Tornado Warning 11, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

470 
WWUS52 KGSP 272303
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
703 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

NCC011-272330-
/O.CON.KGSP.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140727T2330Z/
AVERY NC-
703 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN AVERY COUNTY UNTIL
730 PM EDT...

AT 702 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND 
DAMAGING WINDS...WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO STILL INDICATED. THIS 
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LINVILLE...OR NEAR NEWLAND...MOVING 
SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN AVERY 
COUNTY FROM LINVILLE TO THE CALDWELL COUNTY BORDER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO IS LIKELY DEVELOPING OR ALREADY OCCURRING. SEEK SHELTER IN
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING.
PLACE AS MANY FLOORS AND WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS
POSSIBLE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...TORNADOES OR FLOODING TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL 
FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK 
PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD 
DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 8182 3611 8180 3607 8173 3596 8181
      3598 8187 3600 8189 3598 8192 3603 8195
      3608 8196 3619 8190 3620 8188 3620 8185
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 301DEG 28KT 3607 8183

$$

HG

325 
WWUS52 KGSP 272314
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
714 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

NCC011-272324-
/O.CAN.KGSP.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140727T2330Z/
AVERY NC-
714 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EASTERN AVERY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LEVELS AND MOVED EAST OF AVERY COUNTY.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA UNTIL 1 
AM EDT.

LAT...LON 3616 8182 3611 8180 3607 8173 3596 8181
      3598 8187 3600 8189 3598 8192 3603 8195
      3608 8196 3619 8190 3620 8188 3620 8185
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 301DEG 28KT 3571 8198

$$

HG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
445 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE CAROLINAS LATE TONIGHT AND PUSH EAST
ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY. IN ITS WAKE...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DOMINATE THE SURFACE PATTERN THROUGH MIDWEEK LEADING TO WELL
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL RAMP BACK UP AGAIN ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS ATLANTIC
MOISTURE SPREADS OVER THE REGION AND LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE
EASTERLY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
430 PM EDT UPDATE...ORGANIZED UPSTREAM CONVEC REMAINS VIGOROUS AND
SEVERE ACROSS ERN TN AND SE/RN KY. BASEBALL SIZE HAIL HAS BEEN
REPORTED IN KY AND A FEW TOR WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY MRX AND
JKL. THIS ACTIVITY IS ALIGNED A PREFRONTAL TROF WITH A -8 C H5 COLD
POOL...SOME DISCREET CELLS HAVE ALSO BEEN FORMING...WITH A LONG
LASTING TORNADIC SUPERCELL NOW MOVING INTO SW VA. LOW LEVEL THETA/E
HAS INCREASED THE MOST ACROSS THE WRN NC ZONES THE PAST COUPLE HRS
AND WILL ANTICIPATE INCREASING INSTABILITY ACROSS THE MTNS THROUGH
THE NEXT UPDATE. EFFECTIVE SHEAR REMAINS ABOVE 40 KTS JUST WEST OF
THE CWFA ATTM...HOWEVER THIS AREA OF SHEAR WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN
MTNS AFT 22Z. THUS...THE ATMOS WILL BE PRIMED FOR A CONTINUED SEVERE
AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO THREAT AS THE CONVEC ACTIVITY DEVELOPS
INTO OUR AREA BETWEEN 22Z-23Z. NOT MANY CHANGES WERE NEEDED TO THE
FCST GRIDS WITH MINOR TWEAKS MADE TO SKY AND T/TD. WILL STILL CARRY
THE DMG WIND AND LG HAIL MENTION ACROSS THE NRN MTNS FOR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AND AHEAD OF A PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT CONVECTION TO
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...
LIKELY CONSOLIDATING INTO AN ORGANIZED MCS THAT WILL APPROACH
WESTERN NC BY EARLY EVENING. WITH THAT IN MIND...STILL EXPECT THE
PRIMARY THREAT OVER OUR AREA TO BE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS...
ALTHOUGH WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE AN ISOLATED TORNADO...
ESPECIALLY IF THE PRE-FRONTAL/DISCRETE SUPERCELL CURRENTLY SOUTHEAST
OF JKL MANAGES TO HOLD TOGETHER INTO OUR AREA. SEVENTY POPS WILL BE
CONTINUED ACROSS THE NRN NC MTNS...AND HAVE ALSO ADDED A MENTION OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL TO THE FORECAST SUITE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SHORT TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE ANY CONVECTION EAST OF
THE MTNS THIS EVENING...PROBABLY DUE TO A DEVELOPING STRONG WESTERLY
DOWNSLOPE FLOW. HOWEVER...STRONG/COLD POOL-DRIVEN CONVECTION OFTEN
/DOES NOT CARE/ ABOUT DOWNSLOPE FLOW...AND SOME OF THE MESOSCALE
MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO PICK UP ON THE POTENTIAL FOR AN MCS TO BLAST
THROUGH THE FHILLS/PIEDMONT OF NC THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...HAVE
BEGUN TO STEP INTO HIGHER POPS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE IN NC THIS
EVENING. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO WIND DOWN BY LATE
EVENING...OR EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE A
CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION ACROSS THE WESTERN MTNS THROUGH
THE NIGHT...AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND W RATHER STOUT
W/NW UPSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPS. WITH COLD ADVECTION HOLDING OFF UNTIL
TOMORROW...AND THE EXPECTATION THAT SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN
SOMEWHAT ELEVATED TONIGHT...EXPECT MIN TEMPS TO BE ABOUT 5 DEGREES
ABOVE CLIMO.

