Wind Chill Watch 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
359 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A VERY STRONG AND DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWING AN ARCTIC COLD
FRONT OVER THE REGION EARLY MONDAY AND USHER IN RECORD LEVEL COLD
TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS AIRMASS WILL SLOWLY
WARM BACK TO NORMAL LEVELS BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM...CURRENTLY UPGLIDE SHWRS/DRIZZLE CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN
COVERAGE ACRS SC AND THE NC PIEDMONT. MEANWHILE...NUMEROUS TEMP
SENSORS ARE HOVERING IN THE 30-32 DEG RANGE ACRS MUCH OF THE NC
FOOTHILLS AND NW PIEDMONT. GIVEN THE STRONGER RADAR RETURNS HEADING
TOWARD THE NC PIEDMONT...I PLAN TO EXPAND THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY
TO INCLUDE THE REST OF THE NC FOOTHILLS....AND ALL THE NW PIEDMONT.
I WILL HAVE IT GO TILL 15Z...THO TEMPS SHUD START WARMING ABV
FREEZING BEFORE THEN.

FOR TODAY...THE BAND OF MOIST UPGLIDE PRECIP SHUD SHIFT EAST OF THE
AREA BY LATE MORNING...WHILE THE NEXT BAND OF PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH
APPROACHING ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL STILL BE TO THE WEST. SO EXPECT A
LULL IN -RA/DZ FOR THE AFTN. HOWEVER...CLOUDS SHUD PERSIST...SAVE
FOR SOME OF THE BREAKS POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE NC MTN VLYS DUE TO
STRONG SWLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW. TEMPS APPEAR TRICKY...AS COLD POOL WILL
LINGER EAST OF THE MTNS...BUT LACK OF PRECIP SHUD ALLOW SOME WARMING
AIDED BY STRONG WAA. FOR NOW...FORECASTING TEMPS TO RISE INTO THE
40S AS THE DAY WEARS ON.

TONIGHT...GUIDANCE HAS SLOWED DOWN TIMING OF STRONG ARCTIC FROPA
SLIGHTLY...BRINGING IT THRU THE CWFA BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM
MONDAY. A SWLY 50-60 KT LLJ WILL TRANSVERSE THE CWFA JUST AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. SO A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG SOME OF THE RIDGES. HOWEVER...SHUD BE CONFINED IN AREA AND TOO
BRIEF TO WARRANT ANY HEADLINE FOR IT ATTM. OTHERWISE...POPS RAMP UP
TO LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL FOR A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT. QPF LOOKS
LIGHT...GENERALLY UNDER 0.25" FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT 0.25-0.5"
ABOVE 3500 FT IN THE MTNS. SNOW LEVELS SHUD START TO FALL AROUND
MIDNIGHT TO VALLEY FLOORS BY 6 AM. EVEN SOME CHANGEOVER MAY OCCUR IN
THE NC FOOTHILLS BEFORE PRECIP TAPERS OFF. GIVEN A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
TIMING OF THE CAA...SNOW ACCUMS LOOK TO BE CONFINED MOSTLY TO ABOVE
3500 FT UNTIL CLOSE TO DAYBREAK...WHEN IT WILL START ACCUMULATING IN
THE VALLEYS. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO ALREADY BE IN THE TEENS TO MID
20S BY DAYBREAK IN THE MTNS. MEANWHILE...TEMPS WILL CONT TO RISE OR
HOLD STEADY WITH STRONG WAA AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACRS THE SOUTHEAST
CORNER OF THE CWFA...INCLUDING CHARLOTTE...WHERE SOME 50S MAY OCCUR
BEFORE FROPA. THERE DOESN/T LOOK TO BE ENUF INSTBY OR FORCING FOR
THUNDER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 330 AM SUNDAY...NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM EARLIER THINKING WITH
REGARD TO THE IMPACTS ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS FROM THE PASSAGE
OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT MONDAY MORNING...SO IT IS TIME TO ACT.

