Red Flag Warning 15, NWS Goodland, KS

909 
WWUS83 KGLD 061549
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
949 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH TODAY WITH A VERY WARM AND VERY DRY
AIR MASS SPREADING OVER THE AREA. AS A SURFACE LOW STRENGTHENS...
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TODAY WITH WINDY CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY. MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR GREELEY COUNTY KANSAS AND CHEYENNE
COUNTY COLORADO TODAY. WIDESPREAD...SIGNIFICANT RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CALLS TO FIRE WEATHER PARTNERS MONDAY
CONCLUDED FUELS ARE CRITICAL DUE TO REMAINING TALL...DRY GRASS
WHICH CARRY A LARGE FIRE POTENTIAL.

KSZ027>029-042-070000-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0015.140506T1800Z-140507T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0016.140507T1700Z-140508T0300Z/
WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-WICHITA-
949 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014 /1049 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2014/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 027...028...029 AND 042...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 027...028...029 AND 042...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 GOVE AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
  WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 6 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL BECOME OUT OF CONTROL 
  EASILY. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ254-KSZ041-070000-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0015.140506T1800Z-140507T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0016.140507T1700Z-140508T0300Z/
CHEYENNE CO-GREELEY-
949 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 041 AND
254...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 041 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE 
  CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH TODAY. SOUTHWEST
  20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT TODAY. AS LOW AS 6
  PERCENT WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL BECOME OUT OF CONTROL 
  EASILY. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ253-KSZ013>016-070000-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0016.140507T1700Z-140508T0300Z/
KIT CARSON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-
949 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014 /1049 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2014/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...014...015...016 AND 253...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT 
  CARSON. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 SHERIDAN AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL BECOME OUT OF CONTROL 
  EASILY. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)

116 
WWUS83 KGLD 062054
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
254 PM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH TODAY WITH A VERY WARM AND VERY DRY
AIR MASS SPREADING OVER THE AREA. AS A SURFACE LOW STRENGTHENS...
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TODAY WITH WINDY CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY. MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE FOR GREELEY COUNTY KANSAS AND CHEYENNE COUNTY
COLORADO TODAY. WIDESPREAD...SIGNIFICANT RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY SOUTH OF LENORA KANSAS TO FLAGLER COLORADO LINE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CALLS TO FIRE WEATHER PARTNERS MONDAY
CONCLUDED FUELS ARE CRITICAL DUE TO REMAINING TALL...DRY GRASS
WHICH CARRY A LARGE FIRE POTENTIAL.

COZ254-KSZ041-070500-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-140507T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0016.140507T1700Z-140508T0300Z/
CHEYENNE CO-GREELEY-
254 PM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 041 AND
254...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 041 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE 
  CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
  TODAY. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
  WEDNESDAY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT TODAY AND AS LOW AS 7
  PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD OUT OF CONTROL
  EASILY. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ253-KSZ013>016-027>029-042-070500-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0016.140507T1700Z-140508T0300Z/
KIT CARSON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
WICHITA-
254 PM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014 /354 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2014/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...014...015...016...027...
028...029...042 AND 253...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT 
  CARSON. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 SHERIDAN...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 GOVE AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD OUT OF CONTROL
  EASILY. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)

303 
WWUS83 KGLD 070303
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
903 PM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY...

.A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ON WEDNESDAY WITH A VERY WARM AND
VERY DRY AIR MASS SPREADING OVER THE AREA. AS A SURFACE LOW
STRENGTHENS OVER EASTERN COLORADO ON WEDNESDAY...WINDY CONDITIONS
WILL DEVELOP. WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY SOUTH OF A LENORA KANSAS TO FLAGLER COLORADO LINE ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CALLS TO FIRE WEATHER PARTNERS
MONDAY CONCLUDED FUELS ARE CRITICAL DUE TO REMAINING TALL DRY
GRASS...WHICH CARRY A LARGE FIRE POTENTIAL.

COZ254-KSZ041-071200-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-140507T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0016.140507T1700Z-140508T0300Z/
CHEYENNE CO-GREELEY-
903 PM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 041 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THIS EVENING FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 041 AND 254... 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE 
  CO. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD OUT OF 
  CONTROL EASILY. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ253-KSZ013>016-027>029-042-071200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0016.140507T1700Z-140508T0300Z/
KIT CARSON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
WICHITA-
903 PM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014 /1003 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2014/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...014...015...016...027...
028...029...042 AND 253...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT 
  CARSON. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 SHERIDAN...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 016 GRAHAM...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 GOVE AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY SPREAD OUT OF 
  CONTROL EASILY. OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
251 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 250 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

EARLY MORNING WV IMAGERY AND RAP H5 ANALYSIS SHOWS LONGWAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM CANADIAN ROCKIES SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. AT
THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS IN PLACE ACROSS TRI STATE REGION WITH
STATIONARY FRONT ALONG TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM SE WYOMING...ALONG
FRONT RANGE...AND INTO SW KANSAS. A FEW HIGH BASED SHOWERS HAVE
DEVELOPED OVER PARTS OF YUMA COUNTY EARLY THIS AS MOIST LOW LEVEL
FLOW INTERACTS WITH STATIONARY BOUNDARY. GENERAL TREND FOR THIS
ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH AND MOVE NORTH.

PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THURSDAY INVOLVE THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES (SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE) AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY AND THURSDAY. SEE FIRE DISCUSSION FOR DETAILS ON RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

STATIONARY FRONT IS PROGGED TO LIFT NORTH TODAY WITH DRY LINE
SHIFTING NORTH AND EAST INTO SOUTHCENTRAL KS. AS THIS FRONT LIFTS
NORTH THE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP PREDOMINATELY OVER THE
NORTHERN PART OF OUR CWA. SHEER PROFILES ARE NOT GREAT WHERE ISO
T-STORM ACTIVITY IS MOST LIKELY...HOWEVER ADJUSTED SOUNDINGS WOULD
BE SUPPORTIVE FOR STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
NOT A PARTICULARLY HIGH THREAT...AND POSITION OF THE FRONT COULD
LIMIT THIS ACTIVITY FURTHER NORTH THROUGH TONIGHT.

AS SURFACE LOW DEEPENS AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER LOW FRONT HOVER
NEAR THE KS/NE STATE LINE WITH GOOD MOISTURE/INSTABILITY BUILDING
NORTH OF THIS FEATURE AND VERY DRY AIR MASS BUILDING SOUTH. RESULT IS
GREAT UNCERTAINTY IN REGARDS TO THUNDERSTORM EXTENT OVER OUR
NORTHERN CWA. SHEER/INSTABILITY ALONG/NORTH OF THIS FRONT WOULD BE
SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND WED AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH
COOLER/STABLE AIR MASS SETTLING IN BEHIND UPPER LOW...WITH DECREASING
PRECIP COVERAGE. WE COULD STILL SEE SOME LINGERING
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY THOUGH AS A SECOND SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS ADVERTISED TO QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
LINGERING SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END
THURSDAY EVENING WITH DRY CONDITIONS FRIDAY AS FLOW BECOMES MORE
WESTERLY.

REGARDING TEMPS...HIGHS AROUND 90F ARE POSSIBLE BOTH TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE CWA...AND DEPENDING ON FRONT POSITION AND CLOUD
COVER WE COULD SEE QUITE A SPREAD OVER PARTS OF THE CWA THROUGH
THURSDAY. NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE ON TEMPS...THOUGH GENERAL TREND
SHOULD BE VERY WARM TODAY AND WED OVER MUCH OF THE CWA AND A COOLING
TREND THU/FRIDAY.  MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO PREVIOUS FORECAST THAT
WAS IN LINE WITH CURRENT THOUGHTS.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

WIDESPREAD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENT FLOW WILL BE PRESENT FROM THE
NORTHERN TO SOUTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY WITH WHAT REMAINS FROM THE
PREVIOUS LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL BE THE PART OF THE FLOW THAT MORE
DIRECTLY AFFECTS THE TRI STATE AREA. AS FLOW PROGRESSES
EASTWARD...MERIDIONAL FLOW WILL BREAK DOWN INTO A WESTERLY ZONAL
FLOW PATTERN FOR SATURDAY. THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM WILL
DEVELOP AND MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN REGION SUNDAY AS A
STRONGER AREA OF THE JET WILL PROGRESS THROUGH WESTERN
KANSAS...WHICH WILL BRING MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE FORECAST
AREA. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD MONDAY...BUT
STRONGER POCKETS OF VORTICITY WILL CONTINUE TO BE PRESENT ACROSS
THE REGION PROVIDING AMPLE LIFT FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS.

AT THE SURFACE...A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY
WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED WITH HIGHER THETA E VALUES AND DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES
TOWARDS CENTRAL AREAS OF THE STATE. HIGHER DEWPOINT VALUES OVER
KANSAS LOOK TO BE SANDWICHED IN BETWEEN DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH AND
SOUTH FOR SUNDAY...AND AS THE BACK SIDE OF A SOUTHERN PLAINS LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PLAINS...MORE CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA IS POSSIBLE.  HIGH AND LOW
TEMPERATURES FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AROUND NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1108 PM MDT MON MAY 5 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AT MCK AND GLD.
THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING BETWEEN 11Z-13Z AT
BOTH SITES WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AND LOW TEMPERATURES
APPROACHING THE DEWPOINT VALUES. HAVE DECIDED TO EXCLUDE MENTION
OF FOG AS CONFIDENCE IS LOW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISSUED AT 250 AM MDT TUE MAY 6 2014

AS FRONT LIFT NORTH VERY WARM/DRY AIR MASS WILL RESULT
IN RH VALUES WELL BELOW 10 PERCENT OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA
TODAY. WHILE WINDS ARE MARGINAL FOR 3HR THIS AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF
THE CWA...GOOD MIXING SHOULD SUPPORT GUSTS AROUND 25-30MPH FOR 3HR
THIS AFTERNOON EARLY EVENING ALONG/SOUTH OF HWY 40. DECIDED TO ISSUE
RFW FOR THESE LOCATIONS FOR THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER EVENT EXPECTED WED AS RH VALUES
APPROACH 5% ALONG/SOUTH OF I-70...AND STRONGER WINDS GUSTING TO 40
MPH WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW. I AM NOT AS SURE ABOUT THE NORTHERN
EXTENT OF THE CWA FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AS FRONT
POSITION WILL BE KEY...AND NAM IS SHOWING FRONTAL POSITION MUCH
FURTHER NORTH. GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT AT LEAST ON I-70 CORRIDOR
SOUTH...AND I SAW NO REASON TO HOLD OFF UPGRADING FIRE WEATHER WATCH
TO RED FLAG WARNING FOR WED AFTERNOON/EVENING.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TODAY TO 9 PM MDT /10
     PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR KSZ027>029-041-042.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 9 PM MDT /10 PM
     CDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR KSZ013>016-027>029-041-042.

CO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
     COZ254.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR COZ253-254.

NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DR
LONG TERM...MK
AVIATION...LOCKHART
FIRE WEATHER...DR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
336 PM MDT MON MAY 5 2014

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-061245-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
336 PM MDT MON MAY 5 2014 /436 PM CDT MON MAY 5 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ON WEDNESDAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DUE
TO STRONG SOUTH WINDS AND PERSISTENT DRY AIR SOUTH OF A LIFTING
WARM FRONT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO
SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.