Alert archive / North Carolina / Red Flag Warnings in 2014

Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

March 13, 201416 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this red flag warning at Mar 13, 2014, 4:15 AM EDT for 16 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Mar 13, 2014, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 13, 2014, 4:15 AM EDT (08:15 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 13, 2014, 11:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 13, 2014, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Alexander County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Union County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2014-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2014-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -209 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1440 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-209 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-189 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

296 
WWUS82 KGSP 130815
RFWGSP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
415 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF
DEEP MIXING AND THE ARRIVAL OF A DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN
HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL BETWEEN 10 TO 20 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LOW HUMIDITY...DRY FUELS...AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRES TO GROW QUICKLY OUT OF CONTROL. 

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-131800-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0002.140313T1500Z-140313T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0002.140313T1500Z-140313T2200Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-
415 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE NORTH
CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS.

* TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...RANGING FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
  VALUES...AND DRY FINE FUELS WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT IN WHICH
  FIRES CAN RAPIDLY GROW AND SPREAD OUT OF CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

NED
2 follow-up statements
444 
WWUS82 KGSP 131853
RFWGSP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
253 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON WITH DRY RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 20 PERCENT. WINDS WILL PICK BACK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
FRIDAY MORNING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 15
AND 20 PERCENT AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW HUMIDITY... DRY
FUELS...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRES TO
GROW QUICKLY OUT OF CONTROL.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-132200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.A.0003.140314T1500Z-140314T2200Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140313T2200Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-
253 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE NORTH
CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS
IN ADDITION TO THE RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS.

* TIMING...RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON. FIRE WEATHER WATCH
  FROM 1100 AM TO 600 PM FRIDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...RANGING FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
  VALUES...AND DRY FINE FUELS WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT IN 
  WHICH FIRES CAN RAPIDLY GROW AND SPREAD OUT OF CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
08
187 
WWUS82 KGSP 132209
RFWGSP

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
609 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DANGER POSSIBLE FRIDAY...

.WINDS WILL PICK BACK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST FRIDAY MORNING.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT
AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW HUMIDITY... DRY FUELS...AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRES TO GROW QUICKLY OUT OF
CONTROL.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-140700-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140313T2200Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0003.140314T1500Z-140314T2200Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-
609 PM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT.

* TIMING...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1100 AM TO 600 PM FRIDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...RANGING FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
  VALUES...AND DRY FINE FUELS WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT IN 
  WHICH FIRES CAN RAPIDLY GROW AND SPREAD OUT OF CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

CDG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 13, 3:59 AM EDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 13, 3:59 AM EDT, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
359 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA AND SLOWLY MODERATE
WARMER INTO SATURDAY. A MOIST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE
REGION SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING ON
TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 345 AM...LATEST REGION RADAR INDICATED AN IMPRESSIVE NW-SE
ORIENTED BAND OF SNOW ACROSS THE HAYWOOD COUNTY BORDER WITH MADISON
AND BUNCOMBE. I WILL HIGHLIGHT THE AREA UNDER THE BAND WITH
SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER SNOWFALL...BUT SHORT OF WARNING CRITERIA. IR
SATELLITE INDICATES THAT UPSTREAM CLOUDS SHOULD FAVOR ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL THROUGH SUNRISE. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AND WIND CHILL
ADVISORY WILL REMAIN UNTIL 9 AM.

THE NAM INDICATES THAT H85 CAA WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MTNS THROUGH
DAYBREAK...TEMPS PEAKING AT -12C ACROSS THE NRN MTNS. AT 7Z...THE
ACTIVE CAA AND 5 TO 7 MB PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS RESULTED IN NEAR HIGH
WIND WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS THE NRN MTNS...AND SOLID ADVISORY
CRITERIA ACROSS THE REST OF THE MTNS. GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL START TO RELAX THROUGH SUNRISE. HOWEVER...H85
WINDS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 40 TO 50 KTS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
MORNING...THEN STEADILY DECREASES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. I WILL
DOWNGRADE THE NRN MTNS TO AN ADVISORY...BUT WILL EXTENDED THE NC
MTNS UNTIL NOON.

AFTER SUNRISE...CLOUD COVER SHOULD STEADILY DECREASE ACROSS THE NC
MTNS. BY LATE MORNING...THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA SHOULD OBSERVE
SUNNY CONDITIONS. COLD H85 TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD ACROSS THE
CWA...WARMING TO -4 TO -6C DURING THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...RANGING FROM THE
30S TO 40S ACROSS THE MTNS TO L50S EAST. IN ADDITION...DOWNSLOPE
FLOW AND MIXING WILL SUPPORT DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...WITH
RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE MID TEENS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT. LOW RH...DRY FUELS...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL INCREASE FIRE
DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...SEE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION.

