Alert archive / North Carolina / Red Flag Warnings in 2014
Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this red flag warning at Jan 25, 2014, 4:05 AM EST for 13 counties in North Carolina; 4 counties in Georgia; 8 counties in South Carolina. It took effect at Jan 25, 2014, 11:00 AM EST. It was in force for 7 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 25, 2014, 4:05 AM EST (09:05 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 25, 2014, 11:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2014, 6:00 PM EST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
All 25 counties
Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Hart County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Alexander County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Union County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2:20 PM EST | SNOW 0 | Rock Hill, SC | BRIEF SNOW SHOWER AND FLURRIES. |
| Jan 25, 2:30 PM EST | SNOW 0 | Waxhaw, NC | SEVERAL REPORTS OF SNOW FLURRIES OR EVEN A BRIEF SNOW SHOWER IN WESTERN UNION COUNTY NC. |
| Jan 25, 3:00 PM EST | SNOW 0 | Monroe, NC | SNOW FLURRIES AROUND MONROE. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2413 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
828 WWUS82 KGSP 250905 RFWGSP URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 405 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 ...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON TODAY... .DRY CONDITIONS WILL LINGER IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC AIR MASS...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LIKELY BECOME CRITICAL EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS TODAY. IN ADDITION...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE DAY TO GREATLY ENHANCE FIRE DANGER... ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GAZ018-NCZ035-502-504-506-SCZ001-251015- /O.CAN.KGSP.FW.A.0001.140125T1600Z-140125T2300Z/ STEPHENS-ALEXANDER-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE- EASTERN MCDOWELL-OCONEE MOUNTAINS- 405 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR TH NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND STEPHENS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS FOR TODAY FOR DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS. $$ GAZ026-028-029-NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-SCZ002>014- 019-252300- /O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0001.140125T1600Z-140125T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0001.140125T1600Z-140125T2300Z/ FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND- LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD- EASTERN POLK-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- 405 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MOST OF THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND MUCH OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY... WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BECOMING CRITICAL DURING THE AFTERNOON. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 21 PERCENT. * FUEL MOISTURE...TEN HOUR FUEL MOISTURE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DRY OUT INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TODAY. * IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF DRY VEGETATION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ 07
2 follow-up statements
731 WWUS82 KGSP 251610 RFWGSP URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1110 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 ...DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THE REST OF THE DAY... .DRY CONDITIONS WILL LINGER IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC AIR MASS... AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL QUICKLY BECOME CRITICAL EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS. IN ADDITION...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN THROUGH THE DAY AND GREATLY ENHANCE FIRE DANGER. GAZ018-NCZ035-252300- /O.EXA.KGSP.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140125T2300Z/ STEPHENS-ALEXANDER- 1110 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR STEPHENS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND ALEXANDER COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...STEPHENS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND ALEXANDER COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES QUICKLY BECOMING CRITICAL. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * HUMIDITY...20 TO 25 PERCENT. * FUEL MOISTURE...TEN HOUR FUEL MOISTURE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DRY OUT INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THROUGH THE DAY. * IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF DRY VEGETATION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ GAZ026-028-029-NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510-SCZ002>014- 019-252300- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140125T2300Z/ FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND- LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD- EASTERN POLK-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- 1110 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR MOST OF THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS... * LOCATIONS...THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND MUCH OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES QUICKLY BECOMING CRITICAL. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT. * FUEL MOISTURE...TEN HOUR FUEL MOISTURE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DRY OUT INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TODAY. * IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF DRY VEGETATION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. && $$ GERAPETRITIS
146 WWUS82 KGSP 252303 RFWGSP URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 603 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-508-510- SCZ002>014-019-260015- /O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-140125T2300Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA- ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC- GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE- LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 603 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ALTHOUGH GUSTY WINDS REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE RISEN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. HOWEVER...CAUTION SHOULD STILL BE USED WITH ANY OUTDOOR BURNING. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jan 25, 3:25 AM EST, 40 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 25, 3:25 AM EST, 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
325 AM EST SAT JAN 25 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFFSHORE AS A WEAK FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVES OVERHEAD THIS WEEKEND. A COLDER ARCTIC FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE REGION MONDAY WITH DRY CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN
BEHIND THE FRONT.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PRE-DAWN HOURS...INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS AND
COLD. WIND NOT AS STRONG AS THOUGHT PREVIOUSLY OVER THE MTNS BUT
WILL KEEP THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN PLACE FOR THE TIME BEING.
FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...THE LATEST IN A SERIES OF CLIPPER-TYPE SHORT
WAVES WILL DIVE DOWN INTO THE EASTERN MEAN UPPER TROF LATE IN THE
DAY. HOWEVER...THIS ONE WILL LARGELY PASS TO OUR NORTH...WITH ONLY
SOME WEAKER CHANNELED VORTS THIS FAR TO THE SOUTH THAT DO NOT OFFER
MUCH IN THE WAY OF DPVA. BACKED FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL
ALSO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR MECHANICAL LIFT UNTIL AFTER THE FRONT PASSES
LATE IN THE DAY. UPSTREAM RADAR TRENDS SUPPORT THE IDEA THAT A
PERIOD OF SNOW MAY SPREAD ACROSS THE MTNS NEAR THE TN BORDER IN THE
MID TO LATE MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE AMTS
LOOK LIMITED...AND THE GFS SEEMS PARTICULARLY UNIMPRESSIVE. NOT ONLY
THAT...EXPECT VERY STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT. THINK OUR POTENTIAL IS LIMITED TO TWO INCHES OR SO AT THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS RIGHT ON THE TN BORDER...AND LESS THAN THAT IN
THE VALLEYS ELSEWHERE. THIS WILL NOT REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER A
LARGE ENOUGH AREA. THE NW FLOW SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF BY THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY. A BIGGER PROBLEM MIGHT BE THE WIND ACROSS
THE MTNS...AS A STRONG 850MB WIND MAX MOVES OVERHEAD LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE EVENING. MOMENTUM TRANSFER MIGHT ALLOW FOR
GUSTS WELL INTO THE 40-49 KT RANGE AT THE HIGH ELEVATIONS. A WIND
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WIND CHILL
DOES NOT LOOK LIKE IT WILL REACH CRITERIA EXCEPT FOR AVERY COUNTY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN QUICKLY LATE TONIGHT ALLOWING WIND TO
DIMINISH DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS...WHICH WILL HELP TO KEEP WIND
CHILL FROM DROPPING TOO LOW.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AT 230 AM EST SATURDAY...ON SUNDAY MORNING NEARLY ZONAL UPPER FLOW
WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHEAST DURING A BRIEF PERIOD OF DEAMPLIFICATION
OF THE EASTERN NORTH AMERICAN TROUGH. ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY THE
TROUGH STARTS TO DEAMPLIFY AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE DIVES FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES. THE TROUGH DEAMPLIFIES SLIGHTLY
ON MONDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE SHORTWAVE.
DRY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
EARLY SUNDAY...THEN SLIDE OFF THE COAST BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
INCREASE FROM THE SW SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN WAKE OF THE HIGH...WHILE A
COLD FRONT DIVES SOUTH THROUGH THE PLAINS. LIMITED GULF MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS IN THIS SW FLOW. THE
FRONT REACHES THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE
GFS SHOWING GREATER MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY THAN THE NAM....
BUT WITH LITTLE ISENTROPIC LIFT. AT THIS TIME FORECAST PRECIPITATION
WILL BE CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS. A WARM NOSE ALOFT WOULD ALLOW
PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN ALOFT INITIALLY...AND WITH
FREEZING TEMPERATURES...A MINOR ICE ACCRETION WOULD BE POSSIBLE IN
PORTIONS OF THE NC MOUNTAINS BEFORE THE WARM NOSE ERODES AND
PRECIPITATION CHANGES OVER TO SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.