STILL EXPECTING THE FRONT TO BE PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AT
SUNRISE MONDAY. PRECIPITATION SHOULD HAVE ALREADY CHANGED TO SNOW
ACROSS THE MTNS. E OF THE MTNS...LINGERING PRECIP COULD CHANGE OVER
TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES BEFORE ENDING MID
MORNING...AS COLD AIR MOVES IN BEHIND FRONT...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUM IS EXPECTED. TEMPS MAY FALL BRIEFLY...THEN STABILIZE OR RISE A
FEW DEGREES DURING LATE MORNING...BUT THEN STRONG COLD ADVECTION
WILL TAKE OVER AND TEMPS WILL FALL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

SNOW PRODUCTION WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE TN BORDER THROUGHOUT MONDAY
AS TEMPS FALL AND MOISTURE IS PUSHED UP THE W SIDE OF THE MTNS.
THERE ARE SOME MIXED SIGNALS AS TO WHAT THE POTENTIAL FOR
ACCUMULATION WILL BE.  ON THE ONE HAND...THE MODELS FCST WEAK SFC
BASED CAPE UPSTREAM...BUT THE SURFACE MIGHT BE FREEZING BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON UPSTREAM...WHICH MIGHT CUT BACK ON MOISTURE FLUX FROM THE
GROUND. THERE SHOULD BE SOME MID LEVEL FORCING IN THE AFTERNOON AS
DPVA MOVES OVERHEAD...BUT THE 850MB WIND RETAINS A MORE WESTERLY
COMPONENT...WHICH ALSO DOES NOT ALLOW FOR A GREAT LAKES CONNECTION.
THESE MIGHT PROVE TO BE LIMITING FACTORS...SO THE POTENTIAL LOOKS TO
BE SOMEWHERE IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF 3-5 INCHES ON MTN PEAKS AND 2
INCHES IN THE VALLEYS. GIVEN THAT NEIGHBORING OFFICES ARE GOING WITH
A WARNING...THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION WILL BE TO ALSO GO WITH A
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE COUNTIES ALONG THE TN BORDER STARTING
AT MIDNIGHT AND RUNNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY. NOTE THAT ONLY THE
RIDGETOPS ARE LIKELY TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA ACCUMULATION...WHILE
THE VALLEYS WILL GET LESS SNOW...BUT THAT PERHAPS THE IMPACT OF
BLOWING SNOW AND VERY COLD TEMPS MIGHT MAKE IT DANGEROUS ENOUGH THAT
PUBLIC IMPACT JUSTIFIES THE WARNING.

THE ARCTIC AIR REALLY TAKES HOLD MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. TEMPS
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL...LIKELY MORE THAN 20 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TREND COOLER WITH EACH RUN...SO
THE FCST LOWS ARE NOW SOLIDLY IN RECORD TERRITORY. WIND GUST
POTENTIAL MAY PEAK MONDAY EVENING AS THE SHORT WAVE PASSES THROUGH.
WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL THROUGH THE ADVISORY RANGE MONDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MTNS...AND BELOW WARNING CRITERIA AROUND SUNSET
MONDAY. FOR THAT REASON...A WIND CHILL WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE
MTNS AND HIGH ELEVATION FOOTHILL ZONES FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NOON
TUESDAY. VALUES MAY REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA OUTSIDE THE MTNS...SO AN
ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY. ON TUESDAY...HIGH TEMPS WILL
REMAIN IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S OVER THE MTNS. TEMPS WILL PROBABLY
STAY BELOW FREEZING OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS...WHICH WOULD BE REMARKABLE
WITH NO SNOW ON THE GROUND. GUIDANCE TEMPS WERE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN
THE PREV FCST ONCE AGAIN...AND THIS TREND WAS FOLLOWED.

