Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2014

Wind Advisory 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

February 14, 201412 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Feb 14, 2014, 2:57 PM EST for 12 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 15, 2014, 6:00 AM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2014, 2:57 PM EST (19:57 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 15, 2014, 6:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 15, 2014, 6:00 PM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Avery County, NC, Buncombe County, NC, Burke County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Henderson County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mitchell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Transylvania County, NC, Yancey County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 214 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-02-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2014-02-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 174 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1924 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
78 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

575 
WWUS72 KGSP 141957
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
257 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

...GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW A COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY. WINDS
SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE OF NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA.

NCZ033-049-050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ003-150500-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.140215T1100Z-140216T2300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
257 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 6 PM
EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* TIMING...SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOOSE OBJECTS BLOWN AWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
07
4 follow-up statements
153 
WWUS72 KGSP 150032
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
732 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

...GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW A COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY.
WINDS SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE OF NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

NCZ033-049-050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ003-151000-
/O.EXT.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.140215T1100Z-140215T2300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
732 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE OF NORTH AND SOUTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* TIMING...SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS
  TRASH BINS AND PATIO FURNITURE COULD BE BLOWN AROUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
08
971 
WWUS72 KGSP 150922
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
422 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014

NCZ033-049-050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ003-151800-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.140215T1100Z-140215T2300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
422 AM EST SAT FEB 15 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE OF NORTH AND SOUTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* TIMING...TODAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS 
  TRASH BINS AND PATIO FURNITURE COULD BE BLOWN AROUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
663 
WWUS72 KGSP 151811
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
111 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014

NCZ033-049-050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ003-152300-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140215T2300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
111 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE OF NORTH AND SOUTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* TIMING...TODAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS. LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS 
  TRASH BINS AND PATIO FURNITURE COULD BE BLOWN AROUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GUSTS TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
07
443 
WWUS72 KGSP 152253
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
553 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014

...WINDS DIMINISHING ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE...

.THE COLD FRONT HAVING PUSHED WELL PAST THE MOUNTAINS...WIND
GUSTS HAVE DIMINISHED.

NCZ033-049-050-052-053-064-065-501-503-505-507-509-SCZ003-160000-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-140215T2300Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...
ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE
553 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH MAY CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING ESPECIALLY
AT HIGH ELEVATIONS...WITH WINDS BECOMING EVEN LIGHTER OVERNIGHT.

$$
WIMBERLEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 14, 2:16 PM EST, 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 2:16 PM EST, 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
216 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...
FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM WILL CROSS
THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY MORE HIGH PRESSURE IN MONDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AT 215 PM EST FRIDAY...A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE INTO THE BASE OF
AN EASTERN NORTH AMERICAN TROUGH TONIGHT...REACHING THE CENTRAL
CAROLINAS BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE UP THE EAST
COAST ON SATURDAY.

MODEST ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL SPREAD OVER THE MOUNTAINS ATE THIS
EVENING...AND THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT SHORTLY THEREAFTER...
SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MOISTURE EXTENDING TO LEVELS COLD
ENOUGH FOR ICE NUCLEATION...BUT LOWER LEVELS WILL INITIALLY BE WARM
ENOUGH FOR RAIN. WITH NO WARM NOSE ALOFT...THIS WILL BE A
RAIN/SNOW SETUP. AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES...SNOW LEVELS FALL TO THE
FLOORS OF THE MOUNTAINS VALLEYS...AND BRIEFLY TO THE SURFACE IN THE
LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS...MAINLY IN WESTERN NC. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL...AND ABOVE FREEZING EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

FRONTAL PASSAGE BEFORE DAWN WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MOISTURE WRAPPING
AROUND A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER THE INTERSTATE 77 CORRDIOR OF
NC. PRECIPITATION MAY LINGER IN THE WESTERN NC PIEDMONT FOR A FEW
HOURS AFTER DAYBREAK BEFORE THE SURFACE LOW MOVES OFF TO THE NE AND
TAKES THE MOISTURE WITH IT. A TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO RAIN IS
EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

