Wind Advisory 8, NWS Goodland, KS

471 
WWUS73 KGLD 191858
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1158 AM MST WED FEB 19 2014

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY IN
THE WAKE OF THE STORM SYSTEM THAT MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL END EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AROUND
SUNRISE. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN
THROUGH THE MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON
THURSDAY AS SKIES CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION.

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-200300-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.140220T1600Z-140221T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
1158 AM MST WED FEB 19 2014 /1258 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ TO
5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THURSDAY...

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  TO 55 MPH. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE 
  MORNING AND WILL PEAK FROM MID DAY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...UNTIL TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING PATCHY
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

632 
WWUS73 KGLD 200244
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
744 PM MST WED FEB 19 2014

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY
IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM SYSTEM THAT MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL END EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AROUND
SUNRISE. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN THROUGH
THE MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY AS
SKIES CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION. 

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-201045-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.140220T1600Z-140221T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
744 PM MST WED FEB 19 2014 /844 PM CST WED FEB 19 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ TO
5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THURSDAY...

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  TO 55 MPH. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE 
  MORNING AND WILL PEAK FROM MID DAY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...UNTIL TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING PATCHY
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

041 
WWUS73 KGLD 200957
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
257 AM MST THU FEB 20 2014

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM
SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION TODAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL END EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AROUND SUNRISE. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN THROUGH THE MORNING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY AS SKIES CLEAR ACROSS THE
REGION.

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-201800-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.140220T1600Z-140221T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
257 AM MST THU FEB 20 2014 /357 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MST /10 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  TO 55 MPH. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE 
  MORNING AND WILL PEAK FROM MID DAY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...UNTIL TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING AREAS OF
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

369 
WWUS73 KGLD 201549
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
849 AM MST THU FEB 20 2014

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM
SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION TODAY.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AROUND SUNRISE.
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN THROUGH THE MORNING
AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AS SKIES CLEAR ACROSS THE
REGION.

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-210000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.140220T1600Z-140221T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
849 AM MST THU FEB 20 2014 /949 AM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  TO 55 MPH. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE 
  MORNING AND WILL PEAK FROM MID DAY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...UNTIL TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING AREAS 
  OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

JTL

254 
WWUS73 KGLD 201802
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1102 AM MST THU FEB 20 2014

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE STORM
SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION TODAY. THERE
WILL BE A SLIGHT DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AROUND SUNRISE.
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN THROUGH THE
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY AS SKIES CLEAR
ACROSS THE REGION.

KSZ002>004-015-016-NEZ080-081-210000-
/O.UPG.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140221T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.HW.W.0003.140220T1802Z-140221T0000Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...TRENTON...MCCOOK
1202 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE
WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  60 MPH.

* TIMING/DURATION...WIND SPEEDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE EARLY
  AFTERNOON THEN DECLINE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS STRONG WINDS ARE EITHER OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT WHICH COULD LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE...REDUCED VISIBILITY
IN BLOWING DUST...AND LOSS OF VEHICLE CONTROL. A HIGH WIND
WARNING IS ISSUED FOR SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE.

&&

$$

COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-014-027>029-041-042-NEZ079-210000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140221T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...COLBY...
SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN
1102 AM MST THU FEB 20 2014 /1202 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  TO 55 MPH. 

* TIMING/DURATION...WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE 
  MORNING AND WILL PEAK FROM MID DAY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...UNTIL TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING AREAS 
  OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$
JTL

795 
WWUS73 KGLD 202238
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
338 PM MST THU FEB 20 2014

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

KSZ002>004-015-016-NEZ080-081-210000-
/O.CAN.KGLD.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-140221T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140221T0000Z/
RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...HOXIE...
HILL CITY...TRENTON...MCCOOK
438 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  50 MPH.

* TIMING/DURATION...WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE THROUGH
  THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-014-027>029-041-042-NEZ079-210000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140221T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...COLBY...
SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN
338 PM MST THU FEB 20 2014 /438 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

* PEAK WINDS...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  50 MPH.

* TIMING/DURATION...WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECLINE THROUGH
  THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

&&

$$

579 
WWUS73 KGLD 210004
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
504 PM MST THU FEB 20 2014

...STRONG WINDS HAVE ENDED THIS EVENING...