THE REST OF THE SHORT RANGE REMAINS QUIET.  THE ARCTIC HIGH REMAINS
IN CONTROL THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH THE AIR MASS SLOWLY MODIFYING.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN RATHER COLD...ONLY NOT TO THE EXTREME WE WILL SEE
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM EST SUNDAY...THE LATEST 00Z GFS/ECMWF AGREE THAT  SWLY
FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION WED NIGHT INTO THU...WITH
A WEAK SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER SHORTWAVE PASSING OVERHEAD THU NIGHT
INTO EARLY FRI. THE ECMWF DEVELOPS UPPER RIDGING ACROSS THE REGION
FRI THRU EARLY SUN AS ANOTHER SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EJECTS OUT OF THE DESERT SW AND REACHES WESTERN GULF.
MEANWHILE...THE FASTER GFS PUSHES THIS THROUGH INTO THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY BY SAT NIGHT AND MAINTAINS SWLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION.

AT THE SURFACE...MOIST RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY
WED NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. WITH
INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT AND A PASSAGE OF UPPER SHORTWAVE ON
THU...LIGHT PRECIP WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY EARLY THU
AFTERNOON. PRECIP WILL BE MAINLY LIQUID THOUGH A BRIEF PERIOD OF
FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE AT THE ONSET OF PRECIP. THE ECMWF THEN
DEVELOPS BROAD AREAS OF DRY HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SE THU NIGHT
INTO SAT...WHILE THE GFS KEEPS THE HIGH OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST AND
SLOWLY PUSHES A COLD FRONT INTO THE TN VALLEY BY FRI NIGHT
MAINTAINING DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. THE GFS SLOWLY
PUSHES THE FRONT THROUGH THE REGION SAT NIGHT INTO SUN WITH A SERIES
OF SURFACE WAVES RIDING ALONG THE FRONT. USING A COMPROMISE BETWEEN
THE DRY ECMWF AND THE WET GFS...HAVE INHERITED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ON
FRI AND LOWERED POPS FROM THE HIGH END CHANCE/LIKELY TO THE 30/40
PERCENT RANGE ON SAT. THANKS TO WELL ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS...PRECIP
WILL BE ALL LIQUID. TEMPS WILL START OUT AROUND 10-15 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL ON THU AND QUICKLY WARM BACK UP TO NEAR NORMAL BY FRI.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT KCLT...SPOTTY LIGHT PATCHES OF -RA/DZ ARE EXPANDING ON AREA
RADARS. THE TEMP AT KCLT IS HOVERING AROUND 34...WITH A DEWPT STILL
IN THE MID 20S. THE THINKING IS THAT PRECIP WILL BE TOO LIGHT AND
WAA TOO STRONG TO GET FREEZING RAIN AT THE TERMINAL. HOWEVER...SOME
METARS NOT TOO FAR NORTH ARE AT 32. SO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
OTHERWISE...EXPECT IFR CIGS...PROBABLY LOWERING TO LIFR SOMETIME
THIS MORNING. A WEAK IN SITU WEDGE WILL LINGER...WITH FCST SNDGS
SHOW LOW CLOUDS STAYING THRU THE DAY. SO NOT EXPECTING CIGS TO RISE
ABOVE IFR TODAY. MAY SEE MORE FOG THAN CURRENTLY FCST DURING THE
DAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...THEN SHIFT OUT OF THE SW THIS EVENING AND
INCREASING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT TO THE WEST. A BAND OF
PRECIP WILL PUSH INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS TOWARD END OF TAF
PERIOD...SO HAVE PROB30 FOR SHRA.

AT KHKY...CONDITIONS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THAT OF KCLT ABOVE AS SPOTTY
LIGHT PRECIPITATION MOVES IN.  TEMPS ARE HOVERING AROUND 34
DEGREES...SO NOT EXPECTING AS MUCH OF A FREEZING RAIN THREAT...AND
HAVE REMOVED THAT FROM THE TAF. HOWEVER...FREEZING TEMPS ARE NOT FAR
TO THE EAST...SO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CLOSELY. THE MAIN ISSUE
WILL BE PERSISTENT IFR CIGS...WITH CONDITIONS FURTHER WORSENING THIS
EVENING...AS A BAND OF PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO PUSH IN TOWARD END OF
TAF PERIOD FROM THE WEST.

