River Flood Warning 16, NWS Green Bay, WI

636 
WGUS83 KGRB 052346
FLSGRB

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY, WI 
646 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN UPPER 
WISCONSIN...

  EAU CLAIRE RIVER NEAR KELLY AFFECTING MARATHON COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED AREA...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN ALTERNATE 
ROUTE.  TURN AROUND...DO NOT DROWN.

&&

WIC073-060016-
/O.CAN.KGRB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-140905T2346Z/
/KELW3.1.ER.140905T1319Z.140905T1600Z.140905T2007Z.NO/
646 PM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE EAU CLAIRE RIVER NEAR KELLY.
* AT  6:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* AT 7.0 FEET...FLOODING IS CONFINED TO LOW LAND WOODED AREAS AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND.  

&&

LAT...LON 4511 8929 4495 8948 4494 8962 4489 8961
      4487 8943 4507 8923             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
654 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

UPDATED AVIATION PORTION FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE

.SHORT TERM...TODAY...TONIGHT...AND SATURDAY
ISSUED AT 434 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

PCPN TRENDS TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...AND THE ARRIVAL OF A MUCH
COOLER AND LESS HUMID AIR MASS...WILL BE THE MAIN FCST CONCERNS.

RUNNING A LITTLE LATE THIS MORNING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL/FLOODING
CONCERNS AND ISOLD SVR TSTM THREAT. MAIN OVERNIGHT HIGHLIGHT
WAS FLASH FLOODING OVER NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY...WHERE OUR RADAR
ESTIMATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5+ INCHES.

COLD FRONT WAS MOVG THROUGH NC/C WI EARLY THIS MORNING. AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...MUCAPE WAS STILL 1000-2000 J/KG AND PWATS WERE 1.75 TO
2.00 INCHES. SCT SHRA/TSRA WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
FRONT EARLY THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION...WEAKENING CONVECTION OVER
IA/SW WI (ASSOCIATED WITH THE RRQ OF AN UPPER LEVER JET) SHOULD
CONTINUE TO BUILD TOWARD THE FOX RIVER VALLEY. EXPECT MOST OF THE
PCPN TO END BY MIDDAY AS THE FRONT SHIFTS EAST AND DRIER CANADIAN
AIR ARRIVES. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT LIGHT SHOWERS OR
SPRINKLES WILL LINGER OVER EC WI THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS
THE RRQ OF A 120 KT JET MOVES THROUGH. WILL KEEP THE DRY FCST
FOR THAT PERIOD FOR NOW...BUT PASS ON CONCERNS TO THE DAY SHIFT.

HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BRING DRY WX AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON
SATURDAY.

MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL ARRIVE TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY.
HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S MOST PLACES. CHILLY
READINGS IN THE 40S AND LOWER 50S ARE ANTICIPATED TONIGHT...WITH
LOWS AROUND 40 IN THE TYPICAL COLD SPOTS OF NC WI.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
ISSUED AT 434 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES THE WEATHER PATTERN. THE BIG STORY FOR NEXT WEEK WILL BE
THE CHANGE IN THE UPPER AIR PATTERN. 500MB RIDGE EXPECTED TO BUILD
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES WHILE NORTHWEST FLOW AND COLD UPPER
LOW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
THIS SCENARIO WILL LEAD TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ENDING UP
MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.

DETAILS OF THE FORECAST STILL MUDDLED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
IF THE AREA WOULD SEE PRECIPITATION IN EACH PERIOD. WILL CONTINUE
PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR CONTINUITY SAKE AND LET THE MODELS SORT OUT THE
DETAILS. THE BIG NEWS IS TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO WELL BELOW
SEASONAL NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK. NORTHWEST FLOW WOULD MOST
LIKELY LEAD TO INSTABILITY SHOWERS NEXT THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT
AND LINGER INTO NEXT FRIDAY. 850MB TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP
TO -2C TO -4C. COULD BE SOME GALE GUSTS THROUGH DEATHS DOOR IF WINDS
TURN TO 340 DEGREES LIKE THE MODELS INDICATE. A SURE SIGN THAT
FALL IS HERE!.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE
ISSUED AT 648 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS
MORNING...AS A COLD FRONT SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION. A LARGE
AREA OF MVFR CIGS OVER NORTHERN MN AND NW WI SHOULD MOVE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER NC WI.
CLEARING SKIES ARE ANTIICPATED TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO
WISCONSIN.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM.....KIECKBUSCH
LONG TERM......ECKBERG
AVIATION.......KIECKBUSCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
450 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-061000-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
450 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS MORNING...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-061000-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
450 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THIS MORNING...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

PATCHY DENSE FOG MAY ALSO CAUSE NAVIGATION PROBLEMS THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT THIS TIME.

TSK/RE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
754 AM CDT FRI SEP 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E ELLISON BAY         45.25N 87.02W
09/05/2014  M2.66 INCH       DOOR               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       GREEN BAY               44.51N 88.00W
09/05/2014  M2.25 INCH       BROWN              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 N IOLA                44.56N 89.11W
09/05/2014  E2.50 INCH       WAUPACA            WI   PUBLIC

            24 HOUR TOTAL

0630 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 WSW HOWARD            44.54N 88.12W
09/05/2014  M2.66 INCH       BROWN              WI   NWS EMPLOYEE

            48 HOUR TOTAL

&&

LUCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1020 AM CDT FRI SEP 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SUAMICO                 44.63N 88.05W
09/05/2014  M2.55 INCH       BROWN              WI   PUBLIC

            24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

LUCHS