.ALL SITES ARE NOW BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA AND ARE NO LONGER
EXPECTED TO MEET CRITERIA TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE WIND ADVISORY
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-210115-
/O.EXP.KGLD.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-140221T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...OBERLIN...NORTON...
GOODLAND...COLBY...HOXIE...HILL CITY...SHARON SPRINGS...OAKLEY...
QUINTER...TRIBUNE...LEOTI...BENKELMAN...TRENTON...MCCOOK
504 PM MST THU FEB 20 2014 /604 PM CST THU FEB 20 2014/

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING AND STRONG WINDS ARE
NO LONGER EXPECTED TONIGHT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1217 AM MST WED FEB 19 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 948 PM MST TUE FEB 18 2014

UPDATED THE FORECAST FOR LATEST THINKING ON THE UPCOMING WIND AND
SNOW EVENT TOMORROW NIGHT. MAINTAINED/REFRESHED THE WSW...HWO AND
ZFP BY UPDATING THE TIMING OF THE RAIN/SNOW TRANSITION AND THE
ARRIVAL OF STRONGEST WINDS/ASSOCIATED BLOWING SNOW THREAT.
PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY EVENING/NIGHT ARE
VERY IMPRESSIVE...ON THE ORDER OF 12-16 MB OVER 3-6 HOURS. THIS ONLY
INCREASES CONFIDENCE IN PROBLEMS WITH STRONG WINDS TOMORROW NIGHT. MODELS
BRING PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT WITHOUT MUCH
AHEAD OF IT. THIS IS DUE TO SOME DRY AIR AT THE LOW LEVELS AND
ALOFT WITH A DRY AIR INTRUSION. BEHIND THE FRONT...THE ATMOSPHERIC
PROFILE SATURATES AND PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO REACH THE
GROUND. IT SEEMS THERE WILL BE A STRONG BAND OF SNOW THAT WILL
DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND TRANSITION ACROSS THE AREA FAIRLY
QUICKLY. UNDER THE BAND...SNOWFALL RATES AND WINDS WILL BRING
PROBLEMS WITH BLOWING SNOW AND DRIFTING. VISIBILITIES WILL BE NEAR
ZERO AT TIMES. DUE TO THE QUICK MOVEMENT OF THE BAND...SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY AS HIGH AS RECENT BANDED
SNOWFALL EVENTS. AT THIS POINT...ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW IS
EXPECTED WITH THE POTENTIAL TO SEE CLOSER TO 4 INCHES OVER
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. VERY COMPLICATED SCENARIO AS THE WINDS MAY
APPROACH HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA BUT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY
NOT BE MET FOR THE FULL THREE HOUR REQUIREMENT. THEREFORE...THE
ADVISORY WAS ISSUED AS WINTER STORM CRITERIA WOULD NOT BE MET AS
WELL. HIGHLIGHT CHANGES MAY BE NEEDED CLOSER TO THE EVENT
DEPENDING ON DURATION OF HEAVIER SNOW AND THUS LOWER VISIBILITIES
OR THE STRENGTH OF THE WINDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 145 PM MST TUE FEB 18 2014

LATEST WV IMAGERY AND RAP H5 ANALYSIS INDICATE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
EASTERN NEBRASKA/KANSAS WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN
AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. A COLD FRONT (WHICH SHOWS UP BETTER WITH
VERTICAL THICKNESS FIELD) IS MOVING SOUTH TO THE KS/NE BORDER WITH A
PREFRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH AXIS NOW ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.

THIS AFTERNOON...STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS LED TO DEVELOPMENT OF
WIND GUSTS 45-60 MPH ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA...WITH
WINDS JUST STARTING TO COME UP ACROSS THE EAST AND SOUTH OVER THE
LAST HOUR. STRONGEST GUSTS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH INITIAL SURGE AS
SURFACE TROUGH SHIFTED SOUTH AND 3HR PRESSURE RISES BEHIND COLD
FRONT PEAKED AROUND 4MB. WINDS HAVE STABILIZED WITHIN ADVISORY
CRITERIA AFTER THIS INITIAL SURGE...SO DECISION WAS MADE TO HOLD
ONTO ADVISORY. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE BEING MET AT MOST OF WARNED
AREA...THOUGH INCREASING TD VALUES FROM THE NORTH ARE KEEPING RH
VALUES CLOSER TO 30 PERCENT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE RFW. WE
MAY NOT MEET THE HIGH END THRESHOLD FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS...
HOWEVER WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF WIND...I SEE NO REASON TO MAKE A CHANGE
TO GOING HEADLINES AT THIS POINT. RFW/NPW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 01Z.