ELSEWHERE...MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL OTHER SITES
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KAVL WHERE CIGS WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT LIFR
LEVELS. SPOTTY LIGHT PRECIP CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ACRS PRIMARILY THE
PIEDMONT SITES. STILL TOO LIGHT TO CAUSE ANY VSBY RESTRICTIONS.
TEMPS ARE HOVERING IN THE MID 30S...SO NO FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED.
AN IN SITU WEDGE WILL LINGER ACRS THE AREA TODAY...SO GENERALLY IFR
TO LIFR RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED THRU MOST OF THE DAY. A BAND OF
PRECIP WILL START TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST WITH LEADING EDGE OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT.

OUTLOOK...PRECIP AND RESTRICTIVE CIGS WILL CONTINUE ACRS THE AREA
UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES EARLY MONDAY. CONDITIONS SHOULD
IMPROVE TO VFR BY MIDDAY MONDAY...BUT NORTHWEST FLOW SNOW WILL
RETURN TO THE MTNS WITH GUSTY NW WINDS DEVELOPING ACRS THE REGION.
VERY COLD AND DRY HIGH PRES SETTLES IN FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...
WITH WINTRY PRECIP POSSIBLY RETURNING WITH ANOTHER FRONT ON THURSDAY.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            09-15Z        15-21Z        21-03Z        03-09Z
KCLT       MED   70%     MED   76%     MED   70%     HIGH  86%
KGSP       MED   66%     HIGH  81%     HIGH  87%     HIGH  94%
KAVL       HIGH  81%     HIGH  81%     HIGH  93%     HIGH  83%
KHKY       MED   70%     HIGH  82%     HIGH  91%     HIGH  97%
KGMU       MED   71%     MED   78%     HIGH  85%     HIGH  94%
KAND       MED   72%     HIGH  84%     HIGH  88%     HIGH  86%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD LOW MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY JAN 7TH...

AVL... 3 IN 1879
CLT...12 IN 1884
GSP... 9 IN 1904

RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY JAN 7TH...

AVL...21 IN 1988
CLT...24 IN 1988
GSP...27 IN 1988

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST MONDAY
     FOR NCZ033-048>052-058.
     WIND CHILL WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
     FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     NCZ035>037-056-057-068-069-501>510.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOH
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...JOH
AVIATION...ARK
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
421 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014

NCZ033-049-050-052130-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
421 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
AND RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO
CHANGE TO SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL NEAR
THE TENNESSEE BORDER INTO MONDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...SNOW
AMOUNTS ARE UNCERTAIN. FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS WILL DETERMINE IF OR
WHEN A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED.
..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION. WIND CHILL VALUES FROM 20 BELOW TO 30
BELOW ZERO ARE LIKELY TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 20
DEGREES BELOW CLIMATE NORMALS...WITH LOWS FROM ZERO TO 10 BELOW
ZERO AND HIGHS IN THE TEENS.
..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THEY
WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ048-051-052-058-052130-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
421 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
AND RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO
SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL INTO MONDAY.
AT THIS TIME...SNOW AMOUNTS ARE UNCERTAIN. FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS
WILL DETERMINE IF OR WHEN A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED.
..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION. WIND CHILL VALUES FROM 15 BELOW TO 30
BELOW ZERO ARE LIKELY TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 20
DEGREES BELOW CLIMATE NORMALS...WITH LOWS FROM ZERO TO 10 BELOW
ZERO AND HIGHS IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S.
..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THEY
WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-NCZ053-059-062>065-507-509-052130-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
421 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...HIGH WINDS AND LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
AND RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES. ANY LINGERING PRECIPITATION LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WILL FALL MAINLY AS SNOW.
..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION. WIND CHILL VALUES FROM 15 BELOW TO 25
BELOW ZERO ARE LIKELY TUESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15 TO 20
DEGREES BELOW CLIMATE NORMALS...WITH LOWS AROUND ZERO AND HIGHS IN
THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S.
..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THEY
WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035-036-501>506-052130-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
421 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN WILL LINGER THROUGH DAYBREAK SUNDAY.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS
WILL SETTLE INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES
BELOW CLIMATE NORMALS...WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S. BLUSTERY WINDS WILL CREATE WIND CHILL
VALUES AS LOW AS 15 BELOW.
..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
THEY WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE..

