River Flood Warning 45, NWS Grand Forks, ND

328 
WGUS83 KFGF 261316
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
816 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  * HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER ...IN KITTSON COUNTY

. Recent rains have increased runoff in the watershed upstream of
  Lake Bronson and Hallock and cause the Two River river there to
  rise and eventually reach minor flooding category.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
  MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS EVENT.

  FORECASTS ARE UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW 
  WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. RIVER FORECASTS USUALLY USE 
  24 HOURS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BUT DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION 
  IT MAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC069-271316-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0045.140626T1857Z-140630T0600Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.140626T1857Z.140627T1200Z.140629T0000Z.NO/
816 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 801.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 802.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 802.9 FEET BY FRIDAY MID-MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 802.9 ON FRIDAY MID-MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 802.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...
  MINOR.CULVERTS WITH FLAPPERS CHECKED AND THE DIKE WALKED.BANKFULL 
  STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          802.9  802.5  801.4  800.3  799.4  798.7     M 


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

663 
WGUS83 KFGF 261359
FLSFGF
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
859 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  * SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER...IN KITTSON COUNTY
 
.DECLINING RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE ON THE THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR 
DILWORTH AND THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN. BASED ON RELEASES
FROM LAKE BRONSON...RIVER STAGES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH INTO
MINOR FLOOD STAGE STAGE ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER AT HALLOCK.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
  MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS EVENT.

  FORECASTS ARE UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW 
  WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. RIVER FORECASTS USUALLY USE 
  24 HOURS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BUT DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION 
  IT MAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-271359-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140628T0600Z/
/SABM5.2.ER.140618T0306Z.140622T0815Z.140627T0000Z.NO/
859 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. 
  VERY MINOR FLOODING.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             11.7   11.0   10.5   10.1    9.8    9.5    9.3


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-271359-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-140701T1200Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.140617T2130Z.140623T1600Z.140630T0600Z.NO/
859 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 17.0 FEET, SOME AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          16.0   14.3   13.0   11.8   10.9   10.4    9.9


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

MNC069-271359-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0045.140626T1800Z-140630T1200Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.140626T1800Z.140627T0600Z.140629T0600Z.NO/
859 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 801.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 802.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 802.5 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS WEEKEND.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 802.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...
  MINOR.CULVERTS WITH FLAPPERS CHECKED AND THE DIKE WALKED.BANKFULL 
  STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          802.5  802.4  801.7  800.6  799.6  798.8  798.3


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

190 
WGUS83 KFGF 270123
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
823 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2014


...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * EAST GRAND FORKS...ON THE RED RIVER...IN POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
  COUNTIES
  * DRAYTON...ON THE RED RIVER...IN MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
  PEMBINA COUNTIES
  * SABIN...ON THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER...IN KITTSON COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  * FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  * OSLO...ON THE RED RIVER ...IN MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
  FORKS COUNTIES
  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER ...IN CLAY COUNTY

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
  MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS EVENT.

  FORECASTS ARE UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW 
  WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. RIVER FORECASTS USUALLY USE 
  24 HOURS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BUT DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION 
  IT MAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-NDC017-281323-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.2.ER.140616T2015Z.140624T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
823 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...FARGO...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 21.5 FEET 
  BY SATURDAY MID-MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 24.0 FEET, FARGO...2ND STREET N CLOSES 
  BETWEEN 1ST AND 6TH AVENUE NORTH FOR CONSTRUCTION OF TEMPORARY DIKE
  THAT PROTECTS CITY HALL IF THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE 31 
  FEET.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

RED RIVER
  FARGO             22.1   21.0   20.3   19.8   19.5   19.3   19.1


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

MNC119-NDC035-281323-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-140702T1300Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.140618T0537Z.140623T1715Z.140701T0700Z.NO/
823 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...EAST GRAND FORKS...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 33.0 FEET, AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS 
  ALONG THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH BETWEEN GRAND FORKS (RIVER MILE 
  296) AND OSLO (RIVER MILE 271).

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  32.8   32.1   30.7   28.7   26.5   24.8   23.4


LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699


$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-281323-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.2.ER.140618T2049Z.140624T2130Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
823 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...OSLO...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...
  MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 31.0 FEET SOMETIME 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* THE RIVER IS NOW CRESTING...AND WILL REMAIN NEAR THIS HEIGHT OVER
  THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 30.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

RED RIVER
  OSLO              30.9   30.5   30.0   29.3   28.7   27.9   26.6


LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725


$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-281323-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-140701T1800Z/
/DRTN8.1.ER.140625T0815Z.140627T0600Z.140630T1200Z.NO/
823 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DRAYTON...ON THE RED RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 32.6 FEET SOMETIME 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MID-MORNING.
* THE RIVER IS NOW CRESTING...AND WILL REMAIN NEAR THIS HEIGHT OVER
  THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 32.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE. AGRICULTURAL 
  DAMAGE STARTS. 

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           32.6   32.4   32.1   31.8   31.3   30.0   28.2


LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702


$$

MNC027-280748-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140628T0748Z/
/SABM5.2.ER.140618T0306Z.140622T0815Z.140627T0148Z.NO/
823 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...SABIN...ON THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:45 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* THIS RIVER LOCATION IS EXPERIENCING MINOR FLOODING NOW...
  BUT IS FORECAST TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. 
  VERY MINOR FLOODING.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             11.3   10.7   10.3    9.9    9.6    9.4    9.2


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-281322-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-140701T1200Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.140617T2130Z.140623T1600Z.140630T0600Z.NO/
823 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 17.0 FEET, SOME AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          15.1   13.6   12.3   11.3   10.6   10.1    9.7


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

MNC069-281322-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-140705T0300Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.140627T1400Z.140630T1200Z.140703T2100Z.NO/
823 PM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER.
* UNTIL FRIDAY JULY 04...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 801.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 802.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 803.5 FEET BY MONDAY MID-MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST AT 803.5 ON MONDAY MID-MORNING 
  DURING THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 802.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...
  MINOR. CULVERTS WITH FLAPPERS CHECKED AND THE DIKE WALKED. 

&&
 
DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          802.6  803.2  803.4  803.4  803.2  802.6  801.9


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

123 
WGUS83 KFGF 271416
FLSFGF
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
916 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS NOW CANCELLED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  * SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
  * HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER...IN KITTSON COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THESE RIVER LOCATIONS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  * DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...IN CLAY COUNTY
 
.RIVER STAGES HAVE FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT SABIN...WHILE THE
THE TWO RIVERS RIVER AT HALLOCK PEAKED JUST BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE.
RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL POSSIBLE.  

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED
  MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS EVENT.

  FORECASTS ARE UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW 
  WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. RIVER FORECASTS USUALLY USE 
  24 HOURS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION BUT DEPENDING ON THE SITUATION 
  IT MAY INCLUDE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

&&

MNC027-271446-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-140628T0748Z/
/SABM5.2.ER.140618T0306Z.140622T0815Z.140627T0231Z.NO/
916 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR...
* ...SABIN...ON THE S BR BUFFALO RIVER.
* AT  8:45 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  9:31 PM THURSDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 11.0 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. 
  VERY MINOR FLOODING.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             11.0   10.5   10.1    9.8    9.5    9.3    9.1


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-281416-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-140702T0900Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.140617T2130Z.140623T1600Z.140701T0300Z.NO/
916 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR...
* ...DILWORTH...ON THE BUFFALO RIVER.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS...MINOR 
  FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.8 FEET, ROAD WEST OF GAGE BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.GAGE NOT ACCESSABLE ABOVE 15 FEET.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          14.9   13.5   12.5   11.7   10.9   10.3    9.8


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

MNC069-271446-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-140705T0300Z/
/HLLM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
916 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR...
* ...HALLOCK...ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 801.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 801.7 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 800.7 FEET BY .
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 802.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...
  MINOR.CULVERTS WITH FLAPPERS CHECKED AND THE DIKE WALKED.BANKFULL 
  STAGE.

&&

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          800.7  800.1  799.4  798.9  798.5  798.2  798.0


LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
700 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 700 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

TWEAKED POPS A BIT MORE THIS MORNING FOR PRECIP BAND MOVING INTO
THE RED RIVER VALLEY. CONTINUED TO HAVE A BIT OF A BREAK MID DAY
BEFORE CONVECTION REDEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL HAVE TO
KEEP AN EYE ON IT AS THE WRF HAS PRECIP STICKING AROUND FOR MUCH
OF THE DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 401 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

PRECIP CHANCES CONTINUE TO BE THE FORECAST
HEADACHE...PARTICULARLY TIMING AND STRENGTH.

SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT SETS UP OVER THE PLAINS AS THE MAIN UPPER
TROUGH DIGS ONTO THE WEST COAST. ONE LEAD SHORTWAVE HAS BEEN
SETTING OFF SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER CENTRAL ND THAT ARE JUST
STARTING TO MOVE INTO OUR SOUTHWESTERN CWA. WITH GOOD MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO THE CWA AS 850MB JET OF AROUND 30 TO 40 KTS MOVES
EAST...THINK THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
MORNING HOURS. HRRR SEEMS TO HAVE A FAIRLY DECENT HANDLE ON THE
CURRENT CONVECTION...SO FOLLOWED TREND OF THAT MODEL WITH HIGH
POPS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL CWA DURING THE MORNING. WITH A WARMER
AIR MASS MOVING IN...THINK WE WILL STILL BE ABLE TO GET INTO THE
70S EVEN WITH A LOT OF CLOUDS AND PRECIP.

CONVECTIVE REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL DEPEND ON
EXACTLY HOW MUCH DEBRIS FROM THIS MORNING AFFECTS DESTABILIZATION.
THE NAM HAS 3000 J/KG OF CAPE BY 21Z THIS AFTERNOON BUT IS UNDERDONE
ON THE CURRENT PRECIP WE HAVE OVER OUR SOUTH. MORE REASONABLE IS
THE RAP WHICH BRINGS SOME 1000-1500 J/KG INTO OUR SOUTHWEST FOR
THIS EVENING. THINK THAT SOME REDEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY...BUT THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE MOSTLY TO OUR SOUTH AND WEST DURING THE
LATE EVENING AND AFTERNOON. OF GREATER THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAIN
AS THE ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS MOVES INTO OUR
AREA TONIGHT. WITH MULTIPLE PERIODS OF RAIN EXPECTED INTO THE
WEEKEND WILL ISSUE AN ESF BUT STILL TOO UNCERTAIN FOR ANY KIND OF
FLOOD WATCH AT THIS POINT.

THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE FAR WESTERN PLAINS ON
FRIDAY. THE SFC TROUGH WILL STILL BE OVER THE WESTERN
DAKOTAS...WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND A LOT OF MOISTURE COMING
INTO OUR CWA. TIMING OF CONVECTION WILL BE THE PROBLEM...AS THERE
COULD BE ONGOING ACTIVITY IN THE MORNING THAT WILL AFFECT
DESTABILIZATION. GFS AND NAM BOTH HAVE CAPE VALUES REACHING AROUND
2000 J/KG BY AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR DOES NOT
REALLY GET INTO THE 30 TO 45 KT RANGE UNTIL THE EVENING. STILL A
LOT OF UNCERTAINTY...BUT SEVERE CONVECTION WILL BE A POSSIBILITY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM THE VALLEY WESTWARD.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 401 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING
AT THE START WITH SOME SEVERE POSSIBLE. THE UPPER TROUGH MOVING
OUT INTO THE PLAINS SATURDAY AND THEN LIFTING NORTH INTO CANADA
AND CLOSING OFF SATURDAY NIGHT CONTINUES TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
AMONG THE MODELS. WHAT IS NOT GOOD AGREEMENT IS THE TIMING OF
PRECIP AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST QPF ENDS UP. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE
WITH BLANKET LIKELY POPS FOR MUCH OF THE CWA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME BREAKS IN THE PRECIP HERE AND THERE
BUT IMPOSSIBLE TO PINPOINT AT THIS TIME. SOME SEVERE IS NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION BUT HARD TO SAY HOW MUCH WE WILL DESTABILIZE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THINK THAT PRECIP WILL FINALLY START TO TAPER OFF LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTH AND THE SFC TROUGH
AXIS MOVES OFF TO THE EAST...LEAVING WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
AND SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS OVER OUR CWA.

FLAT LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. PATTERN AMPLIFIES A
BIT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. TIMING OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS WILL BE
THE PROBLEM THIS PERIOD. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF TROUGH TIMING IS SIMILAR
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS PERIOD HOWEVER THE GFS IS FASTER
WITH RIDGING TO THE WEST AND OF LOWER AMPLITUDE THAN THE ECMWF. WILL
BLEND THE ECMWF AND GFS.

TRIMMED BACK [POPS IN THE FAR SOUTH ON MON AND MON NIGHT. WILL TRIM
BACK POPS ON TUE NIGHT

LITTLE CHANGE TO TEMPS FROM YESTERDAYS MODEL RUN.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 700 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

HAVE -SHRA AND SOME TEMPO GROUPS FOR THUNDER MOVING INTO KFAR
BASED ON RADAR TRENDS. KEPT THE REST OF THE TAF SITES AT VCSH FOR
NOW. THINK THAT MOST CIGS WILL BE VFR ALTHOUGH SOME BRIEF DIPS TO
MVFR MAY OCCUR AS PRECIP MOVES THROUGH. THE EXCEPTION IS UP AT
KDVL WHICH IS IFR BUT EXPECT IT TO RECOVER BACK TO UNRESTRICTED
CONDITIONS TOWARDS MID MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR FOR A WHILE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE DECREASING DOWN TO MVFR LATER
TONIGHT. KEPT PRECIP MENTION JUST VCSH FOR NOW BUT MAY HAVE TO
INCLUDE SOME VCTS OR PREVAILING PRECIP AS THE LATER PARTS OF THE
TRAF PERIOD DRAW CLOSER.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
ISSUED AT 309 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2014

RECENT LOCALIZED EXCESSIVE RAINFALL/RUNOFF IN THE TWO RIVERS
RIVER...MIDDLE RIVER AND UPPER THIEF RIVER BASINS HAS RESULTED IN
RISES ALONG THOSE TRIBUTARIES AND AT SOME FORECAST POINTS. THE NCRFC
ISSUED A FORECAST ABOVE MINOR FS AT HALLOCK BY FRIDAY...BUT HELD OFF
WITH A FLOOD WATCH. SHOULD THE WATER COMING OUT OF THE LOWER PORTION
OF THE TWO RIVERS BASIN BE REALIZED THE TWO RIVERS AT HALLOCK WILL
PEAK ABOUT 1 FOOT ABOVE FS.

FARGO IS STILL ABOVE MODERATE LEVEL BUT IS FALLING AND OSLO IS
FALLING VERY SLOWLY AFTER A BROAD CREST YESTERDAY.

FORECAST QPF THE NEXT FEW DAYS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO SLOW FALLS OR
REVERSE TRENDS ON THE RIVER SYSTEMS. SATURATED SOILS WILL HAVE HIGH
RUNOFF EFFICIENCY...AND LATER SHIFTS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JR
SHORT TERM...JR
LONG TERM...JR/HOPPES
AVIATION...JR
HYDROLOGY...EWENS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
559 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-271100-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH-EDDY-NELSON-GRAND FORKS-
GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-RICHLAND-
WESTERN WALSH-
559 AM CDT THU JUN 26 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD
INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO
DISSIPATE AS THEY MOVE INTO MINNESOTA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF
THE STORMS THAT DRIFT INTO EDDY AND BENSON COUNTIES FROM THE WEST
COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...BUT THE
PRIMARY THREAT ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE LIGHTNING AND HEAVY
RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND. SOME OF THE STORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE MAIN THREAT ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
WILL BE FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY WESTWARD...WHILE ON SATURDAY THE
BEST CHANCES WILL SHIFT INTO MINNESOTA.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE A THREAT...ESPECIALLY IF
STORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA MULTIPLE TIMES. FLOODING COULD BE
AN ISSUE IN SOME SPOTS...BOTH OVERLAND AND IN RIVERS AND STREAMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

JR