TONIGHT...THE BROAD CENTER OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST FROM
THE DEEP SOUTH TO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. CLEAR SKY...LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS...AND DRY LLVL CONDITIONS WILL PROVIDE PRIME RADIATIONAL
CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...LIGHT RETURN FLOW WILL RESULT IN SLOW
WWA...RISING SLIGHTLY ABOVE 0C BY 12Z. A BLEND OF PREFERRED GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE 8 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL...WITH 20S ACROSS THE MTNS AND L30S EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 335 AM THURSDAY...A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES WILL CROSS THE AREA
IN THE NEARLY ZONAL FLOW FRI AND SAT. FLOW TURNS MORE SWLY SAT NITE
AS A TROF BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. AT THE SFC... HIGH
PRESSURE SLIDES OFF SHORE FRI WITH S TO SW LOW LEVEL FLOW
DEVELOPING. THICKNESSES WILL RISE ON THE SWLY FLOW. THIS COMBINED
WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL HELP PUSH HIGHS BACK TO NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE NORMAL. A WEAK COLD FRONT DROPS INTO THE AREA FRI NITE AND
SAT. THE GFS SHOWS MUCH MORE MOISTURE MOVING IN ON THE SLY FLOW AND
STRONGER SHORT WAVES MOVING THRU THE UPPER FLOW. THE REST OF THE
GUIDANCE SHOWS CLOUDS...BUT IS MUCH DRIER REGARDING PRECIP. A
GUIDANCE BLEND KEEPS THE AREA DRY FRI NITE WITH WITH CHC POP MOVING
INTO THE MTNS SAT MORNING AND NE GA AND THE UPSTATE DURING THE
AFTERNOON. LOWS FRI NITE WILL BE NEAR TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
WHILE HIGHS SAT END UP AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A SIMILAR
TREND DEVELOPS SAT NITE WITH THE GFS SHOWING MORE PRECIP AND
DEVELOPING IN THE SLY FLOW OVER THE OLD FRONT WHICH BECOMES A WARM
FRONT. THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE DOES NOT HAVE AS MUCH QPF...BUT DOES
SHOW PRECIP MOVING IN FROM THE WEST AND SOUTH. THEREFORE...SPREAD
CHC POP IN ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWFA THRU THE NITE. GUIDANCE SHOWS
WARMER LOWS THAN PREV FCST...5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THIS
KEEPS ALL THE PRECIP LIQUID...EVEN OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM EDT THURSDAY...THE UPPER PATTERN GENERALLY FEATURES A
DEEPENING S/W ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUN WITH DIVERGENT FLOW
ACROSS NRN GOM AND SE STATES. THIS SHOULD INSTIGATE CYCLOGENESIS
SUN SOMEWHERE OVER THE DEEP SOUTH. THE GFS/ECWMF HAVE A POS TILTED
TROF AND THEREFORE A QUICKER AND MORE EASTWARD SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT
THAN THE CMC WHICH INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR A SLOWER MOVING
MILLER/B TYPE SCENARIO SUN INTO MON. WITH THE VARYING LLVL SYNOPTIC
SCENARIOS THERE ARE DIVERGENT SOLNS WRT TO MOISTURE FLUX AND THERMAL
FIELDS.

WENT WITH A CONTINUITY OF THE PREVIOUS FCST...WHICH FEATURED THE TOP
DOWN THERMAL METHOD...BLENDED WITH THE BOURGOUIN ENERGY METHOD IN AN
ATTEMPT TO CAPTURE THE BEST OF BOTH TECHNIQUES GIVEN THE WIDE RANGE
OF GUIDANCE SOLNS. THIS GAVE MAINLY RAIN THROUGH SUN...WITH SNOW
DEVELOPING SUN NIGHT ACROSS ALL NC ZONES REACHING THE NRN UPSTATE
AND NE GA AROUND DAYBREAK MON. DONT ENVISION ANY SIGFNT ACCUMS IF
ANY OUTSIDE THE NC ZONES...AND PERHAPS LOW END ADVISORY LEVELS
ACROSS THE NRN MTNS...SMOKIES AND BLUE RIDGE AREAS. THE COLUMN
SHOULD REMAIN HIGHLY SATURATED MON AS SHALLOW WEDGE SETS UP. A LOW
LAYER COLD ADVECTION OF THETA/E IS POSSIBLE MON NIGHT ALLOWING THE
POTENTIAL OF FZRA/IP...WHICH AT THIS POINT LOOKS TO BE LIMITED IN
COVERAGE ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE AND LOW END IN MAGNITUDE. ENOUGH
PERHAPS FOR AN ADVISORY THO. THE UPPER TROF SWINGS NE TUE AND
IMPROVING CONDS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH WARMING TEMPS TO AROUND NORMAL
LEVELS BY THE END OF THE EXT PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT KCLT AND TERMINALS EAST OF THE MTNS...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR
THROUGH THE PERIOD. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN UNTIL WINDS
DECOUPLE DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS. MARGINAL WIND GUSTS MAY
REDEVELOP AS MIXING DEEPENS AFTER SUNRISE...REMAINING INTO THE LATE
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS TONIGHT...RESULTING IN LIGHT NORTH TO CALM WINDS THIS
EVENING.

