Alert archive / Kansas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2014

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Goodland, KS

February 3, 2014Greeley County, Wallace County, Wichita County, Kansas; Cheyenne County, Colorado

NWS Goodland, KS issued this winter storm warning at Feb 3, 2014, 2:56 AM MST for Greeley County, Wallace County, Wichita County, Kansas; Cheyenne County, Colorado. It took effect at Feb 3, 2014, 8:00 PM MST. It was in force for 16 hr. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2014, 2:56 AM MST (09:56 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 3, 2014, 8:00 PM MST
Expired
Feb 4, 2014, 11:42 AM MST
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Goodland, KS

Counties Cheyenne County, CO, Greeley County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 4, 2:56 AM MSTSNOW 2Cheyenne Wells, COSTILL SNOWING.
Feb 4, 2:56 AM MSTSNOW 3Cheyenne Wells, COSTILL SNOWING.
Feb 4, 6:40 AM MSTSNOW 3Cheyenne Wells, COSTILL SNOWING.
Feb 4, 6:47 AM MSTSNOW 1Sharon Springs, KSROADS ARE STARTING TO BECOME ICY AND SNOWPACKED.
Feb 4, 6:50 AM MSTSNOW 29 Nne Kit Carson, COSTILL SNOWING.
Feb 4, 7:45 AM MSTSNOW 1.5Tribune, KS
Feb 4, 7:50 AM MSTSNOW 1.5Tribune, KS
Feb 4, 7:55 AM MSTSNOW 1Leoti, KS
Feb 4, 11:23 AM MSTSNOW 4.36 N Wild Horse, COSTORM TOTAL SNOWFALL SO FAR. MEASURED 4 - 4.5 INCHES.
Feb 4, 11:23 AM MSTSNOW 89 Nne Kit Carson, COSTORM TOTAL SNOWFALL SO FAR.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 00:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2014-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 00:00Z on 2014-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1864 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

723 
WWUS43 KGLD 030956
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
256 AM MST MON FEB 3 2014

KSZ041-031800-
/O.UPG.KGLD.WS.A.0001.140204T0300Z-140205T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.WS.W.0002.140204T0300Z-140205T0000Z/
GREELEY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TRIBUNE
256 AM MST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM
MST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
8 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS
NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE MONDAY EVENING WITH THE 
  HEAVIEST SNOW BETWEEN MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT AND MIDDAY 
  TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD MOVE EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY 
  LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW MAY DEVELOP 
  TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

&&

$$

COZ091-092-KSZ013>016-027>029-042-031800-
/O.CON.KGLD.WS.A.0001.140204T0300Z-140205T0000Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...CHEYENNE WELLS...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...LEOTI
256 AM MST MON FEB 3 2014 /356 AM CST MON FEB 3 2014/

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE MONDAY EVENING WITH THE 
  HEAVIEST SNOW BETWEEN MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT AND MIDDAY 
  TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD MOVE EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY 
  LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW MAY DEVELOP 
  TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  POSSIBLE. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
833 
WWUS43 KGLD 031805
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1105 AM MST MON FEB 3 2014

COZ092-KSZ027-042-040615-
/O.UPG.KGLD.WS.A.0001.140204T0300Z-140205T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.WS.W.0002.140204T0300Z-140205T0000Z/
CHEYENNE CO-WALLACE-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEYENNE WELLS...SHARON SPRINGS...LEOTI
1105 AM MST MON FEB 3 2014 /1205 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MST /9 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
8 PM MST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY.
THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING WITH THE HEAVIEST
  SNOW BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND MIDDAY TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD
  MOVE EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

&&

$$

KSZ041-040615-
/O.CON.KGLD.WS.W.0002.140204T0300Z-140205T0000Z/
GREELEY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TRIBUNE
1105 AM MST MON FEB 3 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 5 PM MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING WITH THE HEAVIEST
  SNOW BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND MIDDAY TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD
  MOVE EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

