Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

248 
WWUS53 KFSD 052043
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
343 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

IAC119-SDC083-052115-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-140605T2115Z/
LYON IA-LINCOLN SD-
343 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
LINCOLN AND WESTERN LYON COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 339 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF
LARCHWOOD...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. QUARTER SIZE 
HAIL WAS REPORTED IN LAKE ALVIN AT 337 PM CDT.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LARCHWOOD...LESTER AND ALVORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4338 9675 4350 9670 4350 9645 4347 9621
      4326 9627
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 289DEG 23KT 4342 9652

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

464 
WWUS53 KFSD 052107
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
407 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

IAC119-SDC083-052115-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-140605T2115Z/
LYON IA-LINCOLN SD-
407 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
LINCOLN AND SOUTHWESTERN LYON COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 405 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ALVORD...AND
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALVORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4348 9660 4345 9645 4339 9623 4326 9627
      4337 9672
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 289DEG 23KT 4337 9631

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

SCHUMACHER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
617 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 352 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGGING INTO EASTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH
DAKOTA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE A GRADUAL TREK WEST
TO EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA MID MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
THE REMNANTS OF EARLIER CONVECTION ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF SD AND
NEBRASKA CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THIS MORNING WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING
AND MOVEMENT INTO POOR MOISTURE AND SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF THE TROUGH.
EXPECT LIGHT RAINFALL CHANCES TO WANE THROUGH SUNRISE AND MID
MORNING. DAYTIME HEATING AND THE ARRIVAL OF THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD
ALLOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP ACROSS MAINLY EAST OF
THE JAMES RIVER MID TO LATE MORNING. MODEL SOUNDINGS DEVELOP A THIN
AREA OF ELEVATED CAPE AS HIGH AS 1500 J/KG LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON WITH MODEST TO MODERATE SPEED SHEAR. OVERALL THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW...BUT COULD SEE A CELL OR TO REACH NEAR SEVERE
LEVELS...MAINLY ALONG THE I-29 CORRIDOR INTO SW MN AND FAR NW IA.
MAIN THREAT WILL BE DIME OR SMALLER HAIL AND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS DO NOT LOOK NEARLY AS SUBSTANTIAL AS RECENT
EVENTS...BUT COULD SEE UP TO A QUARTER OR HALF INCH UNDER HEAVIER
STORMS. OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES WILL LARGELY REMAIN DRY WITH
THIS SYSTEM AS DRIER PROFILES WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH PRECIPITATION AS
THE WAVE SHIFTS INTO OUR FAR EAST THIS AFTERNOON.

HIGHS WILL BE TRICKY TO PINPOINT WITH CLOUD COVER BEING THE BIGGEST
CONCERN. COULD SEE SOUTH CENTRAL SD BREAK OUT OF THE CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON...AFFORDING THE BEST OPPORTUNITY TO REACH THE UPPER 70S
AND NEAR 80...SO DID RAISE HIGHS A FEW DEGREES HERE. FURTHER
EAST...CLOUDS WILL HOLD HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
PRECIPITATION WILL QUICKLY COME TO AN END BY EARLY EVENING WITH
CLEARING EXPANDING FROM WEST TO EAST. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
OVERNIGHT AFFORDING A COOLER NIGHT THAN THIS MORNING. LOWS WILL DROP
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 352 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON FRIDAY. HOWEVER LOOKS LIKE WE
WILL STAY ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY WITH
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND PRETTY GOOD WARMING. THUS WENT AHEAD AND
BUMPED HIGH TEMPERATURES UP A FEW DEGREES...RANGING FROM THE 70S
OVER THE NORTHWEST TO THE LOW AND MID 80S OVER NORTHWEST IOWA. THINK
MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL STAY PRETTY CLOSE TO THE
SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING BOUNDARY...WITH THE WARM SECTOR REMAINING
CAPPED. NAM IS A FAST OUTLIER WITH THE BOUNDARY...AND THUS MOVES
CONVECTION IN QUICKER DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TRENDED TOWARDS
THE SLOWER ECMWF AND GEM AND THUS SLOWED DOWN POPS...BUT EXACT
TIMING STILL UNCERTAIN. GENERALLY LOOKING AT CAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG
AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 20 TO 30 KTS. NEITHER TOO
IMPRESSIVE...HOWEVER PROBABLY ENOUGH THAT WHEN COMBINED WITH THE
FRONTAL FORCING WE COULD SEE SOME MULTICELL ORGANIZATION. SO WHILE
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW...THE SPC 5% OUTLOOK SEEMS
REASONABLE...AS CAN NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM
OR TWO DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG AND NEAR THE
BOUNDARY...MOST LIKELY WEST OF INTERSTATE 29. AS THE BETTER FORCING
FROM THE UPPER WAVE MOVES ACROSS OVERNIGHT AND INTERACTS WITH THE
BOUNDARY...LOOKS LIKE A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
OVER MOST OF THE CWA. ENOUGH ELEVATED INSTABILITY FOR THUNDER...BUT
WOULD NOT EXPECT ANYTHING TOO STRONG OVERNIGHT.