AT KAVL...FREQUENT NORTH WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS WITH FLURRIES WILL
LINGER THROUGH 8Z. THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...GUSTY NORTH WINDS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE TERMINAL...GUSTING TO 25 TO 28 KTS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
TONIGHT...RESULTING IN NORTH WINDS BETWEEN 8 TO 12 KTS.

OUTLOOK...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. LOW PRESSURE CROSSING WEST
TO EAST ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH WILL BRING DEEP MOISTURE AND PRECIP
ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS FROM LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            08-14Z        14-20Z        20-02Z        02-08Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND MIXING WILL SUPPORT DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS...WITH RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE MID TEENS ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. LOW RH...DRY FUELS...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
INCREASE FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON. WE WILL POST A RED FLAG WARNING
FOR THE NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT FROM 11AM THROUGH 6 PM. WE WILL
ALSO HIGHLIGHT THE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE UPSTATE OF SC WITH A FIRE
WEATHER STATEMENT.

ALTHOUGH S TO SW LOW LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS FRI AND DEW POINTS RISE
ACCORDINGLY...THEY REMAIN QUITE LOW. WITH TEMPS RISING TO NEAR OR A
LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL...RH VALUES WILL AGAIN FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWFA. WINDS WILL STILL REACH THE 10 TO 20 MPH
RANGE WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH. FUEL MOISTURE VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO
FALL. COORDINATION WITH LAND MANAGERS WILL BE NEEDED FOR POTENTIAL
ISSUANCE OF FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NCZ033-
     048>052-058.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-059-
     062>065-501-503-505-507-509.
     WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NCZ033-
     048>052-058.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...NED
FIRE WEATHER...NED/RWH
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 13, 12:10 AM EDT, 4 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1210 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001>014-019-140415-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1210 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-049-050-140415-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
1210 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. STRONG...GUSTY WINDS MAY LINGER
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE MORNING. IN ADDITION...WIND CHILL
VALUES COULD DROP AS LOW AS 10 BELOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ048-051-052-058-140415-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-
1210 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   WIND ADVISORY.
   WIND CHILL ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. STRONG...GUSTY WINDS MAY LINGER
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE MORNING. IN ADDITION...WIND CHILL
VALUES COULD DROP AS LOW AS 10 BELOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ053-059-062>065-140415-
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-
1210 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. STRONG...GUSTY WINDS MAY LINGER
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE MORNING.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-140415-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
1210 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND LINGERING BREEZY WINDS COULD LEAD TO INCREASED FIRE DANGER IN
THE AFTERNOON.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ501-503-505-507-509-140415-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
1210 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...HIGH WINDS AND WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. STRONG...GUSTY
WINDS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE MORNING. VERY LOW
HUMIDITY IN THE AFTERNOON COULD LEAD TO INCREASED WILDFIRE DANGER.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NED

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 12, 11:51 PM EDT, 4 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1151 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     SNOW             5 W MOUNTAIN CITY       34.92N  83.47W
03/12/2014  E0.2 INCH        RABUN              GA   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Mar 12, 11:53 PM EDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1153 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 PM     SNOW             ELK PARK                36.16N  81.98W
03/12/2014  E0.2 INCH        AVERY              NC   PUBLIC

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Mar 12, 11:54 PM EDT, 4 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1154 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1053 PM     SNOW             VALDESE                 35.75N  81.56W
03/12/2014  E0.0 INCH        BURKE              NC   PUBLIC

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Mar 12, 11:55 PM EDT, 4 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1155 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1054 PM     SNOW             5 SSE CLYDE             35.47N  82.88W
03/12/2014  E0.5 INCH        HAYWOOD            NC   PUBLIC

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Mar 12, 11:57 PM EDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1157 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0956 PM     SNOW             SYLVA                   35.37N  83.22W
03/12/2014  E0.0 INCH        JACKSON            NC   PUBLIC

&&

SBK
Local storm report, Mar 12, 11:58 PM EDT, 4 hours 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1158 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0957 PM     SNOW             COVE CREEK              35.61N  83.01W
03/12/2014  E0.0 INCH        HAYWOOD            NC   PUBLIC

&&

SBK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 12, 8:10 PM EDTFire Weather WatchGSPAlexander, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland and 10 more8 hr
Mar 13, 2:53 PM EDTFire Weather WatchGSPAlexander, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland and 10 more12 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.