Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS Kansas City, MO

858 
WWUS53 KEAX 130938
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
438 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

MOC089-131000-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-140413T1000Z/
HOWARD MO-
438 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
HOWARD COUNTY UNTIL 500 AM CDT...

AT 435 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FAYETTE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FAYETTE AND NEW FRANKLIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3899 9270 3901 9284 3915 9276 3919 9246
      3901 9256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0938Z 258DEG 34KT 3909 9267

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

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551 
WWUS53 KEAX 130954
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
454 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

MOC089-131000-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-140413T1000Z/
HOWARD MO-
454 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL
HOWARD COUNTY UNTIL 500 AM CDT...

AT 452 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM ROCHEPORT TO 8 MILES EAST OF FAYETTE...AND MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN HOWARD COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3900 9265 3917 9258 3919 9246 3901 9256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0954Z 268DEG 28KT 3901 9259 3917 9251

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

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704 
WWUS53 KEAX 131000
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
500 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

MOC089-131010-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0052.000000T0000Z-140413T1000Z/
HOWARD MO-
500 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL HOWARD COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED
OUT OF THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3900 9265 3917 9258 3919 9246 3901 9256
TIME...MOT...LOC 0954Z 180DEG 0KT 3906 9247 3912 9267

$$

BOOKBINDER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
345 AM CDT Sun Apr 13 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 344 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

Today:
---------------------
Scattered, elevated thunderstorms may continue through the next
several hours on the nose of the LLJ, and could continue to produce
isolated severe hail in an environment with around 800-1000 J/kg of
MUCAPE and 30-40 kts 0-6 km bulk shear. A brief lull in thunderstorm
activity is possible around sunrise as ongoing storms push east;
however, additional storm development is expected to begin along the
nearly stationary surface front/inverted trough axis by mid morning
across far NE Kansas and NW Missouri. Storms will gradually spread
along the boundary this morning, then will push southeastward during
the afternoon as the associated surface low kicks eastward into
central MO and drags the front across the forecast area. Additional
storm development is also possible early this afternoon just ahead
of the surface low across east central KS and west central MO, but
will gradually conglomerate with frontal precipitation during the
mid-afternoon.

MUCAPE values of 1000-1500 J/kg are possible along and ahead of the
boundary this afternoon despite generally weak surface heating, and
will be accompanied by deep-layer shear values of 30-40 kts. Low-
level shear profiles are unidirectional and fairly unimpressive near
the surface, keeping the tornado potential very low. If storms can
become a bit more isolated just ahead of the surface boundary, large
hail will be possible; but with fairly widespread convection and
competing updrafts, shear vectors oriented nearly perpendicular to
the boundary and overall uni-directional shear, briefly damaging
winds and marginally severe (~1") hail seem the most likely
candidate for a severe threat this afternoon-evening.

Tonight and Monday:
---------------------
Behind the surface front, much cooler temperatures will filter into
the region. Profiles will quickly become supportive of a rain/snow
mix or brief periods of all snow late tonight into early Monday
morning, and fairly widespread (light) precipitation looks probable
along the northwest side of the surface low. Accumulating snow will
be very difficult to come by due to low snow rates and and very warm
and wet surfaces, but can't rule out a brief tenth of an inch or so
on grassy surface across far northwest Missouri. Precipitation
should taper off from northwest to southeast on Monday afternoon,
exiting the region completely by sunset.

Tuesday Morning:
---------------------
A surface ridge will drift eastward across the forecast area late
Monday night into Tuesday morning while chilly northwest flow aloft
continues to usher in unseasonably cold temperatures. A damaging
freeze is likely Tuesday morning for any vegetation that has bloomed
out across the region, and a freeze headline will likely be needed
as Tuesday AM draws closer.

Wednesday - Saturday:
---------------------
Gradually warming temperatures are expected through Thursday, then a
clipper system may shove a cold front through the area again on
Thursday night into Friday. The GFS is the most aggressive in
bringing cold temperatures (and measurable snow) back into the CWA
for Thursday night into Friday morning, but have kept a warmer blend
in the forecast for now.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1206 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

Storms should remain north and east of the KC and STJ areas for the
remainder of the night. Earlier storms left winds variable but they
should return from the SSE over the next several hours. MVFR ceilings
developing over TX should rapidly expand northward early Sunday
morning and could make it as far north as northern MO by sunrise.

