Severe Thunderstorm Warning 112, NWS Goodland, KS

855 
WWUS53 KGLD 212216
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
416 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

KSC071-199-212245-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-140621T2245Z/
GREELEY KS-WALLACE KS-
416 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
WALLACE AND NORTH CENTRAL GREELEY COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 413 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTH OF
SHARON SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN WALLACE COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS!

&&

LAT...LON 3885 10189 3885 10148 3850 10172 3864 10197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 219DEG 14KT 3872 10176

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

MENTZER

560 
WWUS53 KGLD 212221
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
421 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

KSC071-199-212245-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-140621T2245Z/
GREELEY KS-WALLACE KS-
421 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
WALLACE AND NORTH CENTRAL GREELEY COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 420 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF
SHARON SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN WALLACE COUNTY AND NORTHERN GREELEY
  COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3885 10189 3885 10148 3850 10172 3864 10197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 219DEG 14KT 3874 10174

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

MENTZER

158 
WWUS53 KGLD 212232
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
432 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

KSC071-199-212245-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-140621T2245Z/
GREELEY KS-WALLACE KS-
432 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
WALLACE AND NORTH CENTRAL GREELEY COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 430 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST 
OF SHARON SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. ANOTHER SEVERE 
STORM WAS LOCATED ABOUT 7 MILES NORTH OF TRIBUNE. 

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND BLOWING DUST. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL WALLACE COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS RESULTING IN AREAS OF
NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN BLOWING DIRT. USE EXTREME CAUTION IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL AND BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3860 10189 3885 10178 3885 10148 3850 10172
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 206DEG 29KT 3881 10167

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

MENTZER

836 
WWUS53 KGLD 212245
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
445 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

KSC071-199-212254-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-140621T2245Z/
GREELEY KS-WALLACE KS-
445 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL GREELEY 
COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM MDT/545 PM CDT/...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WAS ISSUED FOR EASTERN WALLACE AND 
WEST CENTRAL LOGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM MDT/630 PM CDT/. 

LAT...LON 3860 10189 3885 10178 3885 10148 3850 10172
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 206DEG 29KT 3890 10161

$$

MENTZER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
112 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE
MOVES THROUGH. DIFFERENCES REMAIN IN JUST HOW MUCH COVERAGE THERE
WILL BE AND HOW LONG THEY WILL LAST BUT RIGHT NOW LOOKS LIKE
THINGS WILL GET STARTED ALONG A SFC TROUGH NEAR/EAST OF THE CO/KS
BORDER WITH ANOTHER AREA OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO. THESE TWO
AREAS MAY MERGE INTO ONE AREA THAT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. AFTER MIDNIGHT THERE
MAY BE LINGERING AREAS OF PRECIP BUT MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD
BE DONE. LOWS GENERALLY 55-60 WEST...MID TO UPPER 60S EAST AND LOW
60S IN BETWEEN.

SUNDAY...SHOULD HAVE A LULL IN PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL TIL MID/LATE IN
THE DAY WHEN ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES INTO FAR EASTERN
COLORADO. ONCE AGAIN MODELS HAVE VARYING SOLUTIONS ON HOW THIS
WILL PLAY OUT SO CONFIDENCE RIGHT NOW NOT ALL THAT HIGH. AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE COOLER WITH LOW TO MID 80S NORTH...AROUND
FAR EAST AND SOUTH. WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT GENERALLY FROM THE
NORTH/NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 107 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

SHORTWAVE TROUGH COMING OUT OF NORTHERN COLORADO SUNDAY EVENING
WILL INTERACT WITH A SURFACE COLD FRONT FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS HAVE SHIFTED THE FRONT A LITTLE FURTHER
SOUTH COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RUNS...AND AT 00Z/MONDAY IT IS FORECAST
TO BE NEAR A HILL CITY TO LEOTI LINE. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT
WILL STAND THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST ALONG/SOUTH OF THE FRONT WITH WEAK TO
MODERATE INSTABILITY NORTH OF THE FRONT. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL NOT
BE ALIGNED WITH THE INSTABILITY...IT WILL BE GREATEST NORTH OF THE
FRONT. SO ANY STORMS WHICH DEVELOP IN THE POST FRONTAL HIGHLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT MAY BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITH ATTENDANT
THREATS FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO...TRANSITIONING TO MORE OF A HEAVY RAIN AND LARGE HAIL
THREAT SOUTH OF THE FRONT.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL GET UNDERWAY ON MONDAY WITH GOOD
UPSLOPE COMPONENT INTO THE FRONT RANGE WHERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO
INITIATE AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE COMES OUT OF THE MOUNTAINS. THOSE
STORMS WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA IN
THE EVENING ENCOUNTERING DIMINISHING INSTABILITY. HOWEVER DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL BE 30-40KTS SUGGESTING THE POSSIBILITY OF A
SEVERE STORM OR TWO.

TUESDAY LOOKS MUCH LIKE MONDAY WITH LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE AND MID
LEVEL WESTERLIES RESULTING IN VEERING WIND PROFILES AND DEEP
LAYER SHEAR 30-40KTS. WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY IS ALSO
FORECAST. DESPITE SUBTLE 500MB HEIGHT RISES IN THE AFTERNOON THERE
IS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORECAST TO TOP THE RIDGE AXIS AT PEAK
HEATING WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AND
ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS.

THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD CONTINUES THE ACTIVE
PATTERN. IN FACT AS A TROUGH SETTLES INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL ONLY INCREASE AND PROVIDE AN EXCELLENT
ENVIRONMENT FOR SEVERE STORMS...PARTICULARLY ON FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY
ON SATURDAY DEPENDING ON WHERE A FRONT/DRY LINE END UP.

TEMPERATURES IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS...WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AT BOTH TERMINALS AS A WEATHER
DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH. CURRENTLY THE BEST CHANCE IS IN THE
22Z-08Z TIME FRAME ALTHOUGH VARYING MODELS HAVE VARYING SOLUTIONS
TO THIS SO LATER REFINEMENT WILL BE NEEDED. AFTER 08Z JUST SOME
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTY FROM THE
EAST/SOUTHEAST FROM TAF ISSUANCE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 10KTS TONIGHT. ON SUNDAY WINDS SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AT 10-15KTS AT KGLD AROUND 15Z WHILE REMAINING
LIGHT/VARIABLE AT KMCK.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1045 AM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-221200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1045 AM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014 /1145 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY AFTER 3
PM MDT (4 PM CDT) THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A FEW
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SLOWER MOVING STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AFTER 3 PM MDT (4 PM CDT).

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
346 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

KSZ041-212215-
GREELEY-
346 PM MDT SAT JUN 21 2014

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR GREELEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

AT 343 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING NEAR HORACE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE.

&&

LAT...LON 3851 10199 3870 10183 3870 10181 3861 10157
      3840 10181
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 218DEG 13KT 3853 10182

MENTZER