Alert archive / Arizona / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 19, 2014Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this special weather statement at Aug 19, 2014, 5:59 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2014, 5:59 PM MST (00:59 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2014, 6:45 PM MST
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2014-08-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 157 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2014-08-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
157 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1301 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 19, 3:30 PM MST, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 19, 3:30 PM MST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 19, 4:07 AM MST, 13 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
407 AM MST TUE AUG 19 2014

AZZ004>018-037>040-200700-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
407 AM MST TUE AUG 19 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN ARIZONA. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS
TODAY WILL BE HEAVY RAIN...LOCALLY IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY WITH
A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS ARIZONA. MODEL DIFFERENCES IN
TIMING MAKE IT IMPORTANT TO STAY TUNED TO FOR ANY UPDATES TO THE
FORECAST.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 19, 5:56 PM MST, 3 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 19, 5:59 PM MST, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 20, 2:33 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino3 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arizona, 2014Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.