TONIGHT-WEDNESDAY...WINDS WILL QUICKLY DECREASE WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME
MIXING AND WEAKENING GRADIENT THIS EVENING. HIGH CLOUD COVER MOVING
IN FROM THE WEST LATER THIS EVENING MAY LIMIT RADIATIONAL COOLING
TONIGHT AND DIURNAL HEATING WEDNESDAY. LEE TROUGH ALSO REDEVELOPS
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO STRONG TROUGH MOVING OUT OF
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...WITH RESULTING SOUTHERLY FLOW SUPPORTING WAA
ACROSS THE WEST. I BUMPED LOW TEMPS UP TONIGHT AND HIGH TEMPS UP WED
FOR NOW...AND COULD SEE BOTH PERIODS BEING A LITTLE WARMER/COOLER
THAN ADVERTISED DEPENDING ON CLOUDS. OTHER IMMEDIATE CONCERN WILL BE
BREEZY-WINDY CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AS SOUTHERLY GRADIENT INCREASE
AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. MODEL TEMPERATURE PROFILES
INDICATE MIXING HEIGHTS AROUND 750MB-800MB WHICH KEEPS WINDS JUST
UNDER (OR NEAR) ADVISORY CRITERIA...AND WITH CLOUD COVER POSSIBLY
LIMITING MIXING OVERALL...I DECIDED AGAINST ISSUANCE OF ANOTHER
ADVISORY WED AFTERNOON. UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM DOES APPROACH CENTRAL
ROCKIES WED AFTERNOON AND SURFACE TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST ALLOWING
WINDS TO DECREASE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. WHILE FORCING DOES BEGIN
TO INCREASE OVER THE ROCKIES...IT CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE PRECIP
CHANCES SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL WED EVENING.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM MST WED FEB 19 2014

A TROUGH WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MOST OF
THE LONG TERM PERIOD WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING
THROUGH. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WITH
OCCASIONAL CHANCES OF MAINLY LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION. NONE OF
THESE SYSTEMS APPEAR TO HAVE ENOUGH UPPER SUPPORT FOR MORE THAN AN
INCH OR SO OF SNOW. SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING. A
FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON MONDAY WITH GUSTY
NORTH WINDS AND COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE PERIOD. HOWEVER...THE
COLDEST AIR WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM MST TUE FEB 18 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH CEILINGS
LOWERING NEAR THE END OR AFTER THE TAF PERIOD BEHIND THE NEXT COLD
FRONT. CURRENTLY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION IS ALLOWING
WINDS TO REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO CALM. WINDS WILL BECOME
SOUTHERLY AS THE SURFACE HIGH DEPARTS AND A LEE SIDE SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPS OVER EASTERN COLORADO. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY
AT 16 KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 TO 25 KTS FOR BOTH SITES. KGLD COULD
SEE HIGHER GUSTS AROUND 31 KTS AROUND 18Z. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH KGLD FIRST AROUND 04Z...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AND EVENTUALLY NORTH GUSTING TO AROUND 25 KTS. NAM BUFKIT SOUNDINGS
INDICATE THAT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN AT KGLD AT
04Z...BUT SINCE EXACT TIMING OF SHOWERS MOVING OVER THE TERMINAL IS
HARD TO PIN DOWN THIS FAR OUT...WENT WITH VCSH. KMCK SHOULD SEE
AFTERNOON GUSTS DIMINISH AROUND 0Z WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS...BUT THE
COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH KGLD FIRST SO DID NOT THINK VCSH
WOULD BE NEAR KMCK BEFORE THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM MST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING TO
     6 AM MST /7 AM CST/ THURSDAY FOR KSZ001-002-013-027.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM MST /11 PM CST/ THIS EVENING
     TO 6 AM MST /7 AM CST/ THURSDAY FOR KSZ003-004-014>016-028-
     029-041-042.

CO...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MST
     THURSDAY FOR COZ090>092.

NE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM MST /8 PM CST/ THIS EVENING TO
     6 AM MST /7 AM CST/ THURSDAY FOR NEZ079>081.

&&

UPDATE...RRH
SHORT TERM...DJR
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...ALW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
933 PM MST TUE FEB 18 2014

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-191715-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
933 PM MST TUE FEB 18 2014 /1033 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TRI-STATE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST
COLORADO AND SPREAD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25
TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 60 MPH WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO IN SOME LOCATIONS.

STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THURSDAY. NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THESE
STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE ADDITIONAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE
SNOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.