Beach Hazards Statement 6, NWS Green Bay, WI

083 
WHUS43 KGRB 281510
CFWGRB

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1010 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

WIZ050-282300-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0006.000000T0000Z-140728T2300Z/
MANITOWOC-
INCLUDING THE BEACHES OF...POINT BEACH...NESHOTAH BEACH...
RED ARROW BEACH
1010 AM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* HIGH WAVE ACTION...STRONG CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING 
  CONDITIONS EXPECTED. 

* LOCATION...BEACHES OF MANITOWOC COUNTY INCLUDING POINT BEACH...
  NESHOTAH BEACH...AND RED ARROW BEACH. 

* PERSISTENT NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WAVES OF 3 TO 5 
  FEET TO THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE OF DOOR COUNTY THROUGH THIS 
  AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. NORTH 
  WINDS WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST WAVE ACTION ALONG POINT BEACH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WAVE ACTION MAKES SWIMMING DIFFICULT AND CAN TIRE EVEN A
STRONG SWIMMER QUICKLY AS WAVES ON THE GREAT LAKES OCCUR IN RAPID
SUCCESSION. HIGH WAVE ACTION ALSO LEADS TO STRONG CURRENTS.

&&

$$

783 
WHUS43 KGRB 281940
CFWGRB

LAKESHORE HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
240 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

WIZ050-282300-
/O.CON.KGRB.BH.S.0006.000000T0000Z-140728T2300Z/
MANITOWOC-
INCLUDING THE BEACHES OF...POINT BEACH...NESHOTAH BEACH...
RED ARROW BEACH
240 PM CDT MON JUL 28 2014

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* HIGH WAVE ACTION...STRONG CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SWIMMING 
  CONDITIONS EXPECTED. 

* LOCATION...BEACHES OF MANITOWOC COUNTY INCLUDING POINT BEACH...
   NESHOTAH BEACH...AND RED ARROW BEACH. 

* PERSISTENT NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WAVES OF 2 TO 4
  FEET TO THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE OF DOOR COUNTY...RESULTING IN
  DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. NORTH WINDS WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST
  WAVE ACTION ALONG POINT BEACH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HIGH WAVE ACTION MAKES SWIMMING DIFFICULT AND CAN TIRE EVEN A
STRONG SWIMMER QUICKLY AS WAVES ON THE GREAT LAKES OCCUR IN RAPID
SUCCESSION. HIGH WAVE ACTION ALSO LEADS TO STRONG CURRENTS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1153 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

UPDATED AVIATION PORTION FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

COOLER AND LESS HUMID FOR THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

MAJOR AMPLIFICATION OF THE LNGWV PATTERN IS UNDERWAY. UPR TROFS
WL SETTLE IN OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST AND OVER THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILE AN UPR RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THIS IS GOING TO BE A VERY STABLE PATTERN...
WITH THE MAIN FEATURES REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE FCST
PERIOD. ABOUT THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE THAT WILL OCCUR WL BE A
GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THE FLOW ACRS THE CONUS AS THE COLD AIR
WITHIN THE UPR TROFS SLOWLY MODIFIES.

THE NW UPR FLOW REGIME WILL KEEP TEMPS AT LEAST A LITTLE BELOW
NORMAL FOR THE PERIOD. THERE WILL BE AMPLE OPPORTUNITIES FOR
PRECIPITATION AS DISTURBANCES RIDE SEWD ACRS THE AREA AND INTO THE
ERN GREAT LAKES UPR TROF. BUT THE MAIN POOL OF VERY MOIST UNSTABLE
AIR WL REMAIN WELL TO OUR S...SO WITH MOISTURE LIMITED...PCPN
AMNTS WL BE MODEST.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND MONDAY
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THE LATEST RAP ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A POTENT
UPPER LEVEL LOW DIVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS NORTHEAST WISCONSIN EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN MOST WIDESPREAD
SO FAR TO DAY OVER NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN WHERE PEA
SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED AROUND MIDDAY OVER NORTHERN OCONTO AND
MARINETTE...BUT NO REPORTS OF ANY SEVERE WEATHER.  JUST BEHIND THE UPPER
LOW...A COLD FRONT IS DROPPING SOUTH OVER NORTHERN WISCONSIN AND THE
BACK EDGE OF THE CLOUD LINE IS MAKING STEADY PROGRESS SOUTHWARD OVER
CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR.  AS THE UPPER LOW EXITS...THE MAIN FORECAST
CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND TIMING THE END OF THE PRECIP AND FOLLOWED BY
CLOUDS/TEMPS.

TONIGHT...UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST OVER
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.  BEHIND THE LOW...PROGGED SOUNDINGS SHOW
INCREASING SUBSIDENCE AS EVIDENT BY MID-LEVEL DRYING AND A CAP
BUILDING AT AROUND 750MB THROUGH THE EVENING.  BUT LEFT A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN THROUGH ABOUT
MID-EVENING AS MID AND LOW LEVELS STILL LOOK RELATIVELY MOIST
THROUGH THIS TIME.  AS THIS IS OCCURRING...A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT
WILL BE DROPPING SOUTH OVER CENTRAL WISCONSIN WHERE CLEARING SKIES
SHOULD OCCUR BEHIND ITS PASSAGE.  THIS CLEARING WILL WORK INTO FAR
NORTHERN WISCONSIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EAST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN LAST
BY LATE IN THE EVENING.  BRISK NORTH WINDS WILL PUT A CHILL IN THE
AIR BEHIND THE FRONT AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE MIDDLE 40S NORTH
TO MIDDLE 50S SOUTH.

MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE NOSING INTO THE AREA WHICH WILL MAKE
FOR A QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL MID-SUMMERS DAY.  SHOULD SEE DIURNAL
CU POP AGAIN BY LATE IN THE MORNING ONLY TO BE CAPPED OFF AT AROUND
750-700MB.  HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

TOUGH TO ADD MUCH RESOLUTION TO THE FCST BEYOND THE DIURNAL TREND
FOR MORE CLDS AND SHRA DURING THE AFTN/EARLY EVENING...AND A MIN
IN THE CLDS AND PCPN CHCS LATE AT NIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING.
STAYED CLOSE TO BROAD BASED BLEND OF GUIDANCE PRODUCTS
THROUGHOUT.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR 06Z TAF ISSUANCE
ISSUED AT 1142 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA BRINGING CLEARING SKIES AND
COOLER TEMPS TO THE AREA. SHOULD SEE GOOD FLYING WEATHER TOMORROW
WITH VFR DIURNAL CU BUILDING BY LATE MORNING. &&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS.......SKOWRONSKI
SHORT TERM.....MPC
LONG TERM......SKOWRONSKI
AVIATION.......TE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
235 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-281945-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
235 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING OVER
EAST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD STILL PRODUCE
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...AND SMALL HAIL...BUT
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY....BUT IT IS VERY
UNLIKELY ANY OF THE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-281945-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
235 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY
EVENING FROM SHEBOYGAN TO ALGOMA AND POSE A HAZARD TO BOATERS.

GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND BUILDING WAVES WILL CREATE CONDITIONS
HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

MPC/JS