Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 242, NWS Goodland, KS

July 21, 2014Logan County, Kansas

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 21, 2014, 5:22 PM CDT for Logan County, Kansas. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 21, 2014, 5:22 PM CDT (22:22 UTC)
Expired: Jul 21, 2014, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 53 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Logan County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 19 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -484 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2651 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -42 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 21, 3:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 3:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
233 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

HIGH BASED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ALREADY DEVELOPING ALONG AND
EITHER SIDE OF THE CO/KS BORDER AND AREAL COVERAGE SHOULD SLOWLY
INCREASE AS THE DISTURBANCE APPROACHES.

INVERTED-V SOUNDINGS SUGGEST DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS THE PRIMARY
THREATS BUT CANT RULE OUT LARGE HAIL AS WELL. WITH STORM MOTIONS
GENERALLY TO THE NORTHEAST UNDER 10 MPH AND BEING PARALLEL TO UPPER
FLOW SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO POSSIBLE. PRECIPITATION SHOULD
COME TO AN END BY MIDNIGHT.

LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S EXCEPT LOW TO MID 70S FOR THE FAR
EASTERN 1/4 OF THE AREA.

TUESDAY...FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH BRINGING NORTHEAST WINDS
GUSTING 20 TO PERHAPS 25 MPH FOR AREAS ALONG/NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE. EAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE AREA COULD GET MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. DESPITE
THE FRESH NORTHEAST WINDS TEMPERATURES NOT ALL THAT MUCH COOLER WITH
FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA...UPPER 90S TO AROUND 103 ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST HALF.

MODEL DEWPOINT FORECASTS HAVE BEEN RATHER UNRELIABLE LATELY AND THIS
WILL LIKELY BE THE CASE TUESDAY. THIS WILL IMPACT POTENTIAL FOR A
POSSIBLY NEEDED HEAT ADVISORY. RIGHT NOW HAVE ADVISORY CRITERIA
BEING MET ACROSS NORTON...GRAHAM...PARTS OF GOVE AND SHERIDAN. PER
COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES WILL HOLD OFF ON A HIGHLITE
FOR NOW BUT WILL MENTION THE POSSIBILITY IN THE HWOGLD PRODUCT.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 232 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

A RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE ROCKIES/PLAINS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY.  A FRONT WILL BE POSITIONED IN NORTHWEST KANSAS ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FA TUESDAY EVENING AND THEN MOVE SOUTH AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER
THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
EASTERN COLORADO THURSDAY.

PLAN TO CONTINUE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY EVENING
NEAR THE FRONT STALLED OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FA.  CAPE
WILL RANGE FROM 2000 TO 2600J/KG AND SHEAR WILL BE FROM 20 TO 25KTS.
OTHERWISE POPS WILL BE NIL OVER THE FA AS SUBSIDENCE MOVES INTO THE
AREA. SURFACE CONVERGENCE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN
COLORADO WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.  POPS WILL BE NIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
FA. A SURFACE TROUGH IN EASTERN COLORADO WILL FOCUS THUNDERSTORM
INITIATION THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  A SHORTWAVE WILL PROVIDE FORCING AND
THERE WILL BE ADEQUATE MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S.

MAX TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH READINGS IN THE LOWER
90S.  WARMING 850 TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE MAX TEMPERATURE TO
REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 90S THURSDAY.  MIN TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 60S TO THE LOWER 70S IN THE EASTERN FA.

IN THE EXTENDED...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...

A RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES/PLAINS WILL RETROGRADE TO THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST BY SATURDAY.  THE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN THE SOUTHWEST
THROUGH MONDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH OVER EASTERN COLORADO WILL BE THE
FOCUS FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY EVENING AND
AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES IN NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO A LARGE PORTION OF THE
FA EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

MIN TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S WITH SOME LOWER
60S IN EASTERN COLORADO AND AROUND 70 IN THE EASTERN FA.  MAX
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO UPPER 90S WITH SOME UPPER
80S MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1055 AM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

KGLD...VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH 13Z GENERALLY
FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 10KTS OR LESS. AFTER 13Z COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTH THEN NORTHEAST AROUND
10KTS...POSSIBLY A BIT HIGHER AND WITH SOME GUSTS. THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED AT/NEAR THE TERMINAL IN THE 20Z-02Z TIME FRAME...PRIMARY
THREATS WILL BE STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS WHICH COULD PRODUCE AREAS OF
BLOWING DUST AND MVFR VISIBILITIES/CIGS. NO MENTION IN CURRENT
TAF AT THE MOMENT BUT WILL ADD IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES.

KMCK...VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS THROUGH 14Z
GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 10KTS OR LESS. AFTER 14Z WINDS
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST THEN NORTH AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
SPEEDS GENERALLY UNDER 10KTS. THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED AT/NAR THE
TERMINAL IN THE 22Z-24Z TIME FRAME...PRIMARY THREATS SIMILAR TO
KGLD WITH STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND POSSIBLY SOME BLOWING DUST AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES WHICH MAY CREATE MVFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ003-004-015-016-
     029.

CO...NONE.
NE...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR NEZ081.

&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...FS
AVIATION...99

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 21, 1:30 PM CDT, 3 hours 52 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1230 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-221200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1230 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014 /130 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM CDT FOR COUNTIES ALONG
AND EAST OF A RED WILLOW TO GOVE COUNTY LINE WHERE HEAT INDICES
WILL REACH UP TO 108 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES
INTO THE AREA FROM SOUTHWEST. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE
DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS AND ASSOCIATED AREAS OF BLOWING DUST
FOLLOWED BY LARGE HAIL. WITH STORM MOTIONS AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 ALONG A COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 21, 2:47 PM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
147 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

KSZ027-212015-
WALLACE-
147 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WALLACE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 143 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR WESKAN...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3878 10200 3891 10193 3887 10157 3870 10167
      3870 10168
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 287DEG 14KT 3883 10188

THEDE

Special weather statement, Jul 21, 4:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
301 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

KSZ027-212130-
WALLACE-
301 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WALLACE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 252 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF SHARON SPRINGS MOVING EAST AT
10 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10205 3875 10205 3910 10196 3910 10148
      3870 10158
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 288DEG 7KT 3881 10174

024

Special weather statement, Jul 21, 4:11 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
311 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

KSZ002-212145-
RAWLINS-
411 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR RAWLINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

AT 402 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES SOUTH OF BEARDSLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
10 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 10084 3957 10083 3957 10128 3974 10123
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 225DEG 10KT 3963 10116

024

Special weather statement, Jul 21, 4:58 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
358 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

KSZ028-212230-
LOGAN-
458 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 448 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RUSSELL SPRINGS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3888 10148 3902 10120 3879 10095 3870 10110
      3870 10113 3870 10149
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 225DEG 10KT 3876 10132

024

Special weather statement, Jul 21, 5:08 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
408 PM MDT MON JUL 21 2014

KSZ002-014-212245-
RAWLINS-THOMAS-
508 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOMAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS AND RAWLINS
COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

AT 502 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF LEVANT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5
MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3971 10105 3955 10084 3936 10113 3951 10132
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 242DEG 5KT 3948 10113

JERRYK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 21, 2:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Wallace	28 min
Jul 21, 3:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Wallace	57 min
Jul 21, 4:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Wallace	29 min
Jul 21, 4:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Rawlins	34 min
Jul 21, 4:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Logan	32 min
Jul 21, 5:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Thomas	37 min
Jul 21, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Wichita	51 min
Jul 21, 5:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Rawlins	29 min
Jul 21, 6:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GLD	Thomas	27 min
Jul 21, 6:21 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Thomas	3 hr
Jul 21, 6:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GLD	Wichita	60 min
Jul 21, 6:57 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GLD	Wichita	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.