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-
052130-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
421 PM EST SAT JAN 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. A BITTERLY COLD ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL
SETTLE INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES
BELOW CLIMATE NORMALS...WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND HIGHS
IN THE MIDDLE 20S TO AROUND 30. BLUSTERY WINDS WILL CREATE WIND
CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 10 BELOW.
..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THEY
WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1235 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014

NCZ037-057-071-072-082-050900-
DAVIE-ROWAN-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOCKSVILLE...SALISBURY...CHARLOTTE...
CONCORD...MONROE
1235 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014

...SPOTTY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG
AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 77 IN THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...

A FEW PATCHES OF VERY LIGHT RAIN HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE NORTHERN
MIDLANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINA. THIS PRECIPITATION MAY MOVE NORTHWARD
ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 77 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA ARE CURRENTLY IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S...AND SHOULD HOVER THERE THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS. GIVEN THE DRY AIR IN PLACE OVER THE PIEDMONT...HOWEVER...A
FEW PATCHES OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN COULD DEVELOP AS TEMPERATURES
COOL TO AROUND FREEZING.

MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY OR PERHAPS SEE JUST VERY LIGHT RAIN
OR SPRINKLES. HOWEVER...ANY PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN COULD CAUSE
A VERY THIN GLAZE OF ICE TO FORM...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES. BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR ICY SPOTS IF TRAVELING THIS
EVENING OR OVERNIGHT.

NCZ507>510-SCZ003-050900-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE LURE...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS
1235 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014

...PATCHES OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE
BLUE RIDGE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...

SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA WILL
MOVE NORTH ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
THE SOUTHERLY WIND WILL ALSO FORCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUDS AND
DRIZZLE AS MOIST AIR IS FORCED UP THE SLOPE OF THE BLUE RIDGE
ESCARPMENT. TEMPERATURES WERE HOVERING NEAR 32 DEGREES IN SOME
ISOLATED LOCATIONS. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AND
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. ANY ACCUMULATION COULD CAUSE SLIPPERY PATCHES
ON ROADWAYS.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN WILL BE
ISOLATED TO JUST A FEW SMALL AREAS. IF TEMPERATURES COOL A FEW
MORE DEGREES...AN ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED LATER IN THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.

PEOPLE DRIVING UP THE BLUE RIDGE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SALUDA
GRADE ON INTERSTATE 26...SHOULD BE CAREFUL AND BE ON THE LOOKOUT
FOR SLICK PATCHES ON ROADS AND BRIDGES.

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
424 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014

NCZ070>072-082-SCZ003-007>009-051200-
GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...
MONROE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL
424 AM EST SUN JAN 5 2014

...SPOTTY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...

PATCHY LIGHT RAIN HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE UPSTATE AND
SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT EARLY THIS MORNING.
MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES ARE HOVERING NEAR FREEZING IN AN AREA
EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN GREENVILLE COUNTY...EAST THROUGH THE
CHARLOTTE METRO AREA. THESE COUNTIES ARE JUST SOUTH OF A FREEZE
ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO RISE TOWARD
DAYBREAK...WHILE THE LIGHT RAIN TAPERS OFF. IN THE
MEANTIME...THERE MAY BE SOME SLICK SPOTS ON AREA
ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. MOTORISTS SHOULD
EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION EARLY THIS MORNING.

ARK