Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2014

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 15, 2014Telfair County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 15, 2014, 2:50 PM EDT for Telfair County, Georgia. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 15, 2014, 2:50 PM EDT (18:50 UTC)
Expired: Jul 15, 2014, 3:15 PM EDT
In force: 25 min
Issued by: NWS Atlanta, GA

County Telfair County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 633 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -62 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 925 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 15, 1:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 1:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
135 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STRONG UPPER CLOSED LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL
PUSH A FRONT INTO THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH LIKELY POPS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTH AND
WEST GA WERE DIMINISHING...BUT EXPECT MORE DEVELOPMENT WITH HEATING
OF THE DAY AND AS THE FRONT GETS CLOSER. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG THIS AFTERNOON WITH DAMAGING WINDS. POSSIBLE TRAINING OF THE
STORMS COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING. DEEPENING OF UPPER TROUGH SHOULD
PUSH THE FRONT INTO CENTRAL GA TONIGHT. MODELS AGREE ON SHOWING MORE
STABLE AIR SPREADING INTO NORTH GA AFTER 00Z. MUCH DRIER DEW POINTS
ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD KEEP US DRY. HOWEVER...HAVE
CONTINUED WITH LOW POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES
WEDNESDAY DUE TO SOME LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.

HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO A GUIDANCE BLEND OF TEMPERATURES.

41

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
RIDICULOUSLY PLEASANT CONDITIONS FOR MID-JULY IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT AS WE START THE EXTENDED...THOUGH I DOUBT ANYONE IS
COMPLAINING. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ACTUALLY BE FLIRTING WITH
RECORD COLD TEMPS...ONLY A COUPLE OF DEGREES OFF. HIGHS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH LOW HUMIDITY
AND JUST VERY NICE.

ALOFT...WE ARE LEFT IN SOUTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE EXITING UPPER
SYSTEM AND BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE DIPPING
DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING ANOTHER SLUG OF MOISTURE
TO THE SOUTHEAST. GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THIS AND ACTUALLY LINGER THE UPPER SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE
PATTERN BECOMES BLOCKED. PW VALUES REMAIN PRETTY HIGH THROUGH THE
EXTENDED...TRANSITIONING MAINLY TO SOUTHERN ZONES BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD...AT OVER 2 INCHES WHICH FOR JULY IS SOMEWHERE BETWEEN
THE 75TH AND 99TH PERCENTILES CLIMATOLOGICALLY. ADD TO THIS THE
TYPICAL DIURNAL TREND OF CAPE AND WE COULD SEE SOME REAL GULLY
WASHERS HERE AND THERE. FOR NOW POPS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY HIGH
THOUGH DID CONTINUE TREND OF LIKELY POPS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...BUT THINKING RIGHT NOW THAT WE WILL LIKELY SEE THOSE
INCREASED AS WE GET CLOSER.

FOR NOW...TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW-NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD
ESPECIALLY SATURDAY WITH CLOUD COVER AND RAIN. BIAS-CORRECTED
CONSENSUS VALUES WHICH ACTUALLY VERIFY PRETTY DARN WELL GIVE ATL A
HIGH OF 80 FOR SATURDAY...HAVE NOT GONE QUITE THAT LOW BUT HAVE
TRENDED LOWER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST.

TDP

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
MOST AREAS HAVE IMPROVED TO VFR...OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...AND I
EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH 06Z...ENDING
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST 00Z THROUGH 06Z. WINDS WILL REMAIN WEST
TO NORTHWEST 7-10KT WITH GUSTS 14-20KTS. WINDS WILL OF COURSE BE
VARIABLE AND STRONGER IN THE VICINITY OF CONVECTION.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM THROUGH 06Z THEN HIGH.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          89  65  88  64 /  70  40  10   5
ATLANTA         86  63  84  64 /  70  40  10   5
BLAIRSVILLE     80  57  80  55 /  80  30  10   5
CARTERSVILLE    83  61  83  59 /  80  30  10   5
COLUMBUS        90  68  88  66 /  70  60  10   5
GAINESVILLE     84  64  84  64 /  70  40  10   5
MACON           90  69  89  61 /  70  60  10   5
ROME            84  61  83  59 /  80  30  10   5
PEACHTREE CITY  86  64  86  59 /  70  50  10   5
VIDALIA         92  73  89  67 /  70  70  20  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....TDP
AVIATION...41

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 6:08 AM EDT, 8 hours 42 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
608 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-161015-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
608 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE STATE TODAY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY
RAIN...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR
TWO...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO
MINOR FLOODING...CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY...WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHING FOR THE WEEKEND. A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF INCREASED CHANCES FOR STORMS IS EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 12:52 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1252 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

GAZ061-062-151715-
1252 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN WARREN AND
HANCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM EDT...

AT 1251 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF MESENA TO
SHOULDERBONE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

THESE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AS THEY MOVE
ACROSS WARREN AND HANCOCK COUNTIES THROUGH 115 PM EDT. SOME LOCATIONS
IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE SPRINGFIELD...SHOULDERBONE...
POWELTON...DEVEREUX...MESENA...CADLEY...NORWOOD...CAMAK...SPARTA...
WARRENTON...CULVERTON...MAYFIELD...BEALL SPRINGS...JEWELL AND REESE.
HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3316 8309 3331 8316 3334 8314 3336 8316
      3339 8312 3345 8294 3344 8286 3347 8287
      3348 8285 3352 8279 3351 8275 3356 8272
      3360 8265 3341 8254 3336 8254 3334 8251
TIME...MOT...LOC 1652Z 269DEG 23KT 3353 8247 3340 8269
          3335 8300

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 1:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
115 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

GAZ061-062-072>075-081>084-093>095-105-151745-
115 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IN
WASHINGTON...WARREN...TWIGGS...PEACH...JONES...WILKINSON...MACON...
BALDWIN...BIBB...CRAWFORD...DOOLY...GLASCOCK...HANCOCK AND HOUSTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM EDT...

AT 112 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM WARRENTON TO WHITEWATER STATE PARK...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

LIGHTNING DETECTION SYSTEMS INDICATE NUMEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS WASHINGTON...WARREN...TWIGGS...PEACH...
JONES...WILKINSON...MACON...BALDWIN...BIBB...CRAWFORD...DOOLY...
GLASCOCK...HANCOCK AND HOUSTON COUNTIES...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND
WHITEWATER STATE PARK...BARTLETT...MARSHALLVILLE...OGLETHORPE...
FRANKLINTON...CROSS KEYS...SKIPPERTON...RUTLAND...POWERVILLE...
BYRON...FORT VALLEY...ALLENWOOD...HARDWICK...UNDERWOOD AND
MILLEDGEVILLE. RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD STAY INDOORS. ELECTRICAL
APPLIANCES AND TELEPHONES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 8259 3316 8257 3312 8258 3313 8266
      3308 8264 3282 8305 3213 8386 3232 8422
      3301 8342 3350 8264 3347 8258 3336 8253
      3334 8243 3331 8239
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 302DEG 19KT 3340 8263 3296 8332
          3234 8405

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 1:47 PM EDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
147 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

GAZ083-151815-
147 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN TWIGGS
COUNTY UNTIL 215 PM EDT...

AT 144 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER BULLARD...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

LIGHTNING DETECTION SYSTEMS INDICATE NUMEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS TWIGGS COUNTY...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND
BULLARD...HUBER...TARVERSVILLE...MARION...RIPLEY...DISTRICT PATH...
DANVILLE AND JEFFERSONVILLE. RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD STAY
INDOORS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES AND TELEPHONES SHOULD NOT BE USED
UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 8354 3256 8355 3258 8354 3261 8355
      3263 8354 3266 8357 3266 8358 3267 8359
      3273 8359 3275 8332 3258 8323 3253 8334
TIME...MOT...LOC 1747Z 270DEG 12KT 3264 8349

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 1:48 PM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
148 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

GAZ062-151815-
148 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN WARREN
COUNTY UNTIL 215 PM EDT...

AT 147 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WARRENTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

LIGHTNING DETECTION SYSTEMS INDICATE NUMEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS WARREN COUNTY...INCLUDING AREAS AROUND BEALL
SPRINGS...NORWOOD...CAMAK...WARRENTON...MESENA AND REESE. RESIDENTS
IN THIS AREA SHOULD STAY INDOORS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES AND
TELEPHONES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

&&

LAT...LON 3327 8243 3333 8255 3333 8258 3330 8265
      3331 8275 3349 8274 3349 8260 3341 8254
      3336 8254 3335 8251 3334 8243 3331 8239
TIME...MOT...LOC 1748Z 273DEG 18KT 3339 8264

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 2:11 PM EDT, 39 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
211 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

GAZ095-096-107-151845-
211 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING IN PULASKI...
BLECKLEY AND HOUSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 207 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER OCMULGEE PUBLIC FISHING AREA...MOVING EAST
AT 15 MPH.

LIGHTNING DETECTION SYSTEMS INDICATE NUMEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS PULASKI...BLECKLEY AND HOUSTON COUNTIES...
INCLUDING AREAS AROUND BROWNDALE...GROVE PARK...CLINCHFIELD...
GROVANIA...HAYNEVILLE...ELKO...SAND BED...KLONDIKE...OCMULGEE PUBLIC
FISHING AREA...MAGNOLIA...PULASKI STATE PRISON...HAWKINSVILLE...
HARTFORD...PORTER AND MOBLEY CROSSING. RESIDENTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD
STAY INDOORS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES AND TELEPHONES SHOULD NOT BE USED
UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

&&

LAT...LON 3227 8359 3229 8361 3230 8371 3243 8374
      3244 8374 3250 8359 3249 8349 3246 8349
      3248 8341 3245 8321 3234 8330 3232 8329
      3225 8337 3223 8335 3220 8337
TIME...MOT...LOC 1811Z 286DEG 14KT 3238 8351

Special weather statement, Jul 15, 2:50 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 14, 8:05 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Chattooga	40 min
Jul 14, 8:44 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Gordon	31 min
Jul 14, 9:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dade	32 min
Jul 15, 11:36 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Jasper, Jones, Monroe, Putnam	39 min
Jul 15, 12:08 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Baldwin, Hancock, Jones, Monroe, Putnam	52 min
Jul 15, 12:49 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bibb, Peach	26 min
Jul 15, 12:52 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Hancock, Warren	23 min
Jul 15, 1:15 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Baldwin, Glascock, Hancock, Houston, Macon, Peach and 3 more	30 min
Jul 15, 1:47 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Twiggs	28 min
Jul 15, 1:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Warren	27 min
Jul 15, 2:11 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Bleckley, Houston, Pulaski	34 min
Jul 15, 2:24 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FFC	Dooly, Macon, Sumter	51 min
Jul 15, 3:14 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Crawford	31 min
Jul 15, 3:21 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Montgomery, Toombs, Wheeler	24 min
Jul 15, 3:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Dooly, Schley, Sumter	93 min
Jul 15, 3:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Toombs	32 min
Jul 15, 3:54 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Macon, Taylor	36 min
Jul 15, 4:35 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Macon	25 min
Jul 15, 6:08 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Muscogee	37 min
Jul 15, 6:30 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Taliaferro	30 min
Jul 15, 6:48 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Muscogee	27 min
Jul 15, 7:17 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	FFC	Harris	43 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2014 Every special weather statement in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.