Widespread thunderstorms are likely beginning early Sunday afternoon
as a cold front moves in. Some of these may be strong. Front will
push through the area toward 00Z with some gusty winds and showers
lingering through the evening.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...Laflin
AVIATION...Hawblitzel

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
554 AM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-131100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
554 AM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN
 MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
 ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS
 ARE POSSIBLE IN FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS THIS
 EVENING.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY
 ACROSS THE REGION. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY
 AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM THE KANSAS CITY
 METRO TO KIRKSVILLE. A WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL
 IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
 POSSIBLE.

 TUESDAY MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S ACROSS
 THE REGION...WHICH MAY DAMAGE UNPROTECTED SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IMAGES/FXC/EAX/EM1/EAX-EMBRIEFING1.PDF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1053 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

MOZ013-020-021-028-130445-
BUCHANAN MO-CLINTON MO-DE KALB MO-PLATTE MO-
1053 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN PLATTE...SOUTHWESTERN
DEKALB...CLINTON AND BUCHANAN COUNTIES UNTIL 1145 PM CDT...

AT 1049 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF DEARBORN...OR 11 MILES
NORTH OF WESTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  GOWER...PLATTSBURG...LATHROP...DEARBORN...AGENCY...EDGERTON...
  CLARKSDALE...STEWARTSVILLE...OSBORN...FAUCETT...EASTON AND TURNEY.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...

  I-35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 39 AND 48.
  I-29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 27 AND 45.

LAT...LON 3969 9497 3971 9497 3987 9435 3961 9421
      3955 9421 3946 9494 3968 9499
TIME...MOT...LOC 0353Z 253DEG 36KT 3959 9483

DUX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
218 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

MOZ037-130745-
JACKSON MO-
218 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY UNTIL 245
AM CDT...

AT 211 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LAKE TAPAWINGO...OR NEAR RAYTOWN...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BLUE SPRINGS AROUND 225 AM CDT.
GRAIN VALLEY AROUND 230 AM CDT.
OAK GROVE AROUND 230 AM CDT.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...

  I-70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 11 AND 29.
  I-470 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 12 AND 16.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3905 9444 3912 9411 3911 9410 3898 9411
      3896 9440
TIME...MOT...LOC 0717Z 257DEG 36KT 3901 9430

BOOKBINDER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
229 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

MOZ038-130800-
LAFAYETTE MO-
229 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY UNTIL
300 AM CDT...

AT 225 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR GRAIN VALLEY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
NAPOLEON AROUND 240 AM CDT.
WELLINGTON AROUND 245 AM CDT.
MAYVIEW AND LEXINGTON AROUND 255 AM CDT.
HIGGINSVILLE AROUND 300 AM CDT.

LAT...LON 3908 9351 3900 9410 3914 9409 3914 9405
      3916 9402 3916 9399 3915 9399 3914 9396
      3917 9394 3921 9373 3921 9370 3922 9369
      3924 9358
TIME...MOT...LOC 0729Z 260DEG 36KT 3905 9418

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
406 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

MOZ039-040-046-130945-
COOPER MO-HOWARD MO-SALINE MO-
406 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EXTREME EASTERN
SALINE...SOUTHERN HOWARD AND EXTREME NORTHERN COOPER COUNTIES UNTIL
445 AM CDT...

AT 400 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MARSHALL...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH. THIS STORM IS LIKELY TO WEAKEN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS IN THE NEXT
10 TO 15 MINUTES.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM AS IT
MOVES EAST OF MARSHALL...AND WILL ALSO PRODUCE FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
ARROW ROCK AROUND 415 AM CDT.
NEW FRANKLIN AND FRANKLIN AROUND 430 AM CDT.

THIS STORM MAY RE-INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS... FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3897 9257 3900 9306 3917 9303 3918 9247
TIME...MOT...LOC 0905Z 270DEG 35KT 3905 9304

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