A NW FLOW SNOW EVEN SETS UP BEHIND THE DEPARTING FRONT ON
MONDAY...BUT ENDS QUICKLY AS MOISTURE DIMINISHES LATE IN THE DAY.
COLD DRY HIGH PRESSURE THEN SETTLES SE ACROSS THE PLAINS AND OVER
THE SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FROM AROUND 7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
SUNDAY...TO JUST BELOW NORMAL ON MONDAY...IN WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES FALL TO ALMOST 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
TUESDAY NIGHT IN COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM SATURDAY...AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN
FORM THE NW TUE AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ENVELOPES A GOOD PORTION OF
THE NATION EAST OF THE ROCKIES. THE COLUMN WILL DRY OUT QUICKLY
DURING THE DAY AS PWAT VALUES DROP TO 0.10 INCHES BY 03Z WED. N/LY
WINDS WILL WEAKEN DURING THE DAY AS WELL AND HIGHER MTN TERRAIN
GUSTS SHOULD RELAX BY MID MORNING. WITH A BROAD LLVL THICKNESS TROF
PUSHING IN...MAX TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE U30S SRN ZONES AND
LIKELY U20S MTN VALLEYS.
THE OP MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE INCOMING S/W
AND POSSIBLE COASTAL LOW SCENARIO TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED. THE 00Z CMC
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE AN OUTLYING SOLN. THE MODEL IS MUCH SLOWER THAN
THE OTHER OP MODELS DUE TO THE INGESTION OF A PACIFIC LOW. THIS
GIVES THE MODEL MORE SRN ENERGY AND AN UNREALISTIC LOOKING
STRETCHED/OUT H5 TROF AXIS...THUS NOT ALLOWING THE SFC HIGH TO BUILD
INTO THE AREA AS STRONGLY. THIS ENABLES PERSISTENT ULVL DIV TO
PRODUCE A WEAK COASTAL LOW AND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF QPF ALONG THE
COAST WITH MEASURABLE PRECIP OVERRIDING THE ENTIRE FCST AREA. THESE
IDEAS HAVE BEEN GIVEN LITTLE TO NO WEIGHT AND INSTEAD WILL GO WITH
THE GOOD AGREEMENT BTW THE GFS/ECMWF...BOTH OF WHICH BRING IN A MORE
RELAXED S/W AND NOT MUCH IF ANY SFC REFLECTION LOW DEVELOPMENT. THIS
IDEA MAKES SENSE DUE TO THE OVERALL BROADNESS OF THE PARENT TROF
WHICH KEEPS IT/S ERN PERIPHERY WELL OFFSHORE. THUS...PRECIP THROUGH
WED WILL LIKELY BE FOCUSED ALONG THE COAST ALIGNED IN A REGION OF
OFFSHORE WEAKNESS. ALL OF THIS TO SAY...THE CWFA FCST IS NOW DRY
THROUGH THU WHICH FOLLOWS THE PREVIOUS DECREASING POP TRENDS AND
THINKING.
