Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Hastings, NE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
547 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 133 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

ALOFT: THE SHORTWAVE TROF RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SEVERE TSTM THREAT
WILL DEPART FOR THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A SHORTWAVE
RIDGE TOMORROW. MEANWHILE...THE NEXT TROF IS ALREADY MOVING ONTO
THE W COAST AND WILL CROSS THE NRN ROCKIES BY TOMORROW EVENING.

SURFACE: LEE CYCLOGENESIS WAS IN PROGRESS. THIS LOW WILL HEAD E
ALONG THE KS-NEB BORDER TONIGHT AND HEAD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY
TOMORROW. IN ITS TAKE...THE FRONT THAT CURRENTLY BISECTS NEB WILL
SAG S INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND BECOME STATIONARY. WEAK HIGH PRES
BUILDS IN TOMORROW.

REST OF THIS AFTERNOON: WE EXPECT SEVERAL CLASSIC SUPERCELLS TO
FORM OVER S-CNTRL NEB. GIVEN THE MODERATE-HIGH INSTABILITY...
MLCAPE UP TO 3500 J/KG AND 0-1 KM SHEAR...AND SUFFICIENT TO
SIGNIFICANT 0-1 KM AND 0-3 KM SRH...HIGH-END SEVERE WX IS
EXPECTED WITH THESE SUPERCELLS.

REMEMBER...THESE STORMS WILL NOT FORM EVERYWHERE. JUST BE AWARE
THAT IF A THUNDERSTORM FORMS IN YOUR VICINITY...HAVE A PLAN FOR
WHERE YOU WILL TAKE SHELTER AND BE READY FOR THREATENING WX.

CONT TO FOLLOW ALL WATCHES/WARNINGS FROM THIS OFFICE REGARDING
SEVERE WX.

TONIGHT: WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR N-CNTRL KS FOR SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG OR AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE. OTHERWISE...TSTMS WILL
EXIT THE FCST AREA BY 10 PM.

WED: QUIET AND DRY. TEMPS BACK TO NEAR NORMAL. WE MAY NOT BE HIGH
ENOUGH WITH THE WINDS DURING THE MORNING. INITIAL MIXING MAY BRING
DOWN HIGHER WINDS FORENOON.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 133 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

DUE TO THE MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WX THIS AFTERNOON...WE WILL
FOREGO THE EXTENDED DISC.

OVERALL TREND WILL BE FOR COOLER TEMPS...POSSIBLY WITH ONE DAY OF
MUCH BELOW NORMAL HIGHS /10F OR MORE/. SUNDAY HIGHS COULD STRUGGLE
TO REACH 70F.

MULTIPLE LOW CHANCES FOR SHWRS/TSTMS BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THE "BEST"
CHANCE WILL BE FRI NIGHT WITH THE STRONGEST COLD FRONT WE HAVE
SEEN SINCE MID MAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 543 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

WHETHER OR NOT TSTMS WILL REACH KGRI IS THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE
TAF PERIOD THIS EVENING. CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE
TERMINAL WITH NEW DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS INITIATING WELL TO THE
WEST. THERE REMAINS AN OUTSIDE CHC THAT STORMS MAY REACH
KGRI...BUT HAVE JUST CARRIED VCTS ATTM. IF STORMS DO REACH THE
TERMINAL...SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THE SFC COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL CROSS KGRI AFTER 06Z WITH WINDS SHIFTING NORTHERLY.
CONDITIONS ALSO DRY OUT TONIGHT BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR MVFR CIGS TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ005>007-017>019.

&&

SHORT TERM...HALBLAUB
LONG TERM...HALBLAUB
AVIATION...FAY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
853 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
050200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
853 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED
TORNADOES...HAIL OF BASEBALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 70 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES COULD ACCOMPANY THE
STORMS WHICH MAY CAUSE AREAS OF LOWLAND FLOODING...ESPECIALLY FOR
LOCATIONS WHICH RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE WEEKEND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

INTERMITTENT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXIST WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN ON MONDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ON
FRIDAY...AND ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT SHOULD BE PREPARED
FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

WESELY

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
846 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 PM     HAIL             NORTH LOUP              41.49N 98.77W
06/03/2014  M1.00 INCH       VALLEY             NE   PUBLIC

&&

PBEDA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
847 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SHELBY                  41.19N 97.43W
06/03/2014  E0.00 INCH       POLK               NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING, STREETS FLOODED CURB TO CURB

&&

PBEDA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
848 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     HAIL             2 W YORK                40.87N 97.63W
06/03/2014  E1.75 INCH       YORK               NE   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL HAIL REPORTS AROUND THE YORK AREA OF QUARTER TO
            GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL

&&

PETR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
849 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0847 PM     FLOOD            SHELBY                  41.19N 97.43W
06/03/2014                   POLK               NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STREET FLOODING, STREETS FLOODED CURB TO CURB...CORRECTED
            WEATHER EVENT

&&

PBEDA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
850 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 PM     HAIL             NORTH LOUP              41.49N 98.77W
06/03/2014  E1.00 INCH       VALLEY             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THREE QUARTER INCH TO ONE INCH HAIL DIAMETER HAIL
            OCCURRED.

&&

HEINLEIN