THE WEEKEND LOOKS COOL BEHIND THIS FRONT...WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
60S TO LOW 70S. WILL PROBABLY HAVE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY...AS THE UPPER FORCING CONTINUES TO PUSH
ACROSS. ANOTHER WAVE WILL THEN PUSH THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS
LATER SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. SO OVERALL THINK SUNDAY WILL
GENERALLY BE DRY...BUT SHOWER CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT. THIS
WAVE WILL BE DEALING WITH SOME DRIER AIR TO THE NORTH...SO SEEMS
LIKE BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL STAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 90. NOT MUCH ELEVATED INSTABILITY...BUT MAYBE ENOUGH TO
GET SOME THUNDER.

POSSIBLY SOME LINGERING MORNING SHOWERS IN THE SOUTHEAST ON
MONDAY...OTHERWISE GENERALLY EXPECTING NEXT WEEK TO START OUT DRY.
WILL ALSO SEE A WARMING TREND AS RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD INTO THE
AREA. LOOKING AT LOW TO MID 70S ON MONDAY...AND THEN MID 70S TO
AROUND 80 BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE BY
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. BUT OVERALL LOOKS LIKE SOME ENERGY
WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE BACK INTO THE PLAINS...WITH SOME INSTABILITY
RETUNING AS WELL. THUS WOULD SEEM LIKE THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WOULD BEGIN TO PICK UP AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 551 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HA LEAD TO PATCHY SHALLOW MVFR FOG OF 3
TO 7 SM...BUT EXPECT THIS TO LEA EXPECT THIS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA MAINLY EAST OF I29
MID TO LATE MORNING AND SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING LATE AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...HOWEVER
COULD SEE BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND STORMS.
SMALL HAIL AND STRONG GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY NEAR I29 AND INTO
SOUTHWEST MN. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT A VARIABLE AFTER 00Z WITH SKIES
GRADUALLY CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST AFTER 18Z.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...CHENARD
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
449 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ040-055-056-062-066-067-070-071-061000-
LYON-OSCEOLA-DICKINSON-SIOUX-OBRIEN-CLAY-PLYMOUTH-CHEROKEE-
BUENA VISTA-WOODBURY-IDA-LINCOLN-MURRAY-COTTONWOOD-NOBLES-JACKSON-
PIPESTONE-ROCK-DIXON-DAKOTA-BROOKINGS-LAKE-MOODY-MINNEHAHA-TURNER-
UNION-
449 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
IOWA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...EAST CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM
LATE MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS
LOW...ALTHOUGH A FEW STRONGER STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH DIME SIZE
HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW. ALTHOUGH A FEW
STRONG TO NEAR SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT LIKELY.

SDZ038-039-050-052>054-057>061-063>065-068-069-061000-
BEADLE-KINGSBURY-GREGORY-JERAULD-SANBORN-MINER-BRULE-AURORA-
DAVISON-HANSON-MCCOOK-CHARLES MIX-DOUGLAS-HUTCHINSON-BON HOMME-
YANKTON-
449 AM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SATURDAY. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW. ALTHOUGH A FEW
STRONG TO NEAR SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
318 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0316 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
06/05/2014  E2.00 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS 2 INCH HAIL NEAR 57TH AND CLIFF IN
            SIOUX FALLS

&&

MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
319 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
06/05/2014  E1.75 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            INTERSECTION OF 1-229 AND LOUISE AVE

&&

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
322 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0321 PM     HAIL             4 S SIOUX FALLS         43.49N 96.73W
06/05/2014  M1.75 INCH       LINCOLN            SD   PUBLIC

&&

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
324 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0317 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
06/05/2014  M2.00 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
325 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0318 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
06/05/2014  M1.25 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

JM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
331 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0326 PM     HAIL             SIOUX FALLS             43.54N 96.73W
06/05/2014  M1.50 INCH       MINNEHAHA          SD   PUBLIC

&&

JM