GUSTY NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY SUPPORT A WIND ADVISORY NEAR THE
BLUE RIDGE ON SATURDAY. MOIST NW FLOW SNOW WILL SET UP BEHIND THE
FRONT...WITH SNOW CONTINUING IN THE NC MOUNTAINS UNTIL DRYING AT
MIDDAY. MOST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ABOVE 3500 FEET...WHERE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA ARE EXPECTED TO BE MET. A FEW LOCATIONS
NEAR THE TN BORDER COULD RECEIVE FOUR TO FIVE INCHES...BUT THE
COVERAGE WOULD BE TOO CONFINED TO ISSUE A WARNING FOR THOSE
COUNTIES. HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY WILL RUN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS AS COLD ADVECTION OFFSETS DOWNSLOPE FLOW
WARMING. TEMPERATURES IN THE MOUNTAINS WOULD RUN ALMOST 12 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL IN COLD ADVECTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 2 PM FRIDAY...WE BEGIN A WELL-DESERVED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY
QUIET WEATHER. ONE LAST SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO DROP DOWN INTO THE
MEAN UPPER TROF OVER THE EAST ON SATURDAY NIGHT...AND IT WILL PASS
EARLY ON SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WAVE WILL BRING SOME MOISTURE DOWN
FROM THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF
THE WAVE WILL BE WESTERLY...SO ALTHOUGH WE WILL HAVE SOME MID LEVEL
FORCING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE WAVE...THE LOW LEVELS WILL NOT BE
COOPERATIVE FOR PRECIP PRODUCTION ON THE TN BORDER. WE ARE CARRYING
A SLIGHT CHANCE POP OVER THE NORTHERN MTNS AND IT APPEARS THIS
SHOULD SUFFICE...FOR SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY SUNDAY MORNING. ONCE THAT
WAVE PASSES...THE UPPER PATTERN DEAMPLIFIES AND BEGINS A PERIOD OF
NEARLY ZONAL FLOW INTO MONDAY AND BEYOND. A SHORT WAVE MOVING UP THE
OH VALLEY ON MONDAY WILL DRAW MOISTURE FROM THE GULF WITH A
DEVELOPING SOUTHERLY UPSLOPE COMPONENT. THIS COULD FORCE SOME SHOWER
ACTIVITY OVER THE MTNS AND JUST E OF THE BLUE RIDGE IN THE AFTERNOON
AS THE MOISTURE INCREASES. OTHERWISE...WE ARE LOOKING AT TEMPS
SLOWLY MODERATING...WITH A RETURN TO NORMAL ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT...AND THEN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 210 PM EST FRIDAY...ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS WILL GIVE WAY
TO AN RNA PATTERN LATER IN THE MEDIUM RANGE AS A TROUGH DIGS ACROSS
THE WRN US...INDUCING RIDGING OVER THE EAST.

MONDAY NIGHT A FAST MOVING SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE WILL CROSS THE
REGION. BASED ON THE LLVL TEMPERATURE PROFILE...PCPN WITH THIS
FEATURE SHOULD BE ALL RAIN. WITH THE BEST OF THE FORCING EXPECTED TO
PASS NORTH OF THE REGION...QPF SHOULD BE LIGHT WITH THE WAVE IN ANY
EVENT.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM CONSIDERABLY ON TUESDAY WITH MAX TEMPS
EXPECTED TO RUN ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION. ON
WEDNESDAY THE LONG WAVE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES...YIELDING AN EVEN WARMER DAY. ONE POTENTIAL CAVEAT
IS THAT THE GFS SHOWS QUITE A BIT OF LLVL MOISTURE. AS WARM
ADVECTION INCREASES...AND THE COLD AIRMASS IS GRADUALLY DISPLACED
BY MUCH WARMER AIR...WE COULD SEE QUITE A BIT OF STRATUS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY MORNINGS. THERE MAY BE SOME LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER AND
NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS PW/S INCREASE TO
150-175 PERCENT OF NORMAL ON THE GFS.

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL BECOME STRONGER ON THURSDAY AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS AND A SHORT WAVE LIFTS ACROSS THE UPPER MID-WEST. THE
RESULTING INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE FLOW MAY TRIGGER SHOWER
ACTIVITY OVER THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND
FOOTHILLS. THIS SEAMS REASONABLE AND WE HAVE SHOWERS OVER ALL BUT
THE SOUTHEAST TIER OF COUNTIES FOR THURSDAY.