MAX TEMPS WED WILL STILL BE COLD...ABOUT 15-20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
AS THE SFC HIGH AND THERMAL TROF BECOME REINFORCED. THE PATTERN WILL
REMAIN PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE PERIOD AND WILL ANTICIPATE THE HIGH TO
MOVE EAST WHILE SW FLOW DEVELOPS THU NIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
FRONTAL SYSTEM. SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WERE INTRODUCED FOR THE SW ZONES
FOR -SNSH THU NIGHT AND A -RA/SN MIX DURING THE DAY FRI AS MAX TEMPS
BEGIN TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 40S MOST LOCALES.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD...BUT WINDY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SKY
WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH DAYBREAK WITH A LIGHT S WIND. CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE QUICKLY IN THE MID MORNING AS THE SHORT WAVE
APPROACHES...WITH MOSTLY A MID LEVEL CEILING EXPECTED BY 15Z. THERE
WILL BE SOME LOWER CLOUDS WITH THE FRONT BUT AT THIS POINT THERE
APPEARS TO BE LITTLE CHANCE OF A CEILING BELOW ABOUT 060. THE MAIN
STORY WILL BE THE WIND. VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL TRANSLATE
EWD ACROSS THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON ABOVE 5K FEET. ATMOSPHERIC
PROFILES SUGGEST THAT FOR THE MOST PART THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL NOT
GET DEEP ENOUGH TO TAP INTO THE REALLY STRONG WINDS ALOFT...BUT WE
SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN SOME GUSTS UPWARDS OF 30KT FROM THE
WSW IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS THE COLD ADVECTION
KICKS IN AND CLOUDS SCATTER. WE SHOULD LOSE THE GUSTS BY MID EVENING
BUT WILL RETAIN A BRISK WSW WIND OVERNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO KCLT BUT WITH EARLIER TIMING.
THERE IS SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE OF A VFR LOW CLOUD CEILING CLOSER TO
THE MTNS...PROBABLY AROUND 060. KAVL WILL PROBABLY EXPERIENCE SOME
LOW CLOUDS BUT VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL. THE MAIN STORY AT KAVL
WILL BE A RARE STRONG CROSSWIND FOR MOST OF THE DAY AS THE WAVE
PASSES. THIS COULD RESULT IN SOME PERIODS OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
WHEN THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS SHALLOW ENOUGH. THE WINDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY COME AROUND TO MORE NW IN THE EVENING HOURS. THE CHANCE
FOR SNOW SHOWERS AT KAVL IS TOO SMALL TO MENTION.
OUTLOOK...WIND WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA
MONDAY...WITH ANY SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES MAINLY NORTH OF KAVL. SOME
UNCERTAINTY FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BUT FOR NOW IT LOOKS VFR.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
08-14Z 14-20Z 20-02Z 02-08Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR NE
GA OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS...UPSTATE SC...AND THE NC SOUTHERN
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT FOR TODAY. RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 20 TO
25 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL RUN AT 15 TO 25 MPH SUSTAINED
WINDS...AND GUSTS LIKELY PASSING 30 MPH DURING PEAK AFTERNOON
MIXING. AN SPS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NE GA
MTNS...AND THE NORTHERN NC FOOTHILLS.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON FOR GAZ018-026-028-029.
NC...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON FOR NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-
508-510.
WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NCZ033-
048>053-058-059-062>065.
SC...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM EST THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON FOR SCZ001>014-019.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...PM
FIRE WEATHER...JATHazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 9:46 PM EST, 6 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 946 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-260245- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- 946 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ALSO...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER. ..SUNDAY...WIND CHILL POSSIBLE. WIND CHILL VALUES OF MINUS 5 TO MINUS 15 ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 3500 FT. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ501-503-505-507-509-260245- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- 946 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ALSO...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER. ..SUNDAY...WIND CHILL POSSIBLE. WIND CHILL VALUES OF MINUS 5 TO MINUS 15 ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 3500 FT. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-260245- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE- EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK- 946 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ018-026-028-029-SCZ001>014-019-260245- STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS- GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS- GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE- LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 946 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA 11AM TO 6 PM SATURDAY. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ010-017-260245- RABUN-HABERSHAM- 946 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014 ...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...WILDFIRE DANGER POSSIBLE. FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM SATURDAY. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ANOTHER ARCTIC FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. ..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 9:43 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | GSP | Avery, Buncombe, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Jackson and 6 more | 9 hr |
| Jan 25, 4:42 AM EST | Wind Advisory | GSP | Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Haywood, Henderson and 7 more | 25 hr |
| Jan 25, 2:43 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | GSP | Avery, Mitchell, Yancey | 13 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in North Carolina, 2014Red Flag Warnings in South Carolina, 2014Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.