High Wind Watch 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

925 
WWUS72 KGSP 290323
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1123 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...VERY STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
AND FOOTHILLS...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES SATURDAY
NIGHT. AN UNUSUALLY STRONG WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. VERY
STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF
THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS AS THIS HAPPENS.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-291100-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.A.0002.140330T0200Z-140330T2200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
1123 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* TIMING...THE STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS 
  SATURDAY EVENING AND SPREAD ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS EARLY SUNDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.

* IMPACTS...TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN BY THESE 
  WINDS...BLOCKING ROADS AND LEADING TO AREAS OF POWER OUTAGES. 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BE EXTREMELY SUSCEPTIBLE TO HIGH 
  WINDS. LIGHTWEIGHT AND UNSECURED ITEMS SHOULD BE PROTECTED 
  FROM THE HIGH WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

MCAVOY

085 
WWUS72 KGSP 290514
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
114 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...VERY STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
AND FOOTHILLS...
...DENSE FOG OVER PARTS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS EARLY TODAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT. AN
UNUSUALLY STRONG WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. VERY STRONG AND
POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS AS THIS HAPPENS. DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS TODAY...THE INFLUX OF GREATER MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION WILL SUPPORT DENSE FOG OVER PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ003-006>009-012>014-291400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FG.Y.0003.140329T0514Z-140329T1400Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-UNION SC-
CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...
CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER
114 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE AND THE WESTERN
  PIEDMONT AND PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS.

* VISIBILITY...FALLING TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...RAPIDLY VARYING AND VERY LOW VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE
  FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-291400-
/O.CON.KGSP.HW.A.0002.140330T0200Z-140330T2200Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE
114 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...VERY STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

* TIMING...THE STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS
  EVENING AND SPREAD ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS EARLY SUNDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.

* IMPACTS...TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN BY THESE 
  WINDS...BLOCKING ROADS AND LEADING TO AREAS OF POWER OUTAGES. 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BE EXTREMELY SUSCEPTIBLE TO HIGH 
  WINDS. LIGHTWEIGHT AND UNSECURED ITEMS SHOULD BE PROTECTED 
  FROM THE HIGH WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

MCAVOY

562 
WWUS72 KGSP 290817
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
417 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS STARTING THIS EVENING...
...DENSE FOG OVER PARTS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS EARLY TODAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY...THEN DEEPEN OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT. A STRONG WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.
STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF
THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS AS THE LOW DEEPENS.
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY...THE INFLUX OF GREATER
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION WILL ALSO SUPPORT DENSE FOG OVER PARTS
OF THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT.

NCZ033-049-050-053-065-501>507-509-291700-
/O.UPG.KGSP.HW.A.0002.140330T0200Z-140330T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.HW.W.0003.140330T0200Z-140330T2200Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...ASHEVILLE...
HENDERSONVILLE
417 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EDT SUNDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
  CAROLINA AND THE ADJACENT FOOTHILLS FROM TRYON NORTHWARD.

* HAZARDS...DAMAGING WINDS.

* TIMING...THE STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS 
  THIS EVENING AND SPREAD ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS EARLY SUNDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN BY THESE 
  WINDS...BLOCKING ROADS AND LEADING TO AREAS OF POWER OUTAGES. 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BE EXTREMELY SUSCEPTIBLE TO HIGH 
  WINDS. LIGHTWEIGHT AND UNSECURED ITEMS SHOULD BE PROTECTED 
  FROM THE HIGH WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. LEAVE A MESSAGE
WITH YOUR OBSERVATION AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED. YOU CAN ALSO POST YOUR REPORT TO NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG FACEBOOK OR TWEET YOUR REPORT
USING HASHTAG NWSGSP.

&&

$$

SCZ003-291700-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0011.140330T0200Z-140330T2200Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-140329T1400Z/
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
417 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM EDT SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE MOUNTAINS OF GREENVILLE COUNTY.

* HAZARDS...DENSE FOG THIS MORNING AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
  DEVELOPING THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS.
  THE WINDS WILL INCREASE IN SPEED THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...RAPIDLY VARYING AND VERY LOW VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE
  FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. GUSTY WINDS MAY BLOW DOWN TREES
  AND POWER LINES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ048-051-052-058-059-062>064-508-510-291700-
/O.UPG.KGSP.HW.A.0002.140330T0200Z-140330T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0011.140330T0200Z-140330T2200Z/
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA...
FRANKLIN...BREVARD
417 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 PM EDT SUNDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST AND PART OF THE CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY
  TAPER OFF DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...TREES AND POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN BY THESE 
  WINDS...BLOCKING ROADS AND LEADING TO AREAS OF POWER OUTAGES. 
  HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL BE EXTREMELY SUSCEPTIBLE TO HIGH 
  WINDS. LIGHTWEIGHT AND UNSECURED ITEMS SHOULD BE PROTECTED 
  FROM THE HIGH WINDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ006>009-012>014-291400-
/O.CON.KGSP.FG.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-140329T1400Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...
SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...
CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...
ROCK HILL...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER
417 AM EDT SAT MAR 29 2014

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE AND THE 
  WESTERN PIEDMONT AND PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA FOOTHILLS.

