Special Weather Statement, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
312 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVENING MAINLY ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THE DRYLINE
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU...BUT EVEN AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN
ABLE TO WARM INTO THE MID 80S. GIVEN THAT SFC TEMPS HAVE BEEN ABLE
TO WARM SO WELL UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...WILL KEEP THE MENTION
OF THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS AS INSTABILITY WILL FURTHER
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. STORM COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT BUT A RENEWED CHANCE FOR AT
LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AS
THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL STALL OVER CENTRAL TEXAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE BOUNDARY OCCURRING AT THE SAME TIME AS PEAK HEATING SUGGESTS
THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS. CHANCES
FOR RAIN WILL END FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES INTO
EAST TEXAS.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE
UPPER LEVELS BECOME ZONAL AND MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS IN
THE LOWER LEVELS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP ACROSS THE
SERRANIAS DEL BURRO IN NERN MEXICO SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND COULD
POTENTIALLY CROSS INTO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY/FAR NERN
PARTS OF THE CWA SUNDAY NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE SRN PLAINS. AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE
ON MONDAY AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT DRIVES SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE REGION. CONVECTION WILL DECREASE ON TUESDAY AS THE
UPPER TROUGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND DRIER N/NW FLOW ALOFT
SETTLES IN. NOTICEABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN
THE LOW TO MID 80S AND LOWS IN THE 50S (POTENTIALLY UPPER 40S
ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY).

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING
ACROSS VAL VERDE AND FAR WESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY BEHIND THE
DRYLINE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN IN THE TEENS BEFORE
INCREASING AFTER SUNSET. 20-FT WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY MOSTLY BELOW
10 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS VAL VERDE COUNTY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS AS DRY AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE
OF A COLD FRONT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR OR JUST
BELOW 20 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON. 20-FT WINDS WILL MOSTLY BE AT OR
BELOW 10 MPH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              71  90  70  89  72 /  40  30  20  -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  68  89  69  88  71 /  40  30  20  -   -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     71  90  70  91  71 /  40  30  20  -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            69  87  69  88  70 /  30  20  20  -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           71  93  72  96  73 /  10  10  10  -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        69  88  69  87  71 /  40  20  20  -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             71  90  70  94  72 /  20  30  20  -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        70  89  69  90  71 /  40  30  20  -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   71  87  72  88  72 /  50  40  20  10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       72  89  71  92  72 /  30  30  20  -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           72  89  71  93  72 /  30  40  20  -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...24
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
400 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-092100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
400 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM LLANO TO PEARSALL.
THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR AREAS
MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 35.

OTHERWISE... LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR VAL VERDE AND
WESTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
249 PM CDT THU MAY 08 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     BRIGGS                  30.87N  97.92W
05/08/2014                   BURNET             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFFS OFFICER IN FIELD WAS MONITORING A FUNNEL CLOUD

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1400379

SBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
309 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

TXZ184-185-082045-
EDWARDS-REAL-
309 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN REAL AND CENTRAL
EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 306 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES WEST OF VANCE...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF
ROCKSPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL EDWARDS AND NORTHWESTERN REAL COUNTIES.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3011 9995 2989 9981 2974 10021 2989 10031
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 237DEG 28KT 2987 10017

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
337 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

TXZ184-186-082100-
EDWARDS-KERR-
337 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN KERR AND
NORTHEASTERN EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 331 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TELEGRAPH...OR 23 MILES
SOUTH OF JUNCTION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
HIGHWAY 83 ALONG THE EDWARDS KERR COUNTY LINE AND THE RURAL AREAS OF
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN EDWARDS AND NORTHWESTERN KERR COUNTIES.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3020 9941 3008 9984 3021 9991 3030 9972
      3030 9946
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 245DEG 22KT 3017 9977

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
340 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

TXZ172-082130-
BURNET-
340 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BURNET COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM CDT...

AT 337 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF TOW...OR 12 MILES NORTH OF
BUCHANAN DAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN BURNET COUNTY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

THE HEAVY RAIN MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES...LOW WATER
CROSSINGS AND UNDERPASSES. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ACROSS FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 3103 9814 3086 9842 3093 9845 3094 9842
      3094 9845 3097 9847 3098 9845 3102 9846
      3104 9843 3104 9814
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 244DEG 21KT 3098 9845

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
424 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

TXZ186-082200-
KERR-
424 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN KERR COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM
CDT...

AT 420 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF KERR WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT
AREA...OR 22 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JUNCTION...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
I10 NEAR THE KERR KIMBLE COUNTY LINE AND MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHERN KERR COUNTY.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

LAT...LON 3029 9936 3029 9931 3027 9931 3010 9957
      3025 9970 3030 9962 3030 9960 3030 9937
TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 232DEG 27KT 3023 9955