&&

$$

COZ091-KSZ013>016-028-029-040615-
/O.UPG.KGLD.WS.A.0001.140204T0300Z-140205T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.WW.Y.0003.140204T0600Z-140205T0000Z/
KIT CARSON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...OAKLEY...QUINTER
1105 AM MST MON FEB 3 2014 /1205 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT
CST/ THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT CST/ THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/
TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE LATE TONIGHT WITH THE HEAVIEST
  SNOW BETWEEN SUNRISE AND MIDDAY TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD MOVE EAST
  AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AREAS OF
  BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR 
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ090-KSZ001>004-NEZ079>081-040615-
/O.NEW.KGLD.WW.Y.0003.140204T0600Z-140205T0000Z/
YUMA-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-
RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...
OBERLIN...NORTON...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
1105 AM MST MON FEB 3 2014 /1205 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT
CST/ THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 PM MST /MIDNIGHT CST/ THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/
TUESDAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE LATE TONIGHT WITH THE HEAVIEST
  SNOW BETWEEN SUNRISE AND MIDDAY TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD MOVE EAST
  AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AREAS OF
  BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
590 
WWUS43 KGLD 040402
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
902 PM MST MON FEB 3 2014

COZ092-KSZ027-041-042-041215-
/O.CON.KGLD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
CHEYENNE CO-WALLACE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEYENNE WELLS...SHARON SPRINGS...
TRIBUNE...LEOTI
902 PM MST MON FEB 3 2014 /1002 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM
CST/ TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING WITH THE HEAVIEST 
  SNOW BETWEEN MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND MIDDAY TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD 
  MOVE EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

&&

$$

COZ090-091-KSZ001>004-013>016-028-029-NEZ079>081-041215-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0003.140204T0600Z-140205T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...GOODLAND...COLBY...
HOXIE...HILL CITY...OAKLEY...QUINTER...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...
MCCOOK
902 PM MST MON FEB 3 2014 /1002 PM CST MON FEB 3 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM
CST/ TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE LATE TONIGHT WITH THE HEAVIEST 
  SNOW BETWEEN SUNRISE AND MIDDAY TUESDAY. SNOW SHOULD MOVE EAST 
  AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AREAS OF 
  BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH 
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
339 
WWUS43 KGLD 041214
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
514 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014

COZ092-KSZ027-041-042-042000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
CHEYENNE CO-WALLACE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEYENNE WELLS...SHARON SPRINGS...
TRIBUNE...LEOTI
514 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014 /614 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. THE
  HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY. SNOW
  SHOULD MOVE EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

&&

$$

COZ090-091-KSZ001>004-013>016-028-029-NEZ079>081-042000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...GOODLAND...COLBY...
HOXIE...HILL CITY...OAKLEY...QUINTER...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...
MCCOOK
514 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014 /614 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. THE
  HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY. SNOW
  SHOULD MOVE EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
118 
WWUS43 KGLD 041515
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
815 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014

KSZ027-041-042-050000-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
WALLACE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHARON SPRINGS...TRIBUNE...LEOTI
815 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014 /915 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST SNOW
  SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY. SNOW SHOULD MOVE
  EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AREAS OF
  BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ092-050000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
CHEYENNE CO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHEYENNE WELLS
815 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST SNOW
  SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY. SNOW SHOULD MOVE
  EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AREAS OF
  BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

&&

$$

COZ090-091-KSZ001>004-013>016-028-029-NEZ079>081-050000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-LOGAN-GOVE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...GOODLAND...COLBY...
HOXIE...HILL CITY...OAKLEY...QUINTER...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...
MCCOOK
815 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014 /915 AM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. THE 
  HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY. SNOW 
  SHOULD MOVE EAST AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS 
  MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST 
  OF THE AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
753 
WWUS43 KGLD 041842
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1142 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014

COZ092-050000-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
CHEYENNE CO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHEYENNE WELLS
1142 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...NEW ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOW HAS ENDED OVER CHEYENNE COUNTY. LIGHT
  SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SNOW TAPERING OFF BY LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE STILL EXPECTED THROUGH
  THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION COMBINED WITH BLOWING SNOW WILL
  REDUCE VISIBILITIES THIS AFTERNOON. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED
  TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT SOME LOCATIONS. THE COMBINATION
  OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL
  DIFFICULT.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

COZ090-091-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-050000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-140205T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-
HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...GOODLAND...COLBY...
HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...
LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
1142 AM MST TUE FEB 4 2014 /1242 PM CST TUE FEB 4 2014/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM
CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  ALONG THE KANSAS AND COLORADO STATE LINE.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
  AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE 
  EXPECTED. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR 
  LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOWPACKED ROADS AND LOW 
  VISIBILITIES WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. 

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 2, 10:01 PM MST, 4 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 2, 10:01 PM MST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1001 PM MST SUN FEB 2 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 227 PM MST SUN FEB 2 2014

TONIGHT AND MONDAY SHOULD REMAIN DRY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES FURTHER TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT WITH THE INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENING FROM MEXICO INTO
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS REGION DURING THE
DAY ON MONDAY IN RESPONSE TO THE WESTERLY UPPER FLOW THAT TURNS MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.

TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS WERE AFFECTED BY THE SNOW COVER LAST
NIGHT AND THIS MORNING...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY IT
MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS WERE PRIOR
ACCUMULATIONS WERE GREATER AND DAYTIME MELTING HAS BEEN LESS DUE TO
THE LOWER TEMPERATURES.  EXPECTED THERE TO BE SOME FOG LAST
NIGHT...BUT THE LACK OF SKY COVER HELPED KEEP TEMPERATURES LOW AND
THE WHAT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WAS AVAILABLE ENDED UP FROSTING OUT
INSTEAD OF FORMING FOG.  MODELS MAY HAVE BEEN A BIT BIASED BY THE
SNOWCOVER ALSO. SEEING SOME SIMILARITIES SHOWING UP AGAIN TONIGHT
WITH DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES THAT ARE LIKELY UNREALISTICALLY
HIGH.  HAVE THEREFORE GONE SLIGHTLY BELOW GUIDANCE ON OVERNIGHT LOWS
AND HAVE DEFINITELY GONE LOWER ON DEWPOINTS THAN GUIDANCE.  THE
RESULT IS A DRYER AIR MASS WITH LOWER RH AND NO FOG EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT.

HAVE ALSO KEPT TEMPERATURES COOLER MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN AND
NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA DUE TO SNOW COVER. WITH
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TURNING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DURING THE
DAY ON MONDAY...EXPECT TO SEE CLOUDS INCREASING AS MOISTURE INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY...BOTH IN LOW CLOUDS AND WITH HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING
ACROSS THE AREA BY LATE IN THE DAY.  HAVE NOT COMPLETELY RULED OUT
THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW FLURRIES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS BY
LATE IN THE DAY ON MONDAY...BUT STILL EXPECT ANY MEASURABLE
ACCUMULATIONS TO COME AFTER 00Z MONDAY EVENING.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 227 PM MST SUN FEB 2 2014

WINTER STORM EXPECTED TO IMPACT TRI-STATE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW POSSIBLE. WINTER
STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70.

MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY NIGHT...

NEGATIVELY TILTED H5 TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE SW US MONDAY NIGHT AND
ACROSS THE PLAINS ON TUESDAY. FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS IT APPEARED THAT
THE MAIN AXIS OF FORCING/MOISTURE WOULD BE SHUNTED TO THE EAST OF
OUR CWA...HOWEVER BASED ON LAST FEW RUNS OF GUIDANCE IT IS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY LIKELY THAT WE WILL SEE FAVORABLE FORCING/MOISTURE FOR
HEAVY SNOW OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF OUR CWA. AVAILABLE GUIDANCE IS
IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON TRACK OF UPPER LOW WITH H7 LOW TRACKING
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KS...THOUGH THERE ARE DIFFERENCE IN
STRENGTH OF THIS CLOSED LOW AND LOCATION OF POSSIBLE DEFORMATION
BAND. I HAVE BEEN SKEPTICAL OF THE NAM SOLUTION WHICH HAS TENDED
TO BE AN OUTLIER ON AXIS OF BEST FORCING AND THUS HIGHEST SNOW. IT
HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY HIGHER THAN ALL OTHER GUIDANCE ON QPF
AMOUNTS OVER OUR CWA...SO I FAVORED GFS/ECMWF BLEND. GFS/ECMWF
CONTINUES TO HIGHLIGHT A BULLSEYE IN THE SW PART OF OUR CWA AFTER
MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT FOR INITIAL BAND DEVELOPMENT...WITH STRONG
FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH H3 JET AND AXIS OF FRONTOGENETICAL
FORCING. THESE MODELS INDICATE THIS MAIN BAND OF SNOW SPREADING
NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF OUR CWA. MODEL CROSS
SECTIONS SHOW PRESENCE OF INSTABILITY WITHIN THE SATURATED LAYER
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BAND (HIGHLIGHTED BY SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE
THETA-E LAPSE RATES)...WHICH COULD SUPPORT HIGHER SNOW RATES...AND
COULD PUSH US OVER THE 6" CUTOFF FOR WARNING. IF IT WASNT FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR A PERSISTENT BAND FORMATION OVER OUR CWA...I WOULD
HAVE BEEN LEANING TOWARDS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW...WIND GUSTS 20-30 MPH
TUESDAY COULD PRODUCE DRIFTING AND BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING
VISIBILITIES AND COMPLICATING TRAVEL EVEN FOR LOCATIONS THAT GET
LIGHTER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF IN INTENSITY TUESDAY
NIGHT AND VISIBILITIES RELATED TO BLOWING SNOW SHOULD IMPROVE.