* IMPACTS...RAPIDLY VARYING AND VERY LOW VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE 
  FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

&&

$$

MCAVOY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
320 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOIST STATIONARY FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA BEFORE BEING
PUSHED EAST LATE SATURDAY. STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD IN
DRY AND WARM HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY...WHICH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM...INTERESTING SPRING SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE SOUTHEAST
REGION THROUGH THE NEAR TERM. THE CENTER OF A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK FROM THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY 12Z SAT...REACHING THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY BY 18Z. LLVL ISENTROPIC LIFT...MAINLY BETWEEN 305-315K...WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THE NIGHT...PEAKING
BETWEEN 10-15Z. MOIST ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD LOW
CLOUDS AND RAINFALL THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. I WILL INDICATE LIKELY
TO CATE POPS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY WIND AND LOW
CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...OR U40S ACROSS THE MTNS TO MID 50S EAST.

SATURDAY...THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES BECOME VERY INTERESTING...BECOMING
SIMILAR TO THE CLASSIC ENVIRONMENT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AT
H5...A TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE MIDDLE CONUS...CLOSING OFF OVER KY
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED SUB-TROPICAL JET TRACKS SW TO
NE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH...ACROSS THE MIDLANDS OF SC. A SIGNIFICANT
LLVL JET CUTS S TO NW ACROSS THE I-77 CORRIDOR BY 18Z. AT THE
SFC...THE LOW CENTER WILL LIKELY TRACK FROM EASTERN TN ACROSS THE
MIDDLE APPALACHIANS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE FORECAST HOURS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS REVEAL THAT MID DAY 0-1 KM HELICITY
WILL RANGE AROUND 250 M2/S2. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND ISENTROPIC FORCED RAIN WILL EXIST ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE MORNING. THE MORNING CONDITIONS WILL
LIMIT HEATING...POSSIBLY REACHING THE MID 60S TO L70S. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE 0-3 KM SHERB AND EHI WILL REMAIN AROUND 0.75.
THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SHRA WITH EMBEDDED
TSRA...WITH SVR TSRA POSSIBLE EAST OF THE MTNS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO
HIGHLIGHT IN THE HWO. IF...FOR SOME REASON...CLOUD COVER THINS AND
TEMPERATURES SURGE WARMER...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL QUICKLY BECOME
SUITABLE TO SUPERCELLS...WITH ISO TORNADOES...MULTIPLE WIND DAMAGE
EVENTS AND LARGE HAIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 320 PM FRIDAY...STRONG UPPER LOW DEEPENS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
ALONG THE NC/VA BORDER TO THE COAST SAT NITE AND SUN. AT THE SFC...
COLD FRONT AND STRONG...DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE MOVE EAST OF THE AREA
SAT NITE THEN UP THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST SUN. THIS KEEPS A VERY TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE CWFA SAT NITE WHICH DOES RELAX SOMEWHAT
SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL
MOVE EAST OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING WITH SLOWLY CLEARING SKIES.
HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE QUITE A BIT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINING
IN THE STRONG NWLY FLOW. THIS COMBINED WITH CAA WILL LEAD TO YET
ANOTHER ROUND OF NW FLOW SNOW FOR THE TN BORDER COUNTIES. ADVISORY
LEVEL SNOW IS POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE BORDER. A
LARGER CONCERN IS THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW ALONG AND
BEHIND THE DEPARTING SYSTEM. THE GFS IS ACTUALLY STRONGER WITH THIS
FLOW AND KEEPS IT ACROSS THE AREA LONGER DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. H85
WINDS AS HIGH AS 70 KTS MOVE ACROSS THE NRN TIER OF THE CWFA. WITH
THE CAA SAT NITE...STRONG WINDS SHOULD BE REALIZED ACROSS THE MTNS.
MTN WAVE ACTION AND MIXING WILL BRING THE STRONG WINDS ACROSS AT
LEAST THE FOOTHILLS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THEREFORE...HAVE ISSUED A
HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THESE LOCATIONS FROM SAT EVENING THRU THE DAY
SUNDAY. ADVISORY LEVEL WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AT LEAST
THE NW PIEDMONT AND COULD REACH THE SRN PIEDMONT AS WELL. LOWS WILL
BE FROM NEAR NORMAL TO 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. EVEN WITH THE STRONG
WINDS...WIND CHILL VALUES SHUD REMAIN ABOVE ADV LEVEL. THE NW FLOW
SNOW TAPERS OFF THRU THE MORNING SUNDAY AND ENDS AROUND NOON. CLEAR
SKIES SHOULD DEVELOP ELSEWHERE. HOWEVER...SOME LOW CLOUDS COULD
SPILL OUT ACROSS THE NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT WITH THE MTN WAVE.
HIGHS SUNDAY WILL BE FROM NEAR NORMAL TO 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES GREATLY SUN NITE AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE AREA. THE HIGH SLOWLY MOVES EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY
AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN. WIND TAPERS OFF QUICKLY SUNDAY EVENING
WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS. THIS COMBINED WITH
CLEAR SKIES COULD LEAD TO A RELATIVELY COLD NITE WITH TEMPS AROUND 5
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. FROST COULD DEVELOP OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS IF THE
WINDS FALL OFF FAST ENOUGH. HOWEVER...THE AIR MASS WILL BE VERY DRY
WHICH MAY LIMIT ANY FROST DEVELOPMENT. THICKNESSES REBOUND
SIGNIFICANTLY MONDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES IN. ADD TO THIS A DEVELOPING
SLY FLOW...AND HIGHS RISE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM EDT FRIDAY...THE FIRST PART OF THE MEDIUM RANGE LOOKS
QUIET ENOUGH. THE AXIS OF AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK SHORT WAVE OVERTOPPING THE RIDGE ON
TUESDAY MORNING LOOKS EVEN MORE INCONSEQUENTIAL THAN IT DID
BEFORE...SO NO PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE CARRIED. THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS
WILL REMAIN ALONG THE EAST COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHICH
WILL SUPPORT HIGH PRESSURE JUST OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. THE
RESULTING SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARM ADVECTION WILL KEEP TEMPS
SOMEWHERE IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE
PROLONGED FLOW FROM THE SOUTH WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BY WHICH TIME THE RIDGE AXIS WILL HAVE
WEAKENED. A TRAIN OF SHORT WAVES WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WHILE
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FROM THE GULF. UNCERTAINTY CREEPS INTO THE
FCST BY THURSDAY WITH THE POSITION...STRENGTH...AND TIMING OF A COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE LATEST GUIDANCE HAS BACKED UP
THE TIMING OF THIS FEATURE INTO AT LEAST FRIDAY. THE OPERATIONAL GFS
REMAINS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH A FAIRLY STRONG FRONT CROSSING THE
REGION ON FRIDAY WITH SOME INTRIGUING SHEAR AND BUOYANCY MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST. THE 00Z ECMWF HAS A WEAKER FRONT THOUGH...WHICH
STALLS ACROSS THE REGION LATE IN THE DAY. FOR NOW...THE POP TIMING
WILL BE CUT BACK ON THURSDAY AND LIMITED TO THE CHANCE RANGE ON
FRIDAY. THIS WILL NECESSITATE RAISING TEMPS ON THURSDAY. EVEN WITH
THE FRONT IN THE AREA FRIDAY...TEMPS LOOK TO BE ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT...INTERESTING SPRING SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE CLT TERMINAL
THROUGH THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. THE CENTER OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK FROM THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TO
MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY 12Z SAT...REACHING THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY BY 18Z.
LLVL LIFT WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH THE
NIGHT...PEAKING BETWEEN 10-15Z. IFR CEILINGS WILL LIKELY ARRIVE
AROUND MIDNIGHT...LIFR CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 10-16Z. LLVL
SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...ADVECTING MID 50
DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE TERMINAL...CAPES SHOULD RISE NEAR 500 J/KG BY
18Z. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT MVFR CEILINGS...GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS...WITH INCREASING SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED TSRA. TS HIGHLIGHTED
WITH PROB30 FROM 16-18Z.