THE LOW LIFTING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES MAY PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO
THE REGION BY FRIDAY. WE WILL SEE JUST HOW FAR THAT BOUNDARY WILL
PUSH UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THE ECMWF CAPE VALUES INCREASE
TO OVER 1000 J/KG OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. THE GFS DEWPOINTS
RISE INTO THE 60S...ALSO SUPPORTIVE OF DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE I
HAVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN FOR FRIDAY. IT/S WAY TOO EARLY TO
ASCERTAIN THE SEVERE THREAT...THOUGH THE ANAFRONT NATURE OF THE
SYSTEM WOULD BE MORE SUPPORTIVE OF HEAVY RAIN OUT AT DAY 7 AND
BEYOND.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR UNTIL MVFR CIGS AND VSBY ACCOMPANY PRECIPITATION
ARRIVING LATE THIS EVENING AS THE NEXT SYSTEM ARRIVES. CANNOT RULE
OUT SOME LIGHT SNOW MIXING IN WITH RAIN. WITH A MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
OF 36 DEGREES...NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. DURATION WOULD BE
BRIEF AS THE SYSTEM IS FAST MOVING. SW WINDS WILL PERSIST UNTIL
FRONTAL PASSAGE SATURDAY MORNING...THEN GUSTY NW WINDS ENSUE.

AT KAVL...VFR EARLY...BUT THEN MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE RAIN...THEN SNOW...WHILE CIGS FALL TO MVFR. SNOW WILL
PRODUCE MVFR VSBY...PERHAPS BRIEF IFR VSBY...BEFORE THE FAST MOVING
SYSTEM EXITS BEFORE DAWN. POST SYSTEM NW FLOW SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD
REMAIN CLOSER TO THE TN BORDER...BUT LOW VFR CIGS WILL LINGER A
WHILE WITH GUSTY NW WINDS AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH BEFORE DAWN.

ELSEWHERE...VFR WILL PERSIST UNTIL MOISTURE INCREASES LATE THIS
EVENING AHEAD OF AN UPPER SYSTEM. MVFR CIGS WILL ENSUE LATE THIS
EVENING...WITH LIGHT RAIN...AND PERHAPS BRIEF MVFR VSBY. AT
KHKY...SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN. RESTRICTIONS END BEFORE DAWN AS THE
FAST MOVING SYSTEM EXITS TO THE EAST AND SW WINDS VEER NW AND BECOME
GUSTY.

OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY THRU THE WEEKEND.
PRECIP OR LOW CIGS MAY RETURN WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY NIGHT.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-19Z
KCLT       HIGH  99%     HIGH  89%     HIGH  84%     HIGH  98%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     MED   77%     HIGH  84%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  99%     MED   68%     HIGH  94%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH  99%     MED   79%     MED   74%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH  84%     HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH  85%     HIGH  91%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
     SATURDAY FOR NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062-063.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...JAT/SBK
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...JAT
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 14, 12:38 PM EST, 2 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1238 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062-063-151745-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
1238 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...HIGH WINDS AND LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. PLEASE REFERENCE
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THAT IS IN EFFECT.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ064-065-501-503-505-507-509-151745-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
1238 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PATCHES OF BLACK ICE COULD DEVELOP AGAIN LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP SATURDAY MORNING IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT AND
STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...
WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS NEAR THE EASTERN
BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-151745-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1238 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PATCHES OF BLACK ICE COULD DEVELOP AGAIN LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 14, 2:42 PM EST, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
242 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

NCZ035>037-056-057-502-504-506-151500-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GREATER CALDWELL-
GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
SALISBURY...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION
242 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

...PATCHY BLACK ICE POSSIBLE...

PATCHY BLACK ICE IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WHERE WATER FROM MELTED SNOW
FREEZES ON AREA ROADS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAUTIOUSLY...
ESPECIALLY ON BACK ROADS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE
FREEZING ON SATURDAY MORNING.

GAZ010-017-NCZ051-053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-151500-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-SWAIN-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CHEROKEE...
BRYSON CITY...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE...LAKE LURE
242 PM EST FRI FEB 14 2014

...LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY BLACK ICE POSSIBLE...

LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA BLUE RIDGE...IN THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS...AND IN
THE VALLEYS OF THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. IN
ADDITION...PATCHY BLACK ICE IS POSSIBLE WHERE WATER FROM MELTED
SNOW FREEZES ON AREA ROADS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE
CAUTIOUSLY...ESPECIALLY ON BACK ROADS. TEMPERATURE WILL RISE ONLY
SLOWLY ON SATURDAY MORNING BEHIND A COLD FRONT.

07

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 4:47 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryGSPAvery, Buncombe, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon and 4 more32 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2014Wind Advisories in South Carolina, 2014Every wind advisory in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.