MONDAY WILL SEE THE ONSET OF COLD ADVECTION OVER THE MTNS...WHERE
MAXES ARE EXPECTED TO TOP OUT A LITTLE BELOW CLIMO. MEANWHILE...
DESPITE FALLING THICKNESSES...DOWNSLOPE WARMING SHOULD YIELD HIGHS
VERY CLOSE TO CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS EAST OF THE MTNS. CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME NW UPSLOPE FLOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE WESTERN MTNS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...BUT WILL CONTINUE WITH A POP FORECAST JUST A SHADE BELOW
SLIGHT CHANCE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM SUNDAY...NWLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL IN THE LOW- TO
MID-LEVELS MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE AXIS OF A DEEP ERN CONUS TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM ERN ONTARIO SWD INTO SC/GA. COOL AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
FILTER INTO THE REGION AT THIS TIME AS CONTINENTAL HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES IN ACRS THE INLAND SOUTH. HIGH LLVL RH IS NOTED ON GFS/NAM IN
THE COLD-ADVECTIVE FLOW INTO THE MTNS...REMINISCENT OF THE COOL
SEASON. THE MOIST LAYER IS SO SHALLOW ONLY THE MOST FAVORED UPSLOPE
AREAS LOOK TO HAVE ANY MENTIONABLE CHANCE OF PRECIP.

H7 HEIGHTS BOTTOM OUT AROUND DAYBREAK TUE AND INCREASE SLIGHTLY
THEREAFTER. THIS CREATES A CAPPING INVERSION THAT WILL RESTRICT DEEP
CONVECTION TUE AFTN...BUT THE MAJOR MODELS VARIOUSLY STILL DEVELOP
SMALL AMOUNTS OF QPF IN THE FA. BY WED THERE IS LITTLE REAL CHANGE IN
THE PATTERN...BUT THE FLOW REGIME BECOMES VERY WEAK IN THE LOWER
TROPOSPHERE AND MODEL PROFILES SHOW THE INVERSION WEAKENING AS WELL.
A GREATER PROPORTION OF GUIDANCE PRODUCES QPF IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...BUT THIS MAY BE OVERDONE GIVEN RECENT POST-FRONTAL
PERFORMANCE. ALSO...GIVEN THE CONTINUED SLIGHT HEIGHT RISES I WILL
CURRENTLY FAVOR THE INVERSION HOLDING FAST. THUS NO QPF IS IN THE
FCST FOR WED. MAX TEMPS WILL BE NEAR 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMO...
TRENDING UPWARD SLIGHTLY FROM TUE TO WED. MIN TEMPS HOWEVER WILL BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER WED MRNG WITH WINDS BEING LIGHTER OVERNIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 140 PM EDT SUNDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST PICKS UP AT 00Z ON
THURSDAY WITH BROAD AND DEEP UPPER TROFFING IN PLACE OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS WHILE AN EQUALLY IMPRESSIVE UPPER RIDGE IS IN PLACE
OVER THE WEST. THE LONG RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT WE
WILL REMAIN IN THIS AMPLIFIED PATTERN INTO THE WEEKEND WITH SOME
AMOUNT OF DEAMPLIFICATION LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND. COMPARED TO
PREVIOUS FCSTS...ITS LOOKING LESS CERTAIN THAT THE NORTHERN STREAM
UPPER FLOW WILL COMPLETELY CUTOFF THE TROF AND ALLOW A CLOSED LOW TO
DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND. THE LATEST GFS ENSEMBLE RUN HAS ABOUT HALF
OF THE MEMBERS COMPLETELY CUTTING THE TROF OFF AND HALF MAINTAINING
SOME DEGREE OF TROFFING.