ELSEWHERE...THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS APPEARS PRIMED
FOR IFR TO LIFR CEILINGS OVERNIGHT. INCREASING LLVL LIFT WILL
SUPPORT FALLING CLOUD BASES THIS EVENING...WITH PERSISTENT IFR TO
LIFR CEILINGS AFTER MIDNIGHT. KAVL WILL LIKELY SEE IFR CONDITIONS
LINGER FROM THIS AFTERNOON. LIFR CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED PRIMARILY
BETWEEN 10-16Z. LLVL SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING...ADVECTING MID 50 DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE TERMINALS...CAPES
SHOULD RISE NEAR 500 J/KG BY 18Z. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT MVFR
CEILINGS...GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...WITH INCREASING SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED TSRA. TS HIGHLIGHTED WITH VCTS FROM 16-18Z.

OUTLOOK...SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY. VFR BUT WINDY
ON SUNDAY. VFR WEATHER MONDAY. RESTRICTIONS IN SHOWERS POSSIBLE WHEN
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES TUESDAY. VFR WEDNESDAY.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-19Z
KCLT       HIGH  87%     HIGH  84%     HIGH  80%     HIGH  86%
KGSP       HIGH  93%     HIGH  96%     HIGH  84%     MED   79%
KAVL       MED   78%     HIGH  83%     HIGH  91%     HIGH  88%
KHKY       HIGH  87%     HIGH  85%     HIGH  88%     HIGH  88%
KGMU       HIGH  91%     HIGH  96%     HIGH  92%     HIGH  80%
KAND       HIGH  83%     HIGH  95%     HIGH  92%     HIGH  88%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE
HOURLY EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...NED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
501 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-290915-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
501 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
SATURDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-290915-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
501 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE REGION TODAY...MAINLY
OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE. THE
MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEEPEN OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
INCREASING MOISTURE AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL QUARTER SIZED OR LARGER. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO BE OVER EASTERN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE WESTERN
PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

14