Severe Thunderstorm Warning 168, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

888 
WWUS53 KFSD 050648
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
148 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

SDC053-050658-
/O.CAN.KFSD.SV.W.0168.000000T0000Z-140705T0715Z/
GREGORY SD-
148 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GREGORY
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 4288 9832 4292 9841 4292 9844 4299 9851
      4301 9850 4303 9851 4308 9861 4327 9834
      4324 9825 4297 9809 4287 9826
TIME...MOT...LOC 0648Z 235DEG 17KT 4305 9846

$$

SDC023-050715-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0168.000000T0000Z-140705T0715Z/
CHARLES MIX SD-
148 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
CHARLES MIX COUNTY UNTIL 215 AM CDT...

AT 145 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PICKSTOWN...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RAVINIA...WAGNER AND DANTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 9832 4292 9841 4292 9844 4299 9851
      4301 9850 4303 9851 4308 9861 4327 9834
      4324 9825 4297 9809 4287 9826
TIME...MOT...LOC 0648Z 235DEG 17KT 4305 9846

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HANKO

850 
WWUS53 KFSD 050703
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
203 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

SDC023-050715-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0168.000000T0000Z-140705T0715Z/
CHARLES MIX SD-
203 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL
CHARLES MIX COUNTY UNTIL 215 AM CDT...

AT 201 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RAVINIA...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAGNER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4327 9834 4324 9825 4309 9817 4301 9838
      4304 9847 4314 9852
TIME...MOT...LOC 0703Z 235DEG 17KT 4309 9838

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

HANKO

316 
WWUS53 KFSD 050709
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
209 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

SDC023-050719-
/O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0168.000000T0000Z-140705T0715Z/
CHARLES MIX SD-
209 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CHARLES MIX
COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 215 AM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
 HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4327 9834 4324 9825 4309 9817 4301 9838
      4304 9847 4314 9852
TIME...MOT...LOC 0709Z 235DEG 17KT 4311 9835

$$

HANKO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1101 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2014

WEAK CONVERGENT LINE APPROACHING THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CWA.
REALLY UNCERTAIN HOW THIS IS GOING TO PLAY OUT WITH UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE ALOFT BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CONVERGENCE OR FORCING.
LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...BUT
WITH STRONG WINDS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...CONVERGENCE
REALLY DOESN/T CHANGE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.  WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE TRANSPORT...COULD BE JUST ENOUGH TO SPARK OFF A STORM OR
TWO.  HAVE KEPT BROADBRUSHED POPS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
MODELS HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY STRONGER WITH THE ELEVATED CAP...SO
HAVE NOT MADE ANY SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS TO THE POPS. IN TERMS OF
LOWS TONIGHT...HAVE SIDED WITH WARMER RAW NUMBERS WITH SEMI-MIXED
ATMOSPHERE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.

ANY LINGERING CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.  WINDS
SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS WEAK BOUNDARY MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SO FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH WITH LITTLE FANFARE.  DESPITE THE
FRONT...TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH AND THUS
THE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE WARRANTED. NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA
ON HEAT INDICES ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT
HIGH ENOUGH AT THIS POINT TO ISSUE SECOND PERIOD ADVISORY.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 335 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2014

SATURDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE WARM AND QUIET WITH THE AREA JUST AHEAD OF
AN INCOMING WEAKER WAVE. LOWS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID 60S TO
AROUND 70.

BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA WHICH WILL SWING A WEAK BOUNDARY THROUGH. THIS WILL LIKELY
BE ENOUGH TO SPARK ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE BETTER CHANCES
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWEST THIRD
OF THE CWA. THERE WILL BE A BIT OF A CAP TO BREAK SO THIS COULD KEEP
ACTIVITY FROM DEVELOPING. IF IT CAN DEVELOP ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH PLENTY OF CAPE/INSTABILITY BUT NOT MUCH IN THE
WAY OF LOW LEVEL OR DEEP LAYER SHEAR. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY WILL BE VERY WARM WITH DECENT MIXING. HIGHS SHOULD RANGE
FROM 85 TO 90 IN THE NORTHERN CWA AND 90 TO 95 IN THE SOUTH.

MONDAY WILL BE A BIT BEHIND THE COOL FRONT BUT THAT BACKSIDE OF THE
TROUGH WILL BRING ANOTHER SURGE OF SUPPORT SO ISOLATED TO LOW END
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.  NOT ANTICIPATING SEVERE
WEATHER AT THIS TIME. HIGHS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 80S.

IN THE OUTER PERIODS(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...AN EXITING TROUGH
WILL GIVE WAY TO A FAIRLY FLAT RIDGE. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
TEMPERATURES AT OR ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ONLY SPOTTY
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE A BIT OF A JET
STREAK MOVING THROUGH BY FRIDAY WHICH COULD BRING SOME BETTER
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND BUT THAT IS
OUT THERE A BIT SO JUST SOMETHING TO WATCH FOR NOW. OVERALL A FAIRLY
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 1100 PM CDT FRI JUL 4 2014

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OUT THERE ACROSS NORTHWEST IOWA. THESE SHOULD
MOVE OUT OF THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LOOKING MORE LIKELY
THAT THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT IS DRY AND VFR...ALTHOUGH CAN NOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVERNIGHT. LOW LEVEL
JET WILL INCREASE AFTER 06Z TO 40 TO 45 KTS...CAUSING SOME
MARGINAL LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR...ESPECIALLY IF SURFACE WINDS SLACKEN
OFF ENOUGH. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...08
AVIATION...CHENARD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
422 AM CDT FRI JUL 4 2014

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-050930-
LYON-OSCEOLA-DICKINSON-SIOUX-OBRIEN-CLAY-PLYMOUTH-CHEROKEE-
BUENA VISTA-WOODBURY-IDA-LINCOLN-MURRAY-COTTONWOOD-NOBLES-JACKSON-
PIPESTONE-ROCK-DIXON-DAKOTA-BEADLE-KINGSBURY-BROOKINGS-GREGORY-
JERAULD-SANBORN-MINER-LAKE-MOODY-BRULE-AURORA-DAVISON-HANSON-
MCCOOK-MINNEHAHA-CHARLES MIX-DOUGLAS-HUTCHINSON-TURNER-BON HOMME-
YANKTON-UNION-
422 AM CDT FRI JUL 4 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST
IOWA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST NEBRASKA...EAST CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND
TONIGHT, WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS TONIGHT. SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS COULD
PRODUCE HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE AND 50 MPH WIND GUSTS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY. STORMS SUNDAY MAY
BECOME SCATTERED SOUTH AND EAST OF SIOUX FALLS. ISOLATED STORMS
EITHER DAY MAY PRODUCE HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE AND 50 MPH WIND
GUSTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.