AT THE SFC...CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE
SOUTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN ON THURS AS BNDRY LYR FLOW REMAINS NLY TO
WEAK AND VRB. BY EARLY FRI...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO VEER THE FLOW
MORE FROM THE EAST TO NE AND MOVE A LARGE PLUME OF DEEPER LYR
MOISTURE OVER THE CWFA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS UPSLOPE POTENTIAL
COUPLED WITH UPPER LVL DIVERGENCE COURTESY OF THE UPPER TROF AND
POSSIBLY THE CLOSED UPPER LOW IF IT ACTUALLY DEVELOPS...WILL IMPROVE
OUR CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND TS FOR THE REST OF THE MEDIUM
RANGE. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE
TEMPERATURE FCST WITH VALUES EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL
FOR LATE JULY/EARLY AUGUST.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT...A PROB30 FOR TSRA HAS BEEN INTRODUCED BTW 03-06Z
TONIGHT...AS THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION HOLDING TOGETHER
AS IT CROSSES THE MTNS THIS EVENING APPEARS TO BE INCREASING. IN
FACT...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THE TIMING IS A BIT FASTER THAN
THIS...BUT FEEL THIS IS THE BEST WAY TO EASE INTO IT FROM A FORECAST
PERSPECTIVE. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
FOR POTENTIAL AMENDMENTS. OTHERWISE...SW WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE ABOVE 10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS IN THE UPPER TEENS
POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT...WITH WINDS TURNING TOWARD THE W/SW BY MID-MORNING.
OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE VFR.

ELSEWHERE...VCTS HAS BEEN INCLUDED THIS EVENING AT KAVL/KHKY...WITH
A PROB30 FOR TSRA BETWEEN 03 AND 06Z...AS THE POTENTIAL FOR
ORGANIZED CONVECTION HOLDING TOGETHER AS IT CROSSES THE MTNS THIS
EVENING APPEARS TO BE INCREASING. WHILE THE PROBABILITY OF
CONVECTION AFFECTING THE UPSTATE SC TERMINALS IS LOWER...CANNOT RULE
IT OUT THERE EITHER...BUT AM NOT PREPARED TO ADD ANY CONVECTION
MENTION THERE ATTM. OTHERWISE...SW WINDS MAY GUST TO NEAR 20 KTS
THIS AFTERNOON OUTSIDE THE MTNS. WINDS WILL THEN TURN TOWARD THE W
AND NW OVERNIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. NW GUSTS
IN THE LOWER 20S WILL BE POSSIBLE AT KAVL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VFR OUTSIDE OF ANY
CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH A PERIOD OF MVFR CANNOT BE RULED OUT LATE
TONIGHT AT KAVL.

OUTLOOK...DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THROUGH MID WEEK. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN
RETURNING BY LATE IN THE WEEK...WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR LOW
CLOUDS AND PRECIP.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            20-02Z        02-08Z        08-14Z        14-20Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  86%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...JDL/SBK
SHORT TERM...WIMBERLEY
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
638 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

NCZ033-048>050-053-501>506-282245-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-
638 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 448 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE
INTO A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MOVES INTO
NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...LIKELY MOVING INTO NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
BY VERY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE WILL BE
AN ENHANCED RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS THE AREA DURING THIS
TIME. THERE WILL ALSO BE A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS AN
ISOLATED TORNADO...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY ISOLATED CELLS THAT DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE LINE OF STORMS. A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED
FOR THIS AREA AT SOME POINT DURING THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR
OFFICE.

NCZ035>037-051-052-056>059-062>065-507>510-282245-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
638 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 448 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO FORM
ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. THE
GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST IN THE MOUNTAINS TO
THE NORTH OF I-40. HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS ALSO POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE
FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT. WHILE DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WITH ANY ISOLATED CELLS THAT
DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LINE OF STORMS. A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE ISSUED
FOR ALL OR A PART OF THIS AREA AT SOME POINT DURING THE AFTERNOON
OR EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ082-SCZ001>014-019-282245-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-UNION NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
638 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA FROM EAST TENNESSEE BY
EARLY THIS EVENING. AS THE LINE OF STORMS MOVES SOUTHEAST...IT IS
STILL UNCERTAIN WHETHER IT WILL SURVIVE THE TRIP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS...SO THE CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER DIMINISH ALONG AND
EAST OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR. HOWEVER...IF THE LINE OF STORMS DOES
MAKE IT THAT FAR...THERE WILL BE A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS...AND
POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL. PEOPLE ACROSS UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ068>072-282245-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
638 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...TORNADO WATCH 448 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA FROM EAST TENNESSEE BY
EARLY THIS EVENING. AS THE LINE OF STORMS MOVES SOUTHEAST...IT IS
STILL UNCERTAIN WHETHER IT WILL SURVIVE THE TRIP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS...SO THE CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER DIMINISH ALONG AND
EAST OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR. HOWEVER...IF THE LINE OF STORMS DOES
MAKE IT THAT FAR...THERE WILL BE A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS...AND
POSSIBLY LARGE HAIL. PEOPLE ACROSS UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA
SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
505 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

NCZ033-049-050-272200-
AVERY-MITCHELL-YANCEY-
505 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POISED TO MAKE A RUN AT THE NORTHERN NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AFTER 6 PM EDT...

AS OF 500 PM EDT...A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EXTREME
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA WAS INDICATED ON RADAR MOVING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST
AT 55 MPH TOWARD EXTREME NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY REACH THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA AFTER 6
PM...ESPECIALLY NEAR AVERY COUNTY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE OVER SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND KENTUCKY.

IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR
NORTHERN MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. EVEN IF THIS INITIAL ROUND OF
THUNDERSTORMS WEAKENS...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING TO THE
WEST ALONG AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY ARRIVE LATER THIS
EVENING. RESIDENTS AND TRAVELERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF
NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING. MAKE
SURE YOU HAVE ACCESS TO A STURDY SHELTER IN CASE ANY SEVERE WEATHER
WARNINGS ARE NEEDED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

LAT...LON 3628 8189 3621 8190 3619 8184 3611 8180
      3607 8173 3602 8176 3597 8184 3600 8190
      3589 8198 3583 8213 3574 8219 3570 8227
      3600 8248 3610 8239 3614 8225 3617 8222
      3615 8215 3611 8212 3613 8204 3629 8192

HG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
553 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

NCZ033-050-272245-
AVERY-MITCHELL-
553 PM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

...A STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MITCHELL AND
AVERY COUNTIES BETWEEN 630 AND 700 PM EDT...

AT 550 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF JOHNSON CITY...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...
  NEWLAND...

THIS THUNDERSTORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MAY WELL BE NEEDED IF
THE STORM SURVIVES INTO UNICOI AND CARTER COUNTIES TO THE WEST.
PREPARE TO TAKE SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.

LAT...LON 3621 8190 3619 8184 3611 8180 3607 8173
      3596 8181 3600 8190 3588 8199 3588 8203
      3586 8204 3582 8214 3591 8215 3601 8219
      3601 8225 3599 8225 3604 8230 3603 8233
      3611 8237 3617 8220 3611 8208 3629 8190

HG