Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2014
Red Flag Warning 19, NWS El Paso, TX
NWS El Paso, TX issued this red flag warning at Apr 28, 2014, 7:03 AM MDT for 7 counties in New Mexico; El Paso County, Hudspeth County, Texas. It took effect at Apr 28, 2014, 1:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 28, 2014, 7:03 AM MDT (13:03 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 28, 2014, 1:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Apr 28, 2014, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS El Paso, TX
Counties Doña Ana County, NM, Grant County, NM, Hidalgo County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Luna County, NM, Otero County, NM, Sierra County, NM, El Paso County, TX, Hudspeth County, TX
The radar
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2923 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
164 WWUS84 KEPZ 281303 RFWEPZ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 703 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS... .AN UPPER LEL LOW THAT HAS BROUGHT WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAS STALLED OUT OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION WITH WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH EXPECTED. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 PERCENT CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE LOWLANDS. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY. NMZ113-281415- /O.CAN.KEPZ.FW.A.0013.140428T1900Z-140429T0200Z/ CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- 703 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. CONDITIONS WILL FALL JUST SHORT OF CRITICAL THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAINING AROUND 14 TO 20 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE IN THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE. $$ NMZ111-112-TXZ055-056-282115- /O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0013.140428T1900Z-140429T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0019.140428T1900Z-140429T0200Z/ SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS- SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-EL PASO- HUDSPETH- 703 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING: 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT TODAY. * WIND: WEST 20 TO 30 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RH 10 TO 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ 26
2 follow-up statements
272 WWUS84 KEPZ 282013 RFWEPZ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 213 PM MDT MON APR 28 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS... .AN UPPER LEL LOW THAT HAS BROUGHT WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAS STALLED OUT OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION WITH WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH EXPECTED. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN BELOW 15 PERCENT CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE LOWLANDS. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY. NMZ111-112-TXZ055-056-290200- /O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-140429T0200Z/ SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS- SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-EL PASO- HUDSPETH- 213 PM MDT MON APR 28 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES... * TIMING: THROUGH 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. * WIND: WEST 20 TO 30 MPH AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM RH 10 TO 15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ 26
298 WWUS84 KEPZ 290203 RFWEPZ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 803 PM MDT MON APR 28 2014 NMZ111-112-TXZ055-056-290315- /O.EXP.KEPZ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-140429T0200Z/ SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS- SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-EL PASO- HUDSPETH- 803 PM MDT MON APR 28 2014 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 055...056...111 AND 112... WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RISE. A SIDE-DOOR COLD FRONT WILL BRING NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE AREA OVERNIGHT...AND WILL BE OCCASIONALLY GUSTY AT TIMES THROUGH MIDDAY TUESDAY. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON WHEN RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPS BACK BELOW 15%. THEREFORE...RED FLAG CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET. $$ HARDIMAN
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 28, 4:20 AM MDT, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 28, 4:20 AM MDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
418 AM MDT MON APR 28 201
.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...ALONG WITH MODERATE TO STRONG
WEST NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL GENERATE ONE MORE DAY OF WINDS FOR
THE BORDERLAND TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM SOME FROM YESTERDAY BUT
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL. THE UPPER LOW MOVES FURTHER EAST ON TUESDAY AND
COMBINED WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S...WILL ALLOW
WEAKER NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT TO DEVELOP. THIS WILL END OUR STRETCH OF
WINDY WEATHER. HOWEVER WITH THE NORTHERLY FLOW TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THIS
FLOW WILL GIVE THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
HIGH ELEVATION LIGHT SNOW THURSDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. AS THE UPPER RIDGE
FLATTENS...UPPER FLOW WILL TURN MORE WESTERLY ON FRIDAY INTO THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK ABOVE NORMAL. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE
&&
.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW NOW OUT OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS BUT ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW
STILL CLOSE ENOUGH TO CREATE A DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CWA
TODAY. ALOFT THE VERY STRONG JET STREAM FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC
ARCING DOWN TO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST IS SLOWLY WEAKENING AS UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN U.S. AND SPOILS THE STREAM'S LONG
STRAIGHT FETCH. AFTER ONE MORE WINDY DAY TODAY...JUST BELOW WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA...WINDS SHOULD NOT BE A FACTOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK. BY TUESDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL BE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST/
WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND ALLOW SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO RELAX.
ALOFT THE UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY MORE AND TURN OUR FLOW ALOFT TO
THE NORTH. THIS PATTERN WILL LAST THROUGH THURSDAY WITH VERY FEW
CLOUDS AND TEMPERATURES REMAINING BELOW NORMAL...AS SEVERAL WEAK
COOL INTRUSIONS FROM THE NORTH AND EAST KEEP THE TEMPS FROM WARMING.
A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW COULD
PRODUCE SOME LIGHT RAIN/HIGH ELEVATION LIGHT SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY FOR THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS. SNOW LEVELS COULD BRIEFLY
FALL AS LOW AS 8000 FT EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE RISING AGAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON. ECMWF DOES SHOW SIGNS OF WORKING THE DISTURBANCE
FURTHER WEST BUT FOR NOW WILL STICK WITH THE GFS.
UPPER RIDGE BEGINS FLATTENING OUT ON FRIDAY AS EASTERN PACIFIC LOW
CUTS THROUGH THE TOP. FLOW BECOMES ZONAL FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
THIS WILL GRADUALLY TURN SURFACE WINDS WEST AS LEE SIDE TROUGHING
DEVELOPS. EXPECT TEMPS NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY AND THEN ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE WEEKEND.
&&
.AVIATION...VALID 28/12Z-29/12Z...
VFR CONDS EXPECTED THRU THE PERIOD. AFT 17Z...SURFACE WINDS
INCREASING TO WEST 15-20 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KTS. WINDS DIMINISHING
AFTER 02Z.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EAST TODAY BUT
WINDS ALOFT WILL STILL BE RELATIVELY STRONG AND SOME OF THIS WIND
WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE DAYTIME
HEATING. EXPECT WINDS OF 20-30 MPH. THE UPPER LOW MOVES OVER THE
UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY AND THE FLOW ALOFT OVER THE
FIRE ZONES BECOMES NORTHERLY...FINALLY ENDING THE STRETCH OF WINDY
DAYS. NORTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPS A BIT BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
THURSDAY. AN IMPULSE IN THIS NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DROP DOWN EASTERN
NEW MEXICO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...GIVING THE SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION LIGHT SNOW.
OTHERWISE NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. A WARMUP
BEGINS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPS BACK ABOVE NORMAL.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO 79 53 73 49 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 77 47 70 44 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 77 47 70 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 75 44 69 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 51 30 45 25 45 / 0 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 75 46 68 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 67 40 62 36 60 / 0 0 0 0 0
DEMING 76 45 70 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 74 44 72 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 78 54 73 49 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 77 45 71 40 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 84 53 78 49 78 / 0 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 68 46 62 41 63 / 0 0 0 0 0
FABENS 79 52 74 48 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 78 49 71 46 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 76 52 69 48 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 76 39 69 39 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
HATCH 77 42 69 40 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 76 49 72 45 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 77 45 70 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 60 33 53 29 53 / 0 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 62 33 54 28 51 / 0 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 59 32 53 29 50 / 0 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 64 37 59 34 55 / 0 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 69 46 63 41 63 / 0 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 73 45 68 42 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 65 33 61 31 57 / 0 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 68 40 63 36 63 / 0 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 69 33 65 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 67 29 62 28 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 67 41 62 38 62 / 0 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 77 47 73 46 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 75 43 73 41 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 77 47 74 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 71 42 69 40 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR NMZ111>113.
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR TXZ055-056.
&&
17/99Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 28, 6:33 AM MDT, 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 633 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-291330- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE- SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY- SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL- UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES- NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY- CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN- WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET- SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA- WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY- NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN- SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY- 633 AM MDT MON APR 28 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ONE LAST WINDY AFTERNOON TODAY WITH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW OVER THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER REPORTS TO THE NWS OFFICE VIA OUR 800 NUMBER OR VIA TWITTER @NWSELPASO OR TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT. HEFNER
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2014Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2014Every red flag warning in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.