Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 20, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 18, 2014Coconino County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 18, 2014, 3:30 PM MST for Coconino County, Arizona. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2014, 3:30 PM MST (22:30 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2014, 4:15 PM MST
In force
45 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Coconino County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2014-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 630 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2014-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
630 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1371 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
2 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 18, 9:35 AM MST, 5 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 18, 9:35 AM MST, 5 hours 55 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 18, 3:33 AM MST, 11 hours 57 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 18, 12:31 PM MST, 2 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1231 PM MST MON AUG 18 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 NE KYKOTSMOVI VILLAGE 35.93N 110.56W
08/13/2014                   NAVAJO             AZ   PUBLIC

            A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS SEEN ABOUT 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF
            KYKOTSMOVI.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1400066

MAS
Special weather statement, Aug 18, 12:48 PM MST, 2 hours 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1248 PM MST MON AUG 18 2014

AZZ015-182030-
COCONINO AZ-
1248 PM MST MON AUG 18 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA

UNTIL 130 PM MST

AT 1243 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BADERVILLE...NEAR HIGHWAY 180 AND SNOWBOWL
ROAD. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH HEAVY RAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA AND STORMS APPROACH...TAKE SHELTER IN
A STURDY BUILDING.

IN ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE TEMPORARY PONDING ON SOME
ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN HEAVY RAINFALL
SLOW DOWN TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING...AND LEAVE A SAFE
DISTANCE BETWEEN YOURSELF AND OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 11194 3548 11169 3526 11163 3522 11177
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 180DEG 0KT 3529 11153

MAS
Special weather statement, Aug 18, 1:23 PM MST, 2 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
123 PM MST MON AUG 18 2014

AZZ015-182100-
COCONINO AZ-
123 PM MST MON AUG 18 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA

UNTIL 200 PM MST

AT 120 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SAN FRANSISCO PEAKS AND NEAR ROGERS
LAKE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...
ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA AND STORMS APPROACH...TAKE SHELTER IN
A STURDY BUILDING.

IN ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE TEMPORARY PONDING ON SOME
ROADS AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN HEAVY RAINFALL
SLOW DOWN TO REDUCE THE RISK OF HYDROPLANING...AND LEAVE A SAFE
DISTANCE BETWEEN YOURSELF AND OTHER VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3531 11198 3549 11167 3525 11156 3505 11181
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 174DEG 8KT 3528 11154

MAS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 5:09 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ21 min
Aug 17, 5:29 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ31 min
Aug 17, 5:53 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ22 min
Aug 17, 6:05 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZGila115 min
Aug 18, 12:48 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZCoconino42 min
Aug 18, 1:23 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ37 min
Aug 18, 2:06 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 18, 4:01 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ29 min
Aug 18, 4:06 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai39 min
Aug 18, 4:22 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai113 min
Aug 18, 4:31 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai89 min
Aug 18, 4:59 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2014Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.