Flash Flood Warning 29, NWS Gray, ME

054 
WGUS71 KGYX 020131
FFSGYX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
931 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

MEC007-011-020245-
/O.CON.KGYX.FF.W.0029.000000T0000Z-140902T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KENNEBEC ME-FRANKLIN ME-
931 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM EDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL KENNEBEC AND SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

AT 928 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS 
ALREADY FALLEN AND ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL HAS ENDED...SMALL 
STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE DUE TO RUNOFF.  

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
FARMINGTON...JAY...BELGRADE...CHESTERVILLE...FAYETTE...MOUNT
VERNON...VIENNA...ROME AND NEW SHARON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 4443 6988 4448 7009 4449 7013 4451 7020
      4462 7013 4453 6980

$$

KISTNER

448 
WGUS71 KGYX 020205
FFSGYX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1005 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

MEC007-011-020212-
/O.CAN.KGYX.FF.W.0029.000000T0000Z-140902T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KENNEBEC ME-FRANKLIN ME-
1005 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL KENNEBEC AND SOUTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED IN THE AREA...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER 
EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT.  MOTORISTS IN THE AREA SHOULD USE CAUTION 
AND WATCH FOR FLOODED ROADS OVERNIGHT. 

LAT...LON 4443 6988 4448 7009 4449 7013 4451 7020
      4462 7013 4453 6980

$$

CEMPA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
846 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AND
WILL CROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AND WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE
THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OFF THE EAST COAST ON
FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL
STALL OVER THE REGION ON SATURDAY AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
TRACKS EAST ALONG IT. LOW PRESSURE WILL PUSH OFF TO THE EAST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST ON
SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
840 PM...GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED SEVERAL WAVES OVER THE LAST HOUR
TO COVER THE SHRA/TSRA THAT ARE MOVING SLOWLY AND REGENERATING ON
OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM JAY...LIVERMORE FALL REGION EAST INTO
THE BELGRADE LAKES. WILL HAVE TO MAKE SURE THESE DO FALL APART OR
MOVE ON IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS RADAR EST RAINFALL RATES AROUND
2 INCHES IN THE LAST HOUR IN SOME SPOTS. OTHERWISE MADE SOME TEMP
ADJUSTMENTS...MINS A LITTLE HIGHER ON THE COAST AND IN SRN NH AND
HIT THE FOG A LITTLE HARDER.

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POPPING IN NORTHERN ZONES THIS
AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY DIE OUT WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING BY THIS
EVENING. OCEAN STRATUS LURKING OFFSHORE WILL QUICKLY MOVE
INLAND THIS EVENING IN COASTAL AND SOUTHERN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
MAINE. ELSEWHERE VALLEY FOG WILL AFFECT THE USUAL SPOTS. LOWS
OVERNIGHT WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
HOT AND MUGGY TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. EXPECT
MORNING FOG AND STRATUS TO GIVE WAY TO HAZY SUN WHICH WILL QUICKLY
DESTABILIZE THE AIRMASS. SHOULD SEE AIRMASS TYPE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. NOT
LOOKING FOR A LOT IN THE WAY OF SHEAR UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY BUT
SOME STORMS IN THE NORTH COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS BY MID
AFTERNOON. ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP COASTAL MAINE FROM PORTLAND TO
THE MID COAST IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80. ELSEWHERE HIGHS WILL RANGE
THROUGH THE 80S TO NEAR 90.

MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION WILL BE LIKELY TUESDAY EVENING INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WHICH MAY LAST INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS IN FAR EASTERN ZONES. LOW TEMPS WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT RISING HEIGHTS AND SFC
HIGH PRES WILL BE WORKING INTO THE AREA BY WED MORNING. ANY
REMAINING SHOWERS SHOULD QUICKLY END BY MID MORNING...EVEN FOR ERN
ZONES.

HIGH PRES WILL REESTABLISH SE OF THE AREA...BRINGING SW FLOW
ALOFT AND A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. FRI SHOULD BE THE
WARMEST OF THESE DAYS...WITH H8 TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE MID TO
UPPER TEENS AND SOME COMPRESSIONAL WARMING AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FNT. STILL LOOK TO FALL SHY OF RECORDS IN THE LOW
90S...BUT READINGS SHOULD BE COMFORTABLY INTO THE 80S FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA.

S/WV TROF EJECTS OUT OF LARGER WRN TROF...AND RACES UP THRU CANADA
TO QUEBEC BY SAT. THIS WILL DRAG A COLD FNT SLOWLY TOWARDS THE
AREA FOR THE WEEKEND. MODEL GUIDANCE AGAIN IS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH A FROPA SAT...CLEARING THE COAST BY SUN. AS USUAL
MULTI-MODEL BLEND TENDS TO SMOOTH OUT THE POP AND PROLONG CHANCE
OF PCPN...SO I HAVE TRIED TO NARROW THE TIME WINDOW FOR POP AS
BEST AS POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME RANGE. THE RESULT IS MOSTLY DRY FRI
AND SUN...WITH HIGHEST POP SAT.

A MORE SEASONABLE AIR MASS BUILDS IN WITH CANADIAN HIGH PRES
BEHIND FROPA. NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY AIR WILL BE THE RULE FOR A FEW
DAYS...BEFORE RIDGING AND HEAT FROM THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
COUNTRY BUILDS OUR WAY AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SHORT TERM...IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VSBY DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT.
BECOMING VFR OF TUESDAY. AREAS OF MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND VSBY IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...GENERALLY VFR FOR THE EXTENDED. EXCEPTION WILL BE IN
NOCTURNAL VALLEY FOG AS HIGH PRES DOMINATES THE FORECAST. COLD
FROPA SAT INTO SUN MORNING COULD BRING AREAS OF MVFR IN
SHRA/TSTMS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...NO FLAGS.

LONG TERM...WINDS AND SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA
THRESHOLDS. AHEAD OF COLD FNT ON THE WEEKEND...SUSTAINED SWLY FLOW
MAY BUILD SEAS TO NEAR 5 FT...BUT MODEL GUIDANCE TENDS TO
OVERFORECAST WAVE HEIGHT UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEMPA
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
313 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

MEZ007>009-012-NHZ001>009-021915-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-
NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-
SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-
313 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. THE
STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SOME GUSTY WINDS OR SMALL HAIL...WHILE
ANY THUNDERSTORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MEZ013-014-018>028-NHZ010-013-014-021915-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-
STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
313 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ150>154-021915-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
313 PM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT
BAY...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MA...THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.