River Flood Warning 20, NWS Atlanta, GA

970 
WGUS82 KFFC 130128
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
828 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  FLINT RIVER NEAR LOVEJOY AFFECTING CLAYTON...FAYETTE AND SPALDING 
  COUNTIES

 
GAC063-113-255-130158-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-140113T1251Z/
/LOVG1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
828 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FLINT RIVER NEAR LOVEJOY.
* THIS TAKES AFFECT IMMEDIATELY.
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET...AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* AT 12 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED AND MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. 
  FLOODING OF RIVERS EDGE GOLF COURSE BEGINS. SEVERAL HOLES AND 
  FAIRWAYS WILL FLOOD. FLOODING OF SOME YARDS BEGINS UPSTREAM OF GAGE
  BETWEEN UPPER RIVERDALE ROAD AND HIGHWAY 138.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.3 FEET ON DEC 26 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3360 8444 3363 8438 3354 8434 3340 8435
      3340 8443 3354 8441             

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
638 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE SHORT TERM STARTS OFF DRY AND ENDS WET. CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP
SHOWS CLEAR SKIES OVER THE AREA WITH EXITING COLD FRONT OVER THE
ATLANTIC JUST OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING
INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST AND SHOULD BE CENTERED OVER THE AL/GA/FL
BORDER BY 18Z TODAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL NOT STAY AROUND
FOR TO LONG AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST THROUGH MONDAY. BY 12Z
MONDAY THE RIDGE WILL HAVE MOVED OFF THE SC/GA/FL COAST WHICH WILL
ALLOW NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM TO MOVE IN. THE NEXT SYSTEM IS ACTUALLY A
CONGLOMERATION OF 2 SEPARATE SYSTEMS THAT JOIN FORCES TO BRING
PRECIP BACK TO THE REGION. BY 06Z MONDAY...THERE IS A DEVELOPING
SHORTWAVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF AND A DEEPENING LOW CENTER OVER
ONTARIO CANADA JUST NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR. AS THE LOW CENTER TRACKS
EAST ACROSS CANADA IS HAS A WEAK COLD FRONT TRAILING ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKE STATES AND MS RIVER VALLEY. AS THE SHORTWAVE OVER THE
GULF DEVELOPS...IT GETS PULLED NORTHEASTWARD BY THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WHICH HELPS TO ENHANCE THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE. BY 18Z MON THIS
DEVELOPED FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM QUEBEC CANADA TO THE
LA/MS/AL GULF COAST. NW GA WILL START TO SEE RAIN FROM THIS SYSTEM
BY THEN WITH THE REST OF THE AREA SEEING PRECIP THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. AS OF NOW THERE IS VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM
SO HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST. LOOKS LIKE THIS
WILL BE A RAIN PRODUCER. WE SHOULD ONLY SEE 0.25 TO 1.0 INCHES OF
PRECIP FROM THIS NEXT SYSTEM. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED FROM
YESTERDAYS RAIN EVENT THERE MAY BE SOME MINOR FLOODING. WILL HAVE TO
KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE SITUATION. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS.

01

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MODELS BASICALLY ON TRACK WITH NORTHERN GULF LOW AND UPPER SHORT
WAVE SWINGING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. POPS
WILL BE DIMINISHING ACROSS THE CWA MONDAY NIGHT. WITH UPPER TROUGH
DEEPENING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST INTO WEDNESDAY...SOME WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE CIRCULATES ACROSS NORTH GA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
THICKNESS VALUES STILL LOOK TO SUPPORT A MIX OF WINTER
PRECIPITATION AND HAVE CONTINUED WITH THAT FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE EAST COAST TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH
THE END OF THE PERIOD...BUT THE SOUTHEAST REMAINS DRY THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

41

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GA WITH W TO SW WINDS
10KTS OR LESS. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD
TO 5KTS OR LESS BY 00Z MONDAY. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SLOWLY OVER
NIGHT AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING RAIN
TO THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT WILL LEAVE IT OUT OF THE TAF FOR
NOW. NO RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          57  36  58  44 /   0   0  60  70
ATLANTA         56  41  56  45 /   0   5  90  70
BLAIRSVILLE     54  34  54  40 /   0   0  80  70
CARTERSVILLE    57  35  54  41 /   0   5  90  70
COLUMBUS        60  41  60  49 /   0   0  80  70
GAINESVILLE     55  39  52  42 /   0   0  80  70
MACON           60  35  61  46 /   0   0  50  70
ROME            56  35  54  40 /   0   5  90  70
PEACHTREE CITY  57  33  57  41 /   0   0  90  70
VIDALIA         65  42  68  55 /   0   5  20  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
830 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-131100-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
830 AM EST SUN JAN 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN TO THE AREA MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. NO
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. NORTH GEORGIA MAY SEE SOME FREEZING OR
FROZEN PRECIPITATION AS COLDER AIR SPREADS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.