Special Weather Statement, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
646 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

.AVIATION...
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS APPROACHING DRT. THESE WILL
AFFECT THE TERMINAL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. VFR CIGS AT AUS
AND SAT WILL LOWER TO MVFR LATER THIS MORNING. THEM IMPROVEMENT TO
VFR AT ALL TERMINALS LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO
AIRPORTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE AT AUS. CIGS WILL
LOWER OVERNIGHT TO MVFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 259 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS LAST EVENING SHOWED AN AREA OF LOW HEIGHTS
ALONG THE COLORADO/NEW MEXICO BORDER WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ACROSS TEXAS. THERE WAS A JET STREAK IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF
THIS LOW WITH THE EXIT REGION NOSING ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE. A LOW
LEVEL JET HAD DEVELOPED FROM THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF
OF OUR CWA. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER THE
GULF AND WINDS OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS WERE FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
DEW POINTS WERE GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. DURING THIS
PERIOD...THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH THE TROUGH AXIS MOVING TO OUR EAST.
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHEAST KEEPING DEEP
MOISTURE OVER THE REGION. PW WILL BE 1.5 TO 1.75 INCHES WHICH IS
ABOVE NORMAL BUT BELOW THE TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS WE LOOK AT FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL. MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE FAIRLY HIGH POPS...BUT
LOWER QPF. WITH RAIN CONTINUING IN SOME PARTS OF THE CWA AND NEW
DEVELOPMENT IN MEXICO WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NOW.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
THE UPPER LOW WILL DIG TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH EAST TEXAS
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE ATMOSPHERE
UNSETTLED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LINGER ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
THURSDAY. TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. THERE WILL STILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO
HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF UNTIL
SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              86  71  85  70  87 /  40  50  40  50  30
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  86  69  85  68  86 /  40  40  40  50  30
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     86  68  87  68  88 /  40  40  30  50  20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            83  68  84  68  85 /  40  50  30  50  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           88  72  93  73  96 /  20  30  -   20  -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        85  71  83  70  85 /  40  50  40  50  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             89  72  92  72  93 /  40  40  20  30  10
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        85  69  85  68  86 /  40  40  30  50  30
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   87  71  86  71  86 /  30  30  40  40  40
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       86  71  89  71  90 /  40  40  20  40  20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           88  72  90  71  91 /  40  40  20  40  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES: BANDERA...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...COMAL...EDWARDS...
GILLESPIE...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LLANO...MEDINA...REAL...
UVALDE...VAL VERDE.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...99
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
407 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 AM     TSTM WND GST     PLEASANTON              28.96N  98.49W
05/26/2014  M70 MPH          ATASCOSA           TX   ASOS

            ASOS REPORT GUST 61KTS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1400472

JMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
456 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

TXZ183-261045-
VAL VERDE-
456 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VAL VERDE COUNTY UNTIL 545 AM
CDT...

AT 452 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTH OF SHUMLA...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST
OF LANGTRY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  JUNO...
  LOMA ALTA...
  BAKERS CROSSING...
  DEVILS RIVER STATE NATURAL AREA...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3022 10143 3031 10118 3029 10116 3030 10091
      2982 10072 2979 10144 3008 10152
TIME...MOT...LOC 0956Z 249DEG 41KT 2998 10135

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
545 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

TXZ222>224-261130-
DE WITT-GONZALES-KARNES-
545 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN KARNES...EXTREME
SOUTHERN GONZALES AND WESTERN DEWITT COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CDT...

AT 541 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF
GILLETT TO RUNGE...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  YORKTOWN...
  CUERO...
  NORDHEIM...
  NEW DAVY...
  COTTON PATCH...
  GRUENAU...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

THE HEAVY RAIN MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES...LOW WATER
CROSSINGS AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ACROSS FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 2889 9734 2892 9742 2883 9754 2883 9787
      2919 9775 2921 9722
TIME...MOT...LOC 1045Z 267DEG 20KT 2911 9764 2887 9772

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
550 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

TXZ183-184-261130-
EDWARDS-VAL VERDE-
550 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VAL VERDE AND NORTHWESTERN
EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CDT...

AT 548 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST
OF JUNO TO COMSTOCK...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  COMSTOCK...
  LOMA ALTA...
  FLOUR MILLS...
  DEVILS RIVER STATE NATURAL AREA...
  PAFFORD CROSSING...
  DEVILS SHORES...
  VINEGARONE...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3030 10107 3030 10056 3029 10046 2961 10078
      2962 10131 2964 10131 2966 10135
TIME...MOT...LOC 1050Z 271DEG 19KT 3025 10098 2970 10122

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
628 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

TXZ183-184-202-261215-
EDWARDS-KINNEY-VAL VERDE-
628 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR VAL VERDE...NORTHWESTERN KINNEY
AND WESTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 715 AM CDT...

AT 624 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTH OF
FLOUR MILLS TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF AMISTAD VILLAGE...AND MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  LOMA ALTA...
  FLOUR MILLS...
  CARTA VALLEY...
  VINEGARONE...
  ROUGH CANYON REC AREA...
  DEVILS SHORES...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3030 10063 3029 10004 2947 10060 2947 10116
      2951 10118
TIME...MOT...LOC 1128Z 269DEG 25KT 3027 10055 2955 10105

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
713 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

TXZ183>185-202-261300-
EDWARDS-KINNEY-REAL-VAL VERDE-
713 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN VAL VERDE...NORTHWESTERN
REAL...NORTHERN KINNEY AND EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 800 AM CDT...

AT 712 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF ROOSEVELT TO 13 MILES NORTH OF AMANDA...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  ROCKSPRINGS...
  KICKAPOO CAVERN STATE PARK...
  DEVILS SINKHOLE STATE NATURAL AREA...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3028 9975 2950 10021 2947 10079 3030 10029
      3029 9975
TIME...MOT...LOC 1213Z 267DEG 26KT 3029 10019 2955 10063