Flash Flood Warning 69, NWS El Paso, TX

207 
WGUS74 KEPZ 221858
FFSEPZ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1258 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

TXC141-221930-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.W.0069.000000T0000Z-140922T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EL PASO TX-
1258 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY
UNTIL 130 PM MDT...

AT 1257 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED
AREA.

FLOODING WAS REPORTED EARLIER AROUND UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER WITH 
OTHER PORTIONS OF THE CITY REPORTING STREET FLOODING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MISSION VALLEY...
  EAST EL PASO...
  NORTHEAST EL PASO...
  HORIZON CITY...
  CENTRAL EL PASO...
  SPARKS...
  MONTANA VISTA...
  FORT BLISS...
  FRANKLIN MOUNTAINS STATE PARK...


LAT...LON 3168 10635 3174 10641 3176 10646 3174 10649
      3176 10652 3199 10656 3199 10611 3167 10612
      3167 10635

$$

ROGASH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
321 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
AN ACTIVE WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO FLOW INTO THE AREA WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
EXPECTED. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG SMALL STREAMS...LOW
WATER CROSSINGS AND ARROYOS. HEAVY RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE
AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH MAINLY ISOLATED MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK TO
NEAR NORMALS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS VERY MOIST AS RESULT OF A PASSING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH AND CONSIDERABLE TROPICAL MOISTURE THAT HAS MOVED
BACK INTO THE REGION. MUCH OF THE RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING HAS BEEN
FOCUSED IN AREAS WEST OF RIO GRANDE WITH SOME FLOODING ALONG
CREEKS AND DRAINAGES NOTED. ADDITIONAL RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA HAS BEEN QUIET SO FAR BUT MAY SEE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY. HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING STORMS MAY PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER THROUGH TONIGHT. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR
WEST TEXAS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH EXITS
THE REGION. A STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMOVE SOME OF THE
MOISTURE FROM THE AREA AND LIMIT THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO ISOLATED
COVERAGE FOCUSED MAINLY ON THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS. RESIDUAL LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TO HELP FUEL THE ISOLATED
STORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK TO NORMAL AS RAINS DECREASE
AND SKIES BECOME LESS CLOUDY. THE OVER ALL CIRCULATION PATTERN
WILL BE DOMINATED BY HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH SPOTTY
COVERAGE 0F MAINLY LIGHT RAIN AMOUNTS.

BY FRIDAY EVENING A DEEP MID LATITUDE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
INLAND FROM THE WEST COAST. LATEST MODELS HAVE THE SYSTEM CLOSING
OFF INTO A LOW AS IT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY LATE
SUNDAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL PULL A PLUME OF
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE WEEKEND WITH
AN INCREASE IN RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED. THE STORMS
COULD BE QUIET ACTIVE DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE
AVAILABLE TO FUEL THEM. ANOTHER TROPICAL SYSTEM OFF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA MAY ALSO PLAY A CONTRIBUTING ROLE IN BRING UP
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE OUT OF THE TROPICS. A STRONG WEST FLOW BEHIND
THE SYSTEM WILL FLUSH OUT THE REMAINING MOISTURE BY THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 22/12Z - 23/12Z...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FLOW INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH. THIS WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THE VALID
PERIOD. VSBY WILL BE REDUCED TO IFR IN HEAVIER RAINFALL. CIGS WILL
GENERALLY BE AROUND 5000 FEET. HIGHER MOUNTAINS WILL BE OBSCURED
BY THE CLOUDS. HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL BEGIN DIMINISH AFT
23/06Z. WINDS WILL BE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
FROM THE SOUTH TODAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE MOIST
CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH MOST AREAS HAVING STILL WET SOIL CONDITIONS
MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL BE RUNOFF THAT MAY CAUSE FLOODING ALONG
DRAINAGES...SMALL CREEKS...ARROYOS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. RAIN
CHANCES WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY MORNING WITH MAINLY ISOLATED
MOUNTAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK UP TO NEAR NORMALS BY
TUESDAY AND REMAIN SEASONAL THROUGH THE WEEK. HIGH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL PERSIST AS A RESULT OF SOIL AND FUEL
MOISTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 81  66  82  65  86 /  70  50  10  10   0
SIERRA BLANCA           76  60  78  58  82 /  70  40  10  10   0
LAS CRUCES              80  63  80  63  84 /  60  50  10  10   0
ALAMOGORDO              80  63  83  62  87 /  70  50  10  10   0
CLOUDCROFT              60  49  63  47  64 /  80  60  30  20  20
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   80  62  81  61  82 /  60  40  10  10   0
SILVER CITY             77  59  79  58  82 /  50  40  20  20  10
DEMING                  82  63  83  62  85 /  60  50  10  10   0
LORDSBURG               84  64  85  63  87 /  50  40  10  10   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      82  66  83  65  86 /  70  50  10  10   0
DELL CITY               79  62  80  61  81 /  70  40  10  10   0
FORT HANCOCK            83  66  84  63  86 /  70  50  10  10   0
LOMA LINDA              75  61  77  60  78 /  70  50  10  10   0
FABENS                  84  64  86  61  86 /  70  50  10  10   0
SANTA TERESA            82  65  83  64  85 /  60  50  10  10   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          79  63  81  62  82 /  60  50  10  10   0
JORNADA RANGE           81  61  82  59  85 /  60  50  10  10   0
HATCH                   79  62  81  60  82 /  70  50  10  10   0
COLUMBUS                83  64  82  63  84 /  60  50  10  10   0
OROGRANDE               79  64  81  63  82 /  70  50  10  10   0
MAYHILL                 68  53  71  52  70 /  80  60  30  20  20
MESCALERO               70  53  74  52  74 /  80  50  30  20  20
TIMBERON                70  53  71  53  70 /  80  60  20  20  20
WINSTON                 72  54  74  53  74 /  60  40  30  20  10
HILLSBORO               75  58  77  57  76 /  60  40  20  10   0
SPACEPORT               80  61  83  61  81 /  60  50  10  10   0
LAKE ROBERTS            77  56  79  53  81 /  60  40  20  20  10
HURLEY                  79  62  79  59  82 /  50  40  20  20   0
CLIFF                   82  58  84  57  85 /  50  30  20  10   0
MULE CREEK              80  53  82  52  82 /  50  30  20  10   0
FAYWOOD                 77  61  77  58  78 /  50  40  20  10   0
ANIMAS                  84  64  87  63  89 /  40  40  30  10   0
HACHITA                 83  62  83  60  83 /  50  50  20  10   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          82  61  85  60  86 /  50  50  30  10   0
CLOVERDALE              82  61  83  60  85 /  50  50  30  10   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NMZ401>417.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR TXZ418>424.

&&

04/04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1100 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-231700-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1100 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NM AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION WITH
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY EXCEED 3 INCHES OVER
ISOLATED LOCATIONS RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING OR EVEN FLOODING
ALONG THE GILA RIVER. SATURATED GROUNDS FROM RECENT EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL MEANS QUICK RUNOFF OF RAINFALL WITH INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING. STREAMS...CREEKS...WASHES...AND ARROYOS WILL BE
QUICK TO RUN. LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE QUICK TO FILL.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

DRYING ALOFT BEHIND THE PASSING TROUGH ON TUESDAY AND A LACK OF
FOCUS FEATURES SHOULD MEAN A SHARP REDUCTION IN RAIN AND STORM
CHANCES AND COVERAGE TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. DURING THIS PERIOD WE
SHOULD SEE THE TYPICAL PATTERN OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOUNTAIN
STORMS FOLLOWED LATER IN THE DAY BY ISOLATED LOWLAND STORMS.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING INCREASED
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY OBSERVED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OR FLOODING
TO THIS OFFICE AND LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

ROGASH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
840 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 W EL PASO             31.79N 106.53W
09/22/2014                   EL PASO            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            EXECUTIVE AND PAISANO FLOODED

&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1400404

MLP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
842 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW KBIF               31.88N 106.42W
09/22/2014                   EL PASO            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DYER STREET BETWEEN DIANA AND MANILA CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1400405

MLP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
844 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 W KBIF                31.85N 106.42W
09/22/2014                   EL PASO            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER RESCUE AT DIANA AND VLUCAN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1400406

MLP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
846 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 W KBIF                31.85N 106.42W
09/22/2014                   EL PASO            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            EL PASO POLICE FATAL DROWNING NEAR VULCAN AND DIANA

&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1400407

MLP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
847 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0846 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N FORT BLISS          31.85N 106.42W
09/22/2014                   EL PASO            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            RAILROAD AND DIANA CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1400408

MLP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
929 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW KBIF               31.87N 106.41W
09/22/2014                   EL PASO            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA REPORT OF FLOODING AT HERRERA IN NORTH EAST EL
            PASO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1400409

MLP