOCK.
* AT 2 PM THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.


&&

LAT...LON 4411 7168 4406 7153 4391 7161 4394 7176


$$

NHC009-270339-
/O.EXT.KGYX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140627T0339Z/
/PLMN3.1.ER.140626T1901Z.140626T1930Z.140626T1939Z.NO/
309 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEMIGEWASSET RIVER AT PLYMOUTH.
* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
  TO NEAR 13.1 FEET...THEN BEGIN FALLING.


&&

LAT...LON 4395 7176 4394 7160 4364 7154 4363 7171


$$

NHC003-261939-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-140627T0000Z/
/CNWN3.1.ER.140626T1335Z.140626T1630Z.140626T1806Z.NO/
309 PM EDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SACO RIVER AT CONWAY.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.

&&

LAT...LON 4415 7131 4420 7115 4384 7077 4378 7093


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
922 AM EDT THU JUN 26 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A STATIONARY FRONT IS SLOWLY DRIFTING THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE LATER TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE
IMPROVING AS THE BACK EDGE OF THE RAIN SHOULD BE COMPLETELY
THROUGH THE AREA BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWS
THE FRONT FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND. WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR
RETURNS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER FRONT WILL TRY TO
PUSH THROUGH THE AREA MIDWEEK AND THIS WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR
POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEXT WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
---1325Z UPDATE---
PRECIPITATION SHIELD PULLING OFF TO THE NORTH AND EAST WITH DRIER
AIR BEGINNING TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE CWA. IT WILL LIKELY TAKE
MOST OF THE DAY FOR THE CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE TO COMPLETELY WORK
THEIR WAY OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE FROM
WEST TO EAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO
ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TEMPERATURE TRENDS AND TO BRING DOWN POPS JUST
A BIT.

630 AM...HAVE DROPPED THE FF WATCH AND ADJUSTED POPS TO MOVE THE
SHRA OUT TO THE E QUICKER...BASED ON THE LOCAL MESOSCALE
MODELS...RAP/HRRR/WRF. THIS SHOULD REMOVE THE THREAT OF SHRA
ACROSS ALL BUT FAR ERN ZONES BY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MODELS DO
SUGGEST SOME SHRA POSSIBLE IN CT VLY AND SRN NH AS WEAK
CONVERGENCE DEVELOPS BENEATH THE UPPR LVL TROUGH. OTHERWISE LOOK
FOR VERY GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT TODAY. SOME BREAKS OF SUN MAY POSSIBLE
AFTER 5 OR 6 PM.

PREVIOUSLY...LOOKS LIKE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS WINDING DOWN
THIS AM. HAVE DROPPED THE FFA FOR SRN AREAS...AND EXPECT TO LET IT
GO FOR THE REST OF THE CWA BEFORE 8 AM. THE WEAK SFC LOW THAT
FORMED ON THE FRONT MAY BE STARTING TO FILL AS MID LVL
FRONTOGENESIS WEAKENS AS WELL....SO THE TREND WILL BE LESS HEAVY
RAIN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND MORE SHRA LATER THIS MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THE CURRENTLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
SLIDE SWD AS THE LOW SHIFTS EWD...BUT ANOTHER LOW DEVELOPS ON THE
FRONT TO OUR SW...AND THIS WILL KEEP THE CLOUDS AND TH SHRA IN THE
AREAS THRU MOST OF THE DAY. FAR NRN ZONES COULD SEE SOME BREAKS OF
SUN LATER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MOST AREAS WILL STAY CLOUDY. WE
WILL ALSO GRADUALLY SEE TDS DROP OFF DURING THE DAY...AND GIVEN
ALL THE CLOUDS HIGHS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE LOW TO MID 70S IN MOST
PLACES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
COULD SEE A FEW LINGERING SHRA ALONG THE MID COAST THIS EVE...BUT
EXPECTING CLEARING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT....WITH
COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR SETTLING IN. THE ONLY PROBLEM WILL BE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG AS COOL AIR AND GROUND MOISTURE COME
TOGETHER.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY LOOK LIKE FINE DAYS AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN
FROM THE NW...WITH MAXES IN THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S AND LOW
HUMIDITY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVERHEAD AND THIS WILL KEEP US DRY AND MILD
WITH LIGHT WINDS. BERMUDA HIGH LOOKS TO FINALLY GET ESTABLISHED BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS MEAN HOT AND HUMID AIR WILL BE PUMPED INTO
THE AREA...AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. THE WEATHER SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET UNTIL MIDWEEK...HOWEVER
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY UNDER THE MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS.  MODELS ARE HINTING AT A COLD FRONT
DROPPING DOWN ON WEDNESDAY AND THIS WOULD KICK OFF THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM...LOOK FOR SOME GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT LATER THIS AND THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT THAT MAY BE LIMITED TO MVFR...ESPECIALLY AT
KPWM/KRKD/KAUG. MAY ALSO SEE A RETURN TO IFR OR LOWER TONIGHT AS
WET GROUND LEADS TO FOG.  VFR EXPECTED FRI AND SAT.

LONG TERM...CONDITIONS MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOME
HAZE AND FOG DURING THE LATE NIGHT PERIODS RESULTING IN LOCAL MVFR
CONDITIONS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WATERS WILL REMAIN QUIET THROUGH SATURDAY.

LONG TERM...PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR SEAS AND
GUSTY WINDS TO INCREASE NEXT WEEK AS THE HEAT POURS INTO THE
REGION. SCAS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED DURING THAT PERIOD.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

POHL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
651 AM EDT THU JUN 26 2014

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-271000-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
651 AM EDT THU JUN 26 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ150>154-271000-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
651 AM EDT THU JUN 26 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT
BAY...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MA...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.