River Flood Warning 4, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
312 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CONCHO
VALLEY/HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHWESTERN SECTION OF NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON IN THE REGION THAT SAW THE MOST AFTERNOON
SUN AND THE FEWEST MORNING THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AND AFFECT ALL BUT THE NORTHWEST ZONES OF NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH THE EVENING. ALTHOUGH THE MAIN UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
ROTATE TOWARD THE NORTHERN PLAINS...LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE NIGHT AS A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE ROTATES EAST. THE
STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE PRIMARY STORM MODE
WILL BE MULTI-CELL CLUSTERS WITH SOME LINEAR SEGMENTS.
HOWEVER...THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH LOW LEVEL SHEAR TO SUPPORT A FEW
SUPERCELLS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT AS
DRIER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE SECONDARY SHORTWAVE. A FEW SHOWERS
OR STORMS MAY LINGER IN THE SOUTHEAST ZONES FRIDAY SINCE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE MAY NOT GET COMPLETELY SCOURED OUT.

THE UPPER PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL ON SATURDAY WHICH WILL
KEEP A SURFACE TROUGH IN PLACE ACROSS THE FRONT RANGE OF THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES AND KEEP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS.

AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. ENERGY FROM THIS
SYSTEM COUPLED WITH LIFT FROM AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BRING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SHOULD END QUICKLY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ON
MONDAY AFTERNOON AS MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT. THIS DRY AND COOL AIR SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH A NORTHERLY SURFACE WIND
AND NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD BEGIN A SLOW RETURN TO NORTH TEXAS ON
THURSDAY AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN MORE CLOUDS
AND SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  66  89  70  90  72 /  30  10  10  10  10
WACO, TX              68  89  70  88  73 /  40  20  20  10  10
PARIS, TX             67  83  66  85  68 /  50  20  10  10  10
DENTON, TX            65  87  69  91  73 /  20  10  10  10  10
MCKINNEY, TX          66  86  68  86  72 /  30  10  10  10  10
DALLAS, TX            69  88  70  88  72 /  30  10  10  10  10
TERRELL, TX           68  85  67  86  71 /  50  10  10  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         68  86  68  86  71 /  50  20  20  10  10
TEMPLE, TX            68  86  68  86  72 /  40  20  20  10  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     62  88  64  90  68 /  20  10  10  10  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

84/79

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
313 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-090815-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
313 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY INTO
THIS EVENING...THEN ACROSS FAR EASTERN PARTS OF THE AREA DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. ANY HEAVIER
RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS...ESPECIALLY
AROUND CREEKS AND TYPICAL LOW LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW LINGERING AND NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING SOUTHEAST OF A PARIS...CORSICANA...TEMPLE LINE.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO MUCH OF THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY ACROSS ALL OF NORTH
TEXAS...THEN INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE
35.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
308 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW JOSHUA             32.50N  97.42W
05/08/2014                   JOHNSON            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            2 MOBILE HOMES DAMAGED. UNKNOWN NUMBER OF SEVERE
            INJURIES. POWER LINES DOWN.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
340 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 N DALLAS              32.81N  96.78W
05/08/2014  E60 MPH          DALLAS             TX   PUBLIC

            ESTIMATED 60 MPH AND NICKEL HAIL NEAR LOVE FIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
341 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND GST     DALLAS                  32.77N  96.78W
05/08/2014  E60 MPH          DALLAS             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.88" HAIL, LOW WATER CROSSINGS FLOODED NEAR DALLAS LOVE
            FIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
348 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     HIGHLAND PARK           32.82N  96.77W
05/08/2014                   DALLAS             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN IN HIGHLAND PARK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
358 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E DALLAS              32.77N  96.68W
05/08/2014                   DALLAS             TX   PUBLIC

            PICTURE OF LARGE TREE ON A CAR SENT VIA TWITTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
405 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0356 PM     TSTM WND GST     DALLAS                  32.77N  96.78W
05/08/2014  E70 MPH          DALLAS             TX   AWOS

            AIRPORT LLWAS SENSOR REPORTED 70 MPH WIND GUST.