TO ACCOUNT FOR LATEST TRENDS I HAVE GONE FORWARD WITH A WINTER STORM
WATCH LATE MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE IN
WARNING CRITERIA IS HIGHEST IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE
WATCH...HOWEVER I DIDNT SEE A REASON TO GET TOO SPECIFIC YET. I
COULD ALSO SEE ISSUING A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A FEW COUNTIES
NORTH OF THE CURRENT WATCH...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS JUST TO LOW RIGHT
NOW.

WITH ARCTIC AIR MASS IN PLACE IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL SEE WIND CHILLS
DROP DOWN TO THE -15F TO -25F RANGE EACH NIGHT BEGINNING TUESDAY
NIGHT...WHICH WOULD REQUIRED WIND CHILL HIGHLIGHTS. I FELT IT WAS
BEST TO CONCENTRATE ATTENTION ON UPCOMING WINTER STORM...AND CAN
ISSUE WIND CHILL ADVISORY/WARNING WHEN CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER FOR
CROSSOVER OF COLD TEMPS/WIND TUESDAY NIGHT.

WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY...

WEAK PULSES OF ENERGY ALOFT AND LINGERING MOISTURE OVERRIDING
SHALLOW ARCTIC AIR MASS COULD PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES OVER
PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH THESE PERIODS. WHILE I COULDNT RULE OUT
A BRIEF DUSTING OF SNOW DURING THESE PERIODS...NON MEASURABLE SNOW
SEEMS MUCH MORE LIKELY SO I ONLY INCLUDED MENTION OF SCATTERED
FLURRIES.

FRIDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...

EXTENDED OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE AND ENSEMBLES
CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE ANOTHER POTENTIAL WINTER STORM DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST AND CENTRAL PLAINS BY NEXT WEEKEND.
THERE IS STILL SPREAD IN THE TIMING/FINER DETAILS...SO WE WILL HAVE
TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS AND FINE TUNE FORECAST FOR POTENTIAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS. I FELT COMFORTABLE RAISING POPS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH GUIDANCE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON LARGE SCALE
PATTERN.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 926 PM MST SUN FEB 2 2014

FOR KGLD AND KMCK VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 20Z. AFTER 20Z
MODELS ARE HINTING AT SATURATED LOW LEVEL AIRMASS (CURRENTLY OVER
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WHERE OBSERVATIONS REVEALING MVFR/IFR CIGS)
TO MOVE INTO THE KGLD AREA IN THE 15Z-20Z TIMEFRAME AND COULD SEE
SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY BROKEN DECK BELOW 500'. THIS AIRMASS REACHES
KMCK AROUND 17Z. NOT QUITE CONFIDENT TO PUT THIS INTO THE TAF
FORECASTS FOR BOTH SITES TIL CLOSER TO 20Z AND FOR NOW HAVE IT AS
A SCATTERED DECK BUT IT COULD CERTAINLY BECOME THE PREDOMINANT
CEILING WITH IFR/VLIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AND SOONER THEN
EXPECTED. WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD GENERALLY UNDER 10KTS AT BOTH
SITES. NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED BUT SOME MIST/FG IS POSSIBLE WITH
THE LOWERED CIGS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR KSZ013>016-027>029-041-042.

CO...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR COZ091-092.

NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...DR
AVIATION...99
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 2, 2:20 PM MST, 12 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
220 PM MST SUN FEB 2 2014

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-031245-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
220 PM MST SUN FEB 2 2014 /320 PM CST SUN FEB 2 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A WINTER STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TRI STATE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY. 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. LOCATIONS NORTH OF THIS MAY SEE 1 TO 3
INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. GUSTY WINDS COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF
BLOWING SNOW ON TUESDAY...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER
MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP TO 15 BELOW ZERO OR COLDER EACH NIGHT
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ANOTHER WINTER STORM MAY DEVELOP FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WHICH COULD
BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW CHANCES BACK TO THE
REGION. THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS
SYSTEM AT THIS RANGE. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS
FOR UP TO DATE INFORMATION ON THIS EVOLVING PATTERN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 3, 11:05 AM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryGLDCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Logan and 7 more30 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2014Winter Storm Warnings in Colorado